08 - Hypothesis Testing With z Tests

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    WITH Z TESTS

    Arlo Clark-Foos

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    Review: Standardization

    compares with all other scores (or a population).

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    CDC Exam le: Jessica

    For 15 year old girls, = 63.8, = 2.66

    ( )98.0

    66.2

    )8.6341.66(=

    =

    =

    Xz

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    CDC Exam le: Jessica

    shorter than Jessica?

    50% + 33.65% = 83.65%

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    CDC Exam le: Jessica

    than Jessica? 50% - 33.65% OR 100% - 83.65% = 16.35%

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    CDC Exam le: Jessica

    from the mean as Jessica (tall or short)? 16.35 % + 16.35% = 32.7%

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    CDC Exam le: Manuel

    For 15 year old boys, = 67, = 3.19

    ( )82.1

    19.3

    )672.61(=

    =

    =

    Xz

    Consult z table for 1.82 46.56%

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    CDC Exam le: Manuel

    Negative z, below mean: 50% - 46.56% = 3.44%

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    CDC Exam le: Manuel

    100% - 3.44% = 96.56 %

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    CDC Exam le: Manuel

    3.44% + 3.44% = 6.88%

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    Percenta es to z Scores

    = =

    You find out you are at 63rd percentile

    .

    X

    = .33(100) + 500 = 533

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    Table and Distribution of Means

    are using a sample and need to use standard error.

    How do UMD students measure up on the GRE?

    = 554, = 99 M = 568, N= 90

    M = = 554 436.10

    90

    99===

    NM

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    UMD & GRE Exam le

    34.1436.10===

    Mz

    Consultz table forz = 1.34 40.99 %

    . = .

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    Assum tions of H othesis Testin

    .

    2. Participants are randomly selected

    .

    normal

    .

    accurate results even when the data suggest that the

    o ulation mi ht not meet some of the assum tions.

    Parametric Tests

    Nonparametric Tests

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    Assum tions of H othesis Testin

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    Testin H otheses 6 Ste s

    .

    inferential test, and assumptions

    .

    3. Determine characteristics of the comparison

    Whether this is the whole population or a control

    group, we need to find the mean and some measure

    of spread (variability).

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    Testin H otheses 6 Ste s

    .

    How extreme must our data be to reject the null?

    will reject the null hypothesis (cutoffs)

    p levels (): Probabilities used to determine the critical value

    5. Calculate test statistic (e.g., z statistic)

    6. Make a decision

    Statistically Significant: Instructs us to reject the null

    hypothesis because the pattern in the data differs from

    what we would expect by chance alone.

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    The z Test: An Exam le

    = = = =

    1. Populations, distributions, and assumptions

    1. All students at UMD who have taken the test (not just our

    sample)

    2. All students nationwide who have taken the test

    Distribution: Sample distribution of means

    Test & Assumptions:z test1. Data are interval

    . ,

    3. Sample size > 30, therefore distribution is normal

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    The z Test: An Exam le

    .

    H0: 1 2

    1 1 2

    H0: 1 = 2

    H1: 1 2

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    The z Test: An Exam le

    .

    distribution. Po ulation: = 156.5 = 14.6

    Sample: M = 156.11, N = 97

    482.16.14===

    M

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    The z Test: An Exam le

    .

    In Behavioral Sciences, we use p = .05

    = =

    50% - 2.5% = 47.5%

    Consult z table for 47.5%z = 1.96

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    The z Test: An Exam le

    .

    ( ) 26.0)5.15611.156( =

    =

    =MM

    z

    .M

    6. a e a ec s on

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    Increasin Sam le Size

    value of the test statistic, thus increasing probabilityof finding a significant effect

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    Increasin Sam le Size

    Population: = 554, = 99 = =

    99 === .90N

    34.1436.10

    )554568(=

    =

    =M

    z

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    Increasin Sam le Size

    Population: = 554, = 99 = =

    99 === .200N

    00.200.7

    )554568(=

    =

    =M

    z