-0,5% · 2 0 2 0 a n d w i l l revi s e q u ar te r l y d ata fo r Q 1 2 0 1 9 to Q 2 2 0 2 0 o n 2...

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9/16/2020 Homepage 1/1 FDI posions: acvity breakdown (annual) FDI income: COPC (annual) Net lending (CA+KA) EU transfers External debt posions External posions by instruments FDI flows according to direconal principle FDI income and posions (annual) FDI posions: country breakdown (annual) Published: 21 September 2020 Magyar Nemze Bank Stascs Portal Balance of payments and Internaonal Investment Posion Current account balance -847,2 Net lending (CA+KA) SA/GDP SA -0,5% Net internaonal investment posion/GDP -47,0% Main balance of payments stascal aggregates Net lending (FA) by resident sectors Revisions (vs previous publicaon) Net lending (FA) by instruments External posions by resident sectors External debt posions by maturity Summary data Text informaon 2020 Q2

Transcript of -0,5% · 2 0 2 0 a n d w i l l revi s e q u ar te r l y d ata fo r Q 1 2 0 1 9 to Q 2 2 0 2 0 o n 2...

Page 1: -0,5% · 2 0 2 0 a n d w i l l revi s e q u ar te r l y d ata fo r Q 1 2 0 1 9 to Q 2 2 0 2 0 o n 2 1 D e c e m b e r 2 0 2 0 . Publicaon calendar B a l a n c e o f p ay m e nt s

9/16/2020 Homepage

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FDI posi�ons: ac�vitybreakdown (annual)

FDI income: COPC(annual)

Net lending (CA+KA)

EU transfers

External debt posi�onsExternal posi�ons by

instruments

FDI flows according todirec�onal principle

FDI income and posi�ons(annual)

FDI posi�ons: countrybreakdown (annual)

Published: 21 September 2020Magyar Nemze� BankSta�s�cs Portal

Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on

Current account balance

-847,2

Net lending (CA+KA) SA/GDP SA

-0,5%

Net interna�onal investment posi�on/GDP

-47,0%

Main balance of paymentssta�s�cal aggregates

Net lending (FA) by residentsectors

Revisions (vs previouspublica�on)

Net lending (FA) by instrumentsExternal posi�ons by resident

sectors

External debt posi�ons bymaturity

Summary data

Text informa�on2020 Q2

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9/16/2020 Text information

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Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2

Text informa�on

In Q2 2020, Hungary’s seasonally adjusted net borrowing (i.e. the combined deficit on its current and capital accounts) amounted to EUR 146.2 million, equal to 0.5 % of quarterly GDP. The unadjusted value reached EUR 190.1 million. The seasonally adjusted current account deficit is EUR 864.4 million, while the unadjusted value reached EUR 847.2 million. The �me series of the capital account does not contain seasonality, its balance is EUR 657.0 million. Hungary’s net foreign debt, excluding FDI debt instruments, amounted to EUR 11.3 billion at the end of June 2020 (8.2 % as a percentage of GDP in the last four quarters). The net external debt increased by 2.1 EUR billion compared to the previous quarter.The Central Bank’s reserve assets amounted to EUR 30.2 billion at the end of June 2020. In the second quarter, the level of the reserves increased by 4.4 EUR billion compared to the previous quarter.

Summary data

Net lending (CA+KA)

In Q2 2020 the components of net borrowing were significantly nega�vely affected by the spread of Covid-19: the level of exports and imports and the surplus of services fell significantly compared to the level of the previous quarter. Exports amounted to EUR 17.8 billion, imports to EUR 18.8 billion, and a trade deficit to 984.6 million in the second quarter, seasonally adjusted. The surplus of services decreased significantly, with travel reaching EUR 137.3 million and non-travel services reaching EUR 440.7 million. The deficit of primary income was 336.5 and that of secondary income was 381.2 million euros, seasonally adjusted.The �me series of the capital account does not contain seasonality, so the seasonally adjusted figure is the same as the unadjusted figure, with a value of EUR 657.0 million in the second quarter. The bulk of the capital account comes from capital transfers from the EU.

In this publica�on, the 2020. II. quarterly balance of payments and related stock sta�s�cs are published first with revisions for 2017, 2018, the four quarters of 2019 and Q1 2020. For 2019, we are now publishing the annual data: for the first �me, actual data based on the companies' annual financial reports are available for the income on equity in 2019, which have replaced the es�mates. (By 2020, the es�mate has been updated taking into account new factual data.)Within posi�ons, we publish for the first �me the FDI posi�ons based on annual corporate reports with its immediate country and ac�vity breakdown for 2019, and the inward FDI posi�ons by the ul�mate inves�ng economy for 2018.

By resident sectorsIn Q2 2020, financial account balance showed a decrease of EUR 1,018 million in net assets. General government sector (EUR 2,300 million), other monetary ins�tu�ons (EUR 368 million) and other sectors (EUR 338 million) have recorded a decrease in net external assets while the Central Bank (EUR 1,989 million) has increased its net external assets.

By instrumentsIn terms of instruments, net assets decreased in FDI by EUR 269 million, with the decrease of assets by EUR 916 million and the decrease of liabili�es by EUR 646 million. In por�olio investment net assets also decreased by EUR 2,583 million with the increase of assets EUR 304 million and liabili�es of EUR 2,887 million. There was an increase in net assets in financial deriva�ves by EUR 170 million. In other investment net assets decreased by EUR 2,819 million with the decrease of assets by EUR 2,814 million and increase of liabili�es by EUR 5 million. Reserve assets increased by EUR 4,483 million in Q2 2020.

Net lending (FA)

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Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2

Text informa�on

Net inflows of direct investments in the second quarter of 2020 increased by 269 million euros: FDI abroad increased by 470 million euros, while FDI in Hungary increased by 739 million euros. Capital in transit and asset por�olio restructuring in the second quarter reduced the value of investments in both investment direc�ons (capital withdrawal) by EUR 209 million.

Within FDI abroad, investments in equity increased the value of foreign investments by EUR 841 million, and reinvested earnings by EUR 129 million. Debt instruments showed a net decrease in claims of EUR 500 million.

In the case of FDI in Hungary, investments in shares and other equity decreased by EUR 1,099 million, reinvested earnings by EUR 367 million, while debt instruments increased the value of foreigners' investments by EUR 2,205 million.

In Q2 2020, the net IIP was EUR -64.7 billion: total assets amounted to EUR 140.3 billion and total liabili�es to EUR 205.1 billion. Compared to the end of the previous quarter, the level of assets increased by EUR 1.1 billion and that of liabili�es increased by EUR 2.8 billion.

Interna�onal investments posi�ons

Revisions

Data revisions are based on modified reports of companies, furthermore on the replacement of es�mates by reported data (income and stock of FDI) and on the data revision in the basic sta�s�cs taken over from HCSO (goods and services, compensa�on of employees and workers’ remi�ances).

For 2019, within primary income, direct investment income on equity in Hungary was EUR 1,190 million lower than previously es�mated, while the direct investment income on equity abroad was EUR 169 million higher than es�mated. The lower-than-es�mated profit appears in the financial account as a lower capital investment due to the reinvestment of earnings beside the lower income on equity in the current account. Based on these new fact data the es�mate of income on equity for 2020 has also declined.

The changes in trade in goods and services in 2017 were mainly due to the integra�on of input/output tables related to na�onal accounts, diminishing the current account balance by EUR 495 million. For 2018-2019. and for the first quarter of 2020, trade and services data were revised also in accordance with the HCSO's na�onal accounts sta�s�cs, for 2019 it is resulted lower balance for goods and services by EUR 730 million.

FDI flows according to direc�onal principle

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Reserve assets (Bn EUR)

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Securi�es Cuurency and dep… Monetary gold RPF SDR Other

Net lending (CA+KA) (M EUR)

-1 000

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0

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1 000

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2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

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2018 Q3

2018 Q4

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2020 Q2

Current account SA Capital account Net lending - SA

External debt excluding FDI debt instruments (Bn EUR)

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5

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15

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2018 Q2

2018 Q3

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Debt assets Gross debt Net debt (right scale)

Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2

Summary data

In Q2 2020, Hungary’s seasonally adjusted net borrowing (i.e. the combined deficit on its current and capital accounts) amounted to EUR 146.2 million, equal to 0.5 % of quarterly GDP. The unadjusted value reached EUR 190.1 million. The seasonally adjusted current account deficit is EUR 864.4 million, while the unadjusted value reached EUR 847.2 million. The �me series of the capital account does not contain seasonality, its balance is EUR 657.0 million.

Hungary’s net foreign debt, excluding FDI debt instruments, amounted to EUR 11.3 billion at the end of June 2020 (8.2 % as a percentage of GDP in the last four quarters). The net external debt increased by 2.1 EUR billion compared to the previous quarter.

The Central Bank’s reserve assets amounted to EUR30.2 billion at the end of June 2020. In the second quarter, the level of the reserves increased by 4.4 EUR billion compared to the previous quarter.

Net lending (CA+KA) SA/GDP SA

-0,5%Net debt excluding FDI debt instruments (Bn EUR)

11,3Total reserve assets (Bn EUR)

30,2

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Main balance of payments aggregates

Main balance of payments aggregates (M EUR)

-

2017 2018 2019 Q1 2020 Q2 2020

1. Current account, net (1.1.+1.2.+1.3.)

1.1. Goods and Services, net

1.1.1. Goods, net

1.1.1.A Export

1.1.1.B Import

1.1.2. Services, net

1.1.2.A Export

1.1.2.B Import

1.2. Primary income, net

1.2.1. Compensa�on of employees, net

1.2.2. Investment income, net

1.2.2.1. Direct investment income, net

1.2.2.2. Por�olio investment income, net

1.2.2.3. Other investment income, net

1.2.2.4. Reserve assets, net

1.2.3. Other primary income, net

1.2.3.1. of which: EU transfers

2 490

8 659

1 712

85 285

83 573

6 947

23 817

16 870

-5 063

2 627

-8 911

-7 386

-1 469

-244

187

1 221

1 221

377

6 003

-1 684

88 662

90 346

7 687

25 359

17 671

-4 978

2 422

-8 600

-7 274

-1 315

-203

192

1 200

1 200

-363

4 573

-2 992

93 078

96 069

7 565

26 928

19 363

-3 892

2 572

-7 738

-6 529

-1 248

-206

244

1 274

1 274

317

1 243

-192

23 346

23 538

1 435

5 542

4 107

-537

523

-1 333

-1 145

-198

-51

61

274

274

-847

-138

-788

18 160

18 948

650

4 087

3 437

-475

447

-1 251

-1 044

-203

-60

57

329

329

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Net lending (CA+KA) SA (M EUR)

-2 000

0

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-500

0

500

1 000

2017 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2018 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2019 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2020 Q1 2020 Q2

Goods Primary income Secondary income Capital account Travel Services (excl. travel) Net lending SA (right scale)

-500

0

500

1 000

1 500

24 000

26 000

28 000

30 000

32 000

34 000

2017 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2018 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2019 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2020 Q1 2020 Q2

Net SA (le� scale) SA Credit (right scale) SA Debit (right scale)

Seasonally adjusted data Unadjusted data

Net lending (CA+KA)Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2

Text informa�on FilterInstruments

All

Selected instruments (credit, debit, balance): Net lending (CA+KA)

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Net lending (CA+KA) (M EUR)

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0

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1000

2017 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2018 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2019 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2020 Q1 2020 Q2

Goods Primary income Secondary income Capital account Travel Services (excl. travel) Net lending (right scale)

-500

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

2017 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2018 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2019 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2020 Q1 2020 Q2

Balance Credit (right scale) Debit (right scale)

Seasonally adjusted data Unadjusted data

Net lending (CA+KA)Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2

FilterInstruments

All

Selected instruments (credit, debit, balance): All (Net lending (CA+KA))

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General government (M EUR)

-2 000

0

2 000

2017 Q1

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Central Bank (M EUR)

-4 000

-2 000

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

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Other monetary ins�tu�ons (M EUR)

-2 000

-1 000

0

1 000

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Other sectors (M EUR)

-4 000

-2 000

0

2 000

4 000

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2018 Q3

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Financial account (M EUR)

-4 000

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0

2 000

4 000

-2 000

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0

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2 000

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General Govern… Other monetar… Other sectors Central Bank Net assets

Net lending (FA) by resident sectors

Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2Text informa�on

Financial account by resident sectors (M EUR)Assets Liabili�es Net assets

Net lending (FA) (M EUR)

-1 017,6

-11 02017 Q1 - 2020 Q2Filter

Instrument

All

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Foreign direct investment (M EUR)

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Assets Liabili�es Net assets

Financial account (M EUR)

-5 000

0

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Foreign Dire… Por�olio Inv… Financial De… Other Inves… Reserve ass…

Financial deriva�ves (M EUR)

-2 000

-1 500

-1 000

-500

0

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Assets Liabili�es Net assetsReserve assets (M EUR)

-4 000

-2 000

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

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Assets Net assets

Por�olio investment (M EUR)

-4 000

-2 000

0

2 000

2017 Q1

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2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

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Assets Liabili�es Net assets

Other investment (M EUR)

-2 000

0

2 000

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

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2018 Q3

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2019 Q3

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Assets Liabili�es Net assets

Text informa�onBalance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2

Net lending (FA) by instruments-11 02017 Q1 - 2020 Q2

FilterResident sector

All

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Central Bank (Bn EUR)

0

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Other monetary ins�tu�ons (Bn EUR)

0

10

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30

40

-10

-9

-8

-7

-6

-5

Q42017

Q12018

Q22018

Q32018

Q42018

Q12019

Q22019

Q32019

Q42019

Q12020

Q22020

Net IIP (Bn EUR)

-120

-100

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

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40

-78

-76

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-70

-68

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General Govern… Other moneta… Other sectors Central Bank Net IIP (right s…

Interna�onal Investment Posi�on by resident sectors Text informa�onBalance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2

Assets Liabili�es Net IIP(right scale)

Net IIP by resident sectors

-10 02017 Q4 - 2020 Q2FilterInstrument

All

Liabili�es (Bn EUR)

205,1Assets (Bn EUR)

140,3

Net IIP (Bn EUR)

-64,7 General government (Bn EUR)

0

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-38

-36

-34

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-28

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Net IIP (Bn EUR)

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FDI Financial deriv… Other invest… Por�olio inves… Reserve assets

Por�olio investment (Bn EUR)

0

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-35

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Assets Liabili�es Net IIP (right scale)

Foreign direct investment (Bn EUR)

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Assets Liabili�es Net IIP (right scale)

Financial deriva�ves (Bn EUR)

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Assets Liabili�es Net IIP (right scale)

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Assets Net IIP (right scale)

Other investment (Bn EUR)

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Assets Liabili�es Net IIP (right scale)

Resident sector

All

Interna�onal Investment Posi�on by instruments

Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2 -11 02017 Q1 - 2020 Q2Filter

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Debt assets Debt liabili�es Net debt (right scale)

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General government (Bn EUR)

0

10

20

30

40

50

30

35

40

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

Central Bank (Bn EUR)

0

10

20

30

-26

-24

-22

-20

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

FDI debt

Debt excluding FDI…

Indicators

All

Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2

Stock of external debt

Net external debt of Generalgovernment (Bn EUR)

33,8

Net external debt of othermonetary ins�tu�ons (Bn EUR)

0,2

Net external debt of CentralBank (Bn EUR)

-24,1

Net external debt of othersectors (Bn EUR)

1,4

Net external debt by resident sectors (Bn EUR)

-11 02017 Q1 - 2020 Q2Filter

Other sectors (Bn EUR)

0

5

10

15

20

0

1

2

3

4

5

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

Debt assets Debt liabili�es Net debt (right scale)

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9/16/2020 Stock of external debt by maturity

1/1

Gross external debt posi�on by resident sectors (Bn EUR)

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

General Gov… Other mon… Other sectors Central Bank Gross exter…

Long-term

0

20

40

60

80

0

20

40

60

80

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

Original long-term Gross external debt posi�ons (right scale)

Short-term

0

20

40

60

80

0

20

40

60

80

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

Remaining short-term Gross external debt posi�ons (right scale)

Long-term

0

20

40

60

80

0

20

40

60

80

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

Remaining long-term Gross external debt posi�ons (right scale)

Stock of gross external debt by maturity (excl. FDI debt)

Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2

Gross external debt posi�on (Bn EUR)

75,9Short-term

0

20

40

60

80

0

20

40

60

80

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

Original short-term Gross external debt posi�ons (right scale)

Debt by original maturity (Bn EUR) Debt by remaining maturity (Bn EUR)

-11 02017 Q1 - 2020 Q2 Resident sector

All

Filter

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9/16/2020 FDI according to directional principle

1/1

FDI abroad

-2 000

0

2 000

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

Capital in transit in Hungary

-4 000

-2 000

0

2 000

4 000

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

Capital in transit abroad

-2 000

0

2 000

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

FDI in Hungary excluding capital in transit

-4 000

-2 000

0

2 000

4 000

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

FDI abroad excluding capital in transit

-2 000

0

2 000

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

FDI in Hungary

-4 000

-2 000

0

2 000

4 000

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2

FDI flows according to the direc�onal principle

FDI abroad (M EUR)Equity Reinvested earnings Debt instruments FDI abroad

FDI in Hungary (M EUR)Equity Reinvested earnings Debt instruments FDI in Hungary

-11 02017 Q1 - 2020 Q2FilterText informa�on

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9/16/2020 EU transfers

1/1

Current and capital account items (M EUR)

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2017 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q3 2017 Q4 2018 Q1 2018 Q2 2018 Q3 2018 Q4 2019 Q1 2019 Q2 2019 Q3 2019 Q4 2020 Q1 2020 Q2

Primary income Secondary income Capital transfers Net EU transfers

Primary income (M EUR)

0

200

400

600

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

Primary income credit Primary income debit Net primary income

Secondary income (M EUR)

-200

0

200

400

600

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

Secondary income credit Secondary income debit Net secondary income

Capital transfers (M EUR)

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2017 Q1

2017 Q2

2017 Q3

2017 Q4

2018 Q1

2018 Q2

2018 Q3

2018 Q4

2019 Q1

2019 Q2

2019 Q3

2019 Q4

2020 Q1

2020 Q2

Capital transfers credit Capital transfers debit Net capital transfers

EU transfers

Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2

Net EU transfers (M EUR)

937,9

-11 02017 Q1 - 2020 Q2Filter

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9/16/2020 Revisions (vs previous publication)

1/1

Balance of payments (revisions, M EUR)

Main items

2017 2018 2019 Q1 2020

1. Current account balance (1.1+1.2+1.3+1.4)

1.1 Goods

1.2 Services

1.3 Primary income

1.4 Secondary income

2. Capital account

3. Financial account

3.1 Foreign direct investment (net assets)

3.1.1 Foreign direct investment abroad (net assets)

3.1.1.1 Equity

3.1.1.2 Debt instruments

3.1.2 Foreign direct investment in Hungary (net liabili�es)

3.1.2.1 Equity

3.1.2.2 Debt instruments

3.2 Por�olio investments (net assets)

3.2.1 Assets

3.2.2 Liabili�es

3.3 Financial deriva�ves (net assets)

3.4 Other investments (net assets)

3.4.1 Assets

3.4.2 Liabili�es

4. Net errors and omissions

-447

-197

-298

3

45

0

-16

-3

20

5

15

23

5

19

-12

0

12

0

-1

-2

398

3

0

217

178

-8

20

46

73

53

20

27

-76

103

0

0

0

0

-26

-1

853

-300

-430

1 409

175

-4

1 497

1 653

-159

-170

11

-1 813

-1 895

83

0

0

0

-3

-154

-5

314

-10

-21

332

13

0

525

687

69

-9

78

-619

-450

-169

7

8

0

0

-170

211

-2

431

25

-370

148

648

381

211

Posi�ons (revisions, M EUR)

Main items 2017 2018 2019 Q1 2020

1. Foreign direct investment (net assets)

1.1 Foreign direct investment abroad (net assets)

1.1.1 Equity

1.1.2. Debt

1.1.2.1 Debt assets

1.1.2.2 Debt liabili�es

1.2 Foreign direct investment in Hungary (net liabili�es)

1.2.1 Equity

1.2.2. Debt

1.2.2.1 Debt assets

1.2.2.2 Debt liabili�es

2. Por�olio investments (net assets)

2.1 Assets

2.2 Liabili�es

3. Financial deriva�ves (net assets)

4. Other investments (net assets)

4.1 Assets

4.2 Liabili�es

5. Gross external debt (excl. FDI debt)

6. Net external debt (excl. FDI debt)

68

0

23

-23

19

42

-68

6

-74

156

81

0

0

0

0

-1

-2

-1

-1

4

191

200

185

16

101

85

9

-123

132

168

301

0

0

0

0

-27

-3

23

23

33

2 856

89

88

1

128

127

-2 767

-2 907

140

44

183

0

0

0

0

50

33

-17

-17

-39

3 659

466

386

79

210

131

-3 194

-3 128

-65

126

60

5

8

3

0

-106

263

369

372

113

Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2

Revisions (vs previous publica�on) Text informa�on

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9/16/2020 FDI income and positions (annual)

1/1

FDI posi�on abroad (M EUR)

0

10 000

20 000

30 000

40 000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Outward equity posi�on Outward debt instruments posi�on FDI abroad posi�on

FDI posi�on in Hungary (M EUR)

0

50 000

100 000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Inward equity posi�on Inward debt instruments posi�on FDI in Hungary posi�on

FDI income abroad (M EUR)

-1 000

0

1 000

2 000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Dividends abroad Reinvested earnings abroad Interests abroad FDI income abroad

FDI income in Hungary (M EUR)

0

5 000

10 000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Dividends in Hungary Reinvested earnings in Hungary Interests in Hungary FDI income in Hungary

Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2

FDI income and posi�ons (annual)

FDI posi�on in Hungary (M EUR)

87 372,6FDI posi�on abroad (M EUR)

33 217,5Hungary Abroad

2000 2019Filter

New annual data are first published in September following the reference year. Data are revisied in March and September.

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9/16/2020 FDI position: country breakdown, top10

1/1

Outward FDI posi�on (M EUR)

0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000

Croa�a

Cyprus

Slovakia

Israel

Netherlands

United States

Bulgaria

Romania

Spain

Poland

3 734

2 861

2 292

2 146

1 997

1 493

1 460

1 276

1 228

1 218

Inward FDI posi�on (M EUR)

0 5 000 10 000 15 000 20 000

Germany

Netherlands

Austria

Ireland

Switzerland

Luxemburg

France

Italy

South Korea

United States

16 984

15 381

8 866

4 259

4 119

4 009

3 523

2 681

2 469

2 413

Inward FDI posi�on by country of ul�mate vs immediate investor (breakdown by ul�mate investor is available in 2014-2018) (M EUR)

-5 000

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

Germany United States Austria France South Korea United Kingdom Italy Japan India Netherlands

17 59311 613

7 0274 997

3 561 3 366 3 075 2 839 2 781 2 398

16 984

2 413

8 866

3 523 2 4691 187

2 6811 138

-1

15 381

Country of ul�mate investor Country of immediate investor

Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2

FDI posi�ons: country breakdown (top 10; annual data)

Period

2018

Filter

New annual data are first published in September following the reference year. Data are revisied in March and September.

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9/16/2020 FDI position: activity breakdown (annual)

1/1

By the ac�vity of the resident investment (M EUR)Resident ac�vi�es

Manufacturing - C

Financial and insurance ac…

Wholesale and retail trade…

Real estate ac�vi�es - L

Professional, scien�fic and…

Private purchase and sales…

Informa�on and communi…

Other services (N,O,P,Q,R,S)

By the ac�vity of the non-resident investment (M EUR)Non-resident ac�vity

Financial and insurance act…

Manufacturing - C

Private purchase and sales …

Mining and quarrying - B

Wholesale and retail trade;…

Other services (N,O,P,Q,R,S)

Informa�on and communic…

Professional, scien�fic and …

.....of which the main ac�vity groups of manufacturing (M EUR)Ac�vity groups of manufactu…

Total vehicle and other tra…

Computer, electronis and …

Rubber, plas�c and other …

Electrical equipment, mac…

Basic pharmaceu�cal prod…

Coke, refined pertoleum, …

Basic metals and fabricate…

Food products; beverage …

Wood, paper, prin�ng and…

... of which the main ac�vity groups of manufacturing (M EUR)Ac�vity groups of manufactur…

Basic pharmaceu�cal prod…

Coke, refined pertoleum, c…

Computer, electronis and o…

Total vehicle and other tra…

Basic metals and fabricated…

Rubber, plas�c and other n…

Manufacturing not elsewh…

Wood, paper, prin�ng and …

Electrical equipment, mach…

Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2

FDI posi�ons: ac�vity breakdown (annual data)Period

2019

Filter

Inward FDI posi�on Outward FDI posi�on

New annual data are first published in September following the reference year. Data are revisied in March and September.

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9/16/2020 FDI income: COPC (annual)

1/1

Abroad (M EUR)

-2 000

-1 000

0

1 000

2 000

3 000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

A�er tax profit COPC adjustment FDI equity income (published in BoP)

In Hungary (M EUR)

-10 000

-5 000

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

A�er tax profit COPC adjustment FDI equity income (published in BoP)

In the balance of payments, data are shown under Direct investment income, Income on equity, credit (FDI abroad), and debit (FDI in Hungary). Data in excel format are available here.

Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2

FDI income: COPC adjustment (annual data)

New annual data are first published in September following the reference year. Data are revisied in March and September.

FilterSector

Total economy

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9/16/2020 Other information

1/1

Informa�on about the next publica�on

The MNB will release Hungary’s balance of payments and interna�onal investment posi�on data for Q3 2020 and will revise quarterly data for Q1 2019 to Q2 2020 on 21 December 2020.

Publica�on calendar

Balance of payments and Interna�onal Investment Posi�on - 2020 Q2

Other informa�on and notes

Related links

Notes

Sesonally adjusted graphs

Contact

Methodological notes

Magyar Nemze� BankSta�s�cs Directorate

Interac�ve graphs

Tel.: +36 1 428 2600

Sta�s�cal tables

Fax: + 36 1 429 8000

Email: [email protected]

In these interac�ve graphs, Hungary’s balance of payments and interna�onal investment posi�on are presented excluding data on special purpose en��es (SPEs), consistent with past prac�ce. However, Hungary’s BOP and IIP both excluding and including SPE data are available on the MNB’s website.

Regarding the applied tool for seasonal adjustment, the MNB together with the HCSO, has switched from Demetra to JDemetra+ as the new standard so�ware for seasonal adjustment star�ng from the first publica�on of seasonally adjusted data for January 2017 and Q1 2017. JDemetra+ is the officially recommended so�ware for seasonal adjustment of official sta�s�cs within the European System of Central Banks and the European Sta�s�cal System, in producing seasonally adjusted data. As a member of the European System of Central Banks, one of the key objec�ves of the MNB is to produce seasonally adjusted data of the best possible quality, which are comparable to those produced and published by other Member States. The so�ware change does not influence the applicability, interpreta�on and the dissemina�on of seasonally adjusted data; TRAMO/SEATS will con�nue to be the seasonal adjustment method used. However, due to the many new sta�s�cal tests and diagnos�cs built into the new programme, we can provide higher quality seasonally adjusted data to users.

Seasonally adjusted balance �me series are directly adjusted. Thus, seasonally adjusted balances cannot be reproduced from the seasonally adjusted credits and debits. The same applies to the aggregates. The seasonally adjusted aggregates cannot be reproduced from the seasonally adjusted subaccounts either (e.g. the seasonally adjusted current account balance does not equal to the sum of the seasonally adjusted data of the subaccounts).