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1
Structural Responses – Preliminary Structural Responses – Preliminary
Results and ObservationsResults and Observations
PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007
Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PECurt B. Haselton, PhD, PE
Assistant ProfessorAssistant Professor
California State University, ChicoCalifornia State University, Chico
And other members of PEER GMSM Working GroupAnd other members of PEER GMSM Working Group
2
Our Purpose for the Next Two HoursOur Purpose for the Next Two Hours
The purpose of convening everyone to review the
preliminary results is:
To ensure that we correctly interpret the various methods.
To obtain feedback and insights from the group.
Our approach to interpreting the results
Our specific observations
Other things that we may need to think about or address
To begin the process of coming to a collective consensus.
The product of this study will be more useful to the ground
motion community if we can all establish a group
agreement on the results.
Note: Our dialogue will be ongoing, but this is our only
formal meeting before the preparation of the first PEER
report.
3
OutlineOutline
Introduction to the results figures and the
available results files
Brief overview of preliminary results (15
minute overview before starting detailed
discussion)
Detailed review of preliminary results and
observations (1.5 hours of review and group
discussion)
4
9980 9980 99809980 9981 99819981 9981 9982 99829982 9982 99839983 9983 99839984 9984 9984 99840
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
12
3
4
1
23
4 1 2
3
4
1
23 4 1
2
3
4
2/7 1/7 2/7 1/7 1/7 3/7 1/7 1/7 1/7 1/7 2/7 2/7
Method Tag
ED
P:
IDR
max
AllS
torie
sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets
Point of Comparison
Counted MedianData Point
Introduction to Results FiguresIntroduction to Results Figures
The point of comparison (POC) is used to compare predictions to, as discussed previously.
The counted median response includes collapsed records (assuming they have a
very large MIDR).
A blue point at the top of the figure indicates collapsed record(s).
The number indicates the ratio of collapsed records to total records in the
set.
The method tags correspond to the numbers in the index Excel file.
There is one entry per ground motion set (typically four per method) Each blue data point is the response
from a single scaled ground motion record.
Numbers next to the “+” indicate that the sets are ranked, with #1 being better than
#4.
5
To facilitate your detailed review, the following
files are available (on GMSM website, and
available USB drives):
Index of methods (provides method names/numbers)
Acceleration spectra for each method and ground
motion set
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]
Scenario: M7, Method: 10, Building: C, Record Set: 1, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
Materials Available to Facilitate Detailed Materials Available to Facilitate Detailed ReviewReview
6
To facilitate your detailed review, the following
files are available (on GMSM website, and
available USB drives):
Index of methods (provides method names/numbers)
Acceleration spectra for each method and ground
motion set
Results for Buildings B, C, and D
PowerPoint overview of results (should not need
today)
Materials Available to Facilitate Detailed Materials Available to Facilitate Detailed ReviewReview
7
To facilitate your detailed review, the following
files are available (on GMSM website, and
available USB drives):
Index of methods (provides method names/numbers)
Acceleration spectra for each method and ground
motion set
Results for Buildings B, C, and D
PowerPoint overview of results (should not need
today)
Excel file giving median predictions and comparison
to POC
Excel files giving detailed results for each method
Materials Available to Facilitate Detailed Materials Available to Facilitate Detailed ReviewReview
8
Overview of Structural Response ResultsOverview of Structural Response Results The overall study includes:
Four buildings (4-story frame, 12-story frame and wall, 20-story frame)
Four objectives (response conditioned on M, R and response conditioned on
M, R, and a +2σ Sa value)
We will focus on the results for:
Building C (20-story RC frame), with comparisons to Building D (12-story RC
wall) and Building A (4-story RC frame)
Objective 4 (predicting median MIDR for a +2σ motion).
Review results by classification:
Sa(T1) methods
Methods based on matching the uniform hazard spectrum (UHS)
Methods based on matching the conditional mean spectrum (CMS)
Methods using a proxy for spectral shape (e.g. ε)
Inelastic response based methods
9
Overview: Sa(TOverview: Sa(T11) Scaling) Scaling
Median = 0.028
Ratio to POC: Bldg C
Median: 1.48
c.o.v.: 0.34
Minimum: 1.07
Maximum: 2.74
POC = 0.019
High
This is the coefficient of
variation of the median
predictions.
10
Overview: Matching the UHSOverview: Matching the UHS
9980 9980 9980 9980 9981 9981 9981 9981 9982 9982 9982 9982 9983 9983 9983 99830
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
12
3
4
1
23
4 1 2
3
4
1
23 4
2/7 1/7 2/7 1/7 1/7 3/7 1/7 1/7 1/7 1/7
Method Tag
ED
P:
IDR
max
AllS
torie
sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets
Point of Comparison
Counted MedianData Point
Figure 1 of 3
Median = 0.024POC = 0.019
11
Overview: Matching the UHSOverview: Matching the UHS
9984 9984 9984 9984 9985 9985 9985 9985 9986 9986 9986 9986 9987 9987 9987 99870
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
12
3
4
1
2
3
41
23
4
1
2
3
4
2/7 2/7 2/7 1/7 2/7 2/7 2/7
Method Tag
ED
P:
IDR
max
AllS
torie
sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets
Point of Comparison
Counted MedianData Point
Figure 2 of 3
Median = 0.024POC = 0.019
12
Overview: Matching the UHSOverview: Matching the UHS
9988 9988 9988 9988 9989 9989 9975 9975 9975 9975 9976 9976 9976 99760
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
1
2 3 4
12
1
2 3
4
1
2
3
4
2/7 3/7 1/7 1/7 1/7 2/7 3/7
Method Tag
ED
P:
IDR
max
AllS
torie
sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets
Point of Comparison
Counted MedianData Point
Figure 3 of 3
Median = 0.024POC = 0.019
Ratio to POC: Bldg C
Median: 1.26
c.o.v.: 0.23
Minimum: 0.91
Maximum: 2.07
13
Overview: Matching Conditional Mean Overview: Matching Conditional Mean SpectrumSpectrum
10 10 10 10 15 24 24 45 45 45 450
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
12 3 4
1
2
1
2
3
4
Method Tag
ED
P:
IDR
max
AllS
torie
sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets
Point of Comparison
Counted MedianData Point
Median = 0.019POC = 0.019
Ratio to POC: Bldg C
Median: 1.01
c.o.v.: 0.20
Minimum: 0.76
Maximum: 1.51
14
Overview: Matching Conditional Mean Overview: Matching Conditional Mean SpectrumSpectrum
10 10 10 10 15 24 24 45 45 45 450
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
12 3 4
1
2
1
2
3
4
Method Tag
ED
P:
IDR
max
AllS
torie
sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets
Point of Comparison
Counted MedianData Point
Median = 0.019POC = 0.019
Ratio to POC: Bldg C
Median: 1.01
c.o.v.: 0.20
Minimum: 0.76
Maximum: 1.51
Ratio to POC: Bldg C
Median: 1.23
c.o.v.: 0.24
Minimum: 0.91
Maximum: 2.07
Matching UHS Matching CMS
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]
Scenario: M7, Method: 10, Building: C, Record Set: 3, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]
Scenario: M7, Method: 9989, Building: C, Record Set: 2, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
Matching UHS Matching CMS
15
Overview: Proxy for Spectral Shape (e.g. Overview: Proxy for Spectral Shape (e.g. ε)ε)
57 57 57 57 58 58 58 58 30 31 31 31 31 20 20 20 200
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
1
2
3 41
3
4
1 2 3
4
1/7 1/7 1/7 5/7 3/7 3/7 10/28 2/7 3/7 1/7 1/7
Method Tag
ED
P:
IDR
max
AllS
torie
sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets
Point of Comparison
Counted MedianData Point
Median = 0.026POC = 0.019
Ratio to POC: Bldg C
Median: 1.37
c.o.v.: 0.46
Minimum: 0.79
Maximum: 3.55
Ratio to POC: Bldg C
Median: 1.15
c.o.v.: 0.30
Minimum: 0.79
Maximum: 1.88
With 57-58 removed All methodsCMS-matching
Ratio to POC: Bldg C
Median: 1.01
c.o.v.: 0.20
Minimum: 0.76
Maximum: 1.51
This 15% higher
prediction is also associate with a higher collapse rate.
CMS (and POC): 0/28
Proxy: 6/28
16
Overview: Inelastic-Based MethodsOverview: Inelastic-Based Methods
A
A
A
a
Median = 0.022
Ratio to POC: Bldg C
Median: 1.14
c.o.v.: 0.19
Minimum: 0.76
Maximum: 1.58
Higher prediction again associated with higher collapse
rate.
CMS methods (and POC): 0/28
Inelastic methods: 3/28
POC = 0.019
17
Overview of Structural Response ResultsOverview of Structural Response Results Results summary by method classification for Building C (median MIDR/POC):
Sa(T1) and UHS methods results in highly variable predictions which tend to be
larger than the POC.
Methods that match the CMS agree well with the POC.
CMS Proxy methods and Inelastic methods:
On average, results in response 15% higher than the POC.
This seems to also come with a higher collapse rate.
**These observations are an average or all methods in the class; some of the
individual methods have predictions nearly the same as the POC.
Sa(T1) UHS CMS *Proxy (i.e. ε) Inelastic
Median: 1.48 1.26 1.01 1.15 1.14
c.o.v.: 0.34 0.23 0.20 0.30 0.19
Minimum: 1.07 0.91 0.76 0.79 0.76
Maximum: 2.74 2.07 1.51 1.88 1.58
* With methods 57 and 58 removed.
18
Overview of Structural Response ResultsOverview of Structural Response Results Comparison of results for Buildings A and D
Sa(T1) methods: Tend to over-predict response, predictions depend
on spectra shape and contributions of inelastic and higher-mode
responses.
Matching CMS: Predictions close to POC in all cases.
Proxy methods: Consistent at 10% above the POC.
Inelastic methods: 15% above the POC for frame buildings (C and A),
and right at POC for shear wall (Building D).
Median(MIDR/POC)Building T1
(sec)Sa(T1) UHS CMS
*Proxy (i.e. ε)
Inelastic
Building C (20-story RC frame) 2.63 1.48 1.26 1.01 1.15 1.14
Building A (4-story RC frame) 1.00 1.48 -- 1.05 1.05 1.17
Building D (12-story RC wall) 1.20 1.17 -- 0.94 1.09 1.00
* With methods 57 and 58 removed. Averages: 1.38 1.26 1.00 1.10 1.10
19
OutlineOutline
Introduction to the results figures and the
available results files
Brief overview of preliminary results (15
minute overview before starting detailed
discussion)
Detailed review of preliminary results and
observations (1.5 hours of review and
group discussion)
20
Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling) Scaling
Overall Median = 0.028
Ratio to POC: Bldg C
Median: 1.48
c.o.v.: 0.34
Minimum: 1.07
Maximum: 2.74
POC = 0.019
Sa(T1) scaling (#4, 53)
Median = 0.037
Median = 0.022
ATC-58 30% draft Method (#67)
21
Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling (#4, 53)) Scaling (#4, 53)
Median = 0.037
POC = 0.019
Median MIDR / POC:
- Building C (T1 = 2.63s): 1.94
Sa(T1) scaling (#4, 53)
Bin: [0 < R < 20km, 6.75 < M < 7.25]
Records in bin tend to have an average far-field spectral shape (higher
frequency content at shorter periods).
22
Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling (#4, 53)) Scaling (#4, 53)
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]Scenario: M7, Method: 4, Building: C, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 3,4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
Median MIDR / POC:
- Building C (T1 = 2.63s): 1.94
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]
Scenario: M7, Method: 4, Building: C, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 3,4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
Possible higher modes
23
Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling (#4, 53)) Scaling (#4, 53)
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]Scenario: M7, Method: 4, Building: D, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 3,4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
Median MIDR / POC:
- Building C (T1 = 2.63s): 1.94
- Building D (T1 = 1.2s): 1.13
Spectrum lowered due to scaling at 1.2s
rather than 2.63s.
Spectrum matches UHS at T1, but overall spectrum is 40-45%
lower.
24
Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling (#4, 53)) Scaling (#4, 53)
Observations/Comments:
Building C response is over-predicted 70% more than Building D,
and Building A over-prediction is 13% higher than D.
Comparing C (20-story frame; T1 = 2.63s) and D (12-story wall ; T1
= 1.2s):
Scaling period and spectral shape lead to a 40-45% difference in
the overall position of the spectrum.
For Building C, the spectrum falls off a bit more slowly at T > T1,
causing higher inelastic response.
Higher mode effects may also increase Building C response.
Comparing D and A:
Similar fundamental periods, but Building D has less structural
damage, so period elongation is less drastic.
Median MIDR / POC:
- Building C (T1 = 2.63s): 1.94
- Building D (T1 = 1.2s): 1.13
- Building A (T1 = 1.0s): 1.28
25
Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling (#67)) Scaling (#67)
Median = 0.022
POC = 0.019
ATC-58 30% draft Method (#67)
[0 < R < 15km, M > 6.5]
Spectral shape differs from the previous methods – pulsy motions with more spectral content from
0.5-3.5 sec
Median MIDR / POC:
- Building C (T1 = 2.63s): 1.17
26
Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling (#67)) Scaling (#67)
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]Scenario: M7, Method: 67, Building: C, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
Median MIDR / POC:
- Building C (T1 = 2.63s): 1.17
27
Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling (#67)) Scaling (#67)
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]Scenario: M7, Method: 67, Building: D, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
Median MIDR / POC:
- Building C (T1 = 2.63s): 1.17
- Building D (T1 = 1.2s): 1.39
- Building A: (T1 = 1.0s): 1.48
Spectral shape is nearly the same as the UHS (for 0.5-3.5s).
Therefore spectral values are nearly unchanged when scaled to either Sa(1.2s) or Sa(2.63s).
However, spectral values at T > T1 are much greater for T1 =
1.0-1.2s.
Building A has higher response than D due to higher levels of
damage.
28
Detailed Review: Sa(TDetailed Review: Sa(T11) Scaling (#67)) Scaling (#67)
Summary for Sa(T1):
MIDR/POC ranges from 1.11 to 1.94 for the various
methods and Buildings.
With Sa(T1) scaling, we scale all of the spectra to the
UHS at a given period. This causes predictions to be
highly variable and depend on:
The spectral shape of the record bin, as compared to the
UHS.
The period used for scaling.
These items affect the shape of the spectrum away
from T1, which affect inelastic response.
29
A Detailed Look at Results of A Detailed Look at Results of
Building Code-Based Record Building Code-Based Record
SelectionSelection
PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007
Jack W. Baker, PhDJack W. Baker, PhD
Assistant ProfessorAssistant Professor
Stanford University Stanford University
And other members of PEER GMSM Working GroupAnd other members of PEER GMSM Working Group
30
IBC (ASCE 7-05) building code IBC (ASCE 7-05) building code requirementsrequirements
From ASCE 7-05, section 16.1.3.1:
“Each ground motion shall consist of a horizontal acceleration history, selected from an actual recorded event”
“obtained from records of events having magnitudes, fault distance, and source mechanisms that are consistent with those that control the maximum considered earthquake.”
“The ground motions shall be scaled such that the average value of the 5 percent damped response spectra for the suite of motions is not less than the design response spectrum for the site for periods ranging from 0.2T to 1.5T “
31
Number of ground motionsNumber of ground motions
From ASCE 7-05, section 16.1.4:
“If at least seven ground motions are analyzed, the design member forces … and the design story drift … is permitted to be taken respectively as the average of the … values determined from the analyses”
32
Site-specific design spectrumSite-specific design spectrumFrom ASCE 7-05, section 21.2.1:
“The probabilistic MCE spectral response accelerations shall be taken as the spectral response accelerations represented by a 5 percent damped acceleration response spectrum having a 2 percent probability of exceedance within a 50-yr. period.”
Here we use the +2 σ response spectrum at all periods, to facilitate comparison and since that has a ~2% probability of exceedance, given the scenario magnitude and distance.
The 150%-of-median deterministic cap is ignored here to allow comparison with other results.
33
Selection approachSelection approach
Start with the NGA ground motion library (7038 horizontal components)
Eliminate records not meeting specified criteria (e.g., magnitude and distance ranges)
Select the 28 records that most closely matched the target spectra after scaling
If the average of the 28 spectra fell significantly below the target spectrum, perform some additional minor scaling
34
Case 1 (Method Tag 9980)Case 1 (Method Tag 9980)No M/R/Mech. Restrictions
No filter frequency restriction
7038 records available
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [s]
Sp
ect
ral a
cce
lera
tion
[g]
Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s
0.2 T1 1.5 T1
3510
-110
010
110
-2
10-1
100
101
Period [s]
Sp
ect
ral a
cce
lera
tion
[g]
Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s
Case 2 (Method Tag 9981)Case 2 (Method Tag 9981)No M/R/Mech. Restrictions
Restricted filter frequencies
3454 records available (50%)
3610
-110
010
110
-2
10-1
100
101
Period [s]
Sp
ect
ral a
cce
lera
tion
[g]
Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s
Case 3 (Method Tag 9982)Case 3 (Method Tag 9982)6.5 < M < 7.6
No Dist./Mech. Restrictions
1122 records available (16%)
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [s]
Spe
ctra
l acc
eler
atio
n [g
]
Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s
Set #4
3710
-110
010
110
-2
10-1
100
101
Period [s]
Sp
ect
ral a
cce
lera
tion
[g]
Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s
Case 4 (Method Tag 9983)Case 4 (Method Tag 9983)0 < R < 30 km
No Mag./Mech. Restrictions
856 records available (12%)
3810
-110
010
110
-2
10-1
100
101
Period [s]
Sp
ect
ral a
cce
lera
tion
[g]
Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s
Case 5 (Method Tag 9984)Case 5 (Method Tag 9984)Strike slip events only
No Mag./Dist. Restrictions
978 records available (14%)
3910
-110
010
110
-2
10-1
100
101
Period [s]
Sp
ect
ral a
cce
lera
tion
[g]
Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s
Case 6 (Method Tag 9985)Case 6 (Method Tag 9985)6.5 < M < 7.6,
0 < R < 30 km
Strike slip events only
Target spectrum not always exceeded
132 records available (2%)
4010
-110
010
110
-2
10-1
100
101
Period [s]
Sp
ect
ral a
cce
lera
tion
[g]
Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [s]
Sp
ect
ral a
cce
lera
tion
[g]
Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s
Case 7 (Method Tag 9986)Case 7 (Method Tag 9986)6.5 < M < 7.6
0 < R < 30 km
Strike slip events only
Target spectrum exceeded
132 records available (2%)
4110
-110
010
110
-2
10-1
100
101
Period [s]
Spe
ctra
l acc
eler
atio
n [g
]
Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [s]
Spe
ctra
l acc
eler
atio
n [g
]
Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s
Case 8 (Method Tag 9975)Case 8 (Method Tag 9975)6.5 < M < 7.6
0 < R < 30 km
Strike slip events only
Max scale factor = 4
132 records available (2%)
4210
-110
010
110
-2
10-1
100
101
Period [s]
Spe
ctra
l acc
eler
atio
n [g
]
Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [s]
Spe
ctra
l acc
eler
atio
n [g
]
Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s
Case 9 (Method Tag 9976)Case 9 (Method Tag 9976)
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [s]
Spe
ctra
l acc
eler
atio
n [g
]
Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s
Set #4
6.5 < M < 7.6
0 < R < 30 km
Strike slip events only
Max scale factor = 2
132 records available (2%)
4310
-110
010
110
-2
10-1
100
101
Period [s]
Sp
ect
ral a
cce
lera
tion
[g]
Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [s]
Sp
ect
ral a
cce
lera
tion
[g]
Scaled response spectra, T1 = 2.63s
Case 10 (Method Tag 9989)Case 10 (Method Tag 9989)6.5 < M < 7.6
0 < R < 30 km
Strike slip events only
Max one record per event
9 records available (0.1%)
44
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
Period (s)
Sa
(g)
M = 7.5, R = 30 kmM = 6.5, R = 10 km
ObservationsObservations
Are the magnitude/distance/mechanism restrictions needed?
We know they affect spectral shape, but we are already specifying a target spectral shape
Median response spectra from events with differing magnitudes and distances
45
ObservationsObservations
Are scale factor restrictions needed?
They don’t seem to have an effect. Again, this may result from the target spectrum requirement
Note that no such restriction is given in the code
Is the one-record-per-event restriction needed?
It doesn’t seem to have an effect, and severely limits the available number of records
Note that no such restriction is given in the code
46
ObservationsObservations
Is the filter frequency limitation needed?
Presumably over-filtered motions will not match the design spectrum, so the target spectrum should ensure we have records with proper filtering (assuming that 0.2T to 1.5T are the only periods we need to worry about)
Note that no such restriction is given in the code
0 5 10 15 20 25 300
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
Maximum usable period [s]
Nu
mb
er
of r
eco
rd c
om
po
ne
nts
ava
ilab
le
47
ConclusionsConclusions
Responses seem to be controlled by the target spectral shape, rather than the other selection criteria
This suggests that the choice of the target spectrum is a more important consideration than the choice of additional criteria
Benefit of the additional criteria: more “insurance” that you have appropriate record properties
Disadvantage of the additional criteria: a reduced number of records to chose from, meaning that you will not be able to match the target spectrum as closely
48
Structural Responses – Preliminary Structural Responses – Preliminary
Results and ObservationsResults and Observations
PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007PEER GMSM Program Workshop, Richmond CA, October 29, 2007
Curt B. Haselton, PhD, PECurt B. Haselton, PhD, PE
Assistant ProfessorAssistant Professor
California State University, ChicoCalifornia State University, Chico
And other members of PEER GMSM Working GroupAnd other members of PEER GMSM Working Group
49
Detailed Review: Matching CMSDetailed Review: Matching CMS
10 10 10 10 15 24 24 45 45 45 450
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
12 3 4
1
2
1
2
3
4
Method Tag
ED
P:
IDR
max
AllS
torie
sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets
Point of Comparison
Counted MedianData Point
Median = 0.019POC = 0.019
Ratio to POC: Bldg C
Median: 1.01
c.o.v.: 0.20
Minimum: 0.76
Maximum: 1.51
50
Detailed Review: Matching CMSDetailed Review: Matching CMS
10 10 10 10 15 24 24 45 45 45 450
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
12 3 4
1
2
1
2
3
4
Method Tag
ED
P:
IDR
max
AllS
torie
sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets
Point of Comparison
Counted MedianData Point
Median = 0.019POC = 0.019
Ratio to POC: Bldg C
Median: 1.01
c.o.v.: 0.20
Minimum: 0.76
Maximum: 1.51
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]
Scenario: M7, Method: 10, Building: C, Record Set: 1, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
All methods aim to match the CMS one algorithm or another.
The predictions are all close to the POC, on average.
Comparison to Buildings A and D:
Trends are similar.
51
Detailed Review: Matching CMSDetailed Review: Matching CMS
10 10 10 10 15 24 24 45 45 45 450
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
12 3 4
1
2
1
2
3
4
Method Tag
ED
P:
IDR
max
AllS
torie
sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets
Point of Comparison
Counted MedianData Point
Overall Median = 0.019POC = 0.019
10: CMS with Scaling [Baker]
Median = 0.0189
15 :Genetic Algorithm [Alimoradi, Naeim]
Median = 0.0192
24 :Semi-Automated Selection and Scaling
[Rathje, Kottke]
Median = 0.0197
45 :Design Ground Motion Library [Wang, Power,
Youngs]
Median = 0.0199
52
Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#10, 15, Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#10, 15, 24)24)
10 10 10 10 15 24 24 45 45 45 450
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
12 3 4
1
2
1
2
3
4
Method Tag
ED
P:
IDR
max
AllS
torie
sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets
Point of Comparison
Counted MedianData Point
POC = 0.019
Methods 10, 15, and 24:
Predictions agree with the POC consistently.
53
Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)
10 10 10 10 15 24 24 45 45 45 450
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
12 3 4
1
2
1
2
3
4
Method Tag
ED
P:
IDR
max
AllS
torie
sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets
Point of Comparison
Counted MedianData Point
POC = 0.019
Average predictions agree well with the POC
[median = 0.0199].
However, there is more scatter in the prediction.
Let’s looks at the spectra to see if that explains it.
54
Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]Scenario: M7, Method: 45, Building: C, Record Set: 1, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
Record Set: 1
Median MIDR = 0.014
55
Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]Scenario: M7, Method: 45, Building: C, Record Set: 2, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
Record Set: 2
Median MIDR = 0.029
56
Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]Scenario: M7, Method: 45, Building: C, Record Set: 3, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
Record Set: 3
Median MIDR = 0.021
57
Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)Detailed Review: Matching CMS (#45)
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]Scenario: M7, Method: 45, Building: C, Record Set: 4, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
Record Set: 4
Median MIDR = 0.015
Small differences in spectra at T > T1 seem to correlate with predictions.
However, similar variations are present in
spectra for method 10, and the predictions do not vary
as much.
Is there another reason for the differences in the
Method 45 predictions, which is not shown in the
acceleration spectra?
58
Detailed Review: Matching CMSDetailed Review: Matching CMS
Summary of Observations (same for Buildings C, A, and D):
All methods give predictions close to POC.
Methods 10, 15, and 24:
Predictions agree with POC consistently.
Method 45:
Average prediction agrees with POC.
There is more prediction variability.
Variability may be partially explained by differences in the
spectra, but it looks like spectra do not full explain the
differences.
Explanations?
59
Detailed Review: Proxy for Spectral ShapeDetailed Review: Proxy for Spectral Shape
57 57 57 57 58 58 58 58 30 31 31 31 31 20 20 20 200
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
1
2
3 41
3
4
1 2 3
4
1/7 1/7 1/7 5/7 3/7 3/7 10/28 2/7 3/7 1/7 1/7
Method Tag
ED
P:
IDR
max
AllS
torie
sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets
Point of Comparison
Counted MedianData Point
Overall Median = 0.022 (w/o 57-58)POC = 0.019
Ratio to POC: Bldg C
Median: 1.15
c.o.v.: 0.30
Minimum: 0.79
Maximum: 1.88
With 57-58 removed
57-58: Assume some error in our analyses, so excluded from
discussion for now.
60
Detailed Review: Proxy for Spectral ShapeDetailed Review: Proxy for Spectral Shape
57 57 57 57 58 58 58 58 30 31 31 31 31 20 20 20 200
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
1
2
3 41
3
4
1 2 3
4
1/7 1/7 1/7 5/7 3/7 3/7 10/28 2/7 3/7 1/7 1/7
Method Tag
ED
P:
IDR
max
AllS
torie
sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets
Point of Comparison
Counted MedianData Point
POC = 0.019
57-58: Assume some error in our analyses, so excluded from
discussion for now.
30-31: ε Selection with Sde(T1) Scaling [Tothong and Luco]
Median MIDR = 0.022
20: Selection based on M, R, ε, and Site Class [Skyers, Stewart, Goulet]
Median MIDR = 0.021
Overall Median = 0.022 (w/o 57-58)
Comparison to Buildings A and D:
Trends are similar.
61
Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape (#31)(#31)
57 57 57 57 58 58 58 58 30 31 31 31 31 20 20 20 200
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
1
2
3 41
3
4
1 2 3
4
1/7 1/7 1/7 5/7 3/7 3/7 10/28 2/7 3/7 1/7 1/7
Method Tag
ED
P:
IDR
max
AllS
torie
sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets
Point of Comparison
Counted MedianData Point
POC = 0.019
30-31: ε Selection with Sde(T1) Scaling [Tothong and Luco]
Median MIDR = 0.022
Look at spectra for method 31 (objective 4).
Try to explain variability in predictions.
62
Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape (#31)(#31)
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]Scenario: M7, Method: 31, Building: C, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
All 4x7 records.
The spectra match the CMS well on average.
Let’s look at spectra of individual sets….
63
Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape (#31)(#31)
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]Scenario: M7, Method: 31, Building: C, Record Set: 1, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
Set 1
64
Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape (#31)(#31)
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]Scenario: M7, Method: 31, Building: C, Record Set: 2, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
Set 2
65
Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape (#31)(#31)
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]Scenario: M7, Method: 31, Building: C, Record Set: 3, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
Set 3
66
Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape (#31)(#31)
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]Scenario: M7, Method: 31, Building: C, Record Set: 4, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
Set 4
Observation:
All 28 records match CMS well, but individual
sets of 7 have scatter. This explains scatter in
predicted response.
67
Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape (#20)(#20)
57 57 57 57 58 58 58 58 30 31 31 31 31 20 20 20 200
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
0.06
0.07
0.08
1
2
3 41
3
4
1 2 3
4
1/7 1/7 1/7 5/7 3/7 3/7 10/28 2/7 3/7 1/7 1/7
Method Tag
ED
P:
IDR
max
AllS
torie
sResults for Scenario: M7, Building: C, All GM Subsets
Point of Comparison
Counted MedianData Point
POC = 0.019
20: Selection based on M, R, ε, and Site Class [Skyers, Stewart, Goulet]
Median MIDR = 0.021
Look at spectra…
68
Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spect. Shape (#20)(#20)
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]Scenario: M7, Method: 20, Building: C, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
All 4x7 records. Individual sets of 7 look similar.
The spectra do not match the CMS.
They are higher at T < T1 and lower at T > T1.
Even so, the predictions agree with the POC.
This is the case for this building, and also Buildings A and D.
69
Detailed Review: Proxy for Spectral Shape Detailed Review: Proxy for Spectral Shape
Summary of Observations:
Predictions are typically 10-15% higher than POC on average.
Methods 30-31 [prediction is 15% above POC]:
Spectra match CMS on average, though each set of 7 has
variability.
Variability in spectra leads to variability in MIDR prediction.
Method 20 [prediction is 10% above POC]:
Spectra consistently do not match the CMS.
Even so, this gives consistent predictions that are close to
the POC. This also is true for Buildings D and A.
Why good/consistent predictions when the spectral shape is
distinctly different from CMS?
70
Detailed Review: Inelastic-Based MethodsDetailed Review: Inelastic-Based Methods
A
A
A
aOverall Median = 0.022POC = 0.019
Ratio to POC: Bldg C
Median: 1.14
c.o.v.: 0.19
Minimum: 0.76
Maximum: 1.58
26-27: Sdi [Tothong and Luco]
Median MIDR = 0.024
6: Vector of Record Properties Identified by Proxy [Watson-Lamprey]
Median MIDR = 0.019
35-35: IM1I&2E [Luco and Tothong]
Median MIDR = 0.022
11: Inelastic Response Surface Scaling [Shantz]
Median MIDR = 0.023
71
Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#26-Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#26-27)27)
A
A
A
aOverall Median = 0.022POC = 0.019
26-27: Sdi [Tothong and Luco]
Median MIDR = 0.024
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]
Scenario: M7, Method: 27, Building: C, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
72
Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#6)Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#6)
A
A
A
aOverall Median = 0.022POC = 0.019
6: Vector of Record Properties Identified by Proxy [Watson-Lamprey]
Median MIDR = 0.019
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]
Scenario: M7, Method: 6, Building: C, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
73
Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#34-Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#34-35)35)
A
A
A
aOverall Median = 0.022POC = 0.019
35-35: IM1I&2E [Luco and Tothong]
Median MIDR = 0.022
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]
Scenario: M7, Method: 35, Building: C, Record Set: Combined, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
74
Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#11)Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#11)
A
A
A
aOverall Median = 0.022POC = 0.019
11: Inelastic Response Surface Scaling [Shantz]
Median MIDR = 0.023
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]Scenario: M7, Method: 11, Building: C, Record Set: 4, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
Sets 3-4: Includes consideration of 2nd mode
75
Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#11)Detailed Review: Inelastic Methods (#11)
A
A
A
aOverall Median = 0.022POC = 0.019
11: Inelastic Response Surface Scaling [Shantz]
Median MIDR = 0.023
10-1
100
101
10-2
10-1
100
101
Period [sec]
Spe
ctra
l Acc
eler
atio
n [g
]
Scenario: M7, Method: 11, Building: C, Record Set: 1, Obj.: 4
Median + 2 Prediction
Conditional MeanMedian of Rec. Set
Individual Records
Sets 1-2: No consideration of 2nd mode
76
Detailed Review: Inelastic MethodsDetailed Review: Inelastic Methods
Summary of Observations:
Predictions are typically 15% higher than the
POC, on average.
Not all spectra pass through Sa(T1) target.
Consideration of higher mode seems to help
prediction.
77
Summary of ResultsSummary of Results
Comparison of results for Buildings A and D
Median(MIDR/POC)Building T1
(sec)Sa(T1) UHS CMS
*Proxy (i.e. ε)
Inelastic
Building C (20-story RC frame) 2.63 1.48 1.26 1.01 1.15 1.14
Building A (4-story RC frame) 1.00 1.48 -- 1.05 1.05 1.17
Building D (12-story RC wall) 1.20 1.17 -- 0.94 1.09 1.00
* With methods 57 and 58 removed. Averages: 1.38 1.26 1.00 1.10 1.10
78
DiscussionDiscussion To reiterate the purpose of this time:
To obtain feedback and insights from the group (preliminary
results, approach, etc.).
To ensure that we correctly interpret the various methods.
To begin the process of coming to a collective consensus.
Discussion/Comments/Questions/Suggestions:
What are your thoughts on the results and possible explanations
for what we have seen?
What are we missing, or what have we not bee considering that we
should?
What do we need to address as we to refine and write-up the
findings of this study?
Other comments, suggestions, questions, discussion?