1 New Tools for Stock Analysis & Portfolio Management by Douglas Gerlach President, ICLUBcentral...

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1 New Tools for New Tools for Stock Analysis Stock Analysis & & Portfolio Portfolio Management Management by Douglas Gerlach President, ICLUBcentral Inc. Investor's Toolkit 5

Transcript of 1 New Tools for Stock Analysis & Portfolio Management by Douglas Gerlach President, ICLUBcentral...

Page 1: 1 New Tools for Stock Analysis & Portfolio Management by Douglas Gerlach President, ICLUBcentral Inc. Investor's Toolkit 5.

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New Tools forNew Tools forStock AnalysisStock Analysis

&&Portfolio Portfolio

ManagementManagement

by Douglas GerlachPresident,

ICLUBcentral Inc.

Investor's Toolkit 5

Page 2: 1 New Tools for Stock Analysis & Portfolio Management by Douglas Gerlach President, ICLUBcentral Inc. Investor's Toolkit 5.

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What's New in Investor's Toolkit 5?

● Intelligent home page● New OPS-integrated toolbar● Insightful portfolio management

tools● Option to graph of SSG values to

scale● Full 5-year projections (not just to 5th

fiscal year)● And much more!

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The Home Page

● Appears when you start up

● Items in red require attention

● Portfolio Report Card gives you status of holdings

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Update Prices

Remove button removes single stock from update process

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Update Company Data

● Import new data from OPS for all holdings

● To update one stock, select it and click Update Selected Company

● Click Update All to update all stocks

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Portfolio Report Card

● Portfolios highlighted in red require attention

● Double-click to begin working with a portfolio

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Portfolio Overview

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Portfolio Alerts

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Defense

● “Rule of 5” -- 1 out of 5 stocks will underperform your expectations

● Occasionally due to unpredictable circumstances

● More often due to fundamental problems

● Defense is protecting portfolio from damage from that 1 in 5 stock with fundamental problems

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Offense

● Offense is proactively improving performance of your portfolio by replacing fine but overpriced companies

● Relates strictly to stock's price● Overvalued stocks can no longer

produce desirable return in future

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Defensive Alerts

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Defensive Actions

1) Compare– % change for Sales, PTP, and EPS– More analysis if growth doesn't meet

expectations

2) Analyze– Examine history to refine list of sale

candidates– Determine if marked trends exist

3) Decide– Use web to determine reasons for failure– Sell stocks ASAP with low prospects for

strong, steady growth

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Using PERT

● PERT-A allows you to see subtle downtrends not always visible on quarter to-quarter basis

● Over time, however, these might aggregate into substantial decay in performance

● Gives you insight into past behavior of company

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PERT-A Worksheet

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PERT-A Graphs

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Offensive Alerts

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Offensive Action

1) Check Risk and Reward– Select companies whose RV, U/D Ratio, and

TR indicate they are overpriced

2) Reevaluate– Review SSG for each, making sure that EPS

growth and forecast high PEs are reasonable

3) Challenge– Replace companies with unsatisfactory return

& risk with companies of equal/better quality & better potential returns

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Challenge Overpriced Stocks

Set Challenge Parameters

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Select Challenger

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Challenge Results

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Working with SSGs & Data

● New Toolbar gives you instant access to online SSG data– Enter Ticker or Company name to

download SSG data from OPS– Automatically downloads nearly all

information necessary for SSG and PERT

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Using the Library

Library contains all past saved SSGs

● Click column header to re-sort

● Or view by portfolio● Double-click a stock

to open it● Add/Remove shares

to portfolios

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Visual Analysis

Options for scaling graph, starting projection line & entering growth rates

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Historical Growth RatesClick “View Hist. Growth” to display

Growth rates displayed for various periods

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Company Toolbar

● Quickly change to new form● Zoom in or out, print, save, refresh

data & price and more

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SSG Page 2

Yellow, pink & green highlighting shows you items to review

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Pre-Tax Profit Margin Graph

Allows you to visually identify trends in PTP.

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High and Low P/E Ratio Graph

Review past P/E Ratios to identify trends that may continue in the future

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Average Hi/Lo P/E Judgment

Review past high and low P/E Ratios

Eliminate outliers if necessary

3 options to choose from...

Or enter your own future estimates

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Select Low Price

Select a potential low stock price or enter your own

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Price Zones and U/D Ratio

Buy, sell or hold?

Forecasted high price

Current price

Selected low price

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Many More Features

● Toolkit 5 also includes:– Stock Comparison Guide– Portfolio/PERT Reports, including:

● PERT● Portfolio Trend Report● Portfolio Summary● Portfolio Defense Report● Portfolio Offense Report

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Recommended by USAToday.com

Try Investor's Toolkit 5 for yourself, and find out why USAToday.com called the program:“a great tool to help investors stop themselves from potentially paying

too much for a stock.”

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Any Questions?

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Investor's Toolkit 5

● For more information & free demo:http://www.iclub.com/tk5/

● To purchase:http://www.iclub.com/tk5/buy/

● For support:http://www.iclub.com/support/