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    10daysthatchanged

    theclimatedebate

    inAustraliabyconnec6ngthedots

    DavidSpra*

    October2013

    Version.03

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    Tuesday15October:GreensDeputyleaderAdamBandtonSkyTV

    900moreAustralianswilldiefromheateveryyearunlesswegetglobal

    warmingundercontrol.Unlesswetackleclimate

    change,wearegoingtoseeaBlackSaturday

    bushfireuptoeverytwoyearsinVictoriaandadoublingofthekindoffiredaysNSWisseeingat

    themoment.

    FacedwiththebiggesteverthreattoAustralias

    wayoflife,TonyAbbo*isfailinginthefirstduty

    ofaprimeministerwhich istoprotecttheAustralianpeople.Infact,TonyAbbo*isaclimate

    criminal.IhopethattheLaborfacQonalhenchmanwon'taidandabethim

    byvoQngtorepealthiscountry'scleanenergylaws.

    Thisisaboutprotec6ngtheAustralianwayoflife,makingsurethatwhen

    yougocampingattheendoftheyearovertheChristmasholidaysyou

    don'thavetoworryaboutbushfireswhereveryougo.

    PowerpricesquesQon:Whatwouldyourather:thatbigpolluterspayfor

    theirpolluQon,itgoesali*lebitontheenergybillandyougetsome

    compensaQonforit,andperhapsyouhavetopayabitmoreeachyear,or

    BlackSaturdaybushfireseverytwoyears?ThisisaboutprotecQngthe

    Australianwayoflife.

    Connec6ng

    thedots

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    Failingto

    protecthis

    people

    ProtecQngthe

    Australianwayof

    life

    TakingAustralia

    backwards(not

    forwards)

    Wednesday

    1October2013

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    AdamBandt,Guardian,Wednesday16October2013:

    Abbo*isfailinginwhatRonaldReaganreportedlydescribedasa

    governmentsfirstduty:toprotectitspeople.Globalwarmingposesthe

    biggesteverthreattoAustraliansandtheAustralianwayoflife,butheissidingwiththeenemy

    Globalwarmingisalreadydamagingthehealthandthewayoflifeof

    ordinaryAustraliansandunlessweactthosethreatswillbecome

    catastrophic.CSIROpredictsthatunderextremeclimatechange,thekindof

    bushfireswesawinVictoriaonBlackSaturdaymayhappenonaverageonce

    everytwoyearsclimatechangeisdryingthe(SWWA)region,threatening

    WAsagricultureandbiodiversity.TheClimateCommissionalsowarnsof

    impactsonourfishstocksastheoceanabsorbsCO2andacidifies.

    TheIPCCsuggest(s)9,000moreAustralianswilldieeveryyearfromextreme

    heatunlesswegetglobalwarmingundercontrolSadly,thecoaliQonshows

    nointerestinensuringthatAustraliansonsummerholidaywillhavelessfrequentbushfires,healthyoceanstofishinorthousandsfewerdeaths.

    Donningavolunteerfirefighteruniformforthemediaisaconifyourealso

    helpingstartfiresthatputpeopleslivesindanger.Ifourprimeministertruly

    wantstoprotecttheAustralianpeople,hemusthelpfendoffdangerous

    globalwarming,thecountrysbiggesteverthreat.

    Connec6ng

    thedots

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    Thursday17October2013:Thetweetthatbecamethestory

    Connec6ngthedots

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    Friday18October2013:Conserva6vemediadrivethestoryforanotherday

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    Chris6neMilne@senatormilne

    IPCCsaysmorefires,ho*estwinterleadstohorrificearly

    NSWfires,Abbo*boastsdumpingclimateacQon,Qmeto

    facenaQon.#auspol

    Friday18October2013:Bandtrepeatshismessageonna6onalTV,Twiertakesoff

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    AdamBandt,ABCNews24,Friday18October

    TonyAbbo*andhisministers(are)goingto

    takeAustraliabackwardswhenitcomesto

    combaQngglobalwarming.

    Globalwarmingisthebiggestthreatto

    AustralianlifeIdon'twanteverysummer,

    letaloneeveryspring,forustobeworrying

    aboutwhetherwearegoingtoseethesekindofbushfiresagain,tohavetoworryabout

    threatstopeople'spropertyandthreatsto

    people'ssafety.

    "Iknowit'suncomfortabletohaveadiscussion

    aboutit,butIthinkit'sourjobaspoliQcians.

    "IthinkgiventhatParliament'saboutto

    resumeshortlyandglobalwarmingisonthe

    agendafordebate,weshouldbetalkingabout

    howweaspoli6cianscandoeverythingwe

    cantoprotecttheAustralianwayoflife."

    Friday18October2013:andthetabooisbroken

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    9/20Friday18October2013

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    Saturday19October2013:Thedamwallbreaks

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    Saturday19October2013:Thedamwallbreaks

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    VictorianFireServicesCommissionerCraigLapsleysaidthedryaircomingoutofCentral

    Australiawouldbeanissuethissummer."Somemaysayit'spartofclimatechange,itprobably

    is,thefactwe'reseeingadifferentclimaQccondiQoncomingacrosstoaffectthesouth-eastern

    sideofAustralia,(is)reallyimportantforustounderstandthissummer,''hetoldABCradio.h*p://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/news/nsw/barry-o8217farrell-and-rfs-boss-say-possibly-worse-to-come-in-bushfire-

    catastrophe-as-crews-conQnue-to-ba*le-on-numerous-fronts/story-fni0cx12-1226742089017

    Sunday20October2013

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    Ma*GoldingsFairfaxcartoon

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    NSWRuralFireServiceCommissioner

    ShaneFitzsimmons

    FiresnowawholenewballgameandinaleagueoftheirownsaysRFScommissioner.

    Hesaysfirecrewsaredealingwith"unparalleled

    condiQons".

    NSWPremierBarryOFarrell

    WhenaskedonMondayifclimatechangemade

    disastrouseventsliketheNSWfiresmorelikely,

    NSWPremierBarryO'Farrellreplied:''Well,clearly,Ithinkthat'sthescience.

    h*p://www.smh.com.au/federal-poliQcs/poliQcal-news/clear-link-between-

    climate-change-and-bushfires-un-adviser-warns-tony-

    abbo*-20131022-2vxs5.html

    Monday21October2013

    FormerNSWRuralFire

    ServicesCommissioner,

    PhilKoperberg

    "Thisisafeatureofslowly

    evolvingclimate.Wehave

    alwayshadfires,butnotof

    thisnature,andnotatthis

    Qmeofyear,andnotaccompaniedbytherecord-

    breakingheatwe'vehad.

    Guardian

    21October2013

    Connec6ng

    thedots

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    Monday21October2013

    AdamBandtwasrebukedfor

    menQoningtheelephantintheroombut

    policymakerscannolongercredibly

    lookaway

    ifthereiscrediblereasontobelieve

    thathuman-inducedclimatechangeis

    increasingthelikelihoodorfrequencyof

    thesefiredisasters,thosesame

    poli6cianshaveadutytounderstand

    thatriskandexplainhowtheyaredoing

    everythingpossibletocontributeto

    globaleffortstoaddressit.

    Withclaimsthatcurrentclimate

    policieswouldleadtomorebushfires,

    DeputyGreensLeaderAdamBandt

    wasaccusedofpoliQcisingthea

    naturaldisaster,butscien6stssaythe

    linkbetweenglobalwarmingandfiresisestablishedanddemands

    ac6on.

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    Ageeditorial:MrBandthasavalidpoint.Ratherthan

    poliQcisingonhisownbehalf,

    hiscriQcismsdrawnecessary

    a*enQontotheAbbo*

    government'sownpoliQcising:

    theswifulfilmentofitselecQonpromisestodowngrade

    theprominenceofsciencein

    generalandtheeffectsof

    climatechangeinparQcular.

    Tuesday22October2013

    Whatisabsolutelyclearisthescienceistelling

    usthatthereareincreasingheatwavesinAsia,Europe,andAustralia;thatthesewillconQnue;

    thattheywillconQnueintheirintensityandin

    theirfrequency.

    ''Climatechangeisknowntoalterthelikelihood

    ofincreasedwildfiresizesandfrequencies.

    Combinedwithmorestressontrees''this

    suggestsanincreasinglikelihoodofmore

    prevalentfiredisturbances,ashasrecentlybeen

    observed.

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    Wednesday23October2013

    AlGoreonABC7.30Report

    ItremindsmeofpoliQcianshereintheUnited

    Stateswhogotalotofsupportfromthetobacco

    companiesandwhoarguedtothepublicthat

    therewasabsolutelynoconnecQonbetweensmokingcigare*esandlungcancerthescience

    showsclearlythatwhenthetemperaturegoes

    upandwhenthevegetaQonandsoilsdryout,

    thenwildfiresbecomemorepervasiveandmore

    dangerous.That'snotmesayingit,that'swhat

    thescienQficcommunitysays.

    PrimeMinisterTonyAbbo

    breakshissilencea_ersix

    days

    PrimeMinisterTonyAbbo*

    hasdismissedthecommentsof

    aseniorUNofficialwhosaid

    therewasaclearlinkbetween

    bushfiresandclimatechange,arguing''fireisapartofthe

    Australianexperience''.

    HerejectedMsFigueres'

    assessmentthataclearlink

    existedbetweenbushfiresandclimatechange,sayingshewas

    Talkingthroughherhat.

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    Thursday24October2013

    MrHuntsaidhe''lookedupwhatWikipedia''

    saidaboutbushfires.

    EnvironmentMinisterrepliedthatshe(BBC

    interviewer)wastakingaprivate

    conversaQonoutofcontext.Helateradded

    thattheCoali6onhadtaken''scienceoffthe

    table''whenitcametoclimatechange.

    ''We'renotdeba6ngit,''hesaid.

    Governmentdoesnotwantto

    debateclimatescienceand

    impacts,because:

    EveryQmetheyopentheir

    mouths,theysoundlike

    denialists.

    TheirposiQonisnot

    credible. Ithelpsconnectthedots.

    Climateadvocacystrategy:

    Presspublicdiscussionon

    climatescienceandimpacts

    ateveryopportunity. Connectthedots.

    Callthegovernmentoutfor

    climatedenialismandfailing

    toprotecttheAustralian

    wayoflife.

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    JohnHowardonhowextremeevents,

    connec6ngthedotsandleadershipchanged

    theclimatedebate

    AsHowardwroteinhisautobiographyLazarusRising,inthe

    spaceofseveralweeks,commencinginOctober2006,four

    separateeventscametogethertopushtheclimatechange

    concernsoftheAustraliancommunitytohigherlevelsthanever

    before.InVictoriathebushfireseasonstartedearly;the

    droughtaffecQnglargeareasofeasternAustralialingeredonfromoutsideAustraliacamethecontribuQonsofAlGoreand

    SirNicholasStern.

    Thesefoureventscoincidedanddrama6callyincreasedthe

    focusonglobalwarminginAustraliaIconcludedthatthe

    governmentwouldneedtoshi_itsposi6ononclimate

    change.

    Governmentis

    desperateto

    keepbushfires

    andclimate

    changeapart

    because

    theycant

    winifpeople

    connectthedots!

    Thursday

    24October2013

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    Summingup

    Climatechangeisachoicebetweenincreasingharm,or

    acQngtorestoresafety.

    Governmentisdesperateforpeoplenottoconnectthe

    dots,tonottalkaboutclimatechangeimpactsandscience.

    ThestoryshouldbeaboutpeopleinAustraliaandnot

    distantplaces,aboutnowandnotjustthedistantfuture,

    aboutconnecQngthedotsbetweenextremeeventsandglobalwarming.

    Itisastoryaboutrecordheatandbushfires,abouthow

    familyandfriendswillliveinaho*erandmoreextreme

    world,abouthowaretreaQngcoastlinewillaffectwhere

    weliveandwork,astoryabouthealthandwell-being,

    aboutincreasingfoodandwaterinsecurity,andthemore

    difficultlifethatchildrenandgrandchildrenwillface.

    Informeddiscussiononclimatechangeimpactscanturnthe

    tableondenialistprimeminister

    Atsomepointin

    thefuture,every

    (climate)recordwill

    bebroken,butthat

    doesn'tprove

    anythingabout

    climatechange

    PrimeMinister

    TonyAbbo,

    HeraldSun,

    25October2013