1

Prof. Inês Lima Azevedo, PhDAssistant Research Professor

Engineering and Public Policy DepartmentCarnegie Mellon University

Executive DirectorClimate and Energy Decision Making (CEDM)

Research on Adaptation and Adaption/Mitigation Interactions

at the

Climate and Energy Decision Making center

Integration of research areas: Hurricane Impacts

Characterization of uncertainty in changes in tropical cyclones

intensity

Characterization of uncertainty in changes in tropical cyclones

intensity

Integration of research areas: Hurricane Impacts

Characterization of uncertainty in changes in tropical cyclones

intensity

Characterization of uncertainty in changes in tropical cyclones

intensity

DA assessment of damages with TC

modification vs hardening structures

DA assessment of damages with TC

modification vs hardening structures

Question: Does it make sense to modify tropical cyclones?

Finding: modification could reduce net losses from an intense storm more than hardening structures. However, hardening provides “fail safe” protection for average storms that might not be achieved if the only option were modification

Integration of research areas: Hurricane Impacts

Characterization of uncertainty in changes in tropical cyclones

intensity

Characterization of uncertainty in changes in tropical cyclones

intensity

DA assessment of damages with TC

modification vs hardening structures

DA assessment of damages with TC

modification vs hardening structures

Question: Does it make sense to modify tropical cyclones?

Question: If TC modification were possible, would the public support it?

Study on Public Perceptions

Study on Public Perceptions

Integration of research areas: Hurricane Impacts

Characterization of uncertainty in changes in tropical cyclones

intensity

Characterization of uncertainty in changes in tropical cyclones

intensity

DA assessment of damages with TC

modification vs hardening structures

DA assessment of damages with TC

modification vs hardening structures

Question: Does it make sense to modify tropical cyclones?

Question: If TC modification were possible, would the public support it?

Study on public perceptions

Study on public perceptions

Work on wind from Apt/Jaramillo

Work on wind from Apt/Jaramillo Small’s work on riskSmall’s work on risk

Integration of research areas: Hurricane Impacts

Characterization of uncertainty in changes in tropical cyclones

intensity

Characterization of uncertainty in changes in tropical cyclones

intensity

DA assessment of damages with TC

modification vs hardening structures

DA assessment of damages with TC

modification vs hardening structures

Question: Does it make sense to modify tropical cyclones?

Question: If TC modification were possible, would the public support it?

Study on Public Perceptions

Study on Public Perceptions

Work on wind from Apt/Jaramillo

Work on wind from Apt/Jaramillo Small’s work on riskSmall’s work on risk

Impact of hurricane risk to offshore wind turbinesImpact of hurricane risk

to offshore wind turbines

Question: Does the public understand return periods for non-stationary processes

Wong-Parodi, Bruine de Bruin and Morgan are

starting to work on this problem using a mental

models approach

Wong-Parodi, Bruine de Bruin and Morgan are

starting to work on this problem using a mental

models approach