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Transcript of 1 Planning Team Planning on the Web Series.
1
Planning Team http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/resourcecenter/teams/planning
Planning on the Web Serieshttp://rc.fhwa.dot.gov/planning/powpresentations/index.cfm
Planning Community of Practice: POW presentationshttp://knowledge.fhwa.dot.gov/cops%5Ctdx.nsf/home?OpenForm&Community=
Planning&Group=Planning%20on%20the%20Web%20(POW)
Today’s Sponsor
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Today’s Facilitators
Ed Christopher Resource Center Planning TeamFederal Highway Administration
19900 Governors DriveOlympia Fields, IL 60461
Elaine MurakamiOffice of Planning
Planning Methods TeamFederal Highway Administration
c/o Federal Transit Administration915 Second Avenue, Rm 3142
Seattle, Washington 98174206-220-4460
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What’s Covered
Goal: Everything that you are interested in or have a question about relating to the Census or Census Bureau.
Specific Items: 2010 Census, Geography programs including boundaries, 2000 CTPP data, ACS, Plans for future CTPPs, Relevant Research, Training Resources, and much, much more.
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Today’s Agenda -- 3 ACTs
Act 3Bringing it all togetherResourcesWhat you need to know?
EpilogueQs and As
Act 12010 CensusGeography IssuesCTPP History/Basics
Act 2American Community Survey
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It’s Only a Short Form Questionnaire
7 Questions Name Sex Age
Relationship Hispanic Origin
Race Owner/Renter
ACT 1 Census 2010
April 1, 2010 - Hiring field workers
6http://www.electiondataservices.com
7http://www.polidata.org
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ACT 1 Geography Programs and Issues
•Geography Programs
•LUCA
•PSAP
•Tiger Files
•Key Geographic Issues That Will Affect Transportation Planning
•Boundaries
•Size of MPOs
•Others
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Geographic Programs Context
Local Update of Census Addresses (LUCA)
Boundary and Annexation Survey (BAS)School District Review Program (SDRP)Tribal Statistical Areas Program (TSAP)
Participant Statistical Areas Program (PSAP)
Urbanized Area UZA definitions
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LUCA
Local Update of Census Addresses
Address Definition Program for Local Governments
Updates Master Address File (MAF) and Tiger geographic data base
Multi-year program-started in 2007
Winter 2009/2010 Appeals Office Open
http://www.census.gov/geo/www/luca2010/luca.html
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PSAP
Participant Statistical Areas Program
Program to define Tracts and Block Groups
Critical to MPOs and States
Currently in the Field
Are your MPO participating?
What are they experiencing?
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Draft Schedule as of February 2009
http://www.census.gov/geo/www/psap2010/psap2010_main.html
Contacts: Start with Ed Christopher or Elaine Murakami (FHWA)
Census Bureau Geographic Standards and Criteria Branch at 301-763-3056, [email protected]
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TIGER
Topologically Integrated Geographic Encoding and Referencing system
Census Bureau digital mapping database
For Census important, for Other not so
Gone through major Update
Tiger 2008 has issues
http://www.census.gov/geo/www/tiger/index.html
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Geography Issues -- Closer to Home
Boundaries
Urbanized Boundary Definitions
What’s a MPO?
Others?
15
Boundaries
http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/planning/census/faqa2cdt.htm
Census Defined Urban Area (UA)
Adjusted Urbanized Area (UZA)
Metropolitan Planning Area (MPA)
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Urbanized Area Definitions
http://www.chrispy.net/pipermail/ctpp-news/2008-July/001695.html
2000 density based, automated process, identified urban clusters (2,500 pop), ignored place
boundaries and built from Census Blocks
2010 still in internal discussionsInvestigating use of place of work data via ACS,
reviewing land use covers and digital elevation maps and satellite imagery, thinking about using household densities and building from Census Tracts.
Look for criteria for defining urbanized areas and clusters in Fall 2009 in Federal Register
New
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Something to think about . . .
Building from Blocks
Building from Tracts
Latest Info
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100K - Threshold
Grandfathering
200K - Project Selection Authority
1 Million+ Special Funding and Requirements
NARC - Status Quo
AASHTO -Somewhat Vague
FHWA -
http://www.ampo.org/assets/685_finalampopdfoverviewappro.pdf
What’s an MPO?
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ACT 1 CTPP Basics and History
You may have seen the next 5 or 6 slides but we need to cover some basics and history.
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Special Tabulations
1960 OMB Journey-to-Work Tables
1970 and 1980 Urban Transportation Planning Package (UTPP)
1990 and 2000 Census Transportation Planning Package (CTPP)
At ResidenceAt Workplace
Flows between Home and Work
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What is the CTPP 2000?
The Census Transportation Planning Package is a set of special
tabulations from the long form of the decennial census designed by
transportation planners for transportation planners
It summarizes the data
At ResidenceAt Workplace
Flows between Home and Work
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Long Form
Where does the data come from?
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For the U.S. as a whole,about one (1) in six (6) households received the Long Form questionnaire
Who got the Long Form?
17%
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Key Long Form questions
Place of Work
Means of Transportation to Work
Carpool Occupancy to Work
Departure Time for Work
Travel Time to Work
Vehicles Available
€€
€€
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Tabulations at Residence
Tabulations at Workplace
Flows between Home and Work
Part 1 Part 2 Part 3
What are the CTPP 2000 Products?
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121 Tables of Residents’ Based Data
68 Tables of Work Place Data
14 Tables of Flow Data
Types of CTPP Data
Person/WorkersWorker StatusAge, Sex, Race, Hispanic Origin, Disability
HouseholdIncomeNos. Vehicles AvailableSize Number Workers
Journey-to-WorkWork Location and Mode Departure and Travel TimeArrival Time
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Types of Geography
28
The past Transportation data packages were unique because of the summary levels,
geography, universes and data tables. The packages have always been designed by transportation planners for transportation
planners
Data Summary Levels
Why earlier packages special
29
How has data been used
Descriptive Analysis and Reporting
Survey Support
Model Development
Model Calibration
Special Studies
http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/ctpp/status.htm
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Where do you get CTPP 2000 Data?
http://www.transtats.bts.gov/
ASCII Files
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https://www.bts.gov/pdc
w/Extraction Software
Where do you get CTPP 2000 Data?
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Self Instructional
CD
Provides all the basics to understand, use and work with the CTPP 2000 data for transportation planning
Is there some training?
Email [email protected] for a FREE copy of the GUIDEBOOK
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Past Journey to Work data
Buyers/Users Direct Cost Tables
1960 OMB ??? ???
1970 112 $0.6 M 43
1980 152 $2.0 M 82
1990 $2.5 M 120
2000 $3.0 M 203
2005 + AASHTO Consolidated Purchase $5.9 Million
All States and MPOs
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Replacement of the Long Form
Continuous Survey Methodology
Conducted Monthly
Produces characteristics, not population counts
http://www.census.gov/acs/www/
ACT 2 American Community Survey
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ACS Facts
250,000 Households sampled per month
About 1 in 40 Households sampled per year
Same transportation questions as 2000 Long Form
Decennial Long Form is HistoryKaput, Nada, Defunct, Gone!
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Decennial Sample 1:6 nationwide
April 1, 2000
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ACS continuous sample Yr 1
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ACS continuous sample Yr 2
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ACS continuous sample Yr 3
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ACS continuous sample Yr 4
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ACS continuous sample Yr 5
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ACS continuous sample Yrs 1-5
43
ACS/Decennial Samples
ACS after 5 years Old Long Form
Smaller sample mean GREATER error
44
How does the ACS work?
Three Methods of Data Collection
1. Mail Self-administered mail-out/mail-back
2. Telephone Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing (CATI)
3. Personal VisitsComputer AssistedPersonalInterviewing(CAPI) 1:3
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Tract and Block Group
5-year Period
20,000+3-year Period
65,000+Annual
Data for the Previous Year Released in:
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012+Population
Size of AreaDataType
ACS Data Release Timeline
46
ACS Standard Tables
Standard Tabs include some “New” tables previously only in CTPP, eg place of work
- Mode to work by travel time
- Mode to work by time leaving home
- Household size by no of vehicles
- Household size by no of workers
Some of what the ACS provides
http://factfinder.census.gov/
47
Is it 1 or 3 or 5?
Population < 20,0005-year estimates only
Population >= 20,000 and < 65,0003-year estimates5-year estimates
Population >= 65,0001-year estimates3-year estimates5-year estimates
Users will have to choose which data to use
What does this mean?
48
Sample Error is larger because the number of census forms collected each year are smaller.
Changes of plus or minus 2% may be due to Sample Error and do not reflect measurable change.
Understanding Sample Error
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Percent Poverty for Families – Sevier County, TN
What does the ACS data look like?
50
Percent of Population 5 Years and Older who Speak Spanish at Home - Lake County, IL
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Statistical Significance TestsStatistical Significance TestsStandard Error = Margin of Error / 1.65
But what about MOEs for 2000 data?But what about MOEs for 2000 data?
22 (SE(B))(SE(A))
BAZ
90%
90%
Confidence
Confidence
Comparing ACS to 2000 Data
52
A Compass for Understanding And Using ACS Data
Set of user-specific handbooks
Train-the trainer materials
E-learning ACS Tutorial
http://www.census.gov/acs/www/UseData/Compass/compass_series.html
There are RESOURCES AVAILABLE
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Report 588 A Guidebook for Using ACS Data forTransportation Planning
275 pagesTrend AnalysisHow to recalculate
Margins of Error
http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/nchrp/nchrp_rpt_588.pdf
Transportation Specific
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http://ctpp.transportation.org
ACS Data Profiles
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Trend Data 2000 and 3-year ACS
Includes MOEs and significance tests
Keys on Transportation Variables
New Profiles
January 2009
March 2009
-----------------Some might be
done by end of February
Under Development
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Big Dates
AugustAnnual release of ACS data on income, earnings and poverty for areas over 65,000 pop
SeptemberAnnual release of ACS data on social, economic (transportation), demographic and housing; special population profiles; and Public Use Microdata Sample (PUMS) data for areas over 65,000 pop
December 9, 2008First 3-year set of tables for 20,000+ pop areas. Period estimates for 2005-06-07
January 16, 2009Annual release of 3-year PUMS
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Date Summary
Aug. 2009 - 1-year ACS, Phase 1 (2008 data)
Sept. 2009 - 1-year ACS, Phase 2 (2008 data)
Dec. 2009 - 3-year ACS (06, 07,08 data)
Jan. 2010 - 3-year ACS PUMS (06, 07,08 data)
April 1, 2010 Decennial Census DayAug. 2010 - 1-year ACS, Phase 1 (2009 data)
Sept. 2010 - 1-year ACS, Phase 2 (2009 data)
Dec. 2010 - 3-year ACS (07, 08,09 data)
Dec. 31, 2010 POPULATUION Count, PL171??? 2010 - 5-year ACS (05, 06,07, 08, 09 data)
??? 2010 - 5-year ACS (05, 06,07, 08, 09 data)
??? 2010 - 5-year ACS PUMS (05, 06,07, 08, 09 data)
Jan. 2011 - 3-year ACS PUMS (07, 08,09 data)
58
Where do you get ACS?
FactFinder
http://factfinder.census.gov
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• Changes in CTPP• Consolidated Purchase
• AASHTO Oversight Board
• Work Program - Data Products
• Resources• General
• Training/Technical assistance
• Data
• What a Division Planner needs to know
ACT 3 New Developments
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Census Transportation
Planning Products
The CTPP embodies a collection of Census Data used for Transportation Planning. With changing data needs and the ACS, there will be a variety of different products useful for transportation planning emanating from Census Data. There will be Special Tabulations, Standard Tables and even Value Added-products. The CTPP captures all of these.
Think of CTPP as a place to look for Census Data products to help with your Transportation needs
Enter the ACS era…
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All States + DC
AASHTO Led
Oversight Board
Five Year period ~ 2011
Consolidated CTPP Purchase
Federal Technical Advisory GroupTRB Subcommittee -- List Serve (700 strong)Quarterly Newsletter -- OutreachSeveral Websites
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AASHTO Oversight Board
Approved Work Program
Program Management--Hire Person
Special Data Products3- and 5-year data productsTAZ creation
Training and Technical Assistance
Research
Approved FHWA-CB IAA for $1.19 million
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Census Data Products
X
3- and 5-year Data products
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3-year Data Product
What we were planning a year ago
Highlights
Based on 2000 Tables
More Age Tables
Streamlined Race Tables
Clarified Universes
Revamped Organization
Many NEW Univariate Tables
65
3-year Data Product Hits Snag
Disclosure Review Board
All Tables rounded like 2000
No thresholds on Univariate Mode tables
Cell thresholds on all Mode by “X” tablesTables with failing cells suppressedIncludes all Resident and Workplace tables
Worker flows by Total Workers and Flows by Mode [7] no thresholds
http://trbcensus.com/drb
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3-year Data Product Update
1. Developing tables with 2006, 2007 and 2008 data, released in Summer 2010 (?)
2. Working to get table request to Census DRB for review by April 2009
3. Tables heavily collapsed
4. Going after FLOW tables regardless
Current Status
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5-year Data Product
Likely to be all synthetic
Hinges on some key research XNCHRP Proposed Problem StatementPROBLEM Number: 2010 B-23($500K)PROBLEM TITLE: Identifying CredibleAlternatives for Producing 5-year CTPP Data Products from the ACS
http://trbcensus.com/notes/NCHRP_CTPP_Data_Proposal_Oct2008.pdf
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TAZs (Traffic Analysis Zones)
What we were planning a year ago
Will there be Census TAZS?
69
Where we are at today?
http://trbcensus.com/notes/ACSTAZs.pdf
• Developed in late 2008 and early 2009 Summer 2011
•All zones would nest within each larger zones and Counties
•GIS approach similar to (PSAP) equivalency process
•Funded under Consolidated Purchase
But why
the
Change?
70
•General
•Geography
•Training/Technical Assistance
•Data Sources
•Research Efforts
ACT 3 Resources to Consider
71
708-283-3534
http://www.dot.gov/ctpp
http://www.TRBcensus.com
Your Best Contacts
206-220-4460
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Status Report
http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/ctpp/status.htm
http://www.trbcensus.com/newsletters.html
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Local Update of Census Addresses (LUCA) http://www.census.gov/geo/www/luca2010/luca.html
Boundary and Annexation Survey (BAS)http://www.census.gov/geo/www/bas/bashome.html
School District Review Program (SDRP)http://www.census.gov/geo/www/schdist/sch_dist.html
Tribal Statistical Areas Program (TSAP)http://www.census.gov/geo/www/tsap2010/tsap2010.html
Participant Statistical Areas Program (PSAP)
Urbanized Area UZA definitions
http://www.census.gov/geo/www/
Geography Programs
75http://www.census.gov/geo/www/psap2010/cbt/index.htm
MAF/TIGER Partnership Software
PSAP
76
http://www.census.gov/geo/www/psap2010/cbt/index.htm
Computer Based Training
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Boundaries
FHWA FAQs on Boundaries and Census Issues http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/planning/census/faqa2cdt.htm
Census Bureau latest info on Urban Areas http://www.edthefed.com/uza/UA_Update.pdf
Post 2000 Boundary Articles and Information http://edthefed.com/#UZA%20Issues
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Report 588 A Guidebook for Using ACS Data forTransportation Planning
275 pagesTrend AnalysisHow to recalculate
Margins of Error
http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/nchrp/nchrp_rpt_588.pdf
Training and Technical Assistance
79
A Compass for Understanding And Using ACS Data
Set of user-specific handbooks
Train-the trainer materials
E-learning ACS Tutorial
http://www.census.gov/acs/www/UseData/Compass/compass_series.html
Working with ACS
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http://fhwa.na3.acrobat.com/p97212507/
Online Materials
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Getting Data - Census Standard Products
FactFinder
http://factfinder.census.gov
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http://ctpp.transportation.org
ACS Data Profiles
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Data ChangesThe American Community Survey (ACS) replaced the Long Form. It is the ACS where we get all the data used for transportation planning
CTPP DevelopmentsCTPP--Stands for Census Transportation Planning Products and there is a whole group of people looking out for the best interest of the transportation community
Potential Changes Due to 2010 CensusIn April of 2010 there will be population count (Census). Results will be out at the end of the year and congressional seats will change
ACT 3 Take Aways
84
Boundary ImplicationsRemember: UZA Boundary setting criteria will be out in Fall 2009. FHWA plans are uncertain?
Traffic Analysis ZonesTAZs will not be developed until of summer of 2011
Other Data Products/NewSpecifics on ACS transportation data products are still unfolding
ACT 3 Take Aways
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Carl Mikyska (FL)
Epilogue
David Jolicoeur (WI)
Division Perspective
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Epilogue
•Are there any Census or other data issues or concerns that you are currently seeing with your partners?
•Have you discussed data issues with your MPOs?
•Have any data related issues come up in your certification reviews?
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Tribal Planning Issues and New Developments: What a FHWA
Planner Needs to Know
April 21, 2009
1 – 3:00 p.m. EST
Hosted by Fawn Thompson
Next Planning on the Web
Next Planning on the Web (POW) Session
88
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