1 A Systematic Review of the Genetic Mechanisms …...1 1 A Systematic Review of the Genetic...

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1 A Systematic Review of the Genetic Mechanisms of Dolutegravir Resistance 1 2 Soo-Yon Rhee a #, Philip M. Grant a , Philip L. Tzou a , Geoffrey Barrow b , P. Richard Harrigan c , John 3 P.A. Ioannidis d , Robert W. Shafer a 4 5 a Department of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA 6 b Centre for HIV/AIDS Research, Education and Services (CHARES), Department of Medicine, 7 University of the West Indies, Kingston, Jamaica 8 c Department of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada 9 d Meta-Research Innovation Center at Stanford, Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA 10 11 12 13 Running Title: Dolutegravir Resistance 14 15 16 17 18 19 #Address correspondence to Soo-Yon Rhee, [email protected]. 20 21

Transcript of 1 A Systematic Review of the Genetic Mechanisms …...1 1 A Systematic Review of the Genetic...

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A Systematic Review of the Genetic Mechanisms of Dolutegravir Resistance 1

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Soo-Yon Rheea#, Philip M. Granta, Philip L. Tzoua, Geoffrey Barrowb, P. Richard Harriganc, John 3

P.A. Ioannidisd, Robert W. Shafera 4

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aDepartment of Medicine, Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA 6

bCentre for HIV/AIDS Research, Education and Services (CHARES), Department of Medicine, 7

University of the West Indies, Kingston, Jamaica 8

cDepartment of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada 9

dMeta-Research Innovation Center at Stanford, Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA 10

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Running Title: Dolutegravir Resistance 14

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#Address correspondence to Soo-Yon Rhee, [email protected]. 20

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ABSTRACT 22

Background: Dolutegravir (DTG) has is one of the most commonly used antiretroviral (ARV) 23

drugs but there has been no systematic review of the genetic mechanisms of DTG resistance. 24

Methods: We systematically reviewed DTG resistance studies to map key DTG resistance 25

concepts, analyzing mutations emerging in vitro and in vivo under DTG selection pressure; the 26

effect of integrase strand transfer inhibitor (INSTI)-resistance mutations on in vitro DTG 27

susceptibility; and the virological efficacy of DTG in populations at increased risk for virological 28

failure (VF). 29

Results: We analyzed 14 studies describing 84 in vitro passage experiments, 26 studies describing 30

63 persons developing VF plus INSTI-resistance mutations on a DTG-containing regimen, 41 31

studies describing 572 in vitro DTG susceptibility results, and 22 clinical trials and 16 cohort 32

studies of DTG-containing regimens in persons at increased risk of VF. The most common INSTI-33

resistance mutations arising in persons with VF on a DTG-containing regimen were R263K, 34

G118R, N155H, and Q148H/R, with R263K and G118R predominating in previously INSTI-naïve 35

persons. The public availability of complete integrase sequences in only 2 of 63 persons with VF 36

plus INSTI-resistance mutations precluded the identification of potentially novel DTG-resistance 37

mutations. R263K alone reduced DTG susceptibility approximately 2-fold while viruses 38

containing G118R alone generally reduced DTG susceptibility more than 5-fold. The highest 39

levels of reduced susceptibility occurred in viruses containing Q148 mutations in combination with 40

G140 and/or E138 mutations plus one or more accessory INSTI-resistance mutation. Several DTG-41

containing two-drug combinations were highly effective for first-line therapy and for virologically 42

suppressed persons provided DTG’s companion drug was fully active. DTG-containing three-drug 43

combinations were highly effective for salvage therapy in ARV-treated, INSTI-naïve persons 44

provided one or more of DTG’s companion drugs was fully active. However, the use of DTG 45

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monotherapy in virologically suppressed persons and possibly functional DTG monotherapy in 46

persons with active viral replication were associated with a non-trivial risk of VF plus INSTI-47

resistance mutations. 48

Conclusions: The spectrum of DTG-selected mutations and effects of these mutations on in vitro 49

DTG susceptibility is emerging but is limited in part because integrase sequences have been 50

published for only a small proportion of cases of DTG-associated VF. The risks of VF and INSTI-51

resistance mutations in persons receiving functional DTG monotherapy poses a challenge to 52

standard fixed-dose DTG-containing combinations in low- and middle-income countries where 53

genotypic resistance testing is not routinely available and where such combinations have recently 54

been recommended for persons with VF on a first-line ARV regimen. 55

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INTRODUCTION 56

The integrase strand transfer inhibitor (INSTI) dolutegravir (DTG) has an improved safety 57

profile, greater efficacy, and lower cost compared with efavirenz 1–3. DTG will play a dominant 58

role in first-line therapy in many countries, including those with and without high levels of pre-59

treatment drug resistance. DTG has also recently been recommended by the WHO as a preferred 60

component for second-line therapy 4. 61

The mutations selected by DTG and their effects on DTG susceptibility define the genetic 62

mechanisms of DTG resistance. Understanding these mechanisms is essential for monitoring 63

persons with VF on a DTG-containing regimen and for determining the genetic barrier to DTG 64

resistance. The efficacy of DTG in persons at increased risk of virological failure helps inform 65

which companion antiretroviral (ARV) drugs should be used in combination with DTG in ARV-66

treated persons. These data are particularly relevant to the use of DTG in the low- and middle-67

income countries where genotypic resistance testing is not routinely performed prior to starting a 68

DTG-containing regimen. 69

Here, we systematically review published studies and meeting presentations on DTG 70

resistance. The review maps key DTG resistance concepts and analyzes the mutations emerging 71

in vitro and in vivo under DTG selection pressure; the effect of INSTI-resistance mutations on in 72

vitro DTG susceptibility; and the virological efficacy of DTG in persons at increased risk for 73

virological failure (VF) and drug resistance. 74

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METHODS 76

Literature Review 77

A systematic search of the NCBI PubMed database for all English language papers on DTG 78

resistance using the search string: “Dolutegravir or GSK1349572” was last updated on 24. January 79

2019. A list of the titles and abstracts presented at scientific meetings during 2017 and 2018 that 80

contained the drug name “Dolutegravir” was also compiled. The scientific meetings included 81

Conference on Retroviruses and Opportunistic Infections (CROI), IAS Conference on HIV 82

Science, International AIDS Conference, International Workshop on HIV Drug Resistance and 83

Treatment Strategies (HIVDRW), IDWeek, InterScience Conference on Antimicrobial Agents and 84

Chemotherapy, European AIDS Conference, European Meeting on HIV & Hepatitis, and Glasgow 85

HIV Drug Therapy. Additional publications and meeting presentations were identified from the 86

reference lists of identified papers. 87

Retrieved studies were reviewed in three stages. First, titles and/or abstracts were reviewed 88

to identify studies relevant to DTG resistance. Following the title/abstract review, complete 89

publications or posters (in the case of meeting presentations) were reviewed to determine which 90

studies contained data relevant to the three main areas of focus: (i) mutations emerging under DTG 91

selection pressure in vitro and in vivo; (ii) in vitro DTG susceptibility data; and (iii) virological 92

efficacy of DTG. In (iii), we examined the virological efficacy of DTG when used with a reduced 93

number of companion ARVs or when used to treat persons with viruses containing either INSTI-94

associated DRMs or containing DRMs that reduce the activity of the ARVs used in combination 95

with DTG. In the third stage, studies were reviewed further to determine whether they merited 96

inclusion in a table, a figure, or in the text. The complete list of studies meeting the first review 97

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stage are available in a publicly available companion Zotero reference database 98

(https://www.zotero.org/groups/2262131/dtg_stanfordhivdb). 99

The following types of studies passing the first review stage were excluded: (i) review 100

papers lacking primary data; (ii) studies containing drug resistance data for the INSTIs raltegravir 101

or elvitegravir but not DTG; (iii) in vitro experiments designed to understand the cellular, 102

biochemical, or biophysical (rather than genetic) mechanisms of DTG resistance; (iv) studies of 103

HIV-2 or non-group M viruses; and (v) studies containing redundant analyses of a clinical trial or 104

cohort (Fig. 1). 105

Studies passing the first two review stages were subjected to additional exclusion criteria: 106

(i) clinical trials and cohort studies of persons receiving a standard three-drug first-line DTG- 107

containing regimen were excluded from summary tables as it has already been established from 108

previous reviews that such persons are at extremely low risk of VF and emergent resistance 1,5; (ii) 109

clinical trials and cohort studies of DTG intensification or switches to DTG-containing three-drug 110

regimens in virologically suppressed persons as persons in these studies would be expected to be 111

at extremely low risk of VF; (iii) cohort studies containing fewer than 20 persons that did not yield 112

findings that were not also observed in larger studies; (iv) cohort studies containing persons with 113

highly heterogeneous past treatment histories and/or highly heterogenous DTG-containing 114

regimens; (v) cohort studies and case reports of INSTI-experienced persons developing INSTI-115

resistance mutations, if there was no baseline integrase genotype prior to DTG therapy; and (vi) 116

studies describing novel in vitro susceptibility testing assays. 117

Data Extraction 118

Data for all studies was extracted by RWS and PMG, and then SYR. Discrepancies were 119

handled by jointly reviewing the full-text of studies with discrepancies. 120

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Mutations emerging under DTG selection pressure 122

For studies in which viruses were cultured in the presence of increasing DTG 123

concentrations (in vitro passage experiments), we recorded data about the pre-passage virus 124

including its subtype, whether it was a laboratory strain or a clinical isolate, and whether it 125

contained pre-existing known or suspected INSTI-resistance mutations; and the integrase 126

mutations that developed during in vitro passage. 127

For studies of persons whose viruses developed established or suspected INSTI- resistance 128

mutations while receiving DTG we recorded (i) the extent of ARV treatment (ART) prior to DTG 129

therapy including whether the person was ART-naïve, ART-experienced but INSTI-naïve, or 130

INSTI-experienced but DTG-naïve; (ii) whether the person was stably virologically suppressed 131

defined as having a plasma HIV-1 RNA virus level below 50 copies/ml for ³6 months on an 132

unchanged ART regimen; (iii) the ARVs used in combination with DTG, specifically, whether the 133

person received DTG monotherapy or dual therapy, DTG plus two nucleoside RT inhibitors 134

(NRTIs), or DTG plus an optimized background regimen; and (iv) the integrase mutations reported 135

to develop during therapy. 136

INSTI-resistance mutations were defined as mutations previously reported to be selected 137

by raltegravir or elvitegravir and associated with reduced raltegravir or elvitegravir susceptibility. 138

Established nonpolymorphic INSTI-resistance mutations were defined as H51Y, T66A/I/K, E92Q, 139

G118R, F121Y, G140A/S/C, Y143C/G/H/K/R/S, S147G, Q148H/K/R, S153Y/F, N155H, S230R, 140

and R263K 6,7. Polymorphic accessory INSTI-associated mutations were defined as established 141

nonpolymorphic INSTI-resistance mutations occurring at a prevalence ³1% of INSTI-naïve 142

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persons in one or more subtypes and included L74I/M, Q95K, T97A, V151I, E157Q, G163K/R, 143

and D232N 6,8. 144

In vitro susceptibility data 145

For studies containing in vitro susceptibility data, we recorded (i) whether the virus was a 146

clinical or laboratory isolate; (ii) the integrase mutations in the virus and, for laboratory isolates, 147

whether the virus contained one or more mutations placed by site-directed mutagenesis; (iii) the 148

virus subtype; (iv) the method of susceptibility testing; and (v) the fold reduced susceptibility 149

compared with wild type. Duplicate results defined as the identical results on the same site-directed 150

mutant performed by the same laboratory method were excluded. 151

Virological outcome studies 152

In both clinical trials and cohort studies, we characterized study subjects according to (i) 153

their past ART history as either ART-naïve, ART-experienced but INSTI-naïve, and INSTI-154

experienced; (ii) whether they were stably virologically suppressed; and (iii) the components of 155

their DTG-containing regimen: DTG monotherapy or dual therapy, DTG plus two NRTIs, or DTG 156

plus an optimized background. For clinical trial results reporting data at multiple time points, we 157

extracted data from the 24- and 48-week time points. 158

Analysis 159

Mutations emerging under DTG selection pressure 160

In vitro passage experiments included those performed in cell culture and those performed 161

in humanized mice. The analysis of these experiments focused on established nonpolymorphic 162

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INSTI-resistance mutations as no novel nonpolymorphic mutations were reproducibly observed in 163

more than one study. 164

The analysis of emergent INSTI-resistance mutations in persons receiving DTG compiled 165

all reported established nonpolymorphic and polymorphic INSTI-resistance mutations and 166

additional novel nonpolymorphic integrase mutations. The analysis included reports of emergent 167

INSTI-resistance mutations from clinical trials, cohort studies, and case reports to identify the full 168

spectrum of DTG-selected mutations in vivo. 169

In vitro susceptibility data 170

For site-directed mutants, the complete list of mutations was known. However, for most 171

clinical isolates, neither the complete nucleotide sequence nor the complete list of integrase 172

mutations was reported. Therefore, for clinical isolates, only those mutations provided by authors 173

were reported. Of note, the INSTI-selected mutation V151I occurs in the NL43 laboratory isolate, 174

the most common laboratory isolate used for creating site-directed mutants. Therefore, this 175

mutation was excluded from our analyses. However, the supplementary material indicates which 176

susceptibility tests were performed on NL43 site-directed mutants. The in vitro susceptibility of 177

site-directed mutants and clinical isolates containing the four most commonly selected INSTI-178

resistance mutations among persons receiving DTG – R263K, G118R, N155H, and Q148H/R/K – 179

were characterized. 180

Virological outcome studies 181

VF was defined across all studies using an intention-to-treat approach such that subjects 182

discontinuing therapy for any reason such as intolerance or nonadherence were categorized as 183

experiencing VF. This approach was adopted both for studies that reported their results in this 184

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manner and for those that employed a narrower definition of protocol-defined VF. 95% Clopper-185

Pearson confidence interval for proportions of VF and VF plus emergent INSTI resistance were 186

estimated for each individual study. Pooled proportion and the I2 statistic, a measure of 187

heterogeneity among studies, were calculated using the random-effects model implemented in the 188

R meta package in the proportions of VF and VF plus resistance at weeks 24 and 48. 189

RESULTS 190

In vitro Passage Experiments 191

A total of 14 studies described 84 in vitro passage experiments in which an HIV-1 group 192

M virus was cultured with increasing DTG concentrations (Table 1). In 62 experiments, mutations 193

were selected after a median of 30 weeks (interquartile range [IQR]: 20 to 46 weeks). These 62 194

experiments used 37 clinically derived isolates and 25 laboratory isolates. Isolates lacking 195

established INSTI-associated DRMs prior to DTG passage were labeled as wild type. Fifty-three 196

of the viruses had a subtype B backbone; four had a subtype C backbone, two had a CRF02_AG 197

backbone, two had a subtype D backbone, and one had a CRF01_AE backbone. 198

R263K was the most commonly selected INSTI-resistance mutation, developing in 33 199

experiments from 6 studies performed by the same research laboratory (Table 1). In 31 of these 200

experiments, the baseline virus was wild type (including 5 with pre-existing polymorphic 201

accessory resistance mutation, E157Q); the other two baseline viruses contained E92Q or N155H. 202

Other commonly selected INSTI-resistance mutations included S153Y/F (11 isolates, 6 studies), 203

E138K (9 isolates, 4 studies), H51Y (7 isolates, 4 studies), T66A/I (3 isolates, 2 studies) and 204

G118R (2 isolates, 1 study). There was insufficient data to determine whether a particular subtype 205

predisposed to the emergence of specific mutations. In 21 experiments using 11 wild type and 10 206

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viruses containing INSTI-resistance mutations, no additional mutations were observed during in 207

vitro passage. 208

There were two additional studies not shown in Table 1 of humanized mice infected with 209

a laboratory HIV-1 strain and subsequently treated with DTG monotherapy. In one study, one of 210

five mice infected with HIV-1BAL and treated with DTG monotherapy for 20 weeks developed the 211

INSTI-resistance mutations E138K, G140S, Q148H, H155H, and S230R 9. In another study, two 212

of four mice infected with HIV-1LAI and treated with an injectable long-acting DTG formulation, 213

developed R263K and E157Q 10. 214

In an additional experiment (also not shown in Table 1), the laboratory strain HIV-1LAI 215

passaged with high concentrations of DTG developed five nucleotide mutations in the nef gene: 216

three mutations and one deletion in the highly conserved last six nucleotides of the 3’ polypurine 217

tract (GGGGGG ® GCATG) and one mutation six nucleotides upstream of the 3’ polypurine tract 218

11. The nucleotide deletion resulted in a stop codon five amino acids downstream of the 3’ 219

polypurine tract. 220

Mutations Emerging in Persons Receiving DTG 221

The studies in which persons receiving DTG developed VF and one or more INSTI- 222

resistance mutations included (i) 11 studies of INSTI-naïve persons (Table 2); (ii) eight studies of 223

virologically suppressed persons receiving DTG monotherapy for treatment simplification (Table 224

3); and (iii) eight studies of persons who had a history of VF and INSTI- resistance mutations on 225

a raltegravir- or, less commonly, elvitegravir-containing regimen (Table 4). Emergent INSTI-226

resistance mutations have not been reported in any of the trials of a first-line regimen comprising 227

DTG plus two NRTIs 1,5. 228

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The eleven studies of INSTI-naïve persons included four clinical trials, one cohort study, 229

and six case reports (Table 2). Three of the four clinical trials included 712 ART-experienced 230

patients receiving DTG plus an optimized backbone 12–16, which was required in the two largest 231

trials to include at least one fully active ARV based on a pre-therapy genotypic resistance test 12,14. 232

One of the clinical trials included 120 ART-naïve persons receiving DTG plus lamivudine (3TC) 233

17. The cohort study included 310 ART-naïve and ART-experienced INSTI-naïve persons 234

receiving DTG plus two NRTIs 18. The six case reports, included three ART-naïve persons who 235

received DTG plus TDF/FTC and three ART-experienced persons who received DTG plus an 236

optimized background regimen or 2 NRTIs. Overall, 21 persons developed VF and an INSTI-237

resistance mutation. The most common mutations were R263K in 13 persons and G118R in 6 238

persons. Other nonpolymorphic resistance mutations were E138K/T (3 persons), N155H (2 239

persons), Q148K (1 person), S230R (1 person), T66I (1 person) and H51Y (1 person). The 240

nonpolymorphic mutations A49G developed in two persons. 241

The eight studies of persons receiving DTG monotherapy for treatment simplification 242

included three trials with 211 persons, three cohort studies with 92 persons, and two case reports 243

(Table 3). Depending on the study, 6% to 61% of persons in the trials and cohorts had a history of 244

receiving an INSTI. Overall, 16 persons developed VF and an INSTI-resistance mutation. The 245

most common mutations were N155H (7 persons), Q148H/R (3 persons), R263K (2 persons), 246

G118R (2 persons), and S147G (2 persons). Among the 16 persons with VF and emergent INSTI-247

resistance mutations, seven had previously received raltegravir or elvitegravir but had not 248

previously experienced VF on a raltegravir or elvitegravir-containing regimen. 249

In two studies, in which the 3’ polypurine tract was sequenced, two of 17 of persons had 250

one or more nucleotide changes in this highly conserved region. One virus containing two 3’ 251

polypurine tract nucleotide changes (GGGGGG ® GGGAGC) compared with baseline and no 252

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reported integrase mutations 19 and another containing one polypurine tract nucleotide change had 253

the integrase mutation R263K 20. 254

The eight studies of persons with history of VF and INSTI-resistance mutations on a 255

previous raltegravir- or elvitegravir-containing regimen included two of the VIKING trials (the 256

phase IIb VIKING and phase III VIKING-4 trials), one cohort study, and five case reports (Table 257

4). In these eight studies, 31 persons developed VF on a DTG-containing regimen. Prior to 258

receiving DTG, the most common DRMs were Q148H + G140S (22 persons), E138A/K/T (10 259

persons), Y143C/H/R (9 persons), L74M (5 persons), T97A (5 persons), N155H (2 persons), and 260

Q148R + G140A (1 person). After DTG VF, the most common emergent INSTI-associated DRMs 261

were T97A (22 persons), E138K/A/T (12 persons), N155H (7 persons), L74M/I (4 persons), 262

Q148H±G140S (3 persons), and S147G (3 persons). The nonpolymorphic mutations G149A and 263

F139Y developed in two persons and one person, respectively. Of the 63 sequences in Tables 2-4 264

with emergent INSTI-resistance mutations, only two were submitted to GenBank 21,22. 265

In vitro Susceptibility 266

A total of 41 studies contained 572 DTG in vitro susceptibility results (Table S1). These 267

included 28 studies of site-directed mutants, nine of clinical isolates, and four of both site-directed 268

mutants and clinical isolates. Overall, there were 395 susceptibility results on site-directed mutants 269

and 177 results on clinical isolates (Table S2). The site-directed mutants generally contained 270

raltegravir- and elvitegravir-associated resistance mutations, mutations observed under DTG 271

selection pressure, and additional accessory INSTI-associated mutations of uncertain significance. 272

The complete integrase sequence was known for all of the site-directed mutants but was available 273

for only 74 (41.8%) of the 177 clinical virus isolates. 274

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The most commonly used assay was the recombinant virus reporter gene PhenoSense assay 275

(Monogram Biosciences, South San Francisco; n=279). Most of the remaining assays were 276

recombinant virus reporter gene assays developed by other laboratories including ViiV, McGill 277

University, the ANRS, and the NCI. The site-directed mutants contained 127 distinct mutational 278

patterns and for 45 patterns, susceptibility tests were performed with more than one assay. For 279

these 45 patterns, the range/median ratio, a nonparametric measure of dispersion, was £1.0 for 21 280

patterns; 1.1 to 2.0 for 20 patterns and >2.0 for 4 patterns. The dispersion appeared to be lowest 281

between the PhenoSense and ViiV assays (Table S3). 282

Fig. 2 summarizes results on 281 site-directed mutants and clinical isolates containing 283

patterns of INSTI-resistance mutations characterized by four signature mutations: R263K, G118R, 284

N155H, and Q148H/R/K. The first seven plots in Fig. 2 show the levels of fold reduced 285

susceptibility for 42 isolates containing R263K. Twenty-six of the 42 assays were performed using 286

either the McGill laboratory reporter gene (n=17) or peripheral blood mononuclear cell (n=9) 287

assays, while 16 results were determined using the PhenoSense (n=11), NCI (n=3), ViiV (n=1) or 288

ANRS assays (n=1). The median reduction in DTG susceptibility was ~2-fold for isolates with 289

R263K alone, ~5-fold for isolates with R263K plus two additional mutations, and 10 to 15-fold 290

for isolates with R263K plus G118R, N155H, or Q148R (usually in combination with one 291

additional INSTI-resistance mutation). 292

The next three plots in Fig. 2 summarize the levels of reduced susceptibility for 17 isolates 293

containing G118R without R263K. G118R alone or in combination with T66A, L74I, and T97A 294

reduced DTG susceptibility between 5 and 15-fold. Two of the site-directed mutants contained a 295

CRF02_AG integrase backbone. One G118R-containing clinical isolate lacking other reported 296

INSTI-resistance mutations had 30-fold reduced susceptibility; however, the complete list of 297

mutations in this isolate was not available 14. 298

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The next eight plots summarize the levels of reduced susceptibility for 64 isolates 299

containing N155H (without R263K or G118R). N155H alone or in combination with one 300

additional INSTI-resistance mutation usually yielded <2-fold reduced DTG susceptibility. 301

However, in combination with Q148H/R or ³2 additional resistance mutations, reduced 302

susceptibility ranged from 2-fold to >15-fold. The highest levels of reduced susceptibility were 303

found in a site-directed mutant containing the extremely rare mutation pair L74F+V75I 23 and in 304

clinical isolates containing N155H plus Q148H, G140S, and T97A 24 and N155H plus T97A, 305

E138K, and S147G, each of which had >50-fold reduced DTG susceptibility 24. 306

The final nine plots in Fig. 2 summarize the levels of reduced susceptibility for 158 isolates 307

containing Q148H/R/K without R263K, G118R, or N155H. Q148H/R/K alone did not cause 308

measurably reduced DTG susceptibility. However, in combination with a single additional INSTI-309

resistance mutation (usually at position 140 or 138), the median reduction in susceptibility was 310

about 3-fold for Q148H/R and 10-fold for Q148K. In combination with ³2 additional resistance 311

mutations, the median reduction in susceptibility was generally >10-fold. The contribution of 312

accessory mutations to reductions in DTG susceptibility was most striking in clinical isolates 313

possibly because these viruses were likely to have additional background mutations that facilitate 314

reduced susceptibility 25–27. 315

Several isolates lacking each of the four signature mutations in integrase were also reported 316

to have ³2-fold reduced DTG susceptibility including isolates with F121Y 28, S230R 29, 317

E92Q+G140A 30, and T66K+L74M, V151L, and S153Y 31. Additionally, a site-directed mutant 318

containing the five nucleotide changes selected in vitro in the 3’ polypurine tract region displayed 319

23-fold reduced DTG susceptibility 11. 320

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Virological Efficacy in Populations at Increased Risk for Drug Resistance 321

There were 22 clinical trials and 19 cohort studies meeting one of the following inclusion 322

criteria: (i) dual or monotherapy in ART-naïve persons (Table 5); (ii) dual or monotherapy in 323

virologically suppressed persons (Tables 6 and 7); (iii) DTG-containing regimens in ART-324

experienced, INSTI-naïve persons without virological suppression (Table 8); and (iv) DTG-325

containing regimens in INSTI-experienced persons (Table 9). Each table includes the proportions 326

of VF and VF plus emergent INSTI resistance for each study and the pooled proportion for all 327

studies combined at weeks 24 and 48. Genotypic resistance testing was performed In each of the 328

clinical trials in non-virologically suppressed persons (Tables 5, 8, and 9) either to determine 329

subject eligibility and/or to select the ARVs to be used in combination with DTG. 330

Dual or monotherapy in ART-naïve persons 331

Three clinical trials described 856 ART-naïve persons treated with DTG/3TC dual therapy 332

(Table 5) 17,32,33. Each excluded persons with baseline plasma HIV-1 RNA levels >100,000 32 or 333

>500,000 copies/mL 17 or genotypic evidence of 3TC resistance. The largest trial was a 334

randomized controlled trial (GEMINI) that reported a noninferior 91% virological response rate at 335

week 48 for 716 persons receiving DTG/3TC compared with a similar number of persons receiving 336

DTG plus tenofovir (TDF) plus emtricitabine (FTC) 32. The remaining two trials were pilot trials 337

that enrolled 120 persons for 48 weeks (A5353) 17,34 or 20 persons for 48 weeks 33. The VF rate 338

was 10% in these two trials. One person in A5353 with VF developed the DTG-resistance mutation 339

R263K 17. 340

There were two small studies of ART-naïve persons treated with DTG monotherapy that 341

are not shown in Table 5. One was a cohort study of 20 ART-naïve persons with baseline plasma 342

HIV-1 RNA levels <100,000 copies/mL of whom 18 maintained virological suppression when 343

17

receiving DTG monotherapy for a median of 13 months 35. There was also one dose-finding 10-344

day DTG monotherapy trial, which recruited 28 participants 36. Among those receiving 50 mg 345

daily, the mean reduction in virus load was ~2.5 log copies/ml. No INSTI-resistance mutations or 346

reduction in INSTI susceptibility was observed. 347

Dual therapy in ART-experienced virologically suppressed persons 348

Table 6 lists the 13 studies of virologically suppressed persons on a stable ART regimen 349

switched to DTG dual therapy with either 3TC, rilpivirine (RPV), unboosted atazanavir (ATV), or 350

ritonavir-boosted darunavir (DRV/r). DTG/RPV was used in one randomized clinical trial and in 351

four cohort studies totaling 1,067 persons. The randomized controlled SWORD trial demonstrated 352

that DTG/RPV maintained 95% virological suppression at week 48 in 513 persons and was non-353

inferior to the control arm of continued unchanged ART. DTG/3TC was used in two randomized 354

clinical trials, one single arm pilot trial and three cohort studies totaling 504 persons. DTG/ATV 355

and DTG/DRV/r were each used in one small cohort study. Four studies, which included both 356

virologically suppressed persons and persons with active virus replication were excluded 37–40. 357

In all but three studies, the proportion of persons with VF was at or below 10%, and no 358

person developed INSTI-resistance mutations. The pooled proportion of VF at week 48 was 8.6% 359

(95% CI: 4.8% – 12.3%). The extent of heterogeneity was high with an I2 of 82%. This 360

heterogeneity reflects the different dual drug combinations, the inclusion of cohort studies and 361

clinical trials, and the heterogeneous ART histories of the study subjects. Nonetheless, no person 362

developed INSTI-resistance mutations. 363

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Monotherapy in ART-experienced virologically suppressed persons 364

There were four clinical trials and four cohort studies in which virologically suppressed 365

persons were treated with DTG monotherapy (Table 7). The four clinical trials included 279 366

persons of whom 26 (9.3%) developed virological failure and 9 (3.2%) developed INSTI-367

resistance mutations over periods ranging from 24 to 48 weeks 20,41–43. The four cohort studies 368

included 113 persons of whom six (5.3%) developed VF and five (4.4%) developed INSTI-369

resistance mutations over periods ranging from 24 to 48 weeks 44–47. 370

The DTG monotherapy arm was discontinued prematurely in three of the four randomized 371

controlled trials because of an increase in VF and INSTI-resistance mutations compared with the 372

control arm either at week 24 42 or between weeks 24 and 48 20,41. The pooled proportion of persons 373

with VF and INSTI-resistance mutations was 2.4% (95% CI: 0.4-4.3 ; I2: 26%) at study 374

termination. However, the raw proportion was 3.6% (i.e. all the cases with VF and INSTI-375

resistance mutations / the total number of treated persons). An analysis of the DOMONO trial 376

reported that a longer duration between the time of HIV-1 diagnosis and ART initiation, a lower 377

CD4 nadir, and a higher peripheral blood mononuclear cell virus level while virologically 378

suppressed were associated with an increased risk of VF during DTG monotherapy 48. 379

ART-experienced INSTI-naïve persons 380

There were two randomized clinical trials, one single arm phase I/II trial, and one cohort 381

study of DTG-containing regimens in non-virologically suppressed, ART-experienced, INSTI-382

naïve persons (Table 8). Pre-therapy genotypic resistance testing was performed on all persons in 383

three clinical trials and on an unspecified proportion of persons in the cohort study. 384

In the DAWNING trial, DTG + 2 NRTIs was superior to ritonavir-boosted lopinavir + 2 385

NRTIs in persons with VF on a first-line NNRTI-containing regimen who were predicted to have 386

19

one fully active NRTI – usually either zidovudine (AZT) or TDF. The overall rate of VF at week 387

48 was 36.2% with two persons (0.6% of subjects) developing one or more INSTI-resistance 388

mutations. 389

In the SAILING trial, DTG plus an optimized background was superior to raltegravir plus 390

an optimized background in persons with a history of resistance to two or more ARV classes who 391

nonetheless had a baseline genotypic resistance test indicating that at least one ARV in addition to 392

DTG or raltegravir was fully active. In the DTG arm, the proportion of persons with VF in this 393

treatment-experienced population was 29.1%. Two persons (0.6% of subjects) developed one or 394

more INSTI-resistance mutations during the 48 week trial 12 while another three (0.8% of subjects) 395

developed such mutations after week 48 13. 396

In the heavily treated adolescent population enrolled in the phase I/II P1093 dose-finding 397

trial, 39% of 23 subjects developed VF by week 48 and one developed emergent INSTI resistance 398

15. A subsequent analysis of two additional treatment cohorts later recruited to the study containing 399

38 additional adolescents identified two additional cases of emergent INSTI resistance, one at 400

week 52 and another at week 192 16. In the single cohort study, the proportion of persons with VF 401

and emergent INSTI-resistance mutations were 16.7% and 0.8%, respectively, after a median of 402

60 weeks 18. 403

The pooled proportion of VF at week 48 was 28.0% (95% CI: 18.6%-37.5%) with a high 404

degree of heterogeneity (I2: 91%) reflecting the lower VF rate in the cohort study compared with 405

the three clinical trials. The pooled proportion of VF plus INSTI-resistance mutations at week 48 406

was 0.7% (95% CI: 0.2%-1.2%; I2: 0%). 407

There were also two randomized controlled trials totaling 242 persons in which DTG plus 408

2 NRTIs was substituted for a ritonavir-boosted protease inhibitor (PI) plus 2 NRTIs in persons 409

with stable virological suppression 49,50. Both trials were performed for the management of PI-410

20

associated toxicities and included no one with a history of NRTI-resistance mutations. VF rates 411

were low and no persons developed INSTI-resistance mutations. One randomized controlled trial 412

substituted DTG plus abacavir/3TC for ongoing therapy in 519 persons who were virologically 413

suppressed on their initial ART-regimen which demonstrating noninferiority of the DTG 414

containing regimen; no person in this study developed INSTI-resistance mutations 51. 415

INSTI-experienced persons 416

One multi-part clinical trial (VIKING cohorts I and II, VIKING-3, and VIKING-4) and 417

one cohort study investigated the response to DTG plus an optimized background in persons with 418

a history of INSTI resistance as a result of previous VF on a raltegravir or elvitegravir-containing 419

regimen 25,52–55 (Table 9). Overall, the VIKING studies included 264 persons and the cohort study 420

included 190 persons. 31% of the 190 persons in the cohort study had previously been enrolled in 421

one of the VIKING studies. DTG 50 mg twice daily (BID) was received in all persons except for 422

a small number of persons in the dose-finding VIKING cohort I trial. In two trials, VIKING cohort 423

II and VIKING-4, a small number of individuals had a period of functional DTG monotherapy 424

lead-in of seven (VIKING-4) to ten (VIKING cohort II) days before the ARVs accompanying 425

DTG were optimized. 426

In nearly all persons in the VIKING trials and in the cohort study, the number of optimized 427

background ARVs predicted to be fully active was low and the overall VF rate was high ranging 428

from 25% to 59% at week 24 and from 39% to 60% at week 48. The VIKING study defined 429

genotypic DTG resistance as Q148H/R/K in combination with one or more of the following 430

accessory DRMs: L74M/I, T97A, E138A/K/T, or G140S/A/C. In an analysis of the 183 person 431

VIKING-3 study, the risk of VF at week 24 was 21% in the absence of a Q148 mutation, 42% in 432

21

the presence of Q148H/R/K plus one accessory mutation, and 76% in the presence of Q148H/R/K 433

and two accessory mutations 53. 434

Using in vitro susceptibility data measured by the PhenoSense assay, there was a VF risk 435

of 24% for persons with viruses having <4-fold reduced DTG susceptibility, 46% for persons with 436

viruses having 4-10-fold reduced susceptibility, and 73% for persons with viruses having >10-fold 437

reduced susceptibility 53. A similar analysis performed by the FDA found that a ³3-fold (rather 438

than 4-fold) reduction in DTG susceptibility was associated with a reduced virological response. 439

The absence of the raw genotypic and phenotypic data from these studies precluded an independent 440

analysis. The VIKING-4 study suggested that the brief functional monotherapy period may have 441

increased the subsequent VF risk even after the background ARVs were optimized 25. 442

The development of INSTI-resistance mutations at VF that were not present at baseline 443

was reported for 26 persons (Table 4). However, the overall proportions of subjects developing 444

additional INSTI-resistance mutations was not provided presumably because all persons in the 445

VIKING trials and the cohort study had INSTI-resistance mutations prior to starting DTG. 446

DISCUSSION 447

DTG-Selected Mutations 448

The mutations developing during in vitro passage were similar to those developing in vivo 449

in INSTI-naïve persons. R263K was the most common mutation in both scenarios. G118R, E138K, 450

and H51Y also occurred both in vitro and in vivo, although E138K and H51Y occurred only in 451

combination with other mutations. S153Y/F occurred commonly in vitro but has not yet been 452

reported in vivo. N155H and Q148 mutations were not selected in vitro but developed in several 453

INSTI-naïve persons, particularly in virologically suppressed persons receiving DTG 454

22

monotherapy. 3’ polypurine tract mutations developed in one in vitro passage experiment and in 455

two of 17 persons with VF on DTG monotherapy. 456

The spectrum of mutations selected by DTG in INSTI-experienced persons differed from 457

the spectrum in INSTI-naïve persons. Of 31 primarily raltegravir-experienced persons with 458

baseline INSTI-resistance mutations, none developed R263K or G118R. Rather, the most common 459

DTG-selected mutations were L74M/I, T97A, E138A/K/T, G140A/S, Q148H/R, and N155H. 460

However, as previously reported for raltegravir, it would be expected that in DTG-treated persons, 461

non-subtype B viruses would be less likely than subtype B viruses to develop Q148 mutations as 462

a result of the requirement in non-subtype B viruses for two nucleotide changes for the key 463

compensatory mutation G140S 56–58. 464

G118R was previously reported in a person receiving raltegravir 59 and R263K was 465

previously selected during in vitro passage with elvitegravir 60. However, these mutations occurred 466

in a much higher proportion of persons with VF on DTG compared with previous studies of VF in 467

persons receiving raltegravir or elvitegravir 5,6. Indeed, no completely novel nonpolymorphic 468

INSTI-selected mutations were identified in persons receiving DTG except for A49G, G149A, and 469

3’ polypurine tract mutations, each of which occurred in two persons. However, as integrase 470

sequences were not available for 61 of 63 viruses from DTG-treated persons with VF and INSTI-471

resistance mutations, it is likely that some DTG-selected mutations were not reported. 472

Effect of INSTI-Resistance Mutations on in vitro DTG Susceptibility 473

R263K alone reduced DTG susceptibility approximately 2-fold while viruses containing 474

R263K plus N155H or Q148R reduced susceptibility 10 to 15-fold. G118R alone generally 475

reduced DTG susceptibility more than 5-fold with higher levels of reduced susceptibility reported 476

in site-directed mutants containing accessory resistance mutations including L74I, T97A, and 477

23

E138K. Both R263K and G118R were associated with reduced enzymatic activity and replication 478

capacity 61–63. The relative rarity of G118R compared with R263K may be due to its usual 479

requirement for mutations at two nucleotides rather than one nucleotide regardless of subtype (i.e., 480

G118R results from a single nucleotide mutation only when the amino acid glycine [G] is encoded 481

by GGA and GGG and not when it is encoded by GGC and GGT) 21. 482

Although N155H was among the most common DTG-selected mutations, it was rarely 483

associated with reduced DTG susceptibility in the absence of R263K or Q148H/R. Q148 mutations 484

alone also had no effect on DTG susceptibility. However, Q148 mutations nearly always occur in 485

combination with other INSTI-resistance mutations. Of 251 isolates in the Stanford HIV Drug 486

Resistance Database with Q148H/R/K, only 14 (5.6%) did not also include a mutation at positions 487

140 or 138. Q148H occurred alone in 3 (1.9%) of its 160 occurrences, Q148R in 11 (15.7%) of its 488

70 occurrences, and Q148K in 0 of its 11 occurrences. 489

In site-directed mutants containing Q148 mutations, reduced susceptibility ranged from 490

approximately 3-fold with the commonly occurring combination Q148H+G140S, 5 to 10-fold with 491

Q148R+G140A/S, and 10 to 20-fold with Q148K+E138K. The greatest levels of reduced DTG 492

susceptibility, often as high as 50-fold, occurred in clinical isolates containing Q148 mutations in 493

combination with mutations at positions 140 and/or 138 and one or more accessory mutations 25–494

27. 495

The greater reduction in susceptibility in clinical compared with laboratory isolates, a 496

phenomenon observed with several established mutation patterns 14,25–27, suggests that 497

unrecognized mutations likely also contribute to reduced DTG susceptibility. The absence of 498

integrase sequences for the majority of the phenotyped clinical isolates precluded an analysis of 499

the potentially novel integrase mutations on reduced DTG susceptibility. 500

24

Virological Efficacy in Populations at Increased Risk for Drug Resistance 501

The risk of VF and INSTI-resistance on a DTG-containing regimen depended on a person’s 502

prior ART experience and the ARVs used in combination with DTG. It likely also depended on 503

whether a person’s virus was actively replicating or stably suppressed on therapy. 504

In ARV-naïve persons without a history of pre-existing drug resistance, standard first-line 505

DTG-containing regimens and DTG/3TC were associated with a very low risk of VF and emergent 506

INSTI resistance. Although DTG/3TC is unlikely to be used in regions without baseline genotypic 507

resistance testing, the success of this regimen indicates that DTG does not require two fully active 508

NRTIs to be highly effective. Data from ARV-experienced persons with stable virological 509

suppression also support this concept as DTG/3TC and DTG/RPV were highly effective dual 510

therapy simplification regimens as summarized here and in a previous meta-analysis of DTG-511

containing dual therapy for treatment simplification 64. Although subjects in the larger of these 512

studies were at low risk of VF (i.e., having no history of VF or of resistance to INSTIs, RPV, or 513

3TC), several of the smaller studies included persons with multiple past VFs including some 514

harboring viruses with reduced 3TC susceptibility. 515

Among 392 virologically suppressed persons in four clinical trials and four cohort studies 516

receiving DTG monotherapy for 24 to 48 weeks, 14 (3.6%) developed VF plus INSTI-resistance 517

mutations. Although this risk is not very high, it is unacceptable because the proportion of persons 518

with virological failure and INSTI resistance increased markedly between weeks 24 and 48 20,41. 519

Further monotherapy studies will therefore be unlikely except possibly for certain populations that 520

appear to be at low risk of VF including those who initiated ART shortly after HIV-1 infection or 521

who had low proviral DNA levels, factors associated with a smaller and less heterogeneous latent 522

virus population 43,48. Finally, the 3.6% risk of VF and emergent resistance over a period of 24 to 523

25

48 weeks may underestimate the risk associated with functional DTG monotherapy in persons with 524

active virological replication rather than stable virological suppression. 525

Our analyses of DTG in virologically suppressed persons (described in the previous two 526

paragraphs and Tables 6 and 7) included 20 studies that overlapped with 19 distinct studies in a 527

recent systematic review of VF during DTG-based mono and dual therapy in virologically 528

suppressed persons 64. We excluded three studies from this previous review including two studies 529

that had fewer than ten persons 66,67 and one that included persons with both virological 530

suppression and active virus replication 39. We included four studies that were not in this previous 531

review 20,68,69. 532

In addition to studies of DTG monotherapy and of DTG plus one active ARV, there were 533

four studies of 941 persons in which DTG was used with NRTIs that may have been compromised 534

by pre-existing NRTI resistance including four studies of ART-experienced, INSTI-naïve persons, 535

in which DTG was used with two NRTIs or an optimized background 12,14,15,18. These studies are 536

relevant to the use of DTG plus two NRTIs in two important clinical scenarios in low- and middle-537

income countries: second-line therapy in persons with confirmed VF on a first-line NNRTI-538

containing regimen and transitioning from a first-line NNRTI-containing regimen to a DTG-539

containing regimen in the absence of a viral load assay confirming virological suppression. 540

In the four reviewed studies of DTG in ARV-experienced INSTI-naïve persons, baseline 541

genotypic resistance testing was available to guide therapy. Indeed, to be eligible for participation 542

in the two largest trials, subjects were required to be placed on at least one ARV that was predicted 543

to be active by genotypic resistance testing 12,14. Genotypic resistance testing, however, is usually 544

not available in low- and middle-income countries. Therefore, the proportion of persons with VF 545

and emergent INSTI resistance during the first 48 weeks of therapy in low- and middle-income 546

26

countries would likely be higher than the 0.7% observed in the reviewed studies in which baseline 547

genotypic resistance testing was performed in an attempt to avoid functional DTG monotherapy. 548

Finally, the studies in which DTG plus an optimized background regimen was used for the 549

treatment of INSTI-experienced persons showed that the Q148 mutational pathway was associated 550

with reduced clinical as well as in vitro DTG susceptibility. These studies also indicated that a 3 551

to 4-fold reduction in DTG susceptibility was associated with a measurably reduced response to 552

therapy compared with full DTG susceptibility. It is not known, however, whether this phenotypic 553

threshold for clinically significant susceptibility also applies to the R263K or G118R mutational 554

pathways. 555

In conclusion, the most common mutations arising in persons with VF on a DTG-556

containing regimen were R263K, G118R, N155H, and Q148H/R. R263K and G118R occurred 557

more commonly than N155H and Q148H/R in previously INSTI-naïve persons. R263K alone 558

reduced DTG susceptibility approximately 2-fold while viruses containing while G118R alone 559

generally reduced DTG susceptibility more than 5-fold. The highest levels of reduced 560

susceptibility occurred in viruses containing Q148 mutations in combination with G140 and/or 561

E138 mutations plus one or more additional accessory INSTI-resistance mutations. Knowledge of 562

DTG-selected mutations and their effects on in vitro susceptibility is, nonetheless, still emerging 563

and remains limited in part because integrase sequences have been published for only 2 of the 63 564

viruses with emergent INSTI resistance in persons receiving DTG and for only 42% of the 177 565

clinical isolates that underwent in vitro susceptibility testing. 566

In INSTI-naïve persons, several DTG-containing two-drug combinations are likely to be 567

highly effective for first-line therapy, treatment simplification, and even salvage therapy provided 568

DTG’s companion drug is fully active. However, actual and functional DTG monotherapy are 569

associated with non-negligible risks of VF and emergent INSTI resistance. These risks have 570

27

implications for the use of DTG plus two NRTIs in NRTI-experienced persons in low- and middle-571

income countries where genotypic resistance testing is not routinely available to guide therapy in 572

persons with VF on a first-line NRTI/NNRTI-containing regimen or where viral load testing may 573

not be available to confirm virological suppression in persons transitioning from a first-line 574

NRTI/NNRTI-containing regimen. Further studies are required to determine the effectiveness of 575

DTG plus two NRTIs in NRTI-experienced persons in low- and middle-income countries. 576

FUNDING 577

S. Y. R., P. L. T., and R.W.S. were supported in part by the National Institute of Allergy 578

and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) of the National Institutes of Health (NIH) (award number 579

AI136618). 580

581

TRANSPARENCY DECLARATIONS 582

R.W.S has received research funding from Janssen Pharmaceuticals and Vela Diagnostics and has 583

consulted for Abbott Diagnostics. 584

585

SUPPLEMENTARY DATA 586

Table S1. Summary of studies containing DTG in vitro susceptibility test results: assays, type of 587

isolates, either site-directed mutants (SDMs) isolates or clinical isolates and number of isolates 588

tested, and SDMs or INSTI-resistance mutations in tested isolates. 589

590

Table S2. Complete set of in vitro DTG susceptibility test results and list of reported mutations. 591

592

28

Table S3. Summary of in vitro DTG susceptibility test results of site-directed mutants according 593

to patterns of INSTI-resistance mutations: number of assays, number of mutants and fold reduced 594

susceptibility. 595

596

29

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44. Katlama C, Soulie C, Caby F, et al. Dolutegravir as monotherapy in HIV-1-infected individuals 725 with suppressed HIV viraemia. J Antimicrob Chemother 2016; 71: 2646–50. 726

45. Gubavu C, Prazuck T, Niang M, et al. Dolutegravir-based monotherapy or dual therapy 727 maintains a high proportion of viral suppression even in highly experienced HIV-1-infected 728 patients. J Antimicrob Chemother 2016; 71: 1046–50. 729

46. Oldenbuettel C, Wolf E, Ritter A, et al. Dolutegravir monotherapy as treatment de-escalation 730 in HIV-infected adults with virological control: DoluMono cohort results. Antivir Ther 2017; 22: 731 169–72. 732

47. Rojas J, Blanco JL, Marcos MA, et al. Dolutegravir monotherapy in HIV-infected patients 733 with sustained viral suppression. J Antimicrob Chemother 2016; 71: 1975–81. 734

48. Wijting I, Rutsaert S, Rokx C, et al. Predictors of virological failure in HIV-1-infected patients 735 switching to dolutegravir maintenance monotherapy. HIV Med 2018; 20: 63–8. 736

49. Negredo E, Estrada V, Domingo P, et al. Switching from a ritonavir-boosted PI to dolutegravir 737 as an alternative strategy in virologically suppressed HIV-infected individuals. J Antimicrob 738 Chemother 2017; 72: 844–9. 739

50. Gatell JM, Assoumou L, Moyle G, et al. Immediate vs. Deferred Switching from a Boosted 740 Protease Inhibitor (PI/r) Based Regimen to a Dolutegravir (DTG) Based Regimen in Virologically 741

33

Suppressed Patients with High Cardiovascular Risk or Age ≥50 years: Final 96 Weeks Results of 742 NEAT 022 study. Clin Infect Dis Off Publ Infect Dis Soc Am 2018; [Epub ahead of print]. 743

51. Trottier B, Lake JE, Logue K, et al. Dolutegravir/abacavir/lamivudine versus current ART in 744 virally suppressed patients (STRIIVING): a 48-week, randomized, non-inferiority, open-label, 745 Phase IIIb study. Antivir Ther 2017; 22: 295–305. 746

52. Eron JJ, Clotet B, Durant J, et al. Safety and efficacy of dolutegravir in treatment-experienced 747 subjects with raltegravir-resistant HIV type 1 infection: 24-week results of the VIKING Study. J 748 Infect Dis 2013; 207: 740–8. 749

53. Castagna A, Maggiolo F, Penco G, et al. Dolutegravir in antiretroviral-experienced patients 750 with raltegravir- and/or elvitegravir-resistant HIV-1: 24-week results of the phase III VIKING-3 751 study. J Infect Dis 2014; 210: 354–62. 752

54. Castagna A, Ferrara M, Galli L, et al. Long-term efficacy of dolutegravir in treatment-753 experienced subjects failing therapy with HIV-1 integrase strand inhibitor-resistant virus. J 754 Antimicrob Chemother 2018; 73: 177–82. 755

55. Akil B, Blick G, Hagins DP, et al. Dolutegravir versus placebo in subjects harbouring HIV-1 756 with integrase inhibitor resistance associated substitutions: 48-week results from VIKING-4, a 757 randomized study. Antivir Ther 2015; 20: 343–8. 758

56. Fourati S, Charpentier C, Amiel C, et al. Cross-resistance to elvitegravir and dolutegravir in 759 502 patients failing on raltegravir: a French national study of raltegravir-experienced HIV-1-760 infected patients. J Antimicrob Chemother 2015; 70: 1507–12. 761

57. Doyle T, Dunn DT, Ceccherini-Silberstein F, et al. Integrase inhibitor (INI) genotypic 762 resistance in treatment-naive and raltegravir-experienced patients infected with diverse HIV-1 763 clades. J Antimicrob Chemother 2015; 70: 3080–6. 764

58. SECOND-LINE Study Group, Boyd MA, Kumarasamy N, et al. Ritonavir-boosted lopinavir 765 plus nucleoside or nucleotide reverse transcriptase inhibitors versus ritonavir-boosted lopinavir 766 plus raltegravir for treatment of HIV-1 infection in adults with virological failure of a standard 767 first-line ART regimen (SECOND-LINE): a randomised, open-label, non-inferiority study. Lancet 768 Lond Engl 2013; 381: 2091–9. 769

59. Malet I, Fourati S, Charpentier C, et al. The HIV-1 integrase G118R mutation confers 770 raltegravir resistance to the CRF02_AG. J Antimicrob Chemother 2011; 66: 2827–30. 771

60. Margot NA, Hluhanich RM, Jones GS, et al. In vitro resistance selections using elvitegravir, 772 raltegravir, and two metabolites of elvitegravir M1 and M4. Antiviral Res 2012; 93: 288–96. 773

61. Quashie PK, Mesplede T, Han Y-S, et al. Characterization of the R263K mutation in HIV-1 774 integrase that confers low-level resistance to the second-generation integrase strand transfer 775 inhibitor dolutegravir. J Virol 2012; 86: 2696–705. 776

34

62. Quashie PK, Mesplede T, Han Y-S, et al. Biochemical analysis of the role of G118R-linked 777 dolutegravir drug resistance substitutions in HIV-1 integrase. Antimicrob Agents Chemother 2013; 778 57: 6223–35. 779

63. Quashie PK, Oliviera M, Veres T, et al. Differential effects of the G118R, H51Y, and E138K 780 resistance substitutions in different subtypes of HIV integrase. J Virol 2015; 89: 3163–75. 781

64. Wandeler G, Buzzi M, Anderegg N, et al. Virologic failure and HIV drug resistance on 782 simplified, dolutegravir-based maintenance therapy: Systematic review and meta-analysis. 783 F1000Research 2018; 7: 1359. 784

65. Hocqueloux L, Allavena C, Prazuck T, et al. Dolutegravir monotherapy versus 785 dolutegravir/abacavir/lamivudine for HIV-1-infected virologically suppressed patients: Results 786 from the randomized non-inferiority MONCAY trial. In: Abstracts of the 22nd International AIDS 787 Conference, Amsterdam, the Netherlands, 2018. Abstract TUAB0103. 788

66. Rokx C, Schurink CAM, Boucher CAB, Rijnders BJA. Dolutegravir as maintenance 789 monotherapy: first experiences in HIV-1 patients. J Antimicrob Chemother 2016; 71: 1632–6. 790

67. Sculier D, Doco-Lecompte T, Yerly S, Metzner KJ, Decosterd LA, Calmy A. Stable HIV-1 791 reservoirs on dolutegravir maintenance monotherapy: the MONODO study. HIV Med 2018; 792 [Epub ahead of print]. 793

68. Capetti AF, Sterrantino G, Cossu MV, et al. Switch to Dolutegravir plus Rilpivirine Dual 794 Therapy in cART-Experienced Subjects: An Observational Cohort. PloS One 2016; 11: e0164753. 795

69. Braun DL, Turk T, Tschumi F, et al. Non-inferiority of simplified dolutegravir monotherapy 796 compared to continued combination antiretroviral therapy that was initiated during primary HIV 797 infection: a randomized, controlled, multi-site, open-label, non-inferiority trial. Clin Infect Dis Off 798 Publ Infect Dis Soc Am 2019; Epub ahead of print]. 799

70. Oliveira M, Ibanescu R-I, Anstett K, et al. Selective resistance profiles emerging in patient-800 derived clinical isolates with cabotegravir, bictegravir, dolutegravir, and elvitegravir. 801 Retrovirology 2018; 15: 56. 802

803

35

FIGURE LEGENDS

Fig. 1

Flow chart of study selection process. Of 742 studies identified through a PubMed search

performed January 2019 using the search string “Dolutegravir or GSK1349572”, 229 were read in

their entirety following an initial review of titles and abstracts. Following a full text review of these

229 studies and of 35 additional studies from meeting presentations, 95 studies met our inclusion

criteria, containing data on mutations emerging under DTG selection pressure in vitro and in vivo;

in vitro DTG susceptibility; and the risk of virological failure and drug resistance in clinical trials

and cohorts.

Fig. 2

Box plots of in vitro DTG susceptibility results for 176 site-directed mutants and 105 clinical

isolates containing R263K, G118R, N155H, and/or Q148H/R/K. Purple plots indicate the fold

reduced susceptibility for viruses with R263K with or without G118R, N155H, and Q148H/R. Red

plots indicate the fold reduced susceptibility for viruses containing G118R. Yellow plots indicate

the fold reduced susceptibility for viruses containing N155H with or without Q148H/R. Blue plots

indicate the fold reduced susceptibility for viruses containing Q148H/R/K. In addition to the four

signature mutations, mutation patterns were characterized by the number of additional INSTI-

resistance mutations. The number of isolates with each pattern is shown in parentheses.

36

GLOSSARY

Phrase (abbreviation) Definition

Integrase strand transfer

inhibitors (INSTIs)

Raltegravir and elvitegravir, which were FDA approved in 2007 and

2012, respectively, are often referred to as first-generation INSTIs.

Dolutegravir (DTG) and bictegravir (BIC), which were FDA approved

in 2013 and 2018, respectively are often referred to as second-generation

INSTIs. Cabotegravir is an investigational long-acting INSTI for

treating persons without INSTI-associated drug-resistance mutations.

Dolutegravir (DTG)

dosing

For treating viruses without INSTI-associated resistance mutations,

DTG is administered as 50 mg once daily (QD). For treating viruses with

INSTI-associated resistance mutations DTG should be administered 50

mg twice daily (BID)

Tenofovir (TFV) TFV is used to indicate the two tenofovir prodrugs: tenofovir disoproxil

fumarate (TDF) and tenofovir alafenamide (TAF)

Cytosine analogs (XTC,

3TC, FTC)

XTC is used to indicate the use of either of the two cytidine analogs:

lamivudine (3TC) or emtricitabine (FTC)

INSTI-resistance

mutation

An amino acid difference from the consensus B sequence (mutation)

previously reported to be selected by raltegravir or elvitegravir and

associated with reduced raltegravir or elvitegravir susceptibility.

Established nonpolymorphic INSTI-resistance mutations were defined

as H51Y, T66A/I/K, E92Q, G118R, F121Y, G140A/S/C,

Y142C/G/H/K/R/S, S147G, Q148H/K/R, S153Y/F, N155H, S230R, and

R263K 6,7. Polymorphic accessory INSTI-associated mutations were

37

defined as L74I/M, Q95K, T97A, V151I, E157Q, G163K/R, and D232N

6,8.

Polymorphic mutation Mutations that occur at a prevalence above 1% of INSTI-naïve persons

in one or more subtypes.

GenBank The NIH genetic sequence database containing an annotated collection

of all publicly available DNA sequences.

In vitro passage

experiments

Experiments in which a virus isolate is serially cultured in the presence

of increasing concentrations of an antiretroviral drug.

Laboratory virus isolates Several cloned virus isolates obtained from antiretroviral-naïve persons

have commonly been used for in vitro passage experiments, for creating

site-directed mutants, and for in vitro susceptibility testing. The most

common laboratory strains are the subtype B viruses NL43, HXB2, and

LAI, each of which were isolated from infected persons in the 1980s.

NL43 is the most commonly used strain. It naturally carries the relatively

nonpolymorphic accessory INSTI-selected mutation V151I.

Site-directed

mutagenesis

Site directed mutagenesis is a procedure for placing mutations in a

laboratory virus isolate or in a clinical virus isolate that has been

molecularly cloned.

Recombinant virus

susceptibility assay

An in vitro susceptibility assay in which the PCR-amplified region of the

HIV-1 genome, usually the genes encoding protease and RT or integrase,

are cloned into a full-length HIV-1 plasmid clone. Nearly all

susceptibility assays use recombinant viruses to assess the effects of

mutations in the genes encoding the targets of HIV therapy in a constant

genetic background.

38

Cohort A group of people receiving a similar treatment outside of a clinical trial.

The past treatments of individuals in the cohort were often variable. The

cohorts in this review were all retrospective.

Randomized controlled

trial

A clinical trial containing two or more arms in which subjects were

randomized to each arm. In general, the large randomized controlled

trials in this review were double-blinded and placebo controlled;

whereas many of the smaller randomized controlled trials were open-

label.

Stable virological

suppression

Persons in whom plasma HIV-1 RNA levels were below 50 copies/ml

on two or more occasions for a period of six months or longer in the

absence of a change in ART.

Optimized background

The ARVs selected by the a clinical trial subject’s care provider to be

used in combination with DTG. This is also commonly referred to as

optimal backbone.

Virological failure

Virological failure was defined across all studies using an intention-to-

treat approach such that subjects discontinuing therapy for any reason

such as intolerance or nonadherence were categorized as experiencing

virological failure. This approach was adopted both for studies that

reported their results in this manner and for those that employed a

narrower definition of protocol-defined virological failure, typically a

confirmed or repeated plasma HIV-1 RNA level ³50 copies/ml.

39

Table 1. HIV-1 group M viruses developing IN mutations during in vitro passage

experiments*

AuthorYr Parent Virus† 51

H

66

T

92

E

118

G

138

E

140

G

147

S

148

Q

153

S

263

R

Kobayashi11 NL43

F/Y

Quashie12 Clinical (n=3)

K

Clinical

K

K

Clinical

Y K

Clinical (C) Y

R

Clinical (C) Y

T

Clinical (02)

R

Clinical (02) Y

K

Oliveira14 NL43

K

NL43-118R

I

K

NL43-51Y/263K

K

Anstett15

NL43

K

NL43-92Q

K

NL43-140S

R

NL43-140S/148R Y

NL43-155H

K

Departureaux15 NL43

Y

Seki15 NL43

Q

NL43-148H

K S

NL43-148K

K

NL43-148R

K S

Brenner16 NL43-118R

I

K

Clinical-118R (C)

A

K

Oliveira16 NL43

F K

40

Brenner17 Clinical Y

Clinical (n=6)

K

Clinical

F K

Clinical (n=2)

Y

Andreatta18

LAI (n=2)

Y

LAI-155H

N

LAI-148R

K

Oliveira18 NL43

K

NL43-157Q

K

Clinical Y

Clinical (n=6)

K

Clinical Y

G

Clinical

F

Clinical (C)

K

Clinical (01)

K

Clinical (02)

K

Clinical-157Q (n=3)

K

Clinical-157Q (D)

K

Clinical-157Q (D)

F

Footnotes: *Columns contain established nonpolymorphic INSTI-resistance mutations. Mutations not shown include

M50I in two nonmutated viruses and two viruses with E157Q 6170 101I/124A (Kobayashi11); 262K with NL43-51Y

(Oliveira14); 75I/97A/154I in addition to 138K/140S in NL43-148H (Seki15); 193E with 51Y/153T in Clinical (C)

(Quashie12) and with 92Q in NL43 (Seki15); 234F with 153Y in LAI (Andreatta18); 144D in LAI with the RT mutation

184V; 95K/146R in Clinical (Oliveira18). †Clinical: Virus isolates obtained from INSTI-naïve individuals lacking

known INSTI DRMs. NL43 and LAI are wild type laboratory strains. DRMs in laboratory strains were placed by site-

directed mutagenesis. Non-B subtypes are indicated in parentheses: C, D, CRF01_AE (01), and CRF02_AG (02).

Replicate experiments yielding the same results are followed by the number of experiments (n) in parentheses. Notes:

22 subtype B are not shown including one developing polypurine tract mutations and 21 that did not develop mutations

41

including those with parent viruses 92Q (2), 92Q/155H (1), 51Y/118R (1), 143C (1), 143R (1), 148R (1), 155H (1),

263K (2), RT-65R (1), RT-184V/I (2), and 8 without mutations.

42

Table 2. Emergent INSTI-associated DRMs in INSTI-naïve persons with active virus replication receiving a standard DTG-

containing regimen

AuthorYr Population Past ART DTG ART # Pts # with

DRMs

Emergent INSTI DRMs*

Underwood15 RCT

(SAILING)

ART-experienced; INSTI-naïve;

Resistance to ³2 classes but with

1-2 fully active drugs for OB

DTG/OB x 48W

(phase I); Post 48W

(phase II)

354

5 (1) R263K

(2) R263K

(3) T97A, N155H (C)

(4) N155H (A)

(5) A49G, S230R, R263K

Vavro18 Trial (P1093) ART-experienced; INSTI-naïve DTG/OB 61 3 (1) A49G, M50V, E138T, S147G, R263K

(2) L74M, G118R

(3) G118R

Taiwo18 Trial (A5353) ART-naïve DTG/3TC 120 1 (1) R263K

Aboud19 RCT

(DAWNING)

ART-experienced; INSTI-naïve;

h/o VF on first-line ART

DTG + 2 NRTIs

(48W)

297 2 (1) H51Y, G118R, E138K, R263K

(2) G118R

Lepik17 Cohort INSTI-naïve DTG +2 NRTIs 310 3 (1) R263K

(2) R263K

(3) T66I

Ahmed17 Case report ART-experienced; INSTI-naïve DTG/OB 1 1 (1) R263K (D)

Fulcher18 Case report ART-naïve DTG/TDF/FTC 1 1 (1) Q148K, G163E

43

Pena Lopez18 Case report ART-naïve DTG/TDF/FTC 1 1 (1) E157Q, R263K (CRF14_BG)

Seatla18 Case report ART-experienced; INSTI-naïve DTG/OB 1 1 (1) G118R, E138K

Cardoso18 Case report ART-experienced; INSTI-naïve DTG + 2 NRTIs 2 2 (1) E157Q, R263K

(2) R263K (G)

Lubke18 Case report ART-naïve DTG/TDF/FTC 1 1 (1) G118R, R263K (F)

Footnote: Abbreviations: RCT: randomized clinical trial; OB: optimized background; VF: virological failure; DRMs: drug-resistance mutations. *Subtypes are indicated

in parentheses. In Underwood15, the two cases of R263K were reported in the first 48 weeks of the SAILING trial 12. The three additional cases of INSTI DRMs in this

trial occurred between weeks 72 and 120. In Want19, the first isolate contained 3 clones with H51Y/G118R and 11 clones with G118R/E138K/R263K. In Lepik17,

R263K was detected in two ART-experienced persons and T66I detected in a previously ART-naïve person. In Pena Lopez18, DTG was administered BID in a person

who was also receiving rifampin. Complete sequences were unavailable for all isolates in this table.

44

Table 3. Emergent INSTI-associated DRMs in persons with sustained virological suppression receiving DTG monotherapy

AuthorYr

Population Past ART DTG ART # Pts # with

DRMs

Emergent INSTI DRMs*

Wijting18 RCT

(DOMONO)

15% INSTI-experienced; No

h/o VF

DTG x 48W (98 in

immediate and

delayed switch groups

and 4 in a pilot study)

102 5 (1) R263K

(2) N155H

(3) S230R

(4) E92Q, N155H

(5) 3’ polypurine tract mutations

Blanco18 RCT

(DOLAM)

15% INSTI-experienced; No

h/o VF on an INSTI regimen

DTG x 24W 31 2 (1) S147G, Q148R, N155H

(2) E138K, G140S, N155H

Hocqueloux18 RCT

(MONCAY)

17% INSTI-experienced DTG x 24W 78 2

(1) N155H, S147G

(2) R263K

Katlama16 Cohort

(MONODOLU)

46% INSTI-experienced DTG x 24W 28 3 (1) E138K, G140A, Q148R

(2) E92Q

(3) N155H

Rojas16 Cohort DTG x 24W 33 1 (1) G118R

Oldenbuettel17 Cohort

(DOLUMONO)

61% INSTI-experienced; No

h/o VF on an INSTI regimen

DTG x 24W 31 1 (1) Q148H, G140S

Brenner16 Case report H/o first-line ART with EVG-

containing regimen

DTG x 8W 1 1 (1) G118R

45

Malet18 Case report RAL-experienced DTG 1 1 (1) N155H

Footnote: Abbreviations: RCT: randomized clinical trial; VF: virological failure; RAL: raltegravir; EVG: elvitegravir; DRMs: drug-resistance mutations. *Underlined

mutations indicate that the virus emerged in an INSTI-experienced person. In Wijting18, R263K, N155H and S230R detected in persons in the main DOMONO

study which required a nadir CD4 count greater than 200 (Wijting17); whereas E92Q/N155H and 3’ polypurine tract mutations occurred in four persons in the pilot

DOMONO study which included persons with a nadir CD4 count below 200. The virus with R263K reported by Hocqueloux16 also had a single G to A mutation in

the 3’ polypurine tract whereas two of the six nucleotides in the 3’ polypurine tract were mutated in Wijting18. The G118R mutation in Rojas16 was detected as a

minority variant in 7% of viruses by next-generation sequencing. Complete sequences were unavailable for all sequences except Brenner16

46

Table 4. Emergent INSTI-resistance mutations in INSTI-experienced persons receiving DTG in combination with an optimized

background (OB) regimen

AuthorYr Population DTG ART Time

to VF

Pre-DTG DRMs Emergent INSTI DRMs

Eron13 RCT (VIKING) Cohort I

(50mg QD)

Day11 G140S, Y143H, Q148H L74I/M, E138A

Day11 L74M, T97A, Y143R, G163R E138K

W8 None L74I/M, T97A, G140S, Q148H

W24 L74M, T97A, E138A, Y143R N155H

W24 L74M, T97A, Y143R N155H

Cohort II

(50mg BID)

Day11 E138A, G140S, Q148H T97A, E138T

Day11 G140S, Q148H N155H

Day11 E138K, G140S, Q148H T97A

W8 E138A, G140S, Q148H E92Q, T97A

W8 G140S, Q148H E138K, N155H

W16 G140S, Q148H T97A, E138K, N155H

Naeger16 RCT

(VIKING-4)

DTG 50 mg BID + OB

W12 E138D, G140S, Q148H L74M, G149A, N155H

W24 G140S, Q148H T97A, E138K, G149A

W24 E138A/K/T, G140S, Q148H T97A

W24 L74M, Q95K, T97A, Y143C E138K, S147G

W4 G140S, Q148H T97A

47

W32 G140S, Q148H T97A

Castagna18 Cohort DTG 50mg BID + OB W84 G140S, Q148H E138K

W132 T97A, G140S E138K, Q148H

W132 E138A, G140S, Q148H T97A

W132 L74I/M, G140S, Q148H T66I, T97A

W172 G140S, Q148H L74I, T97A

W200 E138A, G140S, Y143H/R/C, Q148H T97A

W228 G140S, Q148H T97A, E138K

W276 E138K, G140S, Q148H T97A

W320 Y143C T97A, E138K, G140S, Q148H

Carganico14 Case report DTG 50mg BID + OB W32 N155H, E157Q T97A, S147G

Hardy15 Case report DTG 50mg BID + OB W108 S147G, V151I, N155H T97A, E138K

Malet15 Case report DTG 50mg BID + OB W156 G140S, Q148H T97A, N155H

George18 Case report DTG 50mg BID + OB W24 G140S, Q148H T97A

DTG 50mg BID + OB W44 E138T, G140S, Q148H T97A

Seatla18 Case report DTG 50mg BID + OB W64 E138K, G140A, Q148R T97A, S147G

Footnote: Abbreviations: RCT: randomized controlled trial; DRMs: drug-resistance mutations. Several additional baseline and follow-up mutations were noted

for Naeger16. However, as sequences were not available for any of the studies, the lists of mutations do not show any mutations that are not known INSTI-

associated DRMs or mutations at highly conserved positions. 31% of the persons in Castagna18 had previously been enrolled in one of the VIKING trials.

48

Table 5: Clinical trials of ART-naïve persons with receiving dual DTG therapy

AuthorYr

Population* Past ART DTG ART # Pts Weeks % VF

[95% CI] †

% Resistance

[95% CI] §

Cahn18 RCT (GEMINI)

VL ≤ 500,000

ART-naive DTG/3TC 716 48 8.5 [6.6-10.8]

0 [0-0.5]

Taiwo18, Nyaku19 Trial (A5353)

VL ≤500,000

ART-naive DTG/3TC 120 24 10.0 [5.5-17.2] 0.8 [0.04-5.2]

48 15 [9.1-22.7] 0.8 [0-4.6]

Cahn17 Trial (PADDLE)

VL≤100,000

ART-naive DTG/3TC 20 48 10 [1.2-31.7] 0 [0-16.8]

ALL, 48 weeks¶ 856 48 10.6 [6.0-15.1], I2=44 0 [0-0.2], I2=0

Footnote: *RCT: randomized controlled trial; VL: virus load, plasma HIV-1 RNA levels in copies/ml. †VF: virological failure. Confirmed virus load ³50 copies/ml

or treatment discontinuation for any reason. §Percentage of those receiving DTG ART developing an INSTI-resistance mutation. ¶Pooled proportions and 95%

confidence intervals (CI) of VF and VF with INST-resistance estimated using a random-effects meta-regression; I2: Heterogeneity estimate between studies. The

particular mutations are provided in Tables 2 through 4.

49

Table 6: Clinical trials and cohorts of virologically suppressed persons receiving DTG-containing dual therapy*

AuthorYr Population* Past ART†

DTG ART # Pts Weeks % VF

[95% CI] §

% Resistance

[95% CI] ¶

Libre18

RCT

(SWORD)

No h/o VF; First or second ART; 20%

INSTI Rx

DTG/RPV 513 48 5.3 [3.5-7.6]

0 [0-0.7]

Gantner17

Cohort No h/o VF on a RPV or DTG-containing

regimen 59% INSTI Rx

DTG/RPV 116 24 9.5 [4.8-16.3]

0 [0-3.1]

Capetti16

Cohort 43% h/o VF; 50% receiving INSTI at time

of simplification; 1% INSTI and 5% RPV

resistance

DTG/RPV 132 24 0.8 [0-4.1] 0 [0-2.8]

Diaz16 Cohort 62% INSTI Rx; 8% h/o VF on INSTI

regimen; No h/o INSTI or RPV resistance

DTG/RPV 38 48 2.6 [0.1-13.8] 0 [0-9.3]

Bonijoly18 Cohort % with h/o VF and INSTI Rx NA DTG/RPV 268 48 19 [14.5-24.2] 0 [0-1.4]

Taiwo18 RCT

(ASPIRE)

No h/o VF; 37% INSTI Rx DTG/3TC 44 24 6.8 [1.4-18.7] 0 [0-8]

44 48 9.1 [2.5-21.7] 0 [0-8]

Blanco18 RCT

(DOLAM)

16% INSTI Rx; No h/o VF on an INSTI-

containing regimen

DTG/3TC 29 24 3.4 [0.1-17.8] 0 [0-11.9]

Joly18 Trial

(LAMIDOL)

First ART; No h/o VF DTG/3TC 104 48 2.9 [0.6-8.2] 0 [0-3.5]

50

Maggiolo17 Cohort 15% INSTI Rx at simplification; % with

past VF NA; No h/o INSTI or 3TC

resistance

DTG/3TC 94 24 0 [0-3.8] 0 [0-3.8]

Borghetti18 Cohort 16% INSTI Rx at simplification; No h/o VF

on INSTI regimen; 6% had h/o M184I/V

DTG/3TC 206 48 13.1 [8.8-18.5] 0 [0-1.8]

Reynes17 Cohort

(DOLULAM)

26% h/o INSTI Rx at simplification; No h/o

INSTI resistance; 37% had h/o MI84V

DTG/3TC 27 48 11.1 [2.4-29.2] 0 [0-12.8]

Castagna17 Cohort 43% INSTI at simplification; % past INSTI

resistance NA

DTG/ATV 116 48 8.6 [4.2-15.3] 0 [0-3.1]

Navarro17 Cohort 15% h/o VF on an INSTI regimen; No h/o

INSTI-resistance

DTG/DRVr 27 48 7.4 [0.9-24.3] 0 [0-12.8]

ALL, 24 weeksY 415 24 2.6 [0.01-5.2], I2=72 0 [0-0.7], I2=0

ALL, 48 weeksY 1,343 48 8.6[4.8-12.3], I2=82 0 [0-0.2], I2=0

Footnotes: *Virologically suppressed persons: persons with plasma HIV-1 RNA levels £50 copies/ml on two or more occasions for a period of ³6 months in the

absence of a change in ART; RCT: randomized controlled trial; †Past ART: Where available this column includes the following: (i) number of previous regimens;

(ii) Extent of INSTI exposure (Rx); (iii) % with past virological failure: and (iv) % with past INSTI resistance or resistance to the ARV used with DTG. §VF:

virological failure. Confirmed virus load ³50 copies/ml or treatment discontinuation for any reason. For the cohort study, the proportion of persons with VF after the

median time of follow-up was provided. ¶Percentage of those receiving DTG ART developing an INSTI-resistance mutation. YPooled proportions and 95% confidence

intervals (CI) of VF and VF with INST-resistance estimated using a random-effects meta-regression; I2: Heterogeneity estimate between studies. The particular

51

mutations are provided in Tables 2 through 4. Reynes17 and Borghetti18 also had week 96 follow up. In Borghtetti18, the VF rate increased to 20% at week 96, The

median number of weeks of follow-up was 48 and 51, respectively, in Navarro17 and Castagna17.

52

Table 7: Clinical trials and cohorts of virologically suppressed persons receiving DTG monotherapy

AuthorYr

Population* Past ART† DTG

ART

# Pts Weeks % VF

[95% CI] §

% Resistance

[95% CI] ¶

Wijting17,

Wijting18

RCT

(DOMONO)

No h/o VF; 14% INSTI Rx at

simplification

DTG 104 24 3.9 [1.1-9.7] 1 [0-5.3]

48 12.7 [7-20.8] 4.9 [1.6-11.1]

Blanco18

RCT (DOLAM) 16% INSTI Rx; No h/o VF on an

INSTI-containing regimen

DTG 31 24 6.5 [0.8-21.4]

6.5 [0.8-21.4]

Braun18

RCT Persons initiating ART during acute

HIV; No h/o VF; 54% INST Rx prior

to or at simplification

DTG 68 48 1.5 [0-7.9] 0 [0-5.3]

Hocqueloux18 RCT

(MONCAY)

Heavily treated with recent virological

suppression on DTG/ABC/3TC ³12

months; 17% with prior INSTI Rx

DTG 78 24 6.4 [2.1-14.3] 0 [0-4.6]

48 12.8 [6.3-22.3] 2.6 [0.3-9]

Katlama16

Cohort

(MONODOLU)

Heavily treated; 46% INSTI Rx; No

h/o VF on INSTI regimen

DTG 28 24 10.7 [2.3-28.2] 10.7 [2.3-28.2]

Gubavu16 Cohort Heavily treated but just 5 patients had

prior VF including 1 who had received

RAL.

DTG 21

48 0 [0-16.1] 0 [0-16.1]

53

Oldenbuettel17

Cohort

(DOLUMONO)

32% INSTI rx; No h/o VF on INSTI or

INSTI resistance

DTG 31 24 6.5 [0.8-21.4] 3.2 [0.1-16.7]

Rojas16 Cohort Heavily treated; % with past INSTI rx

or past VF not provided

DTG 33 24 3 [0.1-15.8] 3 [0.1-15.8]

ALL, 24 weeksY 303 24 5.0 [2.5-7.4], I2=0 1.3 [0-2.9], I2=23

ALL, 48 weeksY 269 48 6.3 [0-12.9], I2=82 1.7 [0-4.0], I2=41

ALL, study

terminationY 392 6.0 [2.2-9.8], I2=63 2.4 [0.4-4.3], I2=26

Footnote: *Virologically suppressed persons: plasma HIV-1 RNA levels £50 copies/ml on two or more occasions for a period of ³6 months in the absence of a

change in ART. RCT: randomized controlled trial; †Past ART: Where available this column includes the following: (i) number of previous regimens; (ii) Extent of

INSTI exposure (Rx); (iii) % with past VF: and (iv) % with past INSTI resistance or resistance to the ARV used with DTG. §VF: Confirmed virus load ³50

copies/ml or treatment discontinuation for any reason. For the cohort studies, the proportion of persons with VF after the median time of follow-up was provided.

¶Percentage of those receiving DTG ART developing an INSTI-resistance mutation. YPooled proportions and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of VF and VF with

INST-resistance estimated using a random-effects meta-regression; I2: Heterogeneity estimate between studies. The particular mutations are summarized in Table

3. Four of the subjects in the DOMONO trial, including two with VF and resistance, were in a pilot trial that included persons with a CD4 count nadir <200 whereas

those in the main trial had a CD4 count nadir >200 (Wijting18). Two cohort studies with 5 66 and 8 67 subjects did not meet inclusion criteria.

54

Table 8: DTG-containing regimens in ART-experienced INSTI-naïve persons

AuthorYr

Population* Past ART DTG ART # Pts Weeks % VF

[95% CI] §

% Resistance

[95% CI] ¶

Aboud19

RCT

(DAWNING)

VF on a 1st-line

NNRTI regimen

DTG + 2 NRTIs (1 NRTI

predicted to be fully active)

312 24 17.6 [13.7-22.4] 0 [0-1.5]

48 36.2 [30.9-41.8] 0.6 [0.1-2.3]

Cahn13

RCT

(SAILING)

H/o resistance to ³2

ARV classes;

DTG + OB (1 to 2 ARVs

predicted to be fully active)

354 48 29.1 [24.4-34.1] 0.6 [0.1-2]

Vavro18 Trial (P1093) Heavily treated

adolescents

DTG + OB 61 48 31.1 [19.9-44.3] 4.9 [1-13.7]

Lepik17 Cohort Infrequent h/o NRTI

resistance (<10%)

DTG + 2 NRTIs 252 48 16.7 [12.3-21.9] 0.8 [0.1-2.8]

ALL, 48 weeksY 979 48 28.0 [18.6-37.5], I2=91 0.7 [0.2-1.2], I2=0

Footnote: *RCT: randomized controlled trial. §VF: Confirmed virus load ³50 copies/ml or treatment discontinuation for any reason. For the cohort studies, the

proportion of persons with VF after the median time of follow-up was provided. ¶Percentage of those receiving DTG ART developing an INSTI-resistance mutation.

YPooled proportions and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of VF and VF with INST-resistance estimated using a random-effects meta-regression; I2: Heterogeneity

estimate between studies. Follow-up meeting presentations provided additional drug resistance data for Aboud19 (DAWNING) and Cahn13 (SAILING). Vavro18

also included 5 day functional monotherapy in 10 patients and weight adjusted dosing. The follow-up meeting presentation for the SAILING additional cases of

VF plus drug resistance after week 48 13.

55

Table 9: DTG plus optimized background (OB) in persons with virological failure and INSTI resistance on a raltegravir (RAL)-

or elvitegravir (EVG)-containing regimen

AuthorYr

Population* Past ART DTG ART # Pts Weeks % VF

[95% CI] §

Eron13 RCT (VIKING – Cohort I) Heavily treated; H/o RAL VF

and resistance

DTG (50 mg QD) +

OB

27 24 59.3 [38.8-77.6]

RCT (VIKING - Cohort II)

Heavily treated; H/o RAL VF

and resistance

DTG (50 mg BID)

+ OB

24 24 25 [9.8-46.7]

Castagna14 RCT (VIKING 3) Heavily treated; H/o RAL VF

and resistance

DTG (50 mg BID)

+ OB

183 24 31.1 [24.5-38.4]

Akil15;

Naeger16

RCT (VIKING 4; With vs

without OB x 7 days)

Heavily treated; h/o INSTI VF

and resistance

DTG (50 mg BID)

+ OB

30 24 53.3 [34.3-71.7]

48 60 [40.6-77.3]

Castagna18 Cohort Heavily treated; h/o INSTI VF

and resistance

DTG (50 mg BID)

+ OB

190 24 27.9 [21.6-34.8]

48 38.9 [32-46.3]

ALL, 24 weeksY 454 24 36.9 [26.9-47.0], I2=75

ALL, 48 weeksY 220 48 47.9 [27.5-68.3], I2=79

Footnote: *RCT: randomized controlled trial. §VF: Confirmed virus load ³50 copies/ml or treatment discontinuation for any reason. For the cohort studies, the

proportion of persons with VF after the median time of follow-up was provided. YPooled proportions and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of VF and VF with INST-

resistance estimated using a random-effects meta-regression; I2: Heterogeneity estimate between studies. ***All had documented INSTI resistance at the start.

56

Most or possibly all developed one or more additional INSTI resistance mutation after DTG VF. 31% of the persons in Castagna18 had previously been enrolled

in one of the VIKING trials.

57

FIG. 1

Flow chart of study selection process. Of 742 studies identified through a PubMed search

performed January 2019 using the search string “Dolutegravir or GSK1349572”, 229 were read in

their entirety following an initial review of titles and abstracts. Following a full text review of these

229 studies and of 35 additional studies from meeting presentations, 95 studies met our inclusion

742 studies identified through PubMed search as of January 2019

229 studies after titles/abstracts reviews

264 studies for full reviews

35 additional studies from other sources

118 studies excluded:Reviews (40)Data for first-generations INSTIs (25)Mechanism studies (22) HIV-2 and non-group M (11)Duplicate studies (20)

146 studies assessed for eligibility

in vivo selection(26)

51 studies excluded:Virological outcome with standard first-line ART (24)Virological outcome in small numbers of persons or in

persons with heterogeneous past treatments and DTG-containing regimens (21)

Virological outcome during DTG intensification or stable treatment switch (6)

No baseline genotype prior to DTG in INSTI experienced persons (2)

Description of novel susceptibility methods (2)

95 studies included

clinical outcomes(38)

in vitro susceptibility(41)

in vitro selection(14)

Iden

tifica

tion

Scre

enin

gEl

igib

ility

Inclu

ded

58

criteria, containing data on mutations emerging under DTG selection pressure in vitro and in vivo;

in vitro DTG susceptibility; and the risk of virological failure and drug resistance in clinical trials

and cohorts.

59

FIG. 2

Box plots of in vitro DTG susceptibility results for 176 site-directed mutants and 105 clinical

isolates containing R263K, G118R, N155H, and/or Q148H/R/K. Purple plots indicate the fold

reduced susceptibility for viruses with R263K with or without G118R, N155H, and Q148H/R. Red

plots indicate the fold reduced susceptibility for viruses containing G118R. Yellow plots indicate

the fold reduced susceptibility for viruses containing N155H with or without Q148H/R. Blue plots

indicate the fold reduced susceptibility for viruses containing Q148H/R/K. In addition to the four

signature mutations, mutation patterns were characterized by the number of additional INSTI-

resistance mutations. The number of isolates with each pattern is shown in parentheses.

Q148K+2,3 (n=5)Q148R+2,3 (n=15)Q148H+2,3 (n=35)

Q148K+1 (n=10)Q148R+1 (n=27)Q148H+1 (n=41)

Q148K (n=7)Q148R (n=7)

Q148H (n=11)N155H,Q148R+2 (n=1)

N155H,Q148R (n=4)N155H,Q148H+2 (n=1)N155H,Q148H+1 (n=1)

N155H,Q148H (n=1)N155H+2,4 (n=7)N155H+1 (n=28)

N155H (n=21)G118R+2,3 (n=3)

G118R+1 (n=5)G118R (n=9)

R263K,Q148R+2 (n=2)R263K,Q148R+1 (n=1)R263K,N155H+1 (n=5)

R263K,N155H (n=1)R263K,G118R+2 (n=1)

R263K+2,3 (n=3)R263K+1 (n=13)

R263K (n=16)

Reduced Susceptibility

<=0.5 1 2 4 8 16 32 >=64