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Transcript of 1 State Budget Outlook for the 2010-12 Biennium Prepared by James J. Regimbal, Jr. Fiscal Analytics,...
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*State Budget Outlook for the 2010-12 Biennium
Prepared byJames J. Regimbal, Jr.Fiscal Analytics, Ltd.February 2010
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*SFC Forecast-9.2%-2.7%
Chart1
13687
14834
15566
15767
14315
13921.8
14451.4
15181.4
Official
Budgeted General Fund Revenues in FY 2012 Less Than FY 2007 ($ mil.)
Education
FY 2010 Education Changes
FY 2010 Original Distribution incl. lottery$6,543,818,612
Technical: ADM, Sales Tax, Census, and Lottery Revisions($185,964,023)
Benefit & Compensation Changes($74,289,696)
Modify Lottery to Support GF Programs($55,805,042)
Set Support Position Cap at 4.03 Instructional Positions per Support Position($340,934,092)
Remove School Construction Grants($27,499,997)
Transfer Literary Fund Balances($55,000,000)
Use SFSF to Offset General Fund Programs($68,922,916)
Other September 8 Reductions($296,962)
Total Adopted FY10 K-12$5,735,105,885
Change from Original($808,712,727)
% Change from Original-12.4%
Appropriated ARRA Stimulus$365,187,984
Adopted Total with ARRA Funding$6,100,293,869
$ Change with ARRA Funding($443,524,743)
% Change with ARRA-6.8%
debt
Total Debt Service as a Percent of Revenue
20023.0%
20033.0%
20042.9%
20052.5%
20062.6%
20072.9%
20083.1%
20094.1%
20104.5%
20114.9%
20125.0%
20135.0%
20145.0%
20155.0%
20165.0%
20174.9%
20184.9%
debt
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Total Debt Service as a Percent of Revenue
Total Debt Service as a Percent of RevenuePrior to the August 19 Revenue Revisions
medicaid
Medicaid Forecast
Optimistic GrowthBaseline GrowthPessimistic Growth
1.071.071.091.091.111.11
20092010201120122011201220112012
GF$2,211.2$2,270.0$2,778.3$3,386.1$2,850.6$3,530.0$2,919.9$3,676.4
Special Rev$310.3$303.8$300.0$295.0$295.0$290.0$290.0$285.0
Federal$2,751.4$3,120.5$3,338.9$3,572.7$3,401.3$3,707.5$3,463.8$3,844.8
Federal ARRA369594322031903190
Extra FMAP097400400400
Total Federal$3,120.4$3,758.8$3,700.9$3,572.7
Total$5,641.9$6,335.7$6,779.2$7,253.7$6,905.9$7,527.4$7,032.6$7,806.2
12.3%7.00%7.00%
Baseline GF Increase$508.3$1,116.1$580.6$1,260.0$649.9$1,406.4
$1,624.3$1,840.5$2,056.3
Policy Changes329691
Baseline Scenario
FY 2010% GrowthFY 2011% GrowthFY 2012% Growth
14315.1Total GF Revenues$14,079.4-1.6%$14,618.03.8%$15,389.25.3%
406.5GF Transfers$415.32.2%$328.5-20.9%$339.03.2%
14721.6Total General Fund$14,494.7-1.5%$14,946.53.1%$15,728.25.2%
Direct Aid to K-12$5,148$5,208$5,227Legislative and Executive Dept's$94$94
Medicaid$2,220$2,778$3,386Judicial Dept.$407$407
Other Health & Human Serv.$1,619$1,600$1,600Planned GF Debt Service$645$684
Higher & Other Education$1,794$1,623$1,623Admin., Finance (w/o debt), & Tech$815$815
Public Safety$1,687$1,710$1,710Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$238$238
Car Tax Reimbursement$950$950$950K-12 Direct Aid$5,148$5,148
All Other*$2,225$2,290$2,329K-12 Rebenchmarking: 7-22-09 DOE draft$60$79
Total$15,643$16,159$16,825Higher & Other Education$1,623$1,623
Medicaid (7% annual growth)$2,781$3,388
Projected Budget Gap-$1,213-$1,097Other HHS$1,600$1,600
Public Safety$1,710$1,710
* Administration, finance, commerce & trade, natural resources, judicial, executive, legislative, capital outlayTransportation$41$41$2,240
Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Capital$1,000$1,000
$16,162
Optimistic Scenario
FY 2010%FY 2011%FY 2012%
14315.1Total GF Revenues$14,315.10.0%$15,145.45.8%$15,980.07.3%
406.5GF Transfers$415.32.2%$415.30.0%$415.30.0%
14721.6Total General Fund$14,730.40.1%$15,560.75.6%$16,395.35.4%
Change from Baseline$235.7$614.2$667.1$1,517.0
Direct Aid to K-12 (incl. Rebench)$5,148.2$5,208$5,227Legislative and Executive Dept's$94$94
Medicaid$2,220.4$2,778.3$3,386.1Judicial Dept.$407$407
Other Health & Human Serv.$1,618.6$1,600$1,600Planned GF Debt Service$645$684
Higher & Other Education$1,794.1$1,623$1,623Admin., Finance (w/o debt), & Tech$815$815
Public Safety$1,686.7$1,710$1,710Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$238$238
Car Tax Reimbursement$950.0$950.0$950.0K-12 Direct Aid$5,148$5,148
All Other*$2,224.7$2,290$2,329K-12 Rebenchmarking: 7-22-09 DOE draft$60$79
Total$15,642.7$16,159$16,825Higher & Other Education$1,623$1,623
Medicaid (7% annual growth)$2,781$3,388
Projected Budget Gap($598.3)($429.5)
* Administration, finance, commerce & trade, natural resources, judicial, executive, legislative, capital outlayOther HHS$1,600$1,600
Pessimistic Scenario
FY 2010%FY 2011%FY 2012%
14315.1Total GF Revenues$13,800.0-3.6%$14,050.01.8%$14,750.05.0%
406.5GF Transfers$415.32.2%$328.5-20.9%$339.03.2%
14721.6Total General Fund$14,215.3-1.5%$14,378.51.1%$15,089.04.9%
Change from Baseline-$279.4-$568.0-$639.2-$1,486.6
Direct Aid to K-12 (incl. Rebench)$5,148.2$5,208$5,227
Medicaid$2,220.4$2,778.3$3,386.1
Other Health & Human Serv.$1,618.6$1,600$1,600
Higher & Other Education$1,794.1$1,623$1,623
Public Safety$1,686.7$1,710$1,710
Car Tax Reimbursement$950.0$950.0$950.0
All Other*$2,224.7$2,290$2,329
Total$15,642.7$16,159$16,825
Projected Budget Gap($1,780.5)($1,735.8)
* Administration, finance, commerce & trade, natural resources, judicial, executive, legislative, capital outlay
FY 2011FY 2012
General Fund Revenues Baseline$14,947$15,728
General Fund Revenues Optimistic$15,561$16,395
General Fund Revenues Pessimistic$14,379$15,089
Appropriations:
Direct Aid to K-12 (incl. Rebench)$5,346$5,661$5,286$5,582137.8433.9296.1$315
Medicaid GF @ 7% utlization growth$2,817$3,427
Other Health & Human Serv.$1,600$1,600
Higher & Other Education$1,805$1,841$1,8061840.5218.5183
Public Safety$1,710$1,7101622.4
Car Tax Reimbursement$950$950
All Other *$2,245$2,275
Total$16,473$17,463
Projected Budget Gap Baseline($1,527)($1,735)($3,262)
Projected Budget Gap Optimistic($913)($1,068)($1,981)
Projected Budget Gap Pessimistic($2,095)($2,374)($4,469)
* Includes: legislative, executive, juduicial, admin & finance, commerce & trade,
natural resources, central appropriations, capital outlay
Medicaid Expenditure Forecast
($ Mil. at 7% Utilization growth)
FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012
GF$2,273$2,817$3,427
Special Rev$304$301$298
Federal*$3,759$3,661$3,528
Total Medicaid @ 7% Growth$6,336$6,779$7,254
Medicaid GF as Percent of Total GF15.7%18.8%21.8%
ARRA Stimulus Funding *$685$367$0
* Assumes FMAP remains at 61.59% thru CY 2010 than returns to 50% in CY 2011
ARRA Stimulus Funding ($ Mil.)
FY 10 ARRA*FY 11 ARRA*FY 11 GF BackfillFY 12 ARRAFY 12 GF Backfill
Medicaid$685$367$318$0$685
K-12 Public Education$434$296$138$0$434
Higher Education$219$36$183$0$219
Sheriffs (Bryne Justice)$23$0$23$0$23
SFSF General$109$0$109$0$109
Total$1,470$699$771$0$1,470
FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012
Current Services Medicaid GF Forecast @ 7% Growth$2,273$2,817$3,427
Total General Fund Revenues Baseline$14,495$14,947$15,728
Total General Fund Revenues Optimistic$14,730$15,561$16,395
Total General Fund Revenues Pessimistic$14,215$14,379$15,089
Medicaid GF as Percent of Total GF - Baseline15.7%18.8%21.8%
Medicaid GF as Percent of Total GF - Optimistic15.4%18.1%20.9%
Medicaid GF as Percent of Total GF - Pessimistic16.0%19.6%22.7%
Invoice - Analysis of 2010-12 Medicaid Budget Scenarios
Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association
ActivityHours
Prepare Chart for Initial Meeting1.5
Initial Meeting 9-162.0
Review and edit Ingram ARRA-FMAP Model1.5
Discuss Medicaid Forecast with Mike Tweedy - DPB1.0
Prepare Medicaid Budget Scenario Analysis7.0
Discuss Analysis with Chris B. on 9-281.0
Edit Scenarios and add detail1.0
Total Hours15.0
at $150/hour$2,250.00
Medicaid Enrollment % of Population - 2006Medicaid Expenditures - Per capita FY 07
United States20%$1,061319676.9301,290,332
Virginia11%$6394962.97,769,089
Colorado12%$60529284,842,770
Georgia19%$7367008.99,523,297
Indiana16%$8085120.26,335,862
Maryland14%$9675435.65,618,899
Massachussetts19%$1,592102956,467,915
North Carolina19%$1,0879829.59,041,594
Tennessee25%$1,1597129.56,149,116
Washington19%$8985790.86,449,511
Wisconsin18%$8824937.15,598,893
Virginia
65 and Over994,359
85 and Over135,299
65 and Over1,404,580
85 and Over172,393
65 and Over1,843,988
85 and Over250,366
Comparison of Medicaid FPL Eligibility Limits (%)
U.S MinimumVANCMDKYWVATN
Adults in Family412437116361773
Pregnant Women133185185250185150250
Children 0-1133133200300185150185
Children 1-5133133200300150133133
Children 6-18100133100300150100100
Aged 230,621,601 251,791,598 266,814,363 302,692,499 319,292,076 347,873,339 431,474,729 467,264,319 523,403,841 541,316,407 565,668,504 577,528,482 614,385,459
Blind 2,790,477 3,131,059 3,491,827 3,836,746 3,923,812 4,270,823 5,204,019 5,093,835 5,889,723 6,017,890 5,897,761 5,962,972 6,099,567
Disabled 187,844,438 210,554,108 240,453,526 274,960,775 296,141,410 330,334,873 412,084,931 484,553,903 578,808,373 615,826,006 709,576,129 750,770,926 795,087,159
Children Under 21 43,533,601 48,719,170 49,164,961 56,175,685 71,226,518 113,274,466 174,583,806 229,914,537 300,713,873 286,282,586 336,849,539 282,912,245 255,958,949
Adults with Children 54,358,090 64,736,362 72,190,501 81,796,322 94,225,959 112,899,857 164,351,694 203,477,654 240,076,230 220,111,584 223,373,578 173,130,753 158,881,968
Other Title XIX Recipients
2000200120022003200420052006
Blind/Disabled$1,132$1,261$1,327$1,450$1,629$1,767$1,928
Aged$698$775$795$829$947$1,006$960
Children$380$433$495$579$664$815$920
Adults$200$193$236$369$220$341$387
Total Expenditures$2,411$2,663$2,853$3,226$3,459$3,929$4,195
19992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012
Blind/Disabled882.2$942$1,101$1,112$1,190$1,628$1,767$1,928$1,960$2,123
Aged627.9$672$791$804$855$947$1,006$960$879$9160.610029309
Low Income Children268.4$245$307$301$309$637$784$887$925$1,009
Low Inc. Caretaker Adults69.6$58$59$54$52$154$252$285$285$311
Low Inc. Pregnant Women78.4$74$74$67$65$94$122$135$137$140
19992000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012
Total Expenditures2240.12498.22762.53355.633423593.34079.54428.94702.44981.4$5,390.0058396306.126810.6096
11.5%10.6%21.5%-0.4%7.5%13.5%8.6%6.2%5.9%8.2%8.3%8.0%8.0%9.3%
medicaid
0
0
0
0
0
0
Virginia
Growth in Virginia's Elderly Population
GF
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
Blind/Disabled
Aged
Children
Adults
Annual Expenditures for Medicaidby Eligibility Category
FY 10 cuts
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
00000
Blind/Disabled
Aged
Low Income Children
Low Inc. Pregnant Women
Low Inc. Caretaker Adults
Fiscal Year
$ mil.
Medicaid Expenditures by Identifiable Eligibility Category
Outlook
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Total Expenditures
Fiscal Year
$ Mil.
Total Medicaid Expenditures in Virginia(Actual Avg Growth Rate 1999-2009 = 9%)
FY 10 Changes
August 19, 2009 Interim Forecast
FY 2009 Actual% GrowthEst. FY 2010% GrowthFY 2011% GrowthFY 2012% Growth
10114.8Individual Income$9,481.1-6.3%$9,310.8-1.8%$9,838.25.7%$10,375.65.5%
3075.5Sales Taxes$2,903.4-5.6%$2,892.0-0.4%$2,783.1-3.8%$2,885.93.7%
807.9Corporate Income$648.0-19.8%$662.22.2%$781.918.1%$861.610.2%
$1,768.8All Other GF Revenues$1,282.6-27.5%$1,214.4-5.3%$1,214.80.0%$1,266.14.2%
15767Total GF Revenues$14,315.1-9.2%$14,079.4-1.6%$14,618.03.8%$15,389.25.3%
812.5GF Transfers$406.5-50.0%$415.32.2%$328.5-20.9%$339.03.2%
16579.5Total General Fund$14,721.6-11.2%$14,494.7-1.5%$14,946.53.1%$15,728.25.2%
FY 2009 Actual% GrowthEst. FY 2010% Growth
10114.8Individual Income$9,481.1-6.3%$9,310.8-1.8%
3075.5Sales Taxes$2,903.4-5.6%$2,892.0-0.4%
807.9Corporate Income$648.0-19.8%$662.22.2%
$1,768.8All Other GF Revenues$1,282.6-27.5%$1,214.4-5.3%
15767Total GF Revenues$14,315.1-9.2%$14,079.4-1.6%
812.5GF Transfers$406.5-50.0%$415.32.2%
16579.5Total General Fund$14,721.6-11.2%$14,494.7-1.5%15.0%
15.68%
FY 2010%FY 2011%FY 2012%
0.6613065898Individual Income$9,310.8-1.8%$9,838.25.7%$10,375.65.5%
0.2054064804Sales Taxes$2,892.0-0.4%$2,783.1-3.8%$2,885.93.7%
0.0470332543Corporate Income$662.22.2%$781.918.1%$861.610.2%
0.0862536756All Other GF Revenues$1,214.4-5.3%$1,214.80.0%$1,266.14.2%
Total GF Revenues$14,079.4-1.6%$14,618.03.8%$15,389.25.3%
GF Transfers$415.32.2%$328.5-20.9%$339.03.2%
Total General Fund$14,494.7-1.5%$14,946.53.1%$15,728.25.2%
Total GF Revenue
1977$1,923
1978$1,923
1979$2,115
1980$2,345
1981$2,580
1982$2,796
1983$2,976
1984$3,398
1985$3,791
1986$4,132
1987$4,590
1988$5,054
1989$5,479
1990$5,496
1991$5,472
1992$5,623Growth
1993$6,134% of GFForecast %% Thru Oct.
1994$6,503Individual Income Taxes66.1%-1.8%-8.6%
Withholding66.2%2.1%-3.9%
Estimated Payments13.7%-16.8%-24.8%
Refunds-13.8%-1.2%25.9%
1995$6,881Sales Taxes20.5%-0.4%-5.8%
1996$7,356Corporate Income Taxes4.7%2.2%-9.2%
1997$7,949All Other8.6%-5.3%-7.4%
1998$8,774Total GF Revenues100.0%-1.6%-7.6%
1999$9,703
2000$10,788
2001$11,105-7.4%
2002$10,679
2003$10,867FY 2009FY 2010
2004$11,918total$14,315.114079.4-1.6%
2005$13,6874848.9$4,482.0-7.6%0.3183374292
2006$14,834$9,466.2$9,597.41.4%
2007$15,566
2008$15,767
2009$14,315withholding$9,138.19331.82.1%
2010$14,079$2,981.92865.2-3.9%0.3070361559
2011$14,618$6,156.2$6,466.65.0%
2012$15,389
GF Revenue
1990$5,496
1991$5,472
1992$5,623
1993$6,134
1994$6,503
1995$6,881
1996$7,356
1997$7,949
1998$8,774
1999$9,703
2000$10,788
2001$11,105
2002$10,679
2003$10,867
2004$11,918
2005$13,687
2006$14,834
2007$15,566
2008$15,767
2009$14,315
2010$14,079
2011$14,618
2012$15,389
GF Revenue
2000$10,788
2001$11,105
2002$10,679
2003$10,867
2004$11,918
2005$13,687
2006$14,834
2007$15,566
2008$15,767
2009$14,315
2010$14,079
2011$14,618
2012$15,389
OfficialSFC
2005$13,687
2006$14,834
2007$15,566
2008$15,767
2009$14,315
2010$14,079$13,870
2011$14,618$14,327
2012$15,389$15,125
11.749
Official
2005$13,687
2006$14,834
2007$15,566
2008$15,767
2009$14,315
2010$13,922
2011$14,451
2012$15,181
FY 10 Changes
0
0
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0
0
0
0
0
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0
0
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0
0
0
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$ Mil.
GF Revenue
Fiscal Year
Virginia General Fund Revenue
Local Revenue
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
GF Revenue
Fiscal Year
$ Mil.
Virginia General Fund Revenue
spending cuts
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
00
Official
SFC
Fiscal Year
$ Mil.
GF Revenues Not Expected to Exceed FY 06 Until FY 12
forecast
Governor's FY 10 Reduction Plan
FY 10 GF Budget Shortfall ($ Millions)$1,350.5
Appropriation Changes:GF ReductionRevenue/TransfersTotal GF Savings
Legislative and Executive Dept's($1.6)$0.0$1.6
Judicial Dept.$0.0$0.0$0.0
Admin., Finance, & Tech($44.5)$11.0$55.5
Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.($20.8)$4.0$24.8
K-12 Direct Aid($171.7)$0.0$171.7
Higher & Other Education($209.8)$0.0$209.8
Medicaid($97.0)$0.0$97.0
Other HHS($106.2)$9.2$115.3
Public Safety($68.3)$62.3$130.6
Transportation($14.3)$3.2$17.5
Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Capital($120.2)$39.7$159.8
Total Appropriation Changes($854.3)$129.4$983.7
Misc. Transfers$18.4$18.4
Addititional Balances$68.1$68.1
Rainy Day Fund Withdrawal$283.0$283.0
Total GF Changes($854.3)$498.9$1,353.2
Revised GF Balance$2.7
* Major K-12 GF changes include ($ mil.):
Supplant with SFSF FY 11 funding($68.9)
Supplant GF with Literary Fund Balances($55.0)
Adjust sales tax revenue($37.6)
Supplant GF with Lottery funding($9.9)
AgencyProgramAmountLocal Aid General Fund Reductions for FY 10
State Bd of ElectionsGeneral registrar salaries(608,190)State Bd of Elections(739,267)
State Bd of ElectionsAssistance for electoral bd members(131,077)Compensation Bd(30,423,297)
Compensation BdDirectors of Finance reduction(310,651)Housing & Community Dev(2,457,314)
Compensation BdCommissioners of Revenue reduction(536,748)Agriculture(100,000)
Compensation BdTreasurers reduction(530,681)K-12 Direct Aid(171,677,628)
Compensation BdCircuit Court Clerks' reductdion(1,481,378)Library of VA(868,931)
Compensation BdCommonwealth's Attorneys reduction(2,522,576)Aging(500,000)
Compensation Bd4.7% cut on all offices(25,041,263)CSA(36,631,792)
AgricultureFarmland preservation funding(100,000)Rehabilitative Services(51,000)
Housing & Community DevSupplemental funding for PDCs(29,542)Health(1,008,014)
Housing & Community DevFunding for PDCs(212,759)Conservation & Recreation(588,455)
Direct aid to public educCareer Switcher Mentoring grants(32,939)Historic Resources(275,500)
Library of VAState aid for public libraries(868,931)DEQ(465,000)
AgingIndividual care services funding(500,000)DCJS(14,751,398)
CSAParental agreements(5,000,000)Juvenile Justice(2,521,052)
Rehabilitative ServicesLong term employment support services(51,000)Commission for the Arts(729,606)
HealthWater Supply Assistance Grant program(250,000)School efficiency review program(75,993)
Conservation & RecreationSoil & Water Conservation Districts(587,455)Jail diversion funding(300,000)
Historic ResourcesStatewide survey program(85,500)Community mental health programs(4,500,000)
DEQLocal water supply planning grants(10,000)CSB Community-based services(12,203,180)-0.0684378181
DEQLitter control grants(255,000)Close Roanoke City & Richmond City armories(115,000)
DCJSCourt appointed special advocate grants(145,657)Non-retirement contributions for teachers(8,110,000)
DCJSSexual assault crisis center awards(45,000)Retirement contributions for teachers(51,318,250)(59,428,250)-0.2552678858
DCJSVA Cares program(247,151)(340,410,677)
DCJSRegional training academy awards(640,983)
DCJSSchool Resource Officer awards(134,383)
Juvenile JusticeLocal progams pass-through(2,521,052)
Kaine PlanSUBTOTAL-DPB recognized cuts(42,879,916)
Housing & Community DevLynchburg Regional Research Center(150,000)
Housing & Community DevSoutheast Rural Community Action Pgm(126,248)
Housing & Community DevEnterprise Zone grants(1,250,000)
Housing & Community DevSouthwest VA water construction grants(238,765)
Housing & Community DevHomeless Intervention Prevention grants(450,000)
Direct aid to public educSFSF Switch(68,922,916)
Direct aid to public educSales tax revenue adjustment(37,600,000)
Direct aid to public educLiterary Fund balances(55,000,000)
Direct aid to public educLottery money(9,900,000)
Direct aid to public educSupplemental programs(221,773)
Commission for the ArtsGrant programs(729,606)
DPBSchool efficiency review program(75,993)
Behavioral HealthJail diversion funding(300,000)
Grants to LocalitiesCommunity mental health programs(4,500,000)
Grants to LocalitiesCSB Community-based services(12,203,180)
CSA(31,631,792)
HealthHealth Districts(500,000)
Health"4 for Life" -- local share(258,014)
DSSAuxiliary Grant program(400,000)
Conservation & RecreationRappahannock River Basin Commission(1,000)
Historic ResourcesCivil War Battlefield Preservation grant(190,000)
DEQVA Water Facilities Revolving Loan program(200,000)
Military AffairsClose Roanoke City & Richmond City armories(115,000)
DCJSAid to local police departments ('599')(13,672,607)
Central AppropriationsNon-retirement contributions for teachers(8,110,000)
Central AppropriationsRetirement contributions for teachers(51,318,250)
Other Local Aid ProgramsSUBTOTAL-Items not recognized by DPB(298,065,144)
SFC
Official
General Fund Revenues in FY 2012 Less Than FY 2007
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Local expend
GF Budget Outlook ($ Millions)
FY 2011FY 2012FY 2011FY 2012Biennium
Aug. 19 Revenue Forecast (3.8%, 5.3%)$14,618$15,389House Appropriations Committee:
Transfers$329$339Resources Available, incl. Transfers$14,646.5 - 14,696.5$15,488.2 - 15,518.2$30,074.7 - 30,174.7
Total Est. GF Available$14,947$15,728HAC Base Budget$15,130.8$15,123.5$30,254.3
Current Service Appropriations:Mandatory Spending Drivers$873.5$1,700.0$2,573.5
K-12 Direct Aid (incl. rebenchmarking)$5,346$5,661HAC Budget Gap($1,307.8 - 1,357.8)($1,305.3 - 1,355.3)($2,613.0 - 2,713.0)
Higher & Other Education$1,805$1,842
Medicaid (7% annual growth)$2,817$3,427Senate Finance Committee:
Other HHS$1,566$1,566Resources Available, incl. Transfers$14,671.3$15,480.3$30,151.6
Public Safety$1,710$1,710SFC Base Budget$15,385.6$15,385.6$30,771.2
Car Tax$950$950Mandatory Spending Drivers$1,027.6$1,885.4$2,913.0
Planned GF Debt Service$600$630SFC Budget Gap($1,741.9)($1,709.7)($3,532.6)
All Other **$1,645$1,645
Total Expenditures$16,439$17,430Plus Federal Stimulus Education Backfill($329.3)($652.3)($981.6)
Projected Budget Gap($1,492)($1,702)
** All Other includes Legislative, Executive, Judicial, Admin, Finance, Commerce & Trade,
Nat. Res., Capital, Central Appropriations
GF Budget Outlook ($ Millions)
FY 2011FY 2012
Gov. Aug. 19 Revenue Forecast (3.8%, 5.3%)$14,618$15,389
Transfers$329$339
Total Est. GF Available$14,947$15,728
Current Service Appropriations*
Legislative and Executive Dept's$94$94
Judicial Dept.$407$407
Planned GF Debt Service$600$630
Admin., Finance (w/o debt), & Tech$815$815
Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$238$238
K-12 Direct Aid$5,286$5,582296.1433.9296.1137.8
K-12 Rebenchmarking: 7-22-09 DOE draft$60$79$5,346$5,661218.5
Higher & Other Education$1,805$1,84235.5218.5218.5
Medicaid (7% annual growth)$2,817$3,427362
Other HHS$1,424$1,424
Public Safety$1,710$1,710
Transportation$41$41
Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Capital$1,000$1,000$2,245$2,275
Total Expenditures$16,297$17,288
Projected Budget Gap($1,350)($1,560)693.6
* Assumes carryforward savings from Sept. 8 reduction plan
$2,245
GF Budget Outlook ($ Millions)FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012Comments
Gov. Aug. Forecast (-1.6%, 3.8%, 5.3%)*$14,079$14,618$15,38914940.67815687.711916472.097495Revenue Estimates
Transfers$415$329$339FA Est. GF Revenue14,688,000,00015,422,400,00016,193,500,000
Rainy Day Fund Withdrawal (1/2 of bal.)$287Transfers441,800,000400,000,000400,000,000
Total Est. GF Available$14,781$14,947$15,728$166$781$947Unexpended Balances158,000,00000
Expenditures (FY10 Adopted):TOTAL Estimated GF15,287,800,00015,822,400,00016,593,500,000
Legislative and Executive Dept's$96$96$960.0060346095Chapter 781 Spending
Judicial Dept.$407$407$407Legislative Department68,309,41468,309,41468,309,414
Planned GF Debt Service**$507$645$6840.03200028281,504,683,7361,543,283,736Judicial Department407,012,317407,012,317407,012,317
Admin., Finance (w/o debt), & Tech$859$859$8590.0542174416Executive Offices27,334,46727,334,46727,334,467
Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$258$258$2580.0162545026Ofc of Administration676,471,924676,471,924676,471,9241,366,373,5261,504,683,7361,543,283,736
K-12 Direct Aid ***$5,320$5,320$5,3200.3357782728Ofc of Agric & Forestry45,034,75745,034,75745,034,757
K-12 Rebenchmarking: 7-22-09 DOE draft$60$79Ofc of Commerce & Trade114,202,067114,202,067114,202,067
Higher & Other Education$1,832$1,832$1,8326330.4856985.10925Direct Aid to Education5,319,941,5005,319,941,5005,319,941,500
Medicaid$2,317$2,800$3,2000.1462659078Education Rebenchmarking0400,000,000400,000,000does not restore cuts
Other HHS$1,628$1,659$1,6940.1027429986All Other K-1262,855,54562,855,54562,855,545level funded
Public Safety$1,755$1,755$1,7550.1364581683Higher & Other Education1,769,349,5441,769,349,5441,769,349,544
Transportation$41$41$41Treasury Bd Debt Service507,189,790645,500,000684,100,000
Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Capital)$824$1,051$1,051Other Finance174,528,421174,528,421174,528,421
Total Expenditures$15,844$16,782$17,275Medicaid2,317,380,1172,792,380,1173,192,380,117$300 M + $750 M
Projected Scenario Gap($1,062)($1,835)($1,547)Comprehensive Services315,840,564347,424,620382,167,08210% increase per yr
Other H&H Services1,311,980,1131,311,980,1131,311,980,1131,659,404,7331,694,147,195
* $300 mil. FY09 shortfall means carryforward balance, unappr. balance, and ARRA reserve unavailable for FY10Ofc of Natural Resources98,317,97998,317,97998,317,979
** Includes G.O. VPBA, VCBA, Long-term Leases, Regional Jail debt
*** Does not include lottery, assumes support cost reduction in baseOfc of Public Safety1,754,984,2481,754,984,2481,754,984,248
Ofc of Technology8,183,3918,183,3918,183,391
Ofc ot Transportation40,985,58440,985,58440,985,584
CA-Car Tax Relief950,000,000950,000,000950,000,000
CA-BRAC019,500,00019,500,000
CA-Other Econ Dev Items05,700,0005,700,000
FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012CommentsCA-Aid to Localities(50,000,000)(50,000,000)(50,000,000)continue cuts
Revenue EstimatesCA-All Other Items10,258,32524,723,63924,723,639
FA Est. GF Revenue$14,688,000,000$15,422,400,000$16,193,500,000CA-Health Care & Retirement(87,203,333)51,000,00051,000,000
Transfers$441,800,000$400,000,000$400,000,000Independent Agencies275,464275,464275,464
Unexpended Balances$158,000,000$0$0Non-states000824,130,4561,051,199,1031,051,199,103
TOTAL Estimated GF$15,287,800,000$15,822,400,000$16,593,500,000Capital800,00050,000,00050,000,000pre-plannng/engineering
Chapter 781 SpendingTOTAL EXPENDITUES15,844,032,19817,115,995,11117,589,337,573
Legislative Department$68,309,414$68,309,414$68,309,414
Judicial Department$407,012,317$407,012,317$407,012,317Projected Budget Gap(556,232,198)(1,293,595,111)(995,837,573)
Executive Offices$27,334,467$27,334,467$27,334,467
Ofc of Administration$676,471,924$676,471,924$676,471,924
Ofc of Agric & Forestry$45,034,757$45,034,757$45,034,757
Ofc of Commerce & Trade$114,202,067$114,202,067$114,202,067
Direct Aid to Education$5,319,941,500$5,319,941,500$5,319,941,500
Education Rebenchmarking$0$400,000,000$400,000,000does not restore cuts
All Other K-12$62,855,545$62,855,545$62,855,545level funded
Higher & Other Education$1,769,349,544$1,769,349,544$1,769,349,544
Treasury Bd Debt Service$507,189,790$645,500,000$684,100,000
Other Finance$174,528,421$174,528,421$174,528,421
Medicaid$2,317,380,117$2,792,380,117$3,192,380,117$300 M + $750 M
Comprehensive Services$315,840,564$347,424,620$382,167,08210% increase per yr
Other H&H Services$1,311,980,113$1,311,980,113$1,311,980,113
Ofc of Natural Resources$98,317,979$98,317,979$98,317,979
Ofc of Public Safety$1,754,984,248$1,754,984,248$1,754,984,248
Ofc of Technology$8,183,391$8,183,391$8,183,391
Ofc ot Transportation$40,985,584$40,985,584$40,985,584
CA-Car Tax Relief$950,000,000$950,000,000$950,000,000
CA-BRAC$0$19,500,000$19,500,000
CA-Other Econ Dev Items$0$5,700,000$5,700,000
CA-Aid to Localities-$50,000,000-$50,000,000-$50,000,000continue cuts
CA-All Other Items$10,258,325$24,723,639$24,723,639
CA-Health Care & Retirement-$87,203,333$51,000,000$51,000,000
Independent Agencies$275,464$275,464$275,464
Non-states$0$0$0
Capital$800,000$50,000,000$50,000,000pre-plannng/engineering
TOTAL EXPENDITUES$15,844,032,198$17,115,995,111$17,589,337,573
Projected Budget Gap-$556,232,198-$1,293,595,111-$995,837,573
Growth in General Fund Debt Service Costs
FY 2000$198
FY 2010 Budgeted$507
Current Projected FY 2011$646
Current Projected FY 2012$684
GF Budget Outlook ($ Millions)FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012
FA Est. Revenue Growth (2%,5%,5%)*$14,750$15,338$16,105
Transfers$442$400$400
Rainy Day Fund Withdrawal$275
Total Est. GF Available$15,467$15,738$16,505
Expenditures (FY10 Adopted):
Legislative and Executive Dept's$96$96$96
Judicial Dept.$407$407$407
Planned GF Debt Service**$507$645$684
Admin., Finance (incl. debt) & Tech$859$859$859
Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$258$258$258
K-12 Direct Aid ***$5,320$5,320$5,320
K-12 Rebenchmarking?$400$400
Higher & Other Education$1,832$1,832$1,832
Medicaid$2,317$2,800$3,200
Other HHS$1,628$1,659$1,694
Public Safety$1,755$1,755$1,755
Transportation$41$41$41
Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Indep. Agency, Non-State, Capital)$824$1,051$1,051
Total Expenditures$15,844$17,122$17,596
Projected Scenario Gap($377)($1,385)($1,092)
* $300 mil. FY09 shortfall means carryforward balance, unappr. balance, and ARRA reserve unavailable for FY10; $150 mil. in FY 10 one-time revenues
** Includes G.O. VPBA, VCBA, Long-term Leases, Regional Jail debt
*** Does not include lottery, assumes support cost reduction in base
GF Budget Outlook ($ Millions)FY 2010
FA Est. Revenue Growth (2%,5%,5%)*
Transfers
Rainy Day Fund Withdrawal
Total Est. GF Available
Expenditures (FY10 Adopted):
Legislative and Executive Dept's$96-$2$94
Judicial Dept.$407$407
Planned GF Debt Service**$507$507
Admin., Finance (no debt) & Tech$859-$45$815
Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$258-$21$237
K-12 Direct Aid ***$5,320-$172$5,148
K-12 Rebenchmarking?$0
Higher & Other Education$1,832-$210$1,622
Medicaid$2,317-$97$2,220
Other HHS$1,628-$106$1,522
Public Safety$1,755-$68$1,687
Transportation$41-$14$27
Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Indep. Agency, Non-State, Capital)$824-$120$704
Total Expenditures$15,844-$854$14,989
Local expend
0
0
0
0
Includes G.O., VPBA, VCBA, Long-term Leases and Regional Jail Agreements
Growth in General Fund Debt Service Costs
$ Millions
state aid programs
Summary of Governor's September 2009
Proposed Budget Actions
FY 2010
General Fund Revenue Shortfall($1,350.5)
Revenue Stabilization Withdrawal$283.0
Other One-Actions:$524.6
Agency Pledged Balances$140.2
Sale of Corrections Facilities$25.0
Fire Programs Fund Balance$26.0
Federal Stimulus Waiver for Higher Education$91.5
VRS Employer Retirement Rate Suspension (incl. NGF)$104.1
VRS non-Retirement Benefit Rate Suspension (incl. NGF)$30.9
Medicaid Additional Federal Stimulus Match Rate$97.0
Additional Lottery Profits for K-12$9.9
Local Aid GF Reductions:$256.9
K-12 Sales Tax$37.6
Literary Fund Supplant for Teacher Retirement$55.0
Supplant With FY 11 Federal K-12 Stimulus Waiver$68.9
Constitutional Officers$30.4
Aid to Police Departments (HB 599)$13.7
Other (CSA, CSB, VJCCCA)$51.3
Operating Budget Reductions:$288.7
Net Higher Education Reductions$105.3
Close Corrections Facilities$11.6
One Day Employee Furlough$16.3
Indigent Care Funding$7.0
Mental Health Treatment Centers$6.3
Economic Development/Tourism$3.1
Other Agency Reductions (incl. deferred expenses)$139.1
Total Actions$1,353.2
Summary of Governor's September 2009
Proposed Budget Actions
FY 2010
General Fund Revenue Shortfall($1,350.5)
Revenue Stabilization Withdrawal$283.0
Other One-Actions:$524.6
Agency Pledged Balances$140.2
Sale of Corrections Facilities$25.0
Fire Programs Fund Balance$26.0
Federal Stimulus Waiver for Higher Education$91.5
VRS Employer Retirement Rate Suspension (incl. NGF)$104.1
VRS non-Retirement Benefit Rate Suspension (incl. NGF)$30.9
Medicaid Additional Federal Stimulus Match Rate$97.0
Additional Lottery Profits for K-12$9.9
Summary of Governor's September 2009
Proposed Budget Actions (continued)
Local Aid GF Reductions:$256.9
K-12 Sales Tax$37.6
Literary Fund Supplant for Teacher Retirement$55.0
Supplant With FY 11 Federal K-12 Stimulus Waiver$68.9
Constitutional Officers$30.4
Aid to Police Departments (HB 599)$13.7
Other (CSA, CSB, VJCCCA)$51.3
Operating Budget Reductions:$288.7
Net Higher Education Reductions$105.3
Close Corrections Facilities$11.6
One Day Employee Furlough$16.3
Indigent Care Funding$7.0
Mental Health Treatment Centers$6.3
Economic Development/Tourism$3.1
Other Agency Reductions (incl. deferred expenses)$139.1
Total Actions$1,353.2
tax cuts
Permits, Privilege Fees, and
General Property TaxesOther Local Taxes (Exhibit B-2)Regulatory LicensesFines and ForfeituresCharges for ServicesRevenue from Use of Money and PropertyMiscellaneous
TotalTotal
PublicPersonal PropertyMachineryRental
RealServiceandMerchants'PerPercent ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofand Sale ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofTotal Local
No.LocalityPropertyCorporationsGeneralMobile HomeToolsCapitalPenaltiesInterestAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueInterestPropertyAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueRevenueNo.
170.0Grand Total$7,840,391,515$238,608,282$1,419,425,705$7,406,042$201,121,680$10,653,845$57,990,325$27,408,938$9,803,006,332$1,271.1261.77$3,478,208,317$451.0121.92$198,521,304$25.741.25$95,570,486$12.390.60$1,492,857,687$193.579.41$370,299,807$117,507,448$487,807,255$63.253.07$313,052,847$40.591.97$15,869,024,228170.0
Total
EmergencyCommunication
Local SalesConsumerBusinessFranchiseMotor VehicleBankRecordationHotel and MotelRestaurantCoal, Oil,TelephoneSales andOtherPerPercent
No.Localityand Use TaxesUtility TaxesLicense TaxesLicense TaxesLicense TaxesStock Taxesand Will TaxesTobacco TaxesAdmission TaxesRoom TaxesFood Taxesand Gas TaxesService TaxesUse TaxesLocal TaxesAmountCapitaof AverageNo.
FY 2008
Real Property$8,385,328,3280.5035482064
Personal and Other Property Taxes$2,044,288,1660.1227617571
Local Option Sales Tax$1,041,259,6870.0625287916
BPOL$659,016,1780.0395746477
Consumer Utility/Communication Sales$743,672,1720.0446583334
Meals Tax$397,410,2790.0238649252
All Other Taxes *$691,178,7250.0415060441
Service Charges, Fees, Fines, Interest, Misc.$2,690,330,2210.1615572944
$16,652,483,756
FranchiseRestaurant
License TaxesFood Taxes
Motor Vehicle
License Taxes
Bank
Stock Taxes
Recordation
and Will Taxes
Tobacco Taxes
Admission Taxes
Hotel and Motel
Room Taxes
Coal, Oil,
and Gas Taxes
Emergency
Telephone
Service Taxes
Communication
Sales and
Use Taxes
Counties
Real Property$5,892,465,710
Personal and Other Property Taxes$1,420,518,744
Local Option Sales Tax$631,044,658
BPOL$350,149,176
Consumer Utility/Communication Sales$394,212,787
Meals Tax$83,049,946
All Other Taxes *$407,862,040
Service Charges, Fees, Fines, Interest, Misc.$1,672,945,812
$10,852,248,873
Cities
Real Property$2,432,432,148
Personal and Other Property Taxes$607,992,456
Local Option Sales Tax$390,209,456
BPOL$283,810,902
Consumer Utility/Communication Sales$325,324,490
Meals Tax$274,075,620
All Other Taxes *$256,605,214
Service Charges, Fees, Fines, Interest, Misc.$966,458,286
$5,536,908,572
Local Revenue
199010.44%5,204,503,067
19917.52%5,747,760,015
19923.41%6,179,858,248
19933.76%6,390,534,925
19946.79%6,630,867,036
19956.62%7,081,292,508
19964.79%7,549,820,269
19976.68%$7,911,147,590
19985.92%$8,439,556,274
19994.57%$8,939,330,544
20004.30%$9,348,008,727
20015.00%$9,750,242,637
20025.02%$10,237,314,447
20036.31%$10,751,262,555
20047.78%$11,429,845,209
20058.79%$12,319,618,689
20069.67%$13,401,925,537
20077.97%$14,697,503,759
20084.94%$15,869,024,228
20091.10%$16,652,483,756
2010-2.90%
* Projected from VML/VACO 2009 Survey
Total Local RevenueFairfax County
199010.44%
19917.52%
19923.41%
19933.76%
19946.79%
19956.62%
19964.79%
19976.68%
19985.92%
19994.57%
20004.30%
20015.00%
20025.02%
20036.31%
20047.78%
20058.79%
20069.67%
20077.97%
20084.94%$3,311,851,686
20091.10%0.9
2010-2.90%
tax cuts
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Total Local Revenue in FY 08 = $16.65 bil.
Local Revenue Sources (FY 08)
Local Sales Tax7%
Personal and Business Property Taxes12%
LCI
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
County local revenue in FY0 = $10.85 bil.
Counties
County Local Revenue Sources (FY 08)
Personal and Business Property Taxes13%
state budget
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Cities' Local Revenue in FY 08 = $5.54 bil.
Cities
City Local Revenue Sources ( FY 08)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Local Revenue
Fiscal Year
Local General Fund Revenue Annual Growth Rate*
$ Millions
FY 2009 Revenue/Transfer Shortfall($973.6)
Balancing Actions
Rainy Day Fund$400.0
Bond existing GF capital projects$250.0
Agency Reductions:
Improved business practices and reduce discretionary expenses$113.4
Transfer of NGF balances and NGF resources$66.5
Reduce or eliminate current services$31.7
Reduce personnel costs$27.2
Reduce aid to localities$16.3
Reduce or eliminate aid to nonstate agencies$11.0
Reversion of capital outlay balances$10.6
Reduce aid to individuals$1.6
New fees or GF revenue$0.6
Subtotal Agency Reductions$279.0
Literary Fund balances$51.3
Delay State and local employee 2% raises$44.7
Capture FY 2008 GF balances$40.7
Balances from August reduction plan$24.4
K-12 sales tax adjustment$20.7
HB 599 payments tied to GF revenue growth$7.7
Revert excess Tuition Moderation Fund$6.2
Total$1,124.7
Balance Forward to FY 2010$151.1
$ Millions
FY 2009 Revenue/Transfer Shortfall($973.6)
Balancing Actions
Rainy Day Fund *$400.0
Bond existing GF capital projects *$250.0
Agency Reductions and August Reduction Plan$287.1
Delay state and state-supported local employee 2% raises$44.7
Capture FY 2008 GF balances$40.7
Revert excess Hi Ed Tuition Moderation Fund$6.2
Local Aid Reductions:
Literary Fund balances$51.3
K-12 sales tax adjustment$20.7
Agency aid to locality reductions (primarily CSB admin.)$16.3
HB 599 payments tied to GF revenue growth$7.7
Subtotal Local Aid Reductions:$96.0
Total Plan Reductions$1,124.7
Balance Forward to FY 2010$151.1
* Needs General Assembly approval
OctoberSFC ScenarioFA Scenario
FY 2010 Shortfall($1,510.0)($2,028.0)($1,900.0)
Medicaid and Other Cost Increases$0.0($350.0)($200.0)
Balance Forward to FY 2010$151.1$0.0$50.0
Carryforward of FY 2009 Savings$350.0$350.0$350.0
Eliminate 2% Teacher Salary Supplement$77.6$77.6$77.6
Elim. State and State-Supported Local Employee Raises$189.4$189.4$189.4
Other Balances??$100.0
Higher Education Reductions (11% of GF)??$125.0
Medicaid and Other H&HS Savings (24% of GF)??$300.0
Other K-12 Reductions (35% of GF)??$400.0
Additional State Agency Reductions (20% of GF)??$200.0
Use Rainy Day Fund in FY10???
Car Tax/Revenues???
Shortfall Remaining($741.9)($1,411.0)($308.0)
Major "One Times" More Than Half of Strategies
to Close the 2008-10 Budget Gap
GF Millions $
Rainy Day Fund Withdrawal$773
Sales Tax Acceleration/LPC Adjust/Tax Amnesty$186
Bonded Debt for GF Capital$355
Delay 4th Q VRS Retirement/Benefit Payments*$135
State Employee Furlough*$16
Sell Prison/Transfer Fire Programs Fund to GF$51
Enhanced ARRA SFSF Medicaid Match$1,059
ARRA SFSF - Flexible Funds$219
ARRA SFSF - Education$652
Total Major "One-time" Budget Strategies$3,446
* Includes NGF agency transfer to GF
Survey growth rate
General Fund Revenue* Impact on Budgets ($ Bil.)
FY09FY10
Official GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09 = 2.0%, FY10 = 6.8%)$16.09$17.19
Likely Revised GF Revenue Growth (-3.5%, 2.0%)$15.22$15.52
Difference($0.87)($1.67)
* Does not include GF transfers
General Fund Revenue* Impact on Budgets ($ Bil.)
FY09FY10
Official GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09: 2.0%, FY10: 6.8%)$16.09$17.19
Oct. Revised GF Revenue Growth (-4.0%, 3.0%)$15.14$15.68
Oct. Difference($0.95)($1.51)
SFC Forecast$14.97$15.14
SFC Difference($1.12)($2.05)
* Does not include GF transfers revisions of -$23 and -$34 mil.
FY00FY01FY02FY03FY04FY05FY06FY07FY08FY09FY10 est.General Fund Revenue* Change ($ Bil.)
2008 Adopted11.2%2.9%-3.8%1.8%9.7%14.8%8.4%4.9%1.3%2.2%6.8%FY09FY10
2009 Introduced1.3%-3.5%3.6%Last Yr's GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09: 2.0%, FY10: 6.8%)$16.09$17.19
2009 Adopted1.3%-7.3%4.4%December Introduced$15.02$15.62
Aug. '09 Interim1.3%-9.2%-1.6%Adopted Re-forecast$14.61$15.26
General Fund Revenue* ($ Bil.)Most Likely$14.40$14.69
FY09FY10Change from Last Yr (FY 09: -8.8%, FY10: 2.0%)($1.69)($2.50)
Last Yr's GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09: 2.0%, FY10: 6.8%)$16.09$17.19
December Introduced$15.02$15.62* Note: Does not include $490 mil. in Revenue Stabilization funds from Ch. 879
2009 Session Adopted Re-forecast$14.61$15.26
Current Most Likely$14.44$14.73
Change from Last Yr (FY 09: -8.8%, FY10: 2.0%)($1.65)($2.46)
* Note: Does not include rainy day funds, transfers, or balances
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
2008 Adopted
2009 Introduced
2009 Adopted
Aug. '09 Interim
General Fund Revenue Forecast Changes Since Last Year
FY 08Annualized
FY 1998FY 2008% of TotalGrowth Rate
General Government$543.50$979.704.0%6.1%$982.5
Judicial Admin$211.40$423.801.7%7.2%$423.7
Public Safety$1,786.60$3,879.4015.7%8.1%$3,893.0
Public Works$894.60$1,500.606.1%5.3%$1,499.4
Health & Welfare$1,407.80$2,758.2011.2%7.0%$2,769.4
Education$7,039.10$13,345.5054.1%6.6%$13,338.0
Parks and Rec$474.20$906.703.7%6.7%$907.0
Community Development$339.30$850.203.4%9.6%$848.6
Total$12,699.10$24,646.70100.0%6.9%$24,646.9
VFC
FY 08Annualized1,9982,008
FY 1998FY 2008% of TotalGrowth RateCharlottesvilleDanvilleFredericksburgHamptonHopewellLynchburgMartinsvilleNewport NewsNorfolkPetersburgPortsmouthRichmondRoanokeStauntonWinchesterCharlottesvilleDanvilleFredericksburgHamptonHopewellLynchburgMartinsvilleNewport NewsNorfolkPetersbburgPortsmouthRichmondRoanokeStauntonWinchester
General Government$109,868,357$188,377,5764.1%5.6%189,457,5044,941,0432,683,9892,136,54712,238,9412,175,0507,037,8001,422,90911,786,62115,334,6651,921,46712,069,29823,687,5528,802,8961,746,0721,883,50710,243,0173,986,3535,047,98222,238,8353,617,07710,670,1432,808,73520,745,74627,962,5963,423,66112,172,34646,358,89312,258,0682,921,0453,923,079
Judicial Admin$47,460,058$86,504,6901.9%6.2%86,611,0761,455,6811,454,8261,323,5573,163,461740,6833,022,5241,173,7714,958,2388,734,9152,153,4743,839,74810,369,6403,021,502881,7941,166,2443,091,0902,874,9453,345,9146,884,3051,707,4385,633,2651,871,4409,604,52014,733,0722,828,8147,001,76916,550,1656,213,4461,672,6252,491,882
Public Safety$508,658,506$907,474,67219.6%6.0%910,929,91415,215,01515,759,08110,161,57339,961,32110,315,10528,384,2926,852,17159,971,45798,389,76815,646,59036,727,012119,620,85937,207,3935,369,8109,077,05935,551,88625,318,42021,714,49978,464,34114,933,42347,705,7739,702,170108,003,513172,811,64728,452,88573,269,682194,480,83762,293,47213,542,42921,229,695
Public Works$244,821,698$394,032,5628.5%4.9%395,006,9968,097,77610,950,2506,088,63127,134,6804,413,75916,187,1064,201,80828,987,99043,790,8875,281,78816,502,50240,763,13922,643,4356,505,0713,272,87613,252,02213,471,7909,708,33228,983,4556,244,56824,325,2336,558,18543,542,713101,581,34910,403,60128,624,94866,971,02523,078,3208,109,2329,177,789
Health & Welfare$383,120,851$687,917,35114.8%6.0%686,111,09417,173,56510,526,6995,695,54639,483,7474,882,34418,560,0292,249,44157,038,99259,658,73712,111,87027,052,09485,146,17731,075,4346,790,4035,675,77340,382,74020,042,71511,467,61565,528,4217,997,65645,964,0465,237,32781,817,188119,071,74120,565,71142,106,162145,429,87460,456,05812,198,0069,652,091
Education$1,285,383,669$1,964,354,03242.4%4.3%1,958,284,84139,814,10148,257,15417,458,173136,310,82227,114,10259,888,54018,397,698196,188,249237,376,01136,626,212108,484,565222,434,99093,535,89718,824,50924,672,64667,762,37410,445,94034,873,209235,639,34441,069,31994,153,55927,157,891328,260,282373,415,16551,193,404163,172,553310,359,094148,807,70330,949,61647,094,579
Parks and Rec$119,432,129$203,899,5894.4%5.5%204,007,3295,812,9174,375,9962,134,61615,069,7721,407,9315,454,406730,06215,522,61427,448,6841,835,0107,706,43122,276,7856,508,4721,600,4791,547,95410,861,9751,213,4834,134,95833,154,4332,517,1049,871,1591,908,88131,262,72547,465,8353,683,68913,869,41525,184,56011,445,1753,219,9204,106,277
Community Development$67,502,692$202,198,7174.4%11.6%202,284,7012,122,4091,022,4721,274,67612,103,210635,7688,196,1561,539,28010,377,08011,795,0881,091,7921,931,60110,203,5633,996,968663,812548,8177,826,373107,5622,727,34121,907,911838,4625,337,7292,759,00626,367,50023,466,6781,264,02214,565,67980,935,7039,591,8242,236,9642,265,963
Total$2,766,247,960$4,634,759,189100.0%5.3%4,636,335,10794,632,50795,030,46746,273,319285,465,95451,684,742146,730,85336,567,140384,831,241502,528,75576,668,203214,313,251534,502,705206,791,99742,381,95047,844,876188,971,47777,461,20893,019,850492,801,04578,925,047243,660,90758,003,635649,604,187880,508,083121,815,787354,782,554886,270,151334,144,06674,849,83799,941,355
2008 Growth2009 Growth
Real Property Assessments (106)6.6%1.6%
Personal Property Assessments (92)2.5%-3.7%
FY 09 Budgeted GrowthFY 09 Expected GrowthFY 10 Budgeted Growth
Real Property Tax Revenues (115)N/A4.5%0.5%
General Fund Revenues (104)2.2%1.1%-2.9%
Local Revenues Are Declining
State Aid Base for "Flexible" Local Aid ReductionMajor Categories of State Aid to Localities
FY 2010 GF Appropriations
% of Total
FY 10 State GFGF Flex. BaseVFC % of $Original GF AppropriationCurrent GF Appropriation% Change% of State Aid to Localities% of GF
Compensation Board:K-12 Direct Education Aid$5,930,513,050$5,148,221,622-13.2%71.0%34.3%
Regional Jails$104,643,4508.6%23.8%Car Tax$950,000,000$950,000,0000.0%13.1%6.3%
Local Jails$148,309,01712.2%38.0%Compensation Board$666,153,186$600,400,897-9.9%8.3%4.0%
Jail Per Diems$79,508,4076.5%39.4%Comprehensive Services Act$323,640,564$279,208,772-13.7%3.8%1.9%
Local Law Enforcement$89,662,0397.4%0.0%HB 599$205,001,876$183,623,320-10.4%2.5%1.2%
Local Courts$57,761,0514.8%23.1%DJJ Juvenile Confinement/Treatment$50,787,956$48,266,904-5.0%0.7%0.3%
Court Clerks$30,045,2932.5%15.4%Recordation Tax Distribution$40,000,000$40,000,0000.0%0.6%0.3%
Commonwealth Attorneys$51,096,0114.2%29.6%DCJS Admin. of Justice$21,908,828$23,408,8286.8%0.3%0.2%
Commiss. Of Rev/Finance$15,631,5241.3%13.8%Public Library Aid$17,378,628$16,509,697-5.0%0.2%0.1%
Treasurers$10,572,4330.9%20.6%State Board of Elections$7,392,674$6,653,407-10.0%0.1%0.0%
Subtotal Compensation Board$587,229,22548.4%24.7%Rolling Stock Tax$4,970,000$5,670,00014.1%0.1%0.0%
DSS General Relief$3,458,455$3,458,4550.0%0.0%0.0%
Flexible State Aid Reduction($50,000,000)($50,000,000)0.0%-0.7%-0.3%
Comprehensive Services Act$290,320,40523.9%32.7%Subtotal$8,171,205,217$7,255,421,902-11.2%100.0%48.4%
Community Service Boards$256,463,596$227,360,416-11.3%3.1%1.5%
HB 599 Aid$192,314,96215.8%40.5%Total GF Appropriations$17,589,000,000$14,991,000,000-14.8%100.0%
DJJ Juvenile Confinement/Alternative Treatment$50,200,9284.1%31.6%
Recordation Tax Distribution$40,000,0003.3%8.8%
DCJS Admin. of Justice$21,202,6811.7%29.5%$8,171,205,217$7,255,421,902
Public Library Aid$17,184,9621.4%14.8%
State Board of Elections$7,626,9890.6%12.7%
Rolling Stock Tax Distribution$4,592,4610.4%14.1%
Dept. of Social Services General Relief$3,458,4550.3%38.5%
Total Base for "Flexible" Local Cuts$1,214,131,068100.0%28.7%Major Categories of State Aid to Localities
FY 2010 GF Appropriations
Original GF AppropriationIntroduced GF Appropriation% Change% of State Aid to Localities% of GF
$1,160,680,510K-12 Direct Education Aid$5,930,513,050$4,769,832,540-19.6%65.7%31.8%
Car Tax$950,000,000$950,000,0000.0%13.1%6.3%
Compensation Board$666,153,186$600,400,897-9.9%8.3%4.0%
Comprehensive Services Act$323,640,564$279,208,772-13.7%3.8%1.9%
Community Service Boards$256,463,596$227,360,416-11.3%3.1%1.5%
HB 599$205,001,876$183,623,320-10.4%2.5%1.2%
DJJ Juvenile Confinement/Treatment$50,787,956$48,266,904-5.0%0.7%0.3%
Recordation Tax Distribution$40,000,000$40,000,0000.0%0.6%0.3%
Public Library Aid$17,378,628$16,509,697-5.0%0.2%0.1%
Flexible State Aid Reduction($50,000,000)($50,000,000)0.0%-0.7%-0.3%
Major Categories of State Aid to Localities
FY 2010 GF Appropriations
Original GF AppropriationCurrent GF Appropriation% Change% of State Aid to Localities% of GF
K-12 Direct Education Aid$5,930,513,050$6,029,476,8841.7%83.1%40.2%
Car Tax$950,000,000$950,000,0000.0%13.1%6.3%
Compensation Board$666,153,186$473,005,983-29.0%6.5%3.2%
Comprehensive Services Act$323,640,564$279,208,772-13.7%3.8%1.9%
Community Service Boards$256,463,596$227,360,416-11.3%3.1%1.5%
HB 599$205,001,876$180,824,184-11.8%2.5%1.2%
DJJ Juvenile Confinement/Treatment$50,787,956$48,266,904-5.0%0.7%0.3%
Recordation Tax Distribution$40,000,000$40,000,0000.0%0.6%0.3%
Public Library Aid$17,378,628$16,509,697-5.0%0.2%0.1%
Flexible State Aid Reduction($50,000,000)-$50,000,0000.0%-0.7%-0.3%
Tax Reforms Have Cost the General Fund Budget $1.9 Billion Since 1999
FY Implemented2008-10 ($ Mil.)
Car Tax Relief1999($1,900)
Historic Rehab Tax Credit1999($92)
Low Income Tax Relief2000 and 2007($125)
Land Preservation Tax Credit2003($300)
2004 Tax Reforms2005$1,600
Add'l Reduced Sales Tax on Food2006($381)
Shift Insurance Premiums and Recordation Taxes for Transportation2009($400)
Estate Tax Repeal2009($280)
Total($1,878)
1998-20002008-20101998-20002008-2010
COMPOSITECOMPOSITECOMPOSITECOMPOSITE
DIVISIONINDEXINDEXDifferenceDIVISIONINDEXINDEXDifference
NORTHAMPTON.31290.54820.2353CULPEPER.40780.43400.0262
FREDERICKSBURG.63280.79430.1615VIRGINIA BEACH.34660.37040.0238
LANCASTER.63840.78240.1440WARREN.40730.42850.0212
HIGHLAND.55530.67740.1221GLOUCESTER.32450.34560.0211
WESTMORELAND.39750.51670.1192BUCHANAN.26680.28240.0156
COLONIAL BEACH.30290.41540.1125ORANGE.42450.43950.0150
MIDDLESEX.57560.67770.1021FREDERICK.39970.41190.0122
MADISON.39200.48780.0958STAFFORD.35300.36290.0099
NORTHUMBERLAND.63650.73060.0941SHENANDOAH.39660.40560.0090
RAPPAHANNOCK.70890.80000.0911GRAYSON.25340.26070.0073
CLARKE.52410.61120.0871MANASSAS.45570.46180.0061
CHARLOTTESVILLE.53100.60910.0781GREENE.31770.32240.0047
FAUQUIER.60000.67110.0711GOOCHLAND.79750.80000.0025
NELSON.50380.57080.0670PAGE.32520.32630.0011
ROCKBRIDGE.40670.47280.0661ARLINGTON.80000.80000.0000
ACCOMACK.31850.37520.0567BATH.80000.80000.0000
MATHEWS.48290.53370.0508ALEXANDRIA.80000.80000.0000
CAROLINE.33160.38170.0501FALLS CHURCH.80000.80000.0000
MANASSAS PARK.33880.38400.0452WILLIAMSBURG.80000.80000.0000
FAIRFAX COUNTY.71990.76500.0451FAIRFAX CITY.80000.80000.0000
CHARLES CITY.37560.41620.0406WASHINGTON.33480.3340(0.0008)
KING GEORGE.36820.40750.0393FRANKLIN COUNTY.38990.3885(0.0014)
PRINCE WILLIAM.41580.44370.0279BLAND.26520.2608(0.0044)
CULPEPER.40780.43400.0262
VIRGINIA BEACH.34660.37040.0238
WARREN.40730.42850.0212
GLOUCESTER.32450.34560.0211
BUCHANAN.26680.28240.0156
ORANGE.42450.43950.0150
FREDERICK.39970.41190.0122
STAFFORD.35300.36290.0099
SHENANDOAH.39660.40560.0090
GRAYSON.25340.26070.0073
MANASSAS.45570.46180.0061
GREENE.31770.32240.0047
GOOCHLAND.79750.80000.0025
PAGE.32520.32630.0011
ARLINGTON.80000.80000.0000
BATH.80000.80000.0000
ALEXANDRIA.80000.80000.0000
FALLS CHURCH.80000.80000.0000
WILLIAMSBURG.80000.80000.0000
FAIRFAX CITY.80000.80000.0000
WASHINGTON.33480.3340(0.0008)
FRANKLIN COUNTY.38990.3885(0.0014)
BLAND.26520.2608(0.0044)
RICHMOND CITY.43200.4272(0.0048)
WINCHESTER.54390.5382(0.0057)
BRUNSWICK.26850.2616(0.0069)
LOUDOUN.67770.6708(0.0069)
RICHMOND COUNTY.34670.3384(0.0083)
AMELIA.33340.3206(0.0128)
ALBEMARLE.63630.6232(0.0131)
FLOYD.33910.3234(0.0157)
POQUOSON.33840.3190(0.0194)
LUNENBURG.23460.2132(0.0214)
KING AND QUEEN.40850.3868(0.0217)
LEXINGTON.42570.4040(0.0217)
SPOTSYLVANIA.39130.3695(0.0218)
PORTSMOUTH.23350.2112(0.0223)
STAUNTON.40750.3849(0.0226)
WYTHE.31630.2929(0.0234)
MONTGOMERY.37440.3496(0.0248)
YORK.38940.3632(0.0262)
FRANKLIN CITY.29480.2686(0.0262)
FLUVANNA.39680.3685(0.0283)
AUGUSTA.35860.3299(0.0287)
ISLE OF WIGHT.39850.3697(0.0288)
SUFFOLK.32760.2983(0.0293)
LEE.18610.1552(0.0309)
PETERSBURG.23190.2008(0.0311)
POWHATAN.41310.3790(0.0341)
NOTTOWAY.25630.2221(0.0342)
BUCKINGHAM.27580.2414(0.0344)
BOTETOURT.39630.3606(0.0357)
NORFOLK.29470.2588(0.0359)
NEWPORT NEWS.29010.2531(0.0370)
TAZEWELL.26910.2318(0.0373)
NEW KENT.44450.4066(0.0379)
SCOTT.22310.1849(0.0382)
PRINCE EDWARD.31460.2733(0.0413)
NORTON.35120.3095(0.0417)
COVINGTON.34750.3051(0.0424)
CRAIG.32150.2790(0.0425)
ROCKINGHAM.36440.3204(0.0440)
RUSSELL.25200.2079(0.0441)
WISE.22450.1798(0.0447)
BEDFORD COUNTY.39430.3494(0.0449)
PULASKI.31840.2730(0.0454)
APPOMATTOX.29080.2436(0.0472)
ESSEX.45440.4071(0.0473)
HOPEWELL.27120.2236(0.0476)
WAYNESBORO.38080.3330(0.0478)
SOUTHAMPTON.30630.2578(0.0485)
DICKENSON.24430.1957(0.0486)
CARROLL.29630.2470(0.0493)
CHARLOTTE.25110.2017(0.0494)
DINWIDDIE.29620.2462(0.0500)
AMHERST.31680.2642(0.0526)
HAMPTON.28850.2358(0.0527)
CHESAPEAKE.35600.3025(0.0535)
BEDFORD CITY.33500.2802(0.0548)
MECKLENBURG.33980.2848(0.0550)
PRINCE GEORGE.27360.2173(0.0563)
SUSSEX.33690.2799(0.0570)
RADFORD.34120.2837(0.0575)
BUENA VISTA.25010.1924(0.0577)
COLONIAL HEIGHTS.48710.4289(0.0582)
LYNCHBURG.39150.3327(0.0588)
CHESTERFIELD.40620.3447(0.0615)
PATRICK.30130.2392(0.0621)
PITTSYLVANIA.28680.2245(0.0623)
GILES.31970.2571(0.0626)
GREENSVILLE.25390.1895(0.0644)
SMYTH.26780.2023(0.0655)
HANOVER.47740.4118(0.0656)
CAMPBELL.30100.2340(0.0670)
HENRY.30160.2304(0.0712)
DANVILLE.31220.2394(0.0728)
ROANOKE CITY.41570.3420(0.0737)
CUMBERLAND.33420.2601(0.0741)
BRISTOL.44280.3664(0.0764)
JAMES CITY.60880.5286(0.0802)
KING WILLIAM.38110.2918(0.0893)
SALEM.44130.3518(0.0895)
HENRICO.52250.4319(0.0906)
WEST POINT.33270.2418(0.0909)
ROANOKE COUNTY.42800.3349(0.0931)
HALIFAX.33130.2380(0.0933)
ALLEGHANY.31570.2210(0.0947)
EMPORIA.35430.2573(0.0970)
GALAX.36850.2618(0.1067)
MARTINSVILLE.33600.2249(0.1111)
LOUISA.66260.5396(0.1230)
SURRY.80000.6641(0.1359)
HARRISONBURG.54770.4099(0.1378)
Changes to the FY 2010 General Fund BudgetFinalAnnualized
CH. 879FinalFY 1998-00 GF% GFFY 2008-10 GF% GF% GrowthFY 2000FY 2010
FY 1998-00 GF% GFFY 2008-10 GF% GFFY 2008-10 GFOriginalFinal% ChangeDirect Aid to K-12*$7,053.132.8%$11,788.236.1%5.3%11787.6239023782General Fund Debt Service191.4498.8$496.42009 to 2010
Legislative Dept$95.300.44%Legislative Dept$138.20.39%$136.7Legislative Dept$69.1$68.3-1.1%0.0044762065Medicaid$2,428.611.3%$4,528.613.9%6.4%4516.2650644793Revenues$16,081,581,565$15,755,406,016
Judicial Dept.$451.602.10%Judicial Dept.$810.42.28%$814.9Judicial Dept.$406.5$407.00.1%0.0266704848Other Health & Human Serv.$1,753.38.2%$3,228.99.9%6.3%3229.8248369249Operating$16,192,469,335$15,843,232,198
Executive Offices$37.800.18%Executive Offices$64.50.18%$56.4Executive Offices$32.3$25.7-20.3%0.001685376Higher & Other Education$3,143.814.6%$3,784.511.6%2.7%3794.8686606255Capital-$249,450,000$800,000
Admin., Finance & Technology$2,070.209.64%Admin., Finance & Tech$2,807.97.91%$2,714.1Admin., Finance & Tech$1,430.4$1,322.8-7.5%0.086682188Public Safety$2,333.610.9%$3,541.110.8%4.3%3555.2447221893Net$138,562,230-$88,626,182$49,936,048
Commerce and Trade, Ag$318.001.48%Commerce and Trade, Ag$364.11.03%$332.7Commerce and Trade, Ag$178.7$149.0-16.6%0.0097636476All Other$4,761.122.2%$5,776.417.7%2.0%5775.3672317891
Direct Aid to K-12 *$7,053.1032.85%Direct Aid to K-12$12,576.335.44%$11,788.2Direct Aid to K-12$5,930.5$5,148.2-13.2%0.3373517187Total*$21,473.5100.0%$32,647.8100.0%4.3%32652.246130154
Higher & Other Education$3,143.8014.64%Higher & Other Education$4,122.511.62%$3,784.5Higher & Other Education$2,060.8$1,794.2-12.9%0.1175680785
Medicaid19.47%Medicaid$5,190.014.63%$4,528.6DMAS Medicaid$2,672.1$2,220.4-16.9%0.1454966977* Includes Lottery Profits
Health & Human Serv.$4,181.901.32%Other HHS$3,405.89.60%$3,228.9Other HHS$1,723.4$1,618.7-6.1%0.1060672879
Natural Resources$282.4010.87%Natural Resources$231.80.65%$208.1Natural Resources$111.9$89.0-20.5%0.005833288
Public Safety$2,333.600.43%Public Safety$3,660.310.32%$3,541.1Public Safety$1,828.2$1,686.7-7.7%0.1105238361
Transportation **$92.006.58%Transportation$82.00.23%$82.0Transportation$41.0$26.7-34.8%0.0017509038
Other (Central Appr., Ind. Ag., Non-S, Capital)$1,413.80Other (Central Appr., Ind. Ag., Non-S, Capital)$2,027.75.71%$1,431.5Other (Central Appr., Ind. Ag., Non-S, Capital)$1,104.1$704.0-36.2%0.0461302864
100.00%
Appropriations ($ mil.)$21,473.5GF Appropriations ($ mil.)$35,481.5100.0%$32,647.8GF Appropriations ($ mil.)$17,588.97$15,260.7-13.2%
balance forward
* Includes Lottery profits fundState General Fund Spending
Direct Aid to K-1234%
DMAS Medicaid15%
FinalAnnualizedHigher Education12%
FY 1998-00 GF% GFFY 2008-10 GF% GF% GrowthARRAOther Health and Human Services11%
Direct Aid to K-12*$7,053.1032.8%$11,788.236.1%5.3%$11,787.6365.2Public Safety11%
Medicaid$2,428.611.3%$4,528.613.9%6.4%$4,516.3966.8Car Tax Reimbursement6%
Other Health & Human Serv.$1,753.38.2%$3,228.99.9%6.3%$3,229.817.1Debt Service3%
Higher & Other Education$3,143.8014.6%$3,784.511.6%1.9%$3,794.9126.7All Other9%
Public Safety$2,333.6010.9%$3,541.110.8%4.3%$3,555.223.3
All Other$4,761.1022.2%$5,776.417.7%2.0%$5,775.4
Total*$21,473.5100.0%$32,647.8100.0%4.3%$32,652.22633.8
* Includes Lottery Profits
FinalAnnualized
FY 1998-00 GF% GFFY 2008-10 GF% GF% GrowthARRA
Direct Aid to K-12*$7,053.1032.8%$12,153.435.6%5.6%$12,162.4365.2
Medicaid$2,428.611.3%$5,495.416.1%8.5%$5,491.1966.8
Other Health & Human Serv.$1,753.38.2%$3,246.09.5%6.4%$3,260.317.1
Higher & Other Education$3,143.8014.6%$3,911.211.5%2.2%$3,908.1126.7
Public Safety$2,333.6010.9%$3,564.410.4%4.3%$3,555.223.3
All Other$4,761.1022.2%$5,776.416.9%2.0%$5,775.4
Total*$21,473.5100.0%$34,146.9100.0%4.7%$34,154.1
* Includes Lottery Profits
OriginalFinal
FY 2010FY 2010% ChangeARRA
Direct Aid to K-12$5,930.5$5,148.2-13.2%
Medicaid$2,672.1$2,220.4-16.9%
Other Health & Human Serv.$1,723.4$1,521.6-11.7%
Higher & Other Education$2,060.8$1,794.1-12.9%
Public Safety$1,828.2$1,686.7-7.7%
Car Tax Reimbursement$950.0$950.00.0%
All Other*$2,424.0$1,668.0-31.2%
Total$17,589.0$14,989.0-14.8%
* Administration, finance, commerce & trade, natural resources, judicial, executive, legislative, capital outlay,
and central appropriations
GF Budget Outlook ($ Millions)FY 2010
FA Est. Revenue Growth (2%,5%,5%)*
Transfers
Rainy Day Fund Withdrawal
Total Est. GF Available
Expenditures (FY10 Adopted):
Legislative and Executive Dept's$96-$2$94
Judicial Dept.$407$407
Planned GF Debt Service**$507$507
Admin., Finance (no debt) & Tech$859-$45$815
Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$258-$21$237
K-12 Direct Aid ***$5,320-$172$5,148
K-12 Rebenchmarking?$0
Higher & Other Education$1,832-$210$1,622
Medicaid$2,317-$97$2,220
Other HHS$1,628-$106$1,522
Public Safety$1,755-$68$1,687
Transportation$41-$14$27
Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Indep. Agency, Non-State, Capital)$824-$120$704
Total Expenditures$15,844-$854$14,989
0
0
* 10% anualized growth in G.O., VCBA, and VPBA debt.
General Fund Debt Service
$ millions
Ten Year Growth in General Fund Debt Service Costs
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
State General Fund Spending
FY 2010 State General Fund Appropriations
Direct Aid to K-1234%
MBD0051F40F.xls
GF
% of GF RevenuesOfficial Growth EstimateActual Growth Thru April
Individual Income Taxes:
Witholding62.6%2.5%2.3%
Non-Witholding16.1%-17.9%-16.9%
Refunds-12.4%7.4%13.1%
Net Individual66.3%-4.1%-4.5%
Sales Taxes20.3%-3.7%-4.8%
Corporate Income4.7%-15.2%-22.7%
All Other GF8.7%-33.0%
Total GF100.0%-7.3%-8.6%
1393771
932355
-0.3310558191
Outlook
FY 2010 AdoptedFY 2011FY 2012FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012Comments
FA Est. GF Revenue (2%,5%,5%)*$14,728$15,464$16,23714727.67815464.061916237.264995Revenue Estimates
Transfers$442$400$400FA Est. GF Revenue14,688,000,00015,422,400,00016,193,500,000
Unexpended Balances *$158Transfers441,800,000400,000,000400,000,000
Total Est. GF Available$15,328$15,864$16,637Unexpended Balances158,000,00000
Expenditures:TOTAL Estimated GF15,287,800,00015,822,400,00016,593,500,000
Legislative and Executive Dept's$96$96$96Chapter 781 Spending
Judicial Dept.$407$407$407Legislative Department68,309,41468,309,41468,309,414
Planned GF Debt Service***$507$645$6841,504,683,7361,543,283,736Judicial Department407,012,317407,012,317407,012,317
Admin., Finance (incl. debt) & Tech$859$859$859Executive Offices27,334,46727,334,46727,334,467
Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$258$258$258Ofc of Administration676,471,924676,471,924676,471,9241,366,373,5261,504,683,7361,543,283,736
K-12 Direct Aid **$5,320$5,320$5,320Ofc of Agric & Forestry45,034,75745,034,75745,034,757
K-12 Rebenchmarking?$400$400Ofc of Commerce & Trade114,202,067114,202,067114,202,067
Higher & Other Education$1,832$1,832$1,8326330.4856985.10925Direct Aid to Education5,319,941,5005,319,941,5005,319,941,500
Medicaid$2,317$2,800$3,200Education Rebenchmarking0400,000,000400,000,000does not restore cuts
Other HHS$1,628$1,659$1,694All Other K-1262,855,54562,855,54562,855,545level funded
Public Safety$1,755$1,755$1,755Higher & Other Education1,769,349,5441,769,349,5441,769,349,544
Transportation$41$41$41Treasury Bd Debt Service507,189,790645,500,000684,100,000
Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Indep. Agency, Non-State, Capital)$824$1,051$1,051Other Finance174,528,421174,528,421174,528,421
Total Expenditures$15,844$17,122$17,596Medicaid2,317,380,1172,792,380,1173,192,380,117$300 M + $750 M
Projected Scenario Gap($516)($1,258)($959)Comprehensive Services315,840,564347,424,620382,167,08210% increase per yr
Other H&H Services1,311,980,1131,311,980,1131,311,980,1131,659,404,7331,694,147,195
* $175 mil. FY09 shortfall assumed; $139 mil. balance now unavailable, includes $49 m. unappropriated balance and $109 mil. unexpended ARRAOfc of Natural Resources98,317,97998,317,97998,317,979
** G.O. VPBA, VCBA, Long-term Leases, Regional JailsOfc of Public Safety1,754,984,2481,754,984,2481,754,984,248
*** Does not include lottery, assumes support cost reduction in baseOfc of Technology8,183,3918,183,3918,183,391
Ofc ot Transportation40,985,58440,985,58440,985,584
CA-Car Tax Relief950,000,000950,000,000950,000,000
CA-BRAC019,500,00019,500,000
CA-Other Econ Dev Items05,700,0005,700,000
FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012CommentsCA-Aid to Localities(50,000,000)(50,000,000)(50,000,000)continue cuts
Revenue EstimatesCA-All Other Items10,258,32524,723,63924,723,639
FA Est. GF Revenue$14,688,000,000$15,422,400,000$16,193,500,000CA-Health Care & Retirement(87,203,333)51,000,00051,000,000
Transfers$441,800,000$400,000,000$400,000,000Independent Agencies275,464275,464275,464
Unexpended Balances$158,000,000$0$0Non-states000824,130,4561,051,199,1031,051,199,103
TOTAL Estimated GF$15,287,800,000$15,822,400,000$16,593,500,000Capital800,00050,000,00050,000,000pre-plannng/engineering
Chapter 781 SpendingTOTAL EXPENDITUES15,844,032,19817,115,995,11117,589,337,573
Legislative Department$68,309,414$68,309,414$68,309,414
Judicial Department$407,012,317$407,012,317$407,012,317Projected Budget Gap(556,232,198)(1,293,595,111)(995,837,573)
Executive Offices$27,334,467$27,334,467$27,334,467
Ofc of Administration$676,471,924$676,471,924$676,471,924
Ofc of Agric & Forestry$45,034,757$45,034,757$45,034,757
Ofc of Commerce & Trade$114,202,067$114,202,067$114,202,067
Direct Aid to Education$5,319,941,500$5,319,941,500$5,319,941,500
Education Rebenchmarking$0$400,000,000$400,000,000does not restore cuts
All Other K-12$62,855,545$62,855,545$62,855,545level funded
Higher & Other Education$1,769,349,544$1,769,349,544$1,769,349,544
Treasury Bd Debt Service$507,189,790$645,500,000$684,100,000
Other Finance$174,528,421$174,528,421$174,528,421
Medicaid$2,317,380,117$2,792,380,117$3,192,380,117$300 M + $750 M
Comprehensive Services$315,840,564$347,424,620$382,167,08210% increase per yr
Other H&H Services$1,311,980,113$1,311,980,113$1,311,980,113
Ofc of Natural Resources$98,317,979$98,317,979$98,317,979
Ofc of Public Safety$1,754,984,248$1,754,984,248$1,754,984,248
Ofc of Technology$8,183,391$8,183,391$8,183,391
Ofc ot Transportation$40,985,584$40,985,584$40,985,584
CA-Car Tax Relief$950,000,000$950,000,000$950,000,000
CA-BRAC$0$19,500,000$19,500,000
CA-Other Econ Dev Items$0$5,700,000$5,700,000
CA-Aid to Localities-$50,000,000-$50,000,000-$50,000,000continue cuts
CA-All Other Items$10,258,325$24,723,639$24,723,639
CA-Health Care & Retirement-$87,203,333$51,000,000$51,000,000
Independent Agencies$275,464$275,464$275,464
Non-states$0$0$0
Capital$800,000$50,000,000$50,000,000pre-plannng/engineering
TOTAL EXPENDITUES$15,844,032,198$17,115,995,111$17,589,337,573
Projected Budget Gap-$556,232,198-$1,293,595,111-$995,837,573
Growth in General Fund Debt Service Costs
FY 2000$198
FY 2010 Budgeted$507
Current Projected FY 2011$646
Current Projected FY 2012$684
Outlook
0
0
0
0
Includes G.O., VPBA, VCBA, Long-term Leases and Regional Jail Agreements
Growth in General Fund Debt Service Costs
$ Millions
FY 10 Changes
Adopted Changes
FY 2010 Shortfall($1,930.0)-1928.07
Medicaid and Other Cost Increases$0.0
Balance Forward to FY 2010$151.1
Carryforward of FY 2009 Savings$350.0
Eliminate 2% Teacher Salary Supplement$77.6
Elim. State and State-Supported Local Employee Raises$189.4
Other Balances?
Higher Education Reductions (11% of GF)?
Medicaid and Other H&HS Savings (24% of GF)?
Other K-12 Reductions (35% of GF)?
Additional State Agency Reductions (20% of GF)?
Shortfall Remaining($1,161.9)
Local Revenue
Permits, Privilege Fees, and
General Property TaxesOther Local Taxes (Exhibit B-2)Regulatory LicensesFines and ForfeituresCharges for ServicesRevenue from Use of Money and PropertyMiscellaneous
TotalTotal
PublicPersonal PropertyMachineryRental
RealServiceandMerchants'PerPercent ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofand Sale ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofTotal Local
No.LocalityPropertyCorporationsGeneralMobile HomeToolsCapitalPenaltiesInterestAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueInterestPropertyAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueRevenueNo.
170.0Grand Total$7,840,391,515$238,608,282$1,419,425,705$7,406,042$201,121,680$10,653,845$57,990,325$27,408,938$9,803,006,332$1,271.1261.77$3,478,208,317$451.0121.92$198,521,304$25.741.25$95,570,486$12.390.60$1,492,857,687$193.579.41$370,299,807$117,507,448$487,807,255$63.253.07$313,052,847$40.591.97$15,869,024,228170.0
Total
EmergencyCommunication
Local SalesConsumerBusinessFranchiseMotor VehicleBankRecordationHotel and MotelRestaurantCoal, Oil,TelephoneSales andOtherPerPercent
No.Localityand Use TaxesUtility TaxesLicense TaxesLicense TaxesLicense TaxesStock Taxesand Will TaxesTobacco TaxesAdmission TaxesRoom TaxesFood Taxesand Gas TaxesService TaxesUse TaxesLocal TaxesAmountCapitaof AverageNo.
FY 2008
Real Property$8,385,328,3280.5035482064
Personal and Other Property Taxes$2,044,288,1660.1227617571
Local Option Sales Tax$1,041,259,6870.0625287916
BPOL$659,016,1780.0395746477
Consumer Utility/Communication Sales$743,672,1720.0446583334
Meals Tax$397,410,2790.0238649252
All Other Taxes *$691,178,7250.0415060441
Service Charges, Fees, Fines, Interest, Misc.$2,690,330,2210.1615572944
$16,652,483,756
FranchiseRestaurant
License TaxesFood Taxes
Motor Vehicle
License Taxes
Bank
Stock Taxes
Recordation
and Will Taxes
Tobacco Taxes
Admission Taxes
Hotel and Motel
Room Taxes
Coal, Oil,
and Gas Taxes
Emergency
Telephone
Service Taxes
Communication
Sales and
Use Taxes
Counties
Real Property$5,892,465,710
Personal and Other Property Taxes$1,420,518,744
Local Option Sales Tax$631,044,658
BPOL$350,149,176
Consumer Utility/Communication Sales$394,212,787
Meals Tax$83,049,946
All Other Taxes *$407,862,040
Service Charges, Fees, Fines, Interest, Misc.$1,672,945,812
$10,852,248,873
Cities
Real Property$2,432,432,148
Personal and Other Property Taxes$607,992,456
Local Option Sales Tax$390,209,456
BPOL$283,810,902
Consumer Utility/Communication Sales$325,324,490
Meals Tax$274,075,620
All Other Taxes *$256,605,214
Service Charges, Fees, Fines, Interest, Misc.$966,458,286
$5,536,908,572
Local Revenue
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Total Local Revenue in FY 08 = $16.65 bil.
Local Revenue Sources (FY 08)
Local Sales Tax7%
Personal and Business Property Taxes12%
spending cuts
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
County local revenue in FY0 = $10.85 bil.
Counties
County Local Revenue Sources (FY 08)
Personal and Business Property Taxes13%
forecast
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Cities' Local Revenue in FY 08 = $5.54 bil.
Cities
City Local Revenue Sources ( FY 08)
Local expend
$ Millions
FY 2009 Revenue/Transfer Shortfall($973.6)
Balancing Actions
Rainy Day Fund$400.0
Bond existing GF capital projects$250.0
Agency Reductions:
Improved business practices and reduce discretionary expenses$113.4
Transfer of NGF balances and NGF resources$66.5
Reduce or eliminate current services$31.7
Reduce personnel costs$27.2
Reduce aid to localities$16.3
Reduce or eliminate aid to nonstate agencies$11.0
Reversion of capital outlay balances$10.6
Reduce aid to individuals$1.6
New fees or GF revenue$0.6
Subtotal Agency Reductions$279.0
Literary Fund balances$51.3
Delay State and local employee 2% raises$44.7
Capture FY 2008 GF balances$40.7
Balances from August reduction plan$24.4
K-12 sales tax adjustment$20.7
HB 599 payments tied to GF revenue growth$7.7
Revert excess Tuition Moderation Fund$6.2
Total$1,124.7
Balance Forward to FY 2010$151.1
$ Millions
FY 2009 Revenue/Transfer Shortfall($973.6)
Balancing Actions
Rainy Day Fund *$400.0
Bond existing GF capital projects *$250.0
Agency Reductions and August Reduction Plan$287.1
Delay state and state-supported local employee 2% raises$44.7
Capture FY 2008 GF balances$40.7
Revert excess Hi Ed Tuition Moderation Fund$6.2
Local Aid Reductions:
Literary Fund balances$51.3
K-12 sales tax adjustment$20.7
Agency aid to locality reductions (primarily CSB admin.)$16.3
HB 599 payments tied to GF revenue growth$7.7
Subtotal Local Aid Reductions:$96.0
Total Plan Reductions$1,124.7
Balance Forward to FY 2010$151.1
* Needs General Assembly approval
OctoberSFC ScenarioFA Scenario
FY 2010 Shortfall($1,510.0)($2,028.0)($1,900.0)
Medicaid and Other Cost Increases$0.0($350.0)($200.0)
Balance Forward to FY 2010$151.1$0.0$50.0
Carryforward of FY 2009 Savings$350.0$350.0$350.0
Eliminate 2% Teacher Salary Supplement$77.6$77.6$77.6
Elim. State and State-Supported Local Employee Raises$189.4$189.4$189.4
Other Balances??$100.0
Higher Education Reductions (11% of GF)??$125.0
Medicaid and Other H&HS Savings (24% of GF)??$300.0
Other K-12 Reductions (35% of GF)??$400.0
Additional State Agency Reductions (20% of GF)??$200.0
Use Rainy Day Fund in FY10???
Car Tax/Revenues???
Shortfall Remaining($741.9)($1,411.0)($308.0)
Strategies Used to Close the 2008-10 Budget Gap
GF Millions $
Rainy Day Fund Withdrawal$490
Tax Policy/Other Revenue Items$450
Budget Reductions$1,925
Bonded Debt for GF Capital$355
Enhanced Medicaid Match$996
Other ARRA Flexible Funds$110
state aid programs
General Fund Revenue* Impact on Budgets ($ Bil.)
FY09FY10
Official GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09 = 2.0%, FY10 = 6.8%)$16.09$17.19
Likely Revised GF Revenue Growth (-3.5%, 2.0%)$15.22$15.52
Difference($0.87)($1.67)
* Does not include GF transfers
General Fund Revenue* Impact on Budgets ($ Bil.)
FY09FY10
Official GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09: 2.0%, FY10: 6.8%)$16.09$17.19
Oct. Revised GF Revenue Growth (-4.0%, 3.0%)$15.14$15.68
Oct. Difference($0.95)($1.51)
SFC Forecast$14.97$15.14
SFC Difference($1.12)($2.05)
* Does not include GF transfers revisions of -$23 and -$34 mil.
FY00FY01FY02FY03FY04FY05FY06FY07FY08FY09 est.FY10 est.General Fund Revenue* Change ($ Bil.)
Last Year11.2%2.9%-3.8%1.8%9.7%14.8%8.4%4.9%1.3%2.2%6.8%FY09FY10
Dec. Intro.1.3%-3.5%3.6%Last Yr's GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09: 2.0%, FY10: 6.8%)$16.09$17.19
Adopted Budget1.3%-7.3%4.4%December Introduced$15.02$15.62
Latest Likely1.3%-8.8%2.0%Adopted Re-forecast$14.61$15.26
Most Likely$14.40$14.69
Change from Last Yr (FY 09: -8.8%, FY10: 2.0%)($1.69)($2.50)
* Note: Does not include $490 mil. in Revenue Stabilization funds from Ch. 879
state aid programs
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
0000
Last Year
Dec. Intro.
Adopted Budget
Latest Likely
General Fund Revenue Forecast Changes Since Last Year
tax cuts
FY 08Annualized
FY 1998FY 2008% of TotalGrowth Rate
General Government$543.50$979.704.0%6.1%$982.5
Judicial Admin$211.40$423.801.7%7.2%$423.7
Public Safety$1,786.60$3,879.4015.7%8.1%$3,893.0
Public Works$894.60$1,500.606.1%5.3%$1,499.4
Health & Welfare$1,407.80$2,758.2011.2%7.0%$2,769.4
Education$7,039.10$13,345.5054.1%6.6%$13,338.0
Parks and Rec$474.20$906.703.7%6.7%$907.0
Community Development$339.30$850.203.4%9.6%$848.6
Total$12,699.10$24,646.70100.0%6.9%$24,646.9
VFC
FY 08Annualized1,9982,008
FY 1998FY 2008% of TotalGrowth RateCharlottesvilleDanvilleFredericksburgHamptonHopewellLynchburgMartinsvilleNewport NewsNorfolkPetersburgPortsmouthRichmondRoanokeStauntonWinchesterCharlottesvilleDanvilleFredericksburgHamptonHopewellLynchburgMartinsvilleNewport NewsNorfolkPetersbburgPortsmouthRichmondRoanokeStauntonWinchester
General Government$109,868,357$188,377,5764.1%5.6%189,457,5044,941,0432,683,9892,136,54712,238,9412,175,0507,037,8001,422,90911,786,62115,334,6651,921,46712,069,29823,687,5528,802,8961,746,0721,883,50710,243,0173,986,3535,047,98222,238,8353,617,07710,670,1432,808,73520,745,74627,962,5963,423,66112,172,34646,358,89312,258,0682,921,0453,923,079
Judicial Admin$47,460,058$86,504,6901.9%6.2%86,611,0761,455,6811,454,8261,323,5573,163,461740,6833,022,5241,173,7714,958,2388,734,9152,153,4743,839,74810,369,6403,021,502881,7941,166,2443,091,0902,874,9453,345,9146,884,3051,707,4385,633,2651,871,4409,604,52014,733,0722,828,8147,001,76916,550,1656,213,4461,672,6252,491,882
Public Safety$508,658,506$907,474,67219.6%6.0%910,929,91415,215,01515,759,08110,161,57339,961,32110,315,10528,384,2926,852,17159,971,45798,389,76815,646,59036,727,012119,620,85937,207,3935,369,8109,077,05935,551,88625,318,42021,714,49978,464,34114,933,42347,705,7739,702,170108,003,513172,811,64728,452,88573,269,682194,480,83762,293,47213,542,42921,229,695
Public Works$244,821,698$394,032,5628.5%4.9%395,006,9968,097,77610,950,2506,088,63127,134,6804,413,75916,187,1064,201,80828,987,99043,790,8875,281,78816,502,50240,763,13922,643,4356,505,0713,272,87613,252,02213,471,7909,708,33228,983,4556,244,56824,325,2336,558,18543,542,713101,581,34910,403,60128,624,94866,971,02523,078,3208,109,2329,177,789
Health & Welfare$383,120,851$687,917,35114.8%6.0%686,111,09417,173,56510,526,6995,695,54639,483,7474,882,34418,560,0292,249,44157,038,99259,658,73712,111,87027,052,09485,146,17731,075,4346,790,4035,675,77340,382,74020,042,71511,467,61565,528,4217,997,65645,964,0465,237,32781,817,188119,071,74120,565,71142,106,162145,429,87460,456,05812,198,0069,652,091
Education$1,285,383,669$1,964,354,03242.4%4.3%1,958,284,84139,814,10148,257,15417,458,173136,310,82227,114,10259,888,54018,397,698196,188,249237,376,01136,626,212108,484,565222,434,99093,535,89718,824,50924,672,64667,762,37410,445,94034,873,209235,639,34441,069,31994,153,55927,157,891328,260,282373,415,16551,193,404163,172,553310,359,094148,807,70330,949,61647,094,579
Parks and Rec$119,432,129$203,899,5894.4%5.5%204,007,3295,812,9174,375,9962,134,61615,069,7721,407,9315,454,406730,06215,522,61427,448,6841,835,0107,706,43122,276,7856,508,4721,600,4791,547,95410,861,9751,213,4834,134,95833,154,4332,517,1049,871,1591,908,88131,262,72547,465,8353,683,68913,869,41525,184,56011,445,1753,219,9204,106,277
Community Development$67,502,692$202,198,7174.4%11.6%202,284,7012,122,4091,022,4721,274,67612,103,210635,7688,196,1561,539,28010,377,08011,795,0881,091,7921,931,60110,203,5633,996,968663,812548,8177,826,373107,5622,727,34121,907,911838,4625,337,7292,759,00626,367,50023,466,6781,264,02214,565,67980,935,7039,591,8242,236,9642,265,963
Total$2,766,247,960$4,634,759,189100.0%5.3%4,636,335,10794,632,50795,030,46746,273,319285,465,95451,684,742146,730,85336,567,140384,831,241502,528,75576,668,203214,313,251534,502,705206,791,99742,381,95047,844,876188,971,47777,461,20893,019,850492,801,04578,925,047243,660,90758,003,635649,604,187880,508,083121,815,787354,782,554886,270,151334,144,06674,849,83799,941,355
Sheet1
State Aid Base for "Flexible" Local Aid ReductionMajor Categories of State Aid to Localities
FY 2010 GF Appropriations (Ch. 879)
% of Total
FY 10 State GFGF Flex. BaseVFC % of $Original GF AppropriationCurrent GF Appropriation% Change% of State Aid to Localities% of Total GF
Compensation Board:K-12 Direct Education Aid*$6,391,513,050$5,750,141,500-10.0%72.4%35.5%
Regional Jails$104,643,4508.6%23.8%Car Tax$950,000,000$950,000,0000.0%12.0%5.3%
Local Jails$148,309,01712.2%38.0%Compensation Board$666,153,186$631,050,421-5.3%7.9%3.7%
Jail Per Diems$79,508,4076.5%39.4%Comprehensive Services Act$323,640,564$315,840,564-2.4%4.0%1.8%
Local Law Enforcement$89,662,0397.4%0.0%HB 599$205,001,876$197,295,927-3.8%2.5%1.1%
Local Courts$57,761,0514.8%23.1%DJJ Juvenile Confinement/Treatment$50,787,956$50,787,9560.0%0.6%0.3%
Court Clerks$30,045,2932.5%15.4%Recordation Tax Distribution$40,000,000$40,000,0000.0%0.5%0.2%
Commonwealth Attorneys$51,096,0114.2%29.6%DCJS Admin. of Justice$21,908,828$23,408,8286.8%0.3%0.1%
Commiss. Of Rev/Finance$15,631,5241.3%13.8%Public Library Aid$17,378,628$17,378,6280.0%0.2%0.1%
Treasurers$10,572,4330.9%20.6%State Board of Elections$7,392,674$7,392,6740.0%0.1%0.0%
Subtotal Compensation Board$587,229,22548.4%24.7%Rolling Stock Tax$4,970,000$5,670,00014.1%0.1%0.0%
DSS General Relief$3,458,455$3,458,4550.0%0.0%0.0%
Flexible State Aid Reduction($50,000,000)($50,000,000)0.0%-0.6%-0.3%
Comprehensive Services Act$290,320,40523.9%32.7%Subtotal$8,632,205,217$7,942,424,953-8.0%100.0%47.9%
HB 599 Aid$192,314,96215.8%40.5%Total GF Appropriations*$18,019,470,000$16,274,230,000-9.7%100.0%
DJJ Juvenile Confinement/Alternative Treatment$50,200,9284.1%31.6%
Recordation Tax Distribution$40,000,0003.3%8.8%* Includes Lottery Proceeds
DCJS Admin. of Justice$21,202,6811.7%29.5%$8,632,205,217$7,942,424,953
Public Library Aid$17,184,9621.4%14.8%
State Board of Elections$7,626,9890.6%12.7%
Rolling Stock Tax Distribution$4,592,4610.4%14.1%
Dept. of Social Services General Relief$3,458,4550.3%38.5%
Total Base for "Flexible" Local Cuts$1,214,131,068100.0%28.7%
state budget
Tax Reforms Have Cost the General Fund Budget $1.9 Billion Since 1999
FY Implemented2008-10 ($ Mil.)
Car Tax Relief1999($1,900)
Historic Rehab Tax Credit1999($92)
Low Income Tax Relief2000 and 2007($125)
Land Preservation Tax Credit2003($300)
2004 Tax Reforms2005$1,600
Add'l Reduced Sales Tax on Food2006($381)
Shift Insurance Premiums and Recordation Taxes for Transportation2009($400)
Estate Tax Repeal2009($280)
Total($1,878)
1998-20002008-20101998-20002008-2010
COMPOSITECOMPOSITECOMPOSITECOMPOSITE
DIVISIONINDEXINDEXDifferenceDIVISIONINDEXINDEXDifference
NORTHAMPTON.31290.54820.2353CULPEPER.40780.43400.0262
FREDERICKSBURG.63280.79430.1615VIRGINIA BEACH.34660.37040.0238
LANCASTER.63840.78240.1440WARREN.40730.42850.0212
HIGHLAND.55530.67740.1221GLOUCESTER.32450.34560.0211
WESTMORELAND.39750.51670.1192BUCHANAN.26680.28240.0156
COLONIAL BEACH.30290.41540.1125ORANGE.42450.43950.0150
MIDDLESEX.57560.67770.1021FREDERICK.39970.41190.0122
MADISON.39200.48780.0958STAFFORD.35300.36290.0099
NORTHUMBERLAND.63650.73060.0941SHENANDOAH.39660.40560.0090
RAPPAHANNOCK.70890.80000.0911GRAYSON.25340.26070.0073
CLARKE.52410.61120.0871MANASSAS.45570.46180.0061
CHARLOTTESVILLE.53100.60910.0781GREENE.31770.32240.0047
FAUQUIER.60000.67110.0711GOOCHLAND.79750.80000.0025
NELSON.50380.57080.0670PAGE.32520.32630.0011
ROCKBRIDGE.40670.47280.0661ARLINGTON.80000.80000.0000
ACCOMACK.31850.37520.0567BATH.80000.80000.0000
MATHEWS.48290.53370.0508ALEXANDRIA.80000.80000.0000
CAROLINE.33160.38170.0501FALLS CHURCH.80000.80000.0000
MANASSAS PARK.33880.38400.0452WILLIAMSBURG.80000.80000.0000
FAIRFAX COUNTY.71990.76500.0451FAIRFAX CITY.80000.80000.0000
CHARLES CITY.37560.41620.0406WASHINGTON.33480.3340(0.0008)
KING GEORGE.36820.40750.0393FRANKLIN COUNTY.38990.3885(0.0014)
PRINCE WILLIAM.41580.44370.0279BLAND.26520.2608(0.0044)
CULPEPER.40780.43400.0262
VIRGINIA BEACH.34660.37040.0238
WARREN.40730.42850.0212
GLOUCESTER.32450.34560.0211
BUCHANAN.26680.28240.0156
ORANGE.42450.43950.0150
FREDERICK.39970.41190.0122
STAFFORD.35300.36290.0099
SHENANDOAH.39660.40560.0090
GRAYSON.25340.26070.0073
MANASSAS.45570.46180.0061
GREENE.31770.32240.0047
GOOCHLAND.79750.80000.0025
PAGE.32520.32630.0011
ARLINGTON.80000.80000.0000
BATH.80000.80000.0000
ALEXANDRIA.80000.80000.0000
FALLS CHURCH.80000.80000.0000
WILLIAMSBURG.80000.80000.0000
FAIRFAX CITY.80000.80000.0000
WASHINGTON.33480.3340(0.0008)
FRANKLIN COUNTY.38990.3885(0.0014)
BLAND.26520.2608(0.0044)
RICHMOND CITY.43200