1. 2 Introduction Purpose of the ICP UN System of National Accounts calls for comparisons of GDP...
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Transcript of 1. 2 Introduction Purpose of the ICP UN System of National Accounts calls for comparisons of GDP...
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Introduction
Purpose of the ICP
UN System of National Accounts calls for comparisons of GDP across countries be using PPPs
The ApproachCollection of prices for well-defined
basket of goods & services
Review & harmonisation of National Accounts
Use of state-of-the-art statistical methods
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Survey Frame
# Items Coverage Time
Household Consumption 1 016 Urban/Rural 12 months
Health 13 Mainly urban 2 months
Education 5 Mainly urban 2005
Government Consumption 18 Country 2005
Machinery and equipment 185 Mainly urban 2006
Construction 34 Mainly urban 2006
Total 1 271
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(I)
j ij
jij
jij
i
ppp
PPP
(II)
i ij
iij
iij
j
ppp
PPP
CPD Regression : at basic heading level
Purchasing Power Parities - The Mathematical Methods
IKLE Iterative System of Equations : for PPP aggregation
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Start with the full GDPdivide into subgroups155 Basic Headings
Start with the full GDPdivide into subgroups155 Basic Headings
E.g. Food29 Basic Headings
E.g. Food29 Basic Headings
Define productsmatching “like with like”
collect prices
Define productsmatching “like with like”
collect prices
about 10 per Basic
Heading
about 10 per Basic
Heading
1,000+ products
1,000+ products
Calculate Basic Heading parities
Calculate Basic Heading parities Regional PPPs at
Basic Heading level
Regional PPPs atBasic Heading level
Combine Basic HeadingPPPs to subgroups,
then to GDP
Combine Basic HeadingPPPs to subgroups,
then to GDPFirst Regional, then Global GDP PPPsFirst Regional, then Global GDP PPPs
Purchasing Power Parities - The Steps
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Table 03Price Level Indices – Indices de niveau des prix
PLI = PPPs / Exch Rates
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Conclusion
Country benefits
1. Cross country Comparison of GDP & related aggregates
2. USD1/Day Poverty Line, HDI at provincial district levels (Poverty PPPs)
3. Poverty Analysis4. Harmonize of economic policies (regional & sub-
regional integration)5. Foster intra African trade6. Comparison of Price levels; wage differentials, cost
production (investment, employment policy decisions)
International level
• establishing international poverty threshold (World Bank)
• constructing Human Development Index (UNDP)• comparing health expenditure per capita (WHO)• assessing per capita expenditures in education
(UNESCO)• monitoring the welfare of children (UNICEF)• comparing the relative sizes of economies (AfDB, IMF)• estimating weighted averages of regional growth rates
(AfDB, IMF)
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Thank You Merci