1 CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION Credit Suisse First Boston 2005 Annual Insurance Conference...

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1 CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION Credit Suisse First Boston 2005 Annual Insurance Conference November 2005

Transcript of 1 CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION Credit Suisse First Boston 2005 Annual Insurance Conference...

Page 1: 1 CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION Credit Suisse First Boston 2005 Annual Insurance Conference November 2005.

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CINCINNATI FINANCIAL

CORPORATION

Credit Suisse First Boston2005 Annual Insurance Conference

November 2005

Page 2: 1 CINCINNATI FINANCIAL CORPORATION Credit Suisse First Boston 2005 Annual Insurance Conference November 2005.

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Nasdaq: CINF Today’s presentation contains forward-looking

statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Please refer to our various filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for factors that could cause results to materially differ from those discussed.

Reconciliations of non-GAAP and non-statutory data are available at www.cinfin.com

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Cincinnati Financial CorporationRegional Property Casualty Insurer Market capitalization of $7.8 billion 19th largest publicly traded U.S. property

casualty insurer based on revenues Well capitalized and highly rated Distinguished by:

Relationships with local independent insurance agents

Claims philosophy Total return investing strategy

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Record Results in 2004 Strong First Nine Months of 2005

$0.00

$0.50

$1.00

$1.50

$2.00

$2.50

$3.00

$3.50

2000* 2001 2002 2003* 2004 9mos 04 9mos 05

Operating Income Net Income Dividends Paid

* See the Financials & Analysis tab of the Investors page of www.cinfin.com for non-GAAP and non-statutory reconciliation information.

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Outperform in 2005 Strong insurance performance, targeting

Written premium growth in low single digits GAAP combined ratio of 92%, presuming

catastrophe losses in 4% range Investment income growth of 6.5% to 7.0% Tempered slightly by higher interest expense

on long-term debt

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Strategic Planning – 2004-2008 Improve technology and business

processes Expand and penetrate agency force Compete by meeting independent agency

needs, leveraging local field authority and agent access to company leaders

Identify products and services that add to our mutual success

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Cultivating the Local Independent Insurance Agent Regional carrier

Wide range of property casualty coverages Market for about 75% of agency’s typical risks

1,100 field associates assigned to agencies

Local agents place value on claims service, ease of doing business, market stability, financial strength, access to executives Cincinnati is #1 or #2 carrier in approximately

72% of agency locations

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Serving a Select Group of 1,014 Agencies in 32 States

Headquarters (no branches)

Property CasualtyField Territories

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Market for 75% of Agency’s Typical Risks

Life3%

Other Liability 14%

Other10% Commercial

Multi-Peril26%

Commercial Auto15%

Workers' Comp 11%

Personal Auto 15%

Homeowner9%

Commercial Lines 71%

Property Casualty

Personal Lines 26%

Percent of 2004 Consolidated Net Earned Premiums

Consolidated$3.020 Billion

Property Casualty$2.919 Billion

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Successful AgenciesAgency Billed

Premiums(Open Agencies Only)

(Dollars in millions)

2004 2003 2002 2001

Agency Relationships 986 963 952 960

Cincinnati $3,058 $2,772 $2,472 $2,135

Total Agency P/C $18,532 $16,996 $14,744 $13,790

Cincinnati Agency Penetration

16.5% 16.3% 16.8% 15.5%

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Selectively Appoint New Agencies Tap growth opportunities within existing

states Maintain franchise value 48 new agency relationships in 2004 100 appointments projected 2005 – 2006

51 appointment to-date in 2005

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Claims Philosophy Modestly redundant reserves in each of

the past 10 years 750 claims representatives

Based in local communities Serving agencies

Headquarter claims staff averaging more than 25 years of experience

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Total Statutory Reserve BalanceObjective: modestly redundant reserves

$2,182

$2,352

$2,608

$2,845$2,977

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

Property casualty group(In millions)

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Further ImprovementBalancing growth with profitability Anticipate FY 2005

GAAP combined ratio

of 92% Catastrophe

losses in 4% range

Leverage local knowledge/ underwriting

Emphasis expense management 80%

90%

100%

110%

120%

2000* 2001* 2002* 2003* 2004 9mos 05

Cincinnati Estimated Industry (A.M. Best)

Adjusted statutory combined ratio*

* See the Financials & Analysis tab of the Investors page of www.cinfin.com for non-GAAP and non-statutory reconciliation information.

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Investment PhilosophyLong-term total return

Cover current liabilities with fixed-income investments

Allocate new cash flow to equity securities based on: Insurance department regulations Rating agency commentary Common stock to statutory surplus ratio Parent-company investment assets to total

assets ratio Equity investment offers potential for

current income and capital appreciation

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Focus on Compounding Cash Flows Over the Long Term

Pretax investment income provides primary source of profits Dividend increases from

33 equity holdings in the last 12 months = $23 million in annualized investment income

Surplus contributes to financial strength

Drives book value growth

$0

$100

$200

$300

$400

$500

2001 2002 2003 2004 9mos04

9mos05

Investment incomeDollars in millions

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Maintain Financial Strength

Property casualty surplus ratio of 0.7-to-1 vs. industry average 1.1-to-1 (12/31/04)

Only 1.7% of property casualty groups rated A++ by A.M. Best

Senior Debentures

Property Casualty

Life

A.M. Best aa- A++ A+

Fitch A+ AA AA

Moody’s A2 Aa3 --

S&P A AA- AA-

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Enhancing Return to Shareholders Focus on total return – appreciation plus

dividends plus share repurchase 67.3% five-year total return

88.8% for industry peer group Negative 11.0% for S&P 500

11.6% 10-year compound growth of paid dividends

15% increase in 2005 indicated annualized

cash dividend 45th consecutive annual cash dividend increase 5% stock dividend declared

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CINCINNATI FINANCIAL

CORPORATIONJack Schiff, Jr., chairman and chief executive officer

Ken Stecher, chief financial officer and senior vice presidentJ.F. Scherer, senior vice president – Sales & Marketing

Marty Hollenbeck, vice president – InvestmentsHeather Wietzel, vice president – Investor Relations