1 A Brief Overview Biscayne Bay Strategic Access Plan Advisory Team November 12, 2003 by Richard F....

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A Brief OverviewA Brief Overview Biscayne Bay Strategic Access PlanBiscayne Bay Strategic Access Plan

Advisory TeamAdvisory TeamNovember 12, 2003 November 12, 2003

by by

Richard F. Ogburn, Principal PlannerRichard F. Ogburn, Principal PlannerSouth Florida Regional Planning CouncilSouth Florida Regional Planning Council

Florida Keys Carrying Capacity Florida Keys Carrying Capacity StudyStudy

(FKCCS)(FKCCS)

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Florida Keys designated Area of Critical State Concern (1974)Monroe County Year 2010 Comprehensive Plan adopted (1993)Administrative Hearing Final Order (1995) – “carrying capacity” exceededAdministration Commission Rule – Section 28-20.100, Florida Administrative Code (1995)

Florida Keys Carrying Capacity StudyFlorida Keys Carrying Capacity Study

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Funded by the Florida Department of Community Affairs and the US Army Corps of Engineers, starting in 1999.A total of $6 million to complete:Monroe County Sanitary Wastewater Master PlanStormwater Management Plan; andFlorida Keys Carrying Capacity Study.


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Goal: “The carrying capacity analysis shall be designed to determine the ability of the

Florida Keys ecosystem, and the various segments thereof, to withstand all impacts of additional land development activities.”

(Rule 28-20.100, F.A.C. )


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Definition of Carrying Capacity:“The amount of use an area,

resource, facility or system can sustain without deterioration of its

quality.”


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The FKCCS contractor (Dames & Moore / URS Corporation) produced the Study and 2 auxiliary tools, delivered in 2002:Carrying Capacity Impact Assessment Model (CCIAM) - to forecast land use scenariosRoutine Planning Tool (RPT) - access to the spatial databases.


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CCIAM - Six ModulesSocioeconomicFiscalHuman InfrastructureTraffic ComponentHurricane Evacuation ComponentIntegrated WaterTerrestrialMarine / Canal Impacts Assessment


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FKCCS – General RecommendationsPrevent encroachment into native habitat because of sever depletion by historic development activities.Continue restoration and land acquisition programs, implement the wastewater and stormwater master plans, and continue ongoing research and management activities in the Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary.Concentrate on redevelopment and infill for future development.Increase efforts to manage remaining habitats and resources.


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Peer ReviewsNational Research Council of the National Academy of Sciences (mid-2002)Final Review Committee (December 30, 2002)


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Final Review Committee:“In summary, the CCIAM, in its current state, may be a useful tool, but with substantial limitations. It seems to be capable of evaluating some useful, although imprecise, surrogate measures of the impacts of development on the terrestrial habitats in the Florida Keys. Because this is the first time this has been attempted, it is a substantial contribution to science-based analytical capability.”

(Independent Peer Review, December 30, 2002)


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Select Hurricane Evacuation Module options

Select Location Entire Study AreaUpper, Middle or Lower KeysPlanning Unit(s)

Select Scenario Type New Land DevelopmentRedevelopmentRestorationRetrofit Wastewater and Stormwater

Select Landuse Options VacantResidentialCommercialIndustrialInstitutionalRecreation and Open Space

Select Wastewater and Stormwater options

Run Analysis

Generate Maps

Copy results to CD-ROM and mail

Steps in a typical CCIAM Model scenario run

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If Vacant is chosen, you can select which specific parcels to change.

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Slide 3

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RPT default base map and layer selection.

15http://www.sfrpc.com/gis/fkccs.htm

1 A Brief Overview Biscayne Bay Strategic Access Plan Advisory Team November 12, 2003 by Richard F....

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