1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J....

16
1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr. National Weather Service Infusion of Satellite Data: Today and Tomorrow

Transcript of 1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J....

Page 1: 1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr. National Weather Service Infusion of Satellite.

1

GOES Users’ ConferenceOctober 1, 2002

GOES Users’ ConferenceOctober 1, 2002

John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr.John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr.

National Weather Service

Infusion of Satellite Data:Today and Tomorrow

National Weather Service

Infusion of Satellite Data:Today and Tomorrow

Page 2: 1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr. National Weather Service Infusion of Satellite.

2

OutlineOutline

GOES Operational Use

• National Centers

• WFOs/RFCs

Infusion of Product

Improvements

Outstanding Needs

Infusion Challenges

GOES Operational Use

• National Centers

• WFOs/RFCs

Infusion of Product

Improvements

Outstanding Needs

Infusion Challenges

Page 3: 1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr. National Weather Service Infusion of Satellite.

3

High Temporal Resolution Supports Synoptic and Regional Scale Met Watch

• Storm environments – Development and Tracking

Tropical Storm Intensity and Track

Severe Thunderstorm and Tornado Watch

Flash Flood and Heavy Snow Guidance

Meso-Cyclone Life Cycle

• Customer Service

Icing and Turbulence indicators for Aviation

Land cover information (Snow, Ice)

Cloud Winds

Forecast Verification support

High Temporal Resolution Supports Synoptic and Regional Scale Met Watch

• Storm environments – Development and Tracking

Tropical Storm Intensity and Track

Severe Thunderstorm and Tornado Watch

Flash Flood and Heavy Snow Guidance

Meso-Cyclone Life Cycle

• Customer Service

Icing and Turbulence indicators for Aviation

Land cover information (Snow, Ice)

Cloud Winds

Forecast Verification support

GOES Operational UseNCEP National Centers

GOES Operational UseNCEP National Centers

HPC FcstHPC Fcst

TPC TPC Hurricane Hurricane TrackTrack

AWC Icing FcstAWC Icing Fcst

Page 4: 1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr. National Weather Service Infusion of Satellite.

4

High Temporal Resolution Support WFO and RFC Watch, Warning and Forecast Applications, Including:

• Thunderstorm Development and Motion

• Precip Analysis and Forecasts

• Meso-Cyclone Life Cycle

• Hurricane tracking and landfall

• Lake Effect Snow Bands

• Flood and Flash Flood Forecasts

• Clouds and Derived Winds

High Temporal Resolution Support WFO and RFC Watch, Warning and Forecast Applications, Including:

• Thunderstorm Development and Motion

• Precip Analysis and Forecasts

• Meso-Cyclone Life Cycle

• Hurricane tracking and landfall

• Lake Effect Snow Bands

• Flood and Flash Flood Forecasts

• Clouds and Derived Winds

GOES Operational Use RFCs and WFOs

GOES Operational Use RFCs and WFOs

Page 5: 1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr. National Weather Service Infusion of Satellite.

5

Information InfusionInformation Infusion

GOES Data Currently Available in AWIPS:

GOES Visible/Infrared Imagery• Storm Environments• Storm Tracking• Significant Weather events (e.g., fog)

5 Bands Resolution:

• Visible: 1Km• Infrared: 4Km• Water Vapor: 8Km (4Km)

GOES Sounder Derived Product Imagery• Atmospheric Stability, • Precipitable Water, • Surface Temp, • Cloud Height and Amount

GOES Data Currently Available in AWIPS:

GOES Visible/Infrared Imagery• Storm Environments• Storm Tracking• Significant Weather events (e.g., fog)

5 Bands Resolution:

• Visible: 1Km• Infrared: 4Km• Water Vapor: 8Km (4Km)

GOES Sounder Derived Product Imagery• Atmospheric Stability, • Precipitable Water, • Surface Temp, • Cloud Height and Amount

Satellite Products in WFO/RFCSatellite Products in WFO/RFC

GOES ImageryGOES Imagery

InfraredInfrared

Fog (2)Fog (2)

VisibleVisible

Fog (1)Fog (1)

GOES Stability AnalyzesGOES Stability Analyzes (Lifted Index)(Lifted Index)

Page 6: 1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr. National Weather Service Infusion of Satellite.

6

Information Infusion Information Infusion

Fall 2002: Support for Flash Flood and Flood Warnings and Convective Weather Environments

GOES Automated/Manual Precipitation Estimates

GOES Temperature/Moisture Soundings

Fall 2002: Support for Flash Flood and Flood Warnings and Convective Weather Environments

GOES Automated/Manual Precipitation Estimates

GOES Temperature/Moisture Soundings

Satellite Products in WFO/RFCSatellite Products in WFO/RFC

GOES Precip EstimateGOES Precip Estimate GOES SoundingGOES Sounding

Page 7: 1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr. National Weather Service Infusion of Satellite.

7

Information Infusion Information Infusion

January 2003: GOES-12 Imager Channel Modifications Enhances Available Information

Content for Science Applications

POES Sounding Data with Increased Resolution of Spatial Information to Augment GOES

May 2003:

GOES High Density Winds• Better Understanding of Storm

Environments• Better Model Validation

January 2003: GOES-12 Imager Channel Modifications Enhances Available Information

Content for Science Applications

POES Sounding Data with Increased Resolution of Spatial Information to Augment GOES

May 2003:

GOES High Density Winds• Better Understanding of Storm

Environments• Better Model Validation

Satellite Products in WFO/RFCSatellite Products in WFO/RFC

GOES Winds

Page 8: 1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr. National Weather Service Infusion of Satellite.

8

Information InfusionInformation Infusion

Fall 2003: Improved to Support for Watch and Warning - Better Understanding of Storm Environment and Other Hazards

GOES Automated and Manual Precipitation Estimates: Puerto Rico and Hawaii Regional Sectors

POES Products to Augment GOES:• Surface and Precipitation Products• Scatterometer Marine Surface Winds

Volcanic Ash Product

GOES Sounder Radiance and Cloud Product Imagery

Two Satellite Composites • GOES-East/METEOSAT• GOES-West/GMS

Fall 2003: Improved to Support for Watch and Warning - Better Understanding of Storm Environment and Other Hazards

GOES Automated and Manual Precipitation Estimates: Puerto Rico and Hawaii Regional Sectors

POES Products to Augment GOES:• Surface and Precipitation Products• Scatterometer Marine Surface Winds

Volcanic Ash Product

GOES Sounder Radiance and Cloud Product Imagery

Two Satellite Composites • GOES-East/METEOSAT• GOES-West/GMS

Satellite Products in WFO/RFCSatellite Products in WFO/RFC

POES Marine WindsPOES Marine Winds

Composite InfraredComposite Infrared Volcanic Ash AnalysisVolcanic Ash Analysis

Page 9: 1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr. National Weather Service Infusion of Satellite.

9

Information InfusionInformation Infusion

2003-2007: Product Improvements: Algorithms

• Severe Weather Forecasting

• Cloud Phase and Droplet Size

• Temperature and Moisture Soundings

• Sea Surface and Skin Temperature• Precipitation Analysis

GOES Service Continuity• GOES M (2003)

• GOES N (2004)

• GOES O (2005)

• GOES P (2007)

2003-2007: Product Improvements: Algorithms

• Severe Weather Forecasting

• Cloud Phase and Droplet Size

• Temperature and Moisture Soundings

• Sea Surface and Skin Temperature• Precipitation Analysis

GOES Service Continuity• GOES M (2003)

• GOES N (2004)

• GOES O (2005)

• GOES P (2007)

Satellite Product ImprovementsSatellite Product Improvements

Page 10: 1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr. National Weather Service Infusion of Satellite.

10

Information Infusion Satellite Product Improvements

Information Infusion Satellite Product Improvements

2005-2010:

GIFTS (Geosynchronous Imaging Fourier Transform Spectrometer)

• GOES R Preparation

Calibration and Sample Products

Develop Data Assimilation Techniques

•First Interferometer on Geosynchronous Orbit

Much Improved Vertical RH and

Temperature information

Channels: ~1700 Resolution: 4Km Refresh: 2 soundings/hr

•Once Operational Over Indian Ocean, GIFTS Will Enhance Global Forecast System (GFS) RH and Temperature Forecast performance

2005-2010:

GIFTS (Geosynchronous Imaging Fourier Transform Spectrometer)

• GOES R Preparation

Calibration and Sample Products

Develop Data Assimilation Techniques

•First Interferometer on Geosynchronous Orbit

Much Improved Vertical RH and

Temperature information

Channels: ~1700 Resolution: 4Km Refresh: 2 soundings/hr

•Once Operational Over Indian Ocean, GIFTS Will Enhance Global Forecast System (GFS) RH and Temperature Forecast performance

Page 11: 1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr. National Weather Service Infusion of Satellite.

11

Information Infusion Satellite Product Improvements

Information Infusion Satellite Product Improvements

2012+: GOES R+

• Advance Baseline Imager (ABI):

Improved Clouds, Winds, Aerosols, and

Surface Properties Detection Channels: 12-18 (current 5) Resolution:

• Infrared 2Km (current 4-8Km)• Visible 0.5Km (current 1Km)

Advanced Baseline Sounder (ABS): Improved Lower Troposphere Temperature and Moisture Channels: 1500 Resolution: 8Km (Objective 4Km) Refresh: 2 Soundings/Hr over a Hemispheric Region

2012+: GOES R+

• Advance Baseline Imager (ABI):

Improved Clouds, Winds, Aerosols, and

Surface Properties Detection Channels: 12-18 (current 5) Resolution:

• Infrared 2Km (current 4-8Km)• Visible 0.5Km (current 1Km)

Advanced Baseline Sounder (ABS): Improved Lower Troposphere Temperature and Moisture Channels: 1500 Resolution: 8Km (Objective 4Km) Refresh: 2 Soundings/Hr over a Hemispheric Region

MODISMODIS

Information Content for Moist Atmospheres

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

12 18 18N 50N 2000 RAOB

Channels

Num

ber o

f inde

pend

ent P

ieces

of

Info

rmat

ion

TemperatureMoisture

Cu

rren

t G

OE

S

GO

ES

R

Page 12: 1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr. National Weather Service Infusion of Satellite.

12

S&T InfusionS&T Infusion

Satellite information increase in volume

• Getting the information to users:

Data Volume >> Ability to Process and Disseminate

Data Reduction and Fusion –

• Knowledge Extraction within an Enterprise IT Architecture

Integration of Satellite Data into Decision Aids

Integrated Sensor Training: Optimal Use of Information in Operations

New Product Requirements from NPOESS and GOES R:

End-to-End Costs Evaluated Against Observing Systems

Performance in Field Environment

Satellite information increase in volume

• Getting the information to users:

Data Volume >> Ability to Process and Disseminate

Data Reduction and Fusion –

• Knowledge Extraction within an Enterprise IT Architecture

Integration of Satellite Data into Decision Aids

Integrated Sensor Training: Optimal Use of Information in Operations

New Product Requirements from NPOESS and GOES R:

End-to-End Costs Evaluated Against Observing Systems

Performance in Field Environment

ChallengesChallenges

Page 13: 1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr. National Weather Service Infusion of Satellite.

13

Back UpsBack Ups

Page 14: 1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr. National Weather Service Infusion of Satellite.

14

Geophysical

3-D Vertical Structure

• Lower Atmosphere

• Moisture

• Cloud Properties

Coastal and Ocean Characterization

Air Quality Observations Supporting Predictive Capability

Techniques

Data Reduction and Improved Products

Data Assimilation

Improved Multi-Sensor Products

Geophysical

3-D Vertical Structure

• Lower Atmosphere

• Moisture

• Cloud Properties

Coastal and Ocean Characterization

Air Quality Observations Supporting Predictive Capability

Techniques

Data Reduction and Improved Products

Data Assimilation

Improved Multi-Sensor Products

S&T Infusion Outstanding Needs

S&T Infusion Outstanding Needs

Page 15: 1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr. National Weather Service Infusion of Satellite.

15

Applied R&D

Applied R&D

OperationsOperations

TransitionTransition

S&T InfusionStrategy

S&T InfusionStrategy

Continuous Needs and Opportunities Assessment

Improved Coordination Between NWS and NESDIS

NOAA Matrix Observing Teams

Testbeds – Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation

Continuous Needs and Opportunities Assessment

Improved Coordination Between NWS and NESDIS

NOAA Matrix Observing Teams

Testbeds – Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation

Page 16: 1 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 GOES Users’ Conference October 1, 2002 John (Jack) J. Kelly, Jr. National Weather Service Infusion of Satellite.

16

S&T InfusionKeys

S&T InfusionKeys

Know and Anticipate Customer Needs

Evolve Operational Concepts

Continued Workforce Training

Infuse Proven Science and Technology

Know and Anticipate Customer Needs

Evolve Operational Concepts

Continued Workforce Training

Infuse Proven Science and Technology

IFPS

Air Quality Forecasts