091029 FBBB Poyry Sustainable Cities.ppt ...

Sustainable cities– from Masdar City to ”Our City” of Carlsberg

29. september 2009Lise-Lotte Pade, Pöyryy y

October 29, 2009from Masdar City to "Our City" of Carlsberg

Agenda

• Background and Challanges

• Around the world

• Pöyry Projects

• Conclusions


Population development and the cities

• World population today: 6,7 bill.World population; 1980-2050

8 000 000

9.000.000

10.000.000

• World population in 2050: 9,2 bill.

• In 30 years, 80% of the world’s urban 4 000 000

5.000.000

6.000.000

7.000.000

8.000.000

1000

per

s.

OceaniaNorthern AmericaLatin America and the CaribbeanEuropeAsiaAf i

y ,population will live in developing countries

0

1.000.000

2.000.000

3.000.000

4.000.000 Africa

• In 30 years, 70% of the world’s population will live in cities

01980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050

• In 2015 there will be 22 megacities, each with more than 10 mill. inhabitants

Ch ll Cit l i ill b• Challenge: City planning will be decisive for the energy consumption and environmental impact in the future


future

Changes in energy consumption and investments in the energy sectorSource: WEC B scenario, IIASA 2002

• Industrial countries’ share of the world’s energy consumption is today 65%. In 2050 it will only be 40%

500

600

700

36 % af total

• In 2050, Asia is expected to be responsible for 36% of the world’s primary energy consumption

300

400

Sam

let e

nerg

iforb

rug

i EJ

Afrika & Mellemøsten

Asien

Latinamerika18% af total

• Fast growing economies demand very large investments

0

100

200

S

Europa & det tidligere Sovjetunion

Nordamerika & oversøisk OECD

• Energy consumption in households, and business and public buildings is account for 35% of the world’s energy consumption

2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

75

90

AsienMellemøsten + Afrika35% of the world s energy consumption

• Need to get focus on energy saving potentials and development of new 45

60

lione

r US$

Mellemøsten AfrikaOversøiske landeLatinamerikaTidligere SovjetunionEropaNordamerika

products

• Challenge: Getting technologies on to the market

15

30bi

l


the market0

1990-2020 2020-2050 2050-2100

Changes in electricity production og fuel compositionSource: IEA International Energy Outlook 2007, reference case; IEA Energy Statistics 2005

• Almost 40% of the world’s CO2-emissions come from electricity and heat sectors

25

30

Kul 85%

• Electricity demand is expected to increase with 85% untill 2030

15

20

Tusi

nde

TWh

Kul

Naturgas

• Under BAU, energy related CO2-emissions are expected to rise with another 60% before 2030

5

10

Oile

g

A-kraft

Vedvarendeenergi

• Challenge: Focusing on energy efficiency (old and new buildings)

02004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Oile

• Limit the use of fossil fuels, use more RE, and improve production efficiency

7%

26%55%

Transport

Andet

Opvarmning

• New technologies: CCS, fuel cells, fusion energy, IV generation nuclear power, biomass, wind energy, solar

35%

32% 19%

19%

Industri

Bygninger

Varmt vand

Elektriske apparater

Lys og madlavning 7%


The transport of the futureSource: Resources For The Future, www.rff.org; IEA, World Energy Outlook, 2006

• The future growth in the world’s vehicle stock will primary take place in developing countries

• Necessary to meet the rising transport d ith t i i i i ithneeds without increasing emissions with

the same amount

• Energy consumption and CO emissions• Energy consumption and CO2-emissions in the transport sector are expected to rise with 50-60% until 2030

3000

3500

7000

8000

9000LuftfartAndetVejtransportCO2

• Challenges: Efficiency improvement in motors, alternative fuels, more flexible transport systems, more

1500

2000

2500

gi fo

rbru

g, M

toe

4000

5000

6000

7000

mis

sion

er, M

io to

n

awareness about transportation in relation to society planning, re-thinking of the role of public transport efficient traffic planning

500

1000

1500En

erg

1000

2000

3000 CO

2 em


transport, efficient traffic planning0

2004 2015 2030År

0

Agenda



• Pöyry Projects

• Conclusions


Masdar City Sources: http://www.fosterandpartners.com/Projects/1515/Default.aspx, http://www.masdaruae.com/index.aspx

• Carbon- and waste-neutral city• Located in the desert, uses solar power p

and wind energy• First phase: Solar power station

generating electricity for the rest of the t ticonstruction

• No cars• Easily accessible public transport


Dongtan eco-city Sources: http://www.dongtan.biz/english/zhdt/plan06.php, http://www.dongtan.biz/english/zhdt/plan05.php, http://www.popsci.com/environment/gallery/2007-07/dongtan-city.

• First purpose-built eco-city• Designed for sustainabilityDesigned for sustainability• 64% lower energy use• Environmentally firendly transport og

infrastructure green buildingsinfrastructure, green buildings, recycling of waste to energy, wind energy, protection against floodingPhase I complete in 2010• Phase I complete in 2010


Hammarby Sjöstad Sources: http://www.stockholm.se/Extern/Templates/PageWide.aspx?id=191251,http://www.hammarbysjostad.se/

• Old industrial area• Sustainable city• Fast and efficient public transport shared carsFast and efficient public transport, shared cars,

bicycle tracks• Environmentally adjusted building materials• Renewable energy, recycling of waste heat, biogasgy y g g• 90% of household waste will be recycled for energy

generation• Water saving and purification of waste water


Agenda



• Pöyry Projects

• Conclusions


Pöyry projects

Miljø Energi

VandØkonomi

Rating toolFredericia C

Social/sundhedØkonomi

Transport

Affald

Fysiske rammerSocialt liv og byliv

Sundhed

Mangfoldighed

Energi

3

4

5Fysiske rammer

Vand

Transport

Affald 0

1

2

Socialt liv og byliv

Sundhed

Mangfoldighed Carlsberg’s ”Our City”

Køge Kyst

Amager Fælled Neighbourhood


Pöyry projects

Rating toolMiljø Energi

VandØkonomi

Rating toolTransport

AffaldSundhed

Mangfoldighed

Social/sundhedØkonomi Fysiske rammerSocialt liv og byliv

Energi

2

3

4

5Fysiske rammer

VandAffald 0

1

2

Socialt liv og bylivMangfoldighed

Transport Sundhed


Pöyry projects – rating tool

• Proces tool – evaluating and adjusting Energy Building

g j gsustainability in urban development projects

– identify where and how to focus on

Transport

Water

Waster

Urban life

Health

Diversitysustainability

• Three sustainability dimensionsEnvironment Social/health

y– Eight elements representing the

dimensions• For each element a number of

i di t d ib t Economyindicators describe sust.

• Review/grade each element with

Economy

Energy

Transport

Buildings

Urban lifepoint of departure in the indicators– sustainability profile

Transport

Water

Waste

Urban life

Health

Diversity


Pöyry projects

Fredericia C

Køge KystKøge Kyst


Pöyry projects – Fredericia C and Køge Kyst

• Sustainability experts• Competition Brief

specify sustainability in urban development– specify sustainability in urban development• three dimensions

– environment, social/health, economyi ht l t• eight elements– energy, transport, water, waste, buildings, urban life, health, diversity

– define targets – eg. • energy consumption, CO2-neutrality, water consumption, sports facilities,

cultural facilities

• Review proposals


Pöyry projects

A F ll d N i hb h dAmager Fælled Neighbourhood


Pöyry projects – Amager Fælled Neighbourhood

• CO2-neutral and sustainable neighbourhood– means to reduce CO2-emissions– means to reduce CO2-emissions

• energy (electricity and heat), transport, water consumption, waste management, planning, behaviour

reduce CO2-emissions by 65 percent compared to business as usual– reduce CO2-emissions by 65 percent compared to business as usual

14000

16000

18000

14000

16000

18000

8000

10000

12000Emissionskoefficient, varmeEmissionskoefficient, elAdfærdTransportAffaldVandVarmeEl, bygEl hus erhverv

8000

10000

12000TransportAffaldVandVarmeEl, bygningsdriftEl, erhverv

2000

4000

6000

El, hus, erhvervEl, hus boligFootprint

0

2000

4000

6000El, bolig


02008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

02008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Pöyry projects

Carlsberg’s ”Our City”g y


Pöyry projects – Our City – CO2-neutral City

• Optimisation of CO2-neutrality• energy standardenergy standard• energy production• off shore wind mill farms• green electricitygreen electricity


Agenda



• Pöyry Projects

• Conclusions


Conclusions

• Lots of things going on– In Denmark as well as abroad– In Denmark as well as abroad

• more is needed

• Based on known technologies– No man on Mars

• but is it still too expensive?p

• Need for further specification of sustainable urban development– Open discussion of definitions

• Is it possible to make clear definitions?• Dynamic process


Nansensgade 19 6th floor

Copenhagen

Nansensgade 19, 6th floorDK-1366 COPENHAGEN DenmarkTelephone: +45 33 91 40 45 Fax: +45 33 91 40 46 e mail: copenhagen ecdk@poyry come-mail: [email protected]


091029 FBBB Poyry Sustainable Cities.ppt ...

Documents

Transcript of 091029 FBBB Poyry Sustainable Cities.ppt ...