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PRISM RESEARCH FOR EUPM

Public Opinion Poll Results

July 2010PRISM RESEARCHMaršala Tita 6 71000 SarajevoBosnia and HerzegovinaPhone: + 387 33 251 230 Fax: + 387 33 251 238prism@prismresearch.bawww.prismresearch.ba

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1. Methodology

2. Main findings

3. Results

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METHODOLOGY1

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Methodology

Data collection method: Face to face interviews

Household selection method: Random selection of household addresses using “Random Walk Technique”

Respondent selection method: The respondents within household are randomly selected using the “Last Birthday Technique”

Sample: Randomly stratified by entities, regions,size of municipality, and type of settlement. Sample post-stratified by age and gender.Sample representative for population 18-65 in B&H and both entities.

Sample size is 1500 respondents.

Field work: July, 2010

Questionnaire: Developed by Prism Research in close cooperation with EUPM

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MAIN FINDINGS2

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The respondents overall choose positive answers more frequently than negative ones. The respondents from FB&H seem to have a more positive opinion about EU than respondents from RS and Brčko District.The results show that respondents from FB&H choose positive answers more frequently, while respondents from RS choose negative answers more frequently when asked to describe their opinion on EU.

The respondents from FB&H choose 'very important' option more frequently, while respondents from RS choose all other options more frequently when asked about the importance of B&H joining EU. When asked about joining NATO, respondents from FB&H seem to think more frequently that it is either very or somewhat important in comparison to the respondents from RS who seem to think of it more often as very or somewhat unimportant.

First asssociations with the EU for all respondents include more jobs (38,9%), better economy (23,1%), and better future for the young (11,5%). Respondents from FB&H choose the following answers more frequently: more jobs, human rights protection, and no more entities than respondents from RS. The latter choose more frequently than the former the following answers: loss of national identity, more possibility to travel abroad, and international protectorate.

When asked if they are informed about what B&H has done so far in the process of joining the EU, nearly one half of the respondents (46,8%) state that they have some information but that they are not too interested. A third of respondents state that they know a little and would like to know more (30,6%).

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Over half of all respondents (56,1%) state that they expect the representatives of EU to be more

active in B&H. Respondents from FB&H choose more active option more frequently, while respondents from RS choose all other options more frequently.

When asked what they think about the efforts that local politicians have made in bringing B&H closer to the EU, two thirds of all respondents view those efforts as more negative (64,8%) than positive (35,2%). The respondents from FB&H choose negative answer options more frequently, while respondents from RS choose the following response options more frequently: mostly positive and do not know.

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RESULTS3

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B1. How would you describe your opinion about EU?

The respondents overall choose positive answers more frequently than negative ones. The respondents from FB&H seem to have a more positive opinion about EU than respondents from RS and Brčko District.

22,7

50,9

13,7

3,7

80,9

19,1

25,2

54,2

9,8

2,8

86,3

13,7

18,4

44,5

20,0

5,5

71,1

28,9

17,5

56,0

26,5

73,5

26,5

,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0

Very positive

Somewhat positive

Somewhat negative

Very negative

TOTAL POSITIVE

TOTAL NEGATIVE

District Brčko

RS

FBIH

All respondents

The responses Do not know/ No answer are not shown on the graph.

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B2a. To what degree is it important to you personally that B&H joins EU?

Respondents from FB&H choose very important option more frequently, while respondents from RS choose all other options more frequently. It appears that B&H joining the EU is very important to majority of respondents.

54,1

28,6

11,4

3,9

84,4

15,6

61,8

24,9

8,8

2,6

88,4

11,6

37,6

36,7

17,0

6,3

76,1

23,9

83,4

11,5

2,5

2,7

94,8

5,2

,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0

Very important

Somewhat important

Somewhat unimportant

Not important at all

Total IMPORTANT

Total UNIMPORTANT

District Brčko

RS

FBIH

All respondents

The responses Do not know/ No answer are not shown on the graph.

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B2b. To what degree is it important to you personally that B&H joins NATO?

There is a statistically significant difference between the two entities: the respondents from FB&H choose very and somewhat important options more frequently, while respondents from RS choose very and somewhat unimportant options more frequently.

42,4

27,7

16,1

9,6

73,2

26,8

53,0

31,1

9,7

3,2

86,6

13,4

21,4

21,1

28,8

21,9

45,5

54,5

62,4

32,4

2,5

2,7

94,8

5,2

,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0

Very important

Somewhat important

Somewhat unimportant

Not important at all

Total IMPORTANT

Total UNIMPORTANT

District Brčko

RS

FBIH

All respondents

The responses Do not know/ No answer are not shown on the graph.

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B3. What is the first association that comes to your mind when you hear – EU – European Union?

Respondents from FB&H choose the following answers more often: more jobs, human rights protection and no more entities than respondents from RS. The latter choose more frequently than the former the following: loss of national identity, more possibility to travel abroad, and international protectorate .

1,4

1,6

2,3

2,6

2,8

6,5

7,0

11,5

23,1

38,9

1,5

,6

1,9

1,3

2,6

6,7

6,4

12,0

23,8

40,9

1,3

3,6

3,3

5,2

3,5

6,6

8,8

11,5

23,0

31,3

,0 10,0 20,0 30,0 40,0 50,0

No more entities

International protectorate /occupation

Human rights protection

Loss of national identity (culture/language/religion)

No association

Sustainable peace in BiH

More possibility to travel abroad

Beter future for the young in BiH

Better economy/standards

More jobs

RS

FBIH

All respondents

The responses Do not know/ No answer/ Other are not shown on the graph. Also, the percentages for Brčko District are not shown as only two options - better economy/standards (10,3%) and more jobs (89,3%), were selected.

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B4. To what degree are you informed about what B&H has done so far in the process of joining the EU?

The respondents from RS chose knows a little, not interested, while District Brčko respondents chose have a lot of information because interested , more frequently than other respondents.

7,7

7,4

6,8

27,3

46,8

46,8

47,0

45,9

30,6

31,3

30,0

21,5

12,3

11,6

14,1

5,3

,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0

All respondents

FBIH

RS

District BrčkoKnows a little -not interested

Knows a little -would like to know more

Some information-not too interested

A lot of information -interested

The responses Do not know/ No answer are not shown on the graph.

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B6. What do you expect from representatives of EU in B&H?

The respondents from FB&H choose more active option more frequently, while respondents from RS choose all other options more frequently.

56,1

68,9

32,5

55,5

20,3

14,5

29,2

44,5

4,9

3,2

8,5

11,2

5,5

22,6

,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0

All respondents

FBIH

RS

District Brčko

Leave BiH

Reduce activities

Equally active

More active

The responses Do not know/ No answer are not shown on the graph.

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B7. What is your opinion about efforts made by local politicians in bringingB&H closer to the EU?

Respondents from FB&H choose negative option more frequently, while respondents from RS choose the following response options more frequently: mostly positive and do not know.

8,4

24,6

32,3

28,6

5,5

35,2

64,8

6,1

15,2

34,3

39,6

4,4

22,3

77,7

11,8

38,6

30,4

10,5

7,9

55,2

44,8

21,3

70,4

8,3

91,7

8,3

,0 20,0 40,0 60,0 80,0 100,0

Very positive

Mostly positive

Mostly negative

Very negative

Do not know

Very POSITIVE

Very NEGATIVE

District Brčko

RS

FBIH

All respondents

The responses No answer are not shown on the graph.