1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond...

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1 Structural Responses – Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Preliminary Results and Observations Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant Professor Assistant Professor California State University, Chico California State University, Chico And other members of PEER GMSM Working Group And other members of PEER GMSM Working Group
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Page 1: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

1

Structural Responses – Preliminary Structural Responses – Preliminary

Results and ObservationsResults and Observations

PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007

Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PECurt B. Haselton, PhD, PE

Assistant ProfessorAssistant Professor

California State University, ChicoCalifornia State University, Chico

And other members of PEER GMSM Working GroupAnd other members of PEER GMSM Working Group

Page 2: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

2

Our Purpose for the Next Two HoursOur Purpose for the Next Two Hours

The purpose of convening everyone to review the

preliminary results is:

To ensure that we correctly interpret the various methods.

To obtain feedback and insights from the group.

Our approach to interpreting the results

Our specific observations

Other things that we may need to think about or address

To begin the process of coming to a collective consensus.

The product of this study will be more useful to the ground

motion community if we can all establish a group

agreement on the results.

Note: Our dialogue will be ongoing, but this is our only

formal meeting before the preparation of the first PEER

report.

Page 3: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

3

OutlineOutline

Introduction to the results figures and the

available results files

Brief overview of preliminary results (15

minute overview before starting detailed

discussion)

Detailed review of preliminary results and

observations (1.5 hours of review and group

discussion)

Page 4: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

4

9980 9980 99809980 9981 99819981 9981 9982 99829982 9982 99839983 9983 99839984 9984 9984 99840

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0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

12

3

4

1

23

4 1 2

3

4

1

23 4 1

2

3

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2/7 1/7 2/7 1/7 1/7 3/7 1/7 1/7 1/7 1/7 2/7 2/7

Method Tag

ED

P:

IDR

max

AllS

torie

sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets

Point of Comparison

Counted MedianData Point

Introduction to Results FiguresIntroduction to Results Figures

The point of comparison (POC) is used to compare predictions to, as discussed previously.

The counted median response includes collapsed records (assuming they have a

very large MIDR).

A blue point at the top of the figure indicates collapsed record(s).

The number indicates the ratio of collapsed records to total records in the

set.

The method tags correspond to the numbers in the index Excel file.

There is one entry per ground motion set (typically four per method) Each blue data point is the response

from a single scaled ground motion record.

Numbers next to the “+” indicate that the sets are ranked, with #1 being better than

#4.

Page 5: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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To facilitate your detailed review, the following

files are available (on GMSM website, and

available USB drives):

Index of methods (provides method names/numbers)

Acceleration spectra for each method and ground

motion set

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]

Scenario: M7, Method: 10, Building: C, Record Set: 1, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Materials Available to Facilitate Detailed Materials Available to Facilitate Detailed ReviewReview

Page 6: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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To facilitate your detailed review, the following

files are available (on GMSM website, and

available USB drives):

Index of methods (provides method names/numbers)

Acceleration spectra for each method and ground

motion set

Results for Buildings B, C, and D

PowerPoint overview of results (should not need

today)

Materials Available to Facilitate Detailed Materials Available to Facilitate Detailed ReviewReview

Page 7: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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To facilitate your detailed review, the following

files are available (on GMSM website, and

available USB drives):

Index of methods (provides method names/numbers)

Acceleration spectra for each method and ground

motion set

Results for Buildings B, C, and D

PowerPoint overview of results (should not need

today)

Excel file giving median predictions and comparison

to POC

Excel files giving detailed results for each method

Materials Available to Facilitate Detailed Materials Available to Facilitate Detailed ReviewReview

Page 8: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Overview of Structural Response ResultsOverview of Structural Response Results The overall study includes:

Four buildings (4-story frame, 12-story frame and wall, 20-story frame)

Four objectives (response conditioned on M, R and response conditioned on

M, R, and a +2σ Sa value)

We will focus on the results for:

Building C (20-story RC frame), with comparisons to Building D (12-story RC

wall) and Building A (4-story RC frame)

Objective 4 (predicting median MIDR for a +2σ motion).

Review results by classification:

Sa(T1) methods

Methods based on matching the uniform hazard spectrum (UHS)

Methods based on matching the conditional mean spectrum (CMS)

Methods using a proxy for spectral shape (e.g. ε)

Inelastic response based methods

Page 9: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Overview: Sa(TOverview: Sa(T11) Scaling) Scaling

Median = 0.028

Ratio to POC: Bldg C

Median: 1.48

c.o.v.: 0.34

Minimum: 1.07

Maximum: 2.74

POC = 0.019

High

This is the coefficient of

variation of the median

predictions.

Page 10: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Overview: Matching the UHSOverview: Matching the UHS

9980 9980 9980 9980 9981 9981 9981 9981 9982 9982 9982 9982 9983 9983 9983 99830

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0.08

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3

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23

4 1 2

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1

23 4

2/7 1/7 2/7 1/7 1/7 3/7 1/7 1/7 1/7 1/7

Method Tag

ED

P:

IDR

max

AllS

torie

sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets

Point of Comparison

Counted MedianData Point

Figure 1 of 3

Median = 0.024POC = 0.019

Page 11: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Overview: Matching the UHSOverview: Matching the UHS

9984 9984 9984 9984 9985 9985 9985 9985 9986 9986 9986 9986 9987 9987 9987 99870

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

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0.08

12

3

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1

2

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41

23

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1

2

3

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2/7 2/7 2/7 1/7 2/7 2/7 2/7

Method Tag

ED

P:

IDR

max

AllS

torie

sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets

Point of Comparison

Counted MedianData Point

Figure 2 of 3

Median = 0.024POC = 0.019

Page 12: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Overview: Matching the UHSOverview: Matching the UHS

9988 9988 9988 9988 9989 9989 9975 9975 9975 9975 9976 9976 9976 99760

0.01

0.02

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0.04

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0.08

1

2 3 4

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1

2 3

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1

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2/7 3/7 1/7 1/7 1/7 2/7 3/7

Method Tag

ED

P:

IDR

max

AllS

torie

sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets

Point of Comparison

Counted MedianData Point

Figure 3 of 3

Median = 0.024POC = 0.019

Ratio to POC: Bldg C

Median: 1.26

c.o.v.: 0.23

Minimum: 0.91

Maximum: 2.07

Page 13: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Overview: Matching Conditional Mean Overview: Matching Conditional Mean SpectrumSpectrum

10 10 10 10 15 24 24 45 45 45 450

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

12 3 4

1

2

1

2

3

4

Method Tag

ED

P:

IDR

max

AllS

torie

sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets

Point of Comparison

Counted MedianData Point

Median = 0.019POC = 0.019

Ratio to POC: Bldg C

Median: 1.01

c.o.v.: 0.20

Minimum: 0.76

Maximum: 1.51

Page 14: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Overview: Matching Conditional Mean Overview: Matching Conditional Mean SpectrumSpectrum

10 10 10 10 15 24 24 45 45 45 450

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

12 3 4

1

2

1

2

3

4

Method Tag

ED

P:

IDR

max

AllS

torie

sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets

Point of Comparison

Counted MedianData Point

Median = 0.019POC = 0.019

Ratio to POC: Bldg C

Median: 1.01

c.o.v.: 0.20

Minimum: 0.76

Maximum: 1.51

Ratio to POC: Bldg C

Median: 1.23

c.o.v.: 0.24

Minimum: 0.91

Maximum: 2.07

Matching UHS Matching CMS

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]

Scenario: M7, Method: 10, Building: C, Record Set: 3, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]

Scenario: M7, Method: 9989, Building: C, Record Set: 2, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Matching UHS Matching CMS

Page 15: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Overview: Proxy for Spectral Shape (e.g. Overview: Proxy for Spectral Shape (e.g. ε)ε)

57 57 57 57 58 58 58 58 30 31 31 31 31 20 20 20 200

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

1

2

3 41

3

4

1 2 3

4

1/7 1/7 1/7 5/7 3/7 3/7 10/28 2/7 3/7 1/7 1/7

Method Tag

ED

P:

IDR

max

AllS

torie

sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets

Point of Comparison

Counted MedianData Point

Median = 0.026POC = 0.019

Ratio to POC: Bldg C

Median: 1.37

c.o.v.: 0.46

Minimum: 0.79

Maximum: 3.55

Ratio to POC: Bldg C

Median: 1.15

c.o.v.: 0.30

Minimum: 0.79

Maximum: 1.88

With 57-58 removed All methodsCMS-matching

Ratio to POC: Bldg C

Median: 1.01

c.o.v.: 0.20

Minimum: 0.76

Maximum: 1.51

This 15% higher

prediction is also associate with a higher collapse rate.

CMS (and POC): 0/28

Proxy: 6/28

Page 16: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Overview: Inelastic-Based MethodsOverview: Inelastic-Based Methods

A

A

A

a

Median = 0.022

Ratio to POC: Bldg C

Median: 1.14

c.o.v.: 0.19

Minimum: 0.76

Maximum: 1.58

Higher prediction again associated with higher collapse

rate.

CMS methods (and POC): 0/28

Inelastic methods: 3/28

POC = 0.019

Page 17: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Overview of Structural Response ResultsOverview of Structural Response Results Results summary by method classification for Building C (median MIDR/POC):

Sa(T1) and UHS methods results in highly variable predictions which tend to be

larger than the POC.

Methods that match the CMS agree well with the POC.

CMS Proxy methods and Inelastic methods:

On average, results in response 15% higher than the POC.

This seems to also come with a higher collapse rate.

**These observations are an average or all methods in the class; some of the

individual methods have predictions nearly the same as the POC.

Sa(T1) UHS CMS *Proxy (i.e. ε) Inelastic

Median: 1.48 1.26 1.01 1.15 1.14

c.o.v.: 0.34 0.23 0.20 0.30 0.19

Minimum: 1.07 0.91 0.76 0.79 0.76

Maximum: 2.74 2.07 1.51 1.88 1.58

* With methods 57 and 58 removed.

Page 18: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Overview of Structural Response ResultsOverview of Structural Response Results Comparison of results for Buildings A and D

Sa(T1) methods: Tend to over-predict response, predictions depend

on spectra shape and contributions of inelastic and higher-mode

responses.

Matching CMS: Predictions close to POC in all cases.

Proxy methods: Consistent at 10% above the POC.

Inelastic methods: 15% above the POC for frame buildings (C and A),

and right at POC for shear wall (Building D).

Median(MIDR/POC)Building T1

(sec)Sa(T1) UHS CMS

*Proxy (i.e. ε)

Inelastic

Building C (20-story RC frame) 2.63 1.48 1.26 1.01 1.15 1.14

Building A (4-story RC frame) 1.00 1.48 -- 1.05 1.05 1.17

Building D (12-story RC wall) 1.20 1.17 -- 0.94 1.09 1.00

* With methods 57 and 58 removed. Averages: 1.38 1.26 1.00 1.10 1.10

Page 19: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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OutlineOutline

Introduction to the results figures and the

available results files

Brief overview of preliminary results (15

minute overview before starting detailed

discussion)

Detailed review of preliminary results and

observations (1.5 hours of review and

group discussion)

Page 20: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling) Scaling

Overall Median = 0.028

Ratio to POC: Bldg C

Median: 1.48

c.o.v.: 0.34

Minimum: 1.07

Maximum: 2.74

POC = 0.019

Sa(T1) scaling (#4, 53)

Median = 0.037

Median = 0.022

ATC-58 30% draft Method (#67)

Page 21: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling (#4, 53)) Scaling (#4, 53)

Median = 0.037

POC = 0.019

Median MIDR / POC:

- Building C (T1 = 2.63s): 1.94

Sa(T1) scaling (#4, 53)

Bin: [0 < R < 20km, 6.75 < M < 7.25]

Records in bin tend to have an average far-field spectral shape (higher

frequency content at shorter periods).

Page 22: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling (#4, 53)) Scaling (#4, 53)

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]Scenario: M7, Method: 4, Building: C, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 3,4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Median MIDR / POC:

- Building C (T1 = 2.63s): 1.94

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]

Scenario: M7, Method: 4, Building: C, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 3,4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Possible higher modes

Page 23: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling (#4, 53)) Scaling (#4, 53)

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]Scenario: M7, Method: 4, Building: D, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 3,4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Median MIDR / POC:

- Building C (T1 = 2.63s): 1.94

- Building D (T1 = 1.2s): 1.13

Spectrum lowered due to scaling at 1.2s

rather than 2.63s.

Spectrum matches UHS at T1, but overall spectrum is 40-45%

lower.

Page 24: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling (#4, 53)) Scaling (#4, 53)

Observations/Comments:

Building C response is over-predicted 70% more than Building D,

and Building A over-prediction is 13% higher than D.

Comparing C (20-story frame; T1 = 2.63s) and D (12-story wall ; T1

= 1.2s):

Scaling period and spectral shape lead to a 40-45% difference in

the overall position of the spectrum.

For Building C, the spectrum falls off a bit more slowly at T > T1,

causing higher inelastic response.

Higher mode effects may also increase Building C response.

Comparing D and A:

Similar fundamental periods, but Building D has less structural

damage, so period elongation is less drastic.

Median MIDR / POC:

- Building C (T1 = 2.63s): 1.94

- Building D (T1 = 1.2s): 1.13

- Building A (T1 = 1.0s): 1.28

Page 25: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling (#67)) Scaling (#67)

Median = 0.022

POC = 0.019

ATC-58 30% draft Method (#67)

[0 < R < 15km, M > 6.5]

Spectral shape differs from the previous methods – pulsy motions with more spectral content from

0.5-3.5 sec

Median MIDR / POC:

- Building C (T1 = 2.63s): 1.17

Page 26: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling (#67)) Scaling (#67)

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]Scenario: M7, Method: 67, Building: C, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Median MIDR / POC:

- Building C (T1 = 2.63s): 1.17

Page 27: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

27

Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling (#67)) Scaling (#67)

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]Scenario: M7, Method: 67, Building: D, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Median MIDR / POC:

- Building C (T1 = 2.63s): 1.17

- Building D (T1 = 1.2s): 1.39

- Building A: (T1 = 1.0s): 1.48

Spectral shape is nearly the same as the UHS (for 0.5-3.5s).

Therefore spectral values are nearly unchanged when scaled to either Sa(1.2s) or Sa(2.63s).

However, spectral values at T > T1 are much greater for T1 =

1.0-1.2s.

Building A has higher response than D due to higher levels of

damage.

Page 28: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling (#67)) Scaling (#67)

Summary for Sa(T1):

MIDR/POC ranges from 1.11 to 1.94 for the various

methods and Buildings.

With Sa(T1) scaling, we scale all of the spectra to the

UHS at a given period. This causes predictions to be

highly variable and depend on:

The spectral shape of the record bin, as compared to the

UHS.

The period used for scaling.

These items affect the shape of the spectrum away

from T1, which affect inelastic response.

Page 29: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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A Detailed Look at Results of A Detailed Look at Results of

Building Code-Based Record Building Code-Based Record

SelectionSelection

PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007

Jack W. Baker, PhDJack W. Baker, PhD

Assistant ProfessorAssistant Professor

Stanford University Stanford University

And other members of PEER GMSM Working GroupAnd other members of PEER GMSM Working Group

Page 30: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

30

IBC (ASCE 7-05) building code IBC (ASCE 7-05) building code requirementsrequirements

From ASCE 7-05, section 16.1.3.1:

“Each ground motion shall consist of a horizontal acceleration history, selected from an actual recorded event”

“obtained from records of events having magnitudes, fault distance, and source mechanisms that are consistent with those that control the maximum considered earthquake.”

“The ground motions shall be scaled such that the average value of the 5 percent damped response spectra for the suite of motions is not less than the design response spectrum for the site for periods ranging from 0.2T to 1.5T “

Page 31: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Number of ground motionsNumber of ground motions

From ASCE 7-05, section 16.1.4:

“If at least seven ground motions are analyzed, the design member forces … and the design story drift … is permitted to be taken respectively as the average of the … values determined from the analyses”

Page 32: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Site-specific design spectrumSite-specific design spectrumFrom ASCE 7-05, section 21.2.1:

“The probabilistic MCE spectral response accelerations shall be taken as the spectral response accelerations represented by a 5 percent damped acceleration response spectrum having a 2 percent probability of exceedance within a 50-yr. period.”

Here we use the +2 σ response spectrum at all periods, to facilitate comparison and since that has a ~2% probability of exceedance, given the scenario magnitude and distance.

The 150%-of-median deterministic cap is ignored here to allow comparison with other results.

Page 33: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Selection approachSelection approach

Start with the NGA ground motion library (7038 horizontal components)

Eliminate records not meeting specified criteria (e.g., magnitude and distance ranges)

Select the 28 records that most closely matched the target spectra after scaling

If the average of the 28 spectra fell significantly below the target spectrum, perform some additional minor scaling

Page 34: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

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Case 1 (Method Tag 9980)Case 1 (Method Tag 9980)No M/R/Mech. Restrictions

No filter frequency restriction

7038 records available

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [s]

Sp

ect

ral a

cce

lera

tion

[g]

Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s

0.2 T1 1.5 T1

Page 35: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

3510

-110

010

110

-2

10-1

100

101

Period [s]

Sp

ect

ral a

cce

lera

tion

[g]

Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s

Case 2 (Method Tag 9981)Case 2 (Method Tag 9981)No M/R/Mech. Restrictions

Restricted filter frequencies

3454 records available (50%)

Page 36: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

3610

-110

010

110

-2

10-1

100

101

Period [s]

Sp

ect

ral a

cce

lera

tion

[g]

Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s

Case 3 (Method Tag 9982)Case 3 (Method Tag 9982)6.5 < M < 7.6

No Dist./Mech. Restrictions

1122 records available (16%)

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [s]

Spe

ctra

l acc

eler

atio

n [g

]

Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s

Set #4

Page 37: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

3710

-110

010

110

-2

10-1

100

101

Period [s]

Sp

ect

ral a

cce

lera

tion

[g]

Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s

Case 4 (Method Tag 9983)Case 4 (Method Tag 9983)0 < R < 30 km

No Mag./Mech. Restrictions

856 records available (12%)

Page 38: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

3810

-110

010

110

-2

10-1

100

101

Period [s]

Sp

ect

ral a

cce

lera

tion

[g]

Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s

Case 5 (Method Tag 9984)Case 5 (Method Tag 9984)Strike slip events only

No Mag./Dist. Restrictions

978 records available (14%)

Page 39: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

3910

-110

010

110

-2

10-1

100

101

Period [s]

Sp

ect

ral a

cce

lera

tion

[g]

Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s

Case 6 (Method Tag 9985)Case 6 (Method Tag 9985)6.5 < M < 7.6,

0 < R < 30 km

Strike slip events only

Target spectrum not always exceeded

132 records available (2%)

Page 40: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

4010

-110

010

110

-2

10-1

100

101

Period [s]

Sp

ect

ral a

cce

lera

tion

[g]

Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [s]

Sp

ect

ral a

cce

lera

tion

[g]

Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s

Case 7 (Method Tag 9986)Case 7 (Method Tag 9986)6.5 < M < 7.6

0 < R < 30 km

Strike slip events only

Target spectrum exceeded

132 records available (2%)

Page 41: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

4110

-110

010

110

-2

10-1

100

101

Period [s]

Spe

ctra

l acc

eler

atio

n [g

]

Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [s]

Spe

ctra

l acc

eler

atio

n [g

]

Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s

Case 8 (Method Tag 9975)Case 8 (Method Tag 9975)6.5 < M < 7.6

0 < R < 30 km

Strike slip events only

Max scale factor = 4

132 records available (2%)

Page 42: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

4210

-110

010

110

-2

10-1

100

101

Period [s]

Spe

ctra

l acc

eler

atio

n [g

]

Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [s]

Spe

ctra

l acc

eler

atio

n [g

]

Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s

Case 9 (Method Tag 9976)Case 9 (Method Tag 9976)

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [s]

Spe

ctra

l acc

eler

atio

n [g

]

Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s

Set #4

6.5 < M < 7.6

0 < R < 30 km

Strike slip events only

Max scale factor = 2

132 records available (2%)

Page 43: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

4310

-110

010

110

-2

10-1

100

101

Period [s]

Sp

ect

ral a

cce

lera

tion

[g]

Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [s]

Sp

ect

ral a

cce

lera

tion

[g]

Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s

Case 10 (Method Tag 9989)Case 10 (Method Tag 9989)6.5 < M < 7.6

0 < R < 30 km

Strike slip events only

Max one record per event

9 records available (0.1%)

Page 44: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

44

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

Period (s)

Sa

(g)

M = 7.5, R = 30 kmM = 6.5, R = 10 km

ObservationsObservations

Are the magnitude/distance/mechanism restrictions needed?

We know they affect spectral shape, but we are already specifying a target spectral shape

Median response spectra from events with differing magnitudes and distances

Page 45: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

45

ObservationsObservations

Are scale factor restrictions needed?

They don’t seem to have an effect. Again, this may result from the target spectrum requirement

Note that no such restriction is given in the code

Is the one-record-per-event restriction needed?

It doesn’t seem to have an effect, and severely limits the available number of records

Note that no such restriction is given in the code

Page 46: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

46

ObservationsObservations

Is the filter frequency limitation needed?

Presumably over-filtered motions will not match the design spectrum, so the target spectrum should ensure we have records with proper filtering (assuming that 0.2T to 1.5T are the only periods we need to worry about)

Note that no such restriction is given in the code

0 5 10 15 20 25 300

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

7000

Maximum usable period [s]

Nu

mb

er

of r

eco

rd c

om

po

ne

nts

ava

ilab

le

Page 47: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

47

ConclusionsConclusions

Responses seem to be controlled by the target spectral shape, rather than the other selection criteria

This suggests that the choice of the target spectrum is a more important consideration than the choice of additional criteria

Benefit of the additional criteria: more “insurance” that you have appropriate record properties

Disadvantage of the additional criteria: a reduced number of records to chose from, meaning that you will not be able to match the target spectrum as closely

Page 48: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

48

Structural Responses – Preliminary Structural Responses – Preliminary

Results and ObservationsResults and Observations

PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007

Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PECurt B. Haselton, PhD, PE

Assistant ProfessorAssistant Professor

California State University, ChicoCalifornia State University, Chico

And other members of PEER GMSM Working GroupAnd other members of PEER GMSM Working Group

Page 49: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

49

Detailed Review: Matching CMSDetailed Review: Matching CMS

10 10 10 10 15 24 24 45 45 45 450

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

12 3 4

1

2

1

2

3

4

Method Tag

ED

P:

IDR

max

AllS

torie

sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets

Point of Comparison

Counted MedianData Point

Median = 0.019POC = 0.019

Ratio to POC: Bldg C

Median: 1.01

c.o.v.: 0.20

Minimum: 0.76

Maximum: 1.51

Page 50: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

50

Detailed Review: Matching CMSDetailed Review: Matching CMS

10 10 10 10 15 24 24 45 45 45 450

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

12 3 4

1

2

1

2

3

4

Method Tag

ED

P:

IDR

max

AllS

torie

sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets

Point of Comparison

Counted MedianData Point

Median = 0.019POC = 0.019

Ratio to POC: Bldg C

Median: 1.01

c.o.v.: 0.20

Minimum: 0.76

Maximum: 1.51

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]

Scenario: M7, Method: 10, Building: C, Record Set: 1, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

All methods aim to match the CMS one algorithm or another.

The predictions are all close to the POC, on average.

Comparison to Buildings A and D:

Trends are similar.

Page 51: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

51

Detailed Review: Matching CMSDetailed Review: Matching CMS

10 10 10 10 15 24 24 45 45 45 450

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

12 3 4

1

2

1

2

3

4

Method Tag

ED

P:

IDR

max

AllS

torie

sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets

Point of Comparison

Counted MedianData Point

Overall Median = 0.019POC = 0.019

10: CMS with Scaling [Baker]

Median = 0.0189

15 :Genetic Algorithm [Alimoradi, Naeim]

Median = 0.0192

24 :Semi-Automated Selection and Scaling

[Rathje, Kottke]

Median = 0.0197

45 :Design Ground Motion Library [Wang, Power,

Youngs]

Median = 0.0199

Page 52: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

52

Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#10, 15, Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#10, 15, 24)24)

10 10 10 10 15 24 24 45 45 45 450

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

12 3 4

1

2

1

2

3

4

Method Tag

ED

P:

IDR

max

AllS

torie

sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets

Point of Comparison

Counted MedianData Point

POC = 0.019

Methods 10, 15, and 24:

Predictions agree with the POC consistently.

Page 53: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

53

Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)

10 10 10 10 15 24 24 45 45 45 450

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

12 3 4

1

2

1

2

3

4

Method Tag

ED

P:

IDR

max

AllS

torie

sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets

Point of Comparison

Counted MedianData Point

POC = 0.019

Average predictions agree well with the POC

[median = 0.0199].

However, there is more scatter in the prediction.

Let’s looks at the spectra to see if that explains it.

Page 54: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

54

Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]Scenario: M7, Method: 45, Building: C, Record Set: 1, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Record Set: 1

Median MIDR = 0.014

Page 55: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

55

Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]Scenario: M7, Method: 45, Building: C, Record Set: 2, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Record Set: 2

Median MIDR = 0.029

Page 56: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

56

Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]Scenario: M7, Method: 45, Building: C, Record Set: 3, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Record Set: 3

Median MIDR = 0.021

Page 57: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

57

Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]Scenario: M7, Method: 45, Building: C, Record Set: 4, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Record Set: 4

Median MIDR = 0.015

Small differences in spectra at T > T1 seem to correlate with predictions.

However, similar variations are present in

spectra for method 10, and the predictions do not vary

as much.

Is there another reason for the differences in the

Method 45 predictions, which is not shown in the

acceleration spectra?

Page 58: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

58

Detailed Review: Matching CMSDetailed Review: Matching CMS

Summary of Observations (same for Buildings C, A, and D):

All methods give predictions close to POC.

Methods 10, 15, and 24:

Predictions agree with POC consistently.

Method 45:

Average prediction agrees with POC.

There is more prediction variability.

Variability may be partially explained by differences in the

spectra, but it looks like spectra do not full explain the

differences.

Explanations?

Page 59: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

59

Detailed Review: Proxy for Spectral ShapeDetailed Review: Proxy for Spectral Shape

57 57 57 57 58 58 58 58 30 31 31 31 31 20 20 20 200

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

1

2

3 41

3

4

1 2 3

4

1/7 1/7 1/7 5/7 3/7 3/7 10/28 2/7 3/7 1/7 1/7

Method Tag

ED

P:

IDR

max

AllS

torie

sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets

Point of Comparison

Counted MedianData Point

Overall Median = 0.022 (w/o 57-58)POC = 0.019

Ratio to POC: Bldg C

Median: 1.15

c.o.v.: 0.30

Minimum: 0.79

Maximum: 1.88

With 57-58 removed

57-58: Assume some error in our analyses, so excluded from

discussion for now.

Page 60: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

60

Detailed Review: Proxy for Spectral ShapeDetailed Review: Proxy for Spectral Shape

57 57 57 57 58 58 58 58 30 31 31 31 31 20 20 20 200

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

1

2

3 41

3

4

1 2 3

4

1/7 1/7 1/7 5/7 3/7 3/7 10/28 2/7 3/7 1/7 1/7

Method Tag

ED

P:

IDR

max

AllS

torie

sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets

Point of Comparison

Counted MedianData Point

POC = 0.019

57-58: Assume some error in our analyses, so excluded from

discussion for now.

30-31: ε Selection with Sde(T1) Scaling [Tothong and Luco]

Median MIDR = 0.022

20: Selection based on M, R, ε, and Site Class [Skyers, Stewart, Goulet]

Median MIDR = 0.021

Overall Median = 0.022 (w/o 57-58)

Comparison to Buildings A and D:

Trends are similar.

Page 61: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

61

Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape (#31)(#31)

57 57 57 57 58 58 58 58 30 31 31 31 31 20 20 20 200

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

1

2

3 41

3

4

1 2 3

4

1/7 1/7 1/7 5/7 3/7 3/7 10/28 2/7 3/7 1/7 1/7

Method Tag

ED

P:

IDR

max

AllS

torie

sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets

Point of Comparison

Counted MedianData Point

POC = 0.019

30-31: ε Selection with Sde(T1) Scaling [Tothong and Luco]

Median MIDR = 0.022

Look at spectra for method 31 (objective 4).

Try to explain variability in predictions.

Page 62: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

62

Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape (#31)(#31)

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]Scenario: M7, Method: 31, Building: C, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

All 4x7 records.

The spectra match the CMS well on average.

Let’s look at spectra of individual sets….

Page 63: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

63

Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape (#31)(#31)

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]Scenario: M7, Method: 31, Building: C, Record Set: 1, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Set 1

Page 64: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

64

Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape (#31)(#31)

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]Scenario: M7, Method: 31, Building: C, Record Set: 2, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Set 2

Page 65: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

65

Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape (#31)(#31)

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]Scenario: M7, Method: 31, Building: C, Record Set: 3, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Set 3

Page 66: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

66

Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape (#31)(#31)

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]Scenario: M7, Method: 31, Building: C, Record Set: 4, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Set 4

Observation:

All 28 records match CMS well, but individual

sets of 7 have scatter. This explains scatter in

predicted response.

Page 67: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

67

Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape (#20)(#20)

57 57 57 57 58 58 58 58 30 31 31 31 31 20 20 20 200

0.01

0.02

0.03

0.04

0.05

0.06

0.07

0.08

1

2

3 41

3

4

1 2 3

4

1/7 1/7 1/7 5/7 3/7 3/7 10/28 2/7 3/7 1/7 1/7

Method Tag

ED

P:

IDR

max

AllS

torie

sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets

Point of Comparison

Counted MedianData Point

POC = 0.019

20: Selection based on M, R, ε, and Site Class [Skyers, Stewart, Goulet]

Median MIDR = 0.021

Look at spectra…

Page 68: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

68

Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape (#20)(#20)

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]Scenario: M7, Method: 20, Building: C, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

All 4x7 records. Individual sets of 7 look similar.

The spectra do not match the CMS.

They are higher at T < T1 and lower at T > T1.

Even so, the predictions agree with the POC.

This is the case for this building, and also Buildings A and D.

Page 69: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

69

Detailed Review: Proxy for Spectral Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spectral Shape

Summary of Observations:

Predictions are typically 10-15% higher than POC on average.

Methods 30-31 [prediction is 15% above POC]:

Spectra match CMS on average, though each set of 7 has

variability.

Variability in spectra leads to variability in MIDR prediction.

Method 20 [prediction is 10% above POC]:

Spectra consistently do not match the CMS.

Even so, this gives consistent predictions that are close to

the POC. This also is true for Buildings D and A.

Why good/consistent predictions when the spectral shape is

distinctly different from CMS?

Page 70: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

70

Detailed Review: Inelastic-Based MethodsDetailed Review: Inelastic-Based Methods

A

A

A

aOverall Median = 0.022POC = 0.019

Ratio to POC: Bldg C

Median: 1.14

c.o.v.: 0.19

Minimum: 0.76

Maximum: 1.58

26-27: Sdi [Tothong and Luco]

Median MIDR = 0.024

6: Vector of Record Properties Identified by Proxy [Watson-Lamprey]

Median MIDR = 0.019

35-35: IM1I&2E [Luco and Tothong]

Median MIDR = 0.022

11: Inelastic Response Surface Scaling [Shantz]

Median MIDR = 0.023

Page 71: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

71

Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#26-Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#26-27)27)

A

A

A

aOverall Median = 0.022POC = 0.019

26-27: Sdi [Tothong and Luco]

Median MIDR = 0.024

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]

Scenario: M7, Method: 27, Building: C, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Page 72: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

72

Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#6)Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#6)

A

A

A

aOverall Median = 0.022POC = 0.019

6: Vector of Record Properties Identified by Proxy [Watson-Lamprey]

Median MIDR = 0.019

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]

Scenario: M7, Method: 6, Building: C, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Page 73: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

73

Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#34-Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#34-35)35)

A

A

A

aOverall Median = 0.022POC = 0.019

35-35: IM1I&2E [Luco and Tothong]

Median MIDR = 0.022

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]

Scenario: M7, Method: 35, Building: C, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Page 74: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

74

Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#11)Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#11)

A

A

A

aOverall Median = 0.022POC = 0.019

11: Inelastic Response Surface Scaling [Shantz]

Median MIDR = 0.023

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]Scenario: M7, Method: 11, Building: C, Record Set: 4, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Sets 3-4: Includes consideration of 2nd mode

Page 75: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

75

Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#11)Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#11)

A

A

A

aOverall Median = 0.022POC = 0.019

11: Inelastic Response Surface Scaling [Shantz]

Median MIDR = 0.023

10-1

100

101

10-2

10-1

100

101

Period [sec]

Spe

ctra

l Acc

eler

atio

n [g

]

Scenario: M7, Method: 11, Building: C, Record Set: 1, Obj.: 4

Median + 2 Prediction

Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set

Individual Records

Sets 1-2: No consideration of 2nd mode

Page 76: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

76

Detailed Review: Inelastic MethodsDetailed Review: Inelastic Methods

Summary of Observations:

Predictions are typically 15% higher than the

POC, on average.

Not all spectra pass through Sa(T1) target.

Consideration of higher mode seems to help

prediction.

Page 77: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

77

Summary of ResultsSummary of Results

Comparison of results for Buildings A and D

Median(MIDR/POC)Building T1

(sec)Sa(T1) UHS CMS

*Proxy (i.e. ε)

Inelastic

Building C (20-story RC frame) 2.63 1.48 1.26 1.01 1.15 1.14

Building A (4-story RC frame) 1.00 1.48 -- 1.05 1.05 1.17

Building D (12-story RC wall) 1.20 1.17 -- 0.94 1.09 1.00

* With methods 57 and 58 removed. Averages: 1.38 1.26 1.00 1.10 1.10

Page 78: 1 Structural Responses – Preliminary Results and Observations PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007 Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PE Assistant.

78

DiscussionDiscussion To reiterate the purpose of this time:

To obtain feedback and insights from the group (preliminary

results, approach, etc.).

To ensure that we correctly interpret the various methods.

To begin the process of coming to a collective consensus.

Discussion/Comments/Questions/Suggestions:

What are your thoughts on the results and possible explanations

for what we have seen?

What are we missing, or what have we not bee considering that we

should?

What do we need to address as we to refine and write-up the

findings of this study?

Other comments, suggestions, questions, discussion?