© Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS...

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© Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock

Transcript of © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS...

Page 1: © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock.

© Crown copyright Met Office

Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment(DICE)

GLASS / GASS joint project

Martin Best and Adrian Lock

Page 2: © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock.

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Outline of the 3 stages of DICE

LSM and SCM stand-alone performance against observations

What is the impact of coupling?

How sensitive are different LSM and SCM to variations in forcing?

Page 3: © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock.

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CASES-99 case study23-26 October 1999

• Field experiment in Kansas, USA

• We follow Steeneveld et al (2006)

• 3 day simulation from 2pm local time on 23rd October 1999

• Recall GABLS II ran for from 2pm on 22nd for 2.5 days

• Clear skies throughout

• Gives 3 nights of varying character

• intermittent turbulence

• continuous turbulence

• very stable, almost no turbulent fluxes

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Experimental protocol

• LSM

• Soil spin-up:

• 9 years from saturated using WATCH forcing data

• 10th year forcing data from local site

• Two stage 1a experiments with forcing from 2m and 55m

• Stage 3a LSM experiments forced with stage 1b SCM data interpolated to 20m

• SCM

• Large-scale forcing:

• Time-varying geostrophic wind (uniform with height)

• Large-scale horizontal advective tendencies for T, q, u, v estimated from a simple budget analysis of the sondes

• Subsidence for T, q

• No relaxation

• Radiation switched on in all simulations

• SCM in stage 1b use observed sensible and latent heat fluxes and u* (either directly or via cD)

• Stage 3b SCM experiments forced with stage 1a LSM surface fluxes

Page 5: © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock.

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Participating ModelsModel Contact Institute Levels Sensitivity tests

Arome & Arpege (NWP) Eric Bazile Meteo France 60/70 Resolution, soil

Arpege (CMIP5) Isabelle Beau Meteo France

ECEARTH Reinder Ronda, Bert Holtslag Wageningen University 91

GDPS3.0 Ayrton Zadra CMC 79 Surface properties

GFDL Sergey Malyshev, Kirsten Findell Princeton/GFDL 24

GISS_E2 Ann Fridlind, Andy Ackerman GISS 40

WRF (IAP) Bingcheng Wan IAP 119

IFS/HTESSEL Irina Sandu, Gianpaolo Balsamo ECMWF 137 LAI

LMDZ, ORCHIDEE Sonia Ait-Mesbah, Marie-Pierre Lefebvre, Frederique Cheruy LMD 70

MESO_NH Maria Jimenez, Patrick LeMoigne, Joan Cuxart IMEDEA, Meteo France, UIB 85 Bare soil

UM/JULES Adrian Lock, Martin Best Met Office 70 Vegetation

NCEP Weizhong Zheng,

Mike Ek

NOAA 65 z0

WRF-NOAH Wenyan Huang, Xinyong Shen, Weiguo Wang

NUIST 60 Many

WRF Wayne Angevine NOAA 119 PBL scheme

CAM5, CLM4 David Lawrence, Ben Sanderson NCAR 26

Page 6: © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock.

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• A challenging surface?

• October grass was largely dead

• Rain in September left soil moist

• Excessive evaporation a feature of the first round of DICE

Google streetview

Courtesy of Joan Cuxart

Page 7: © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock.

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Stage 1aSurface fluxes from 55m-forced LSMs

Round 1 data

Round 2 data

Remember these will be the SCM surface fluxes in Stage 3b

Not all LSM provided u*(not compulsory under ALMA convention)

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SCM grids• Solid lines = control model

• Dotted/dashed lines = experiment

• Lowest grid-levels range from 1.5m to 85m

Page 9: © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock.

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Stage 1bSCM forced by observed surface fluxes

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Stage 1b summary (from October workshop)

• Simulations successfully completed

• SCM can be forced by observed fluxes and stresses

• Overall doing a reasonable job

• Stable 3rd night not stable enough

• Lots to look at

• SCM forcing issues:

• I‘m not happy with the wind forcing

• Can geostrophic wind be set better?

• simply use 1-3km average instead of below 3km?

• Remove fine-scale structure in wind ICs and forcing?

• Subsidence slightly too weak?

• Check cirrus on 26th (is it spurious?)

• Check SW TOA between models

• Check temperature budgets for all models

• What should be happening with near surface night-time moisture (LHF~0)?

Tending to ignore 26th

Improved since round 1See entrainment budgets later

Still ?

No change to forcing

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Stage 1b near surface evolution SCM driven by observed surface fluxes

20m 55m

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Stage 1b to 2Impact of coupling to surface

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Stage 1b vs 2Bulk PBL sensitivity (variables at 55m)

• More spread between coupled models in stage 2 than stand-alone SCM in stage 1b

• More degrees of freedom• Moisture more sensitive than temperature?

θ55m

q55m

Stage 2

θ55m

q55m

Stage 1b

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Stage 1b vs 2Bulk PBL depth sensitivity

• Some suggestion that PBL depth is less sensitive when coupled (especially in the evening)

Stage 1b

Stage 2

PBL depth calculated as whereRiB=0.25

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Stage 1a (55m)

Impact of coupling on winds

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SBL sensitivity in stage 2

• Models with stronger evening cooling in T2m have• Weaker sensible heat flux• Stronger soil heat flux

• Consistent with stronger T gradients

• GABLS3 (Bosveld et al, 2014) sensitivity tests suggest implies similar soil conductivity?

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Stage 3b variabilityPerspective from the atmosphere1) Daytime

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Stage 3b daytime sensitivities

• All models have more variability in the PBL moisture than temperature

• But (by 25th)) SCM differ more for theta than q

• How strongly is this driven by the surface fluxes?

24th and 25th 24th and 25th

Flavours of WRF

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Stage 3b temperature sensitivity to SHF

Typically weak correlation between daytime PBL temperature and surface sensible heat flux

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Stage 3b moisture sensitivity to LHF

Much stronger correlation between daytime PBL moisture and surface latent heat flux

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Controls on daytime PBL

• Why should q correlate more with LHF?

• or T less with SHF?

• SHF dominates deepening of PBL through entrainment

• Stronger SHF implies greater PBL warming but also entrainment and PBL deepening

• but that implies further enhanced warming so still ought to correlate

• Look further at differences in PBL growth…

Page 22: © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock.

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Daytime sensitivity: θ profiles (1400 CDT 25th)

NUIST warm outlier

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Daytime sensitivity: q profiles (1400 CDT 25th)

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Stage 3b sensitivities

• Some models have much greater sensitivity in PBL depth than others

• Diagnosed consistently using RiB=0.25

24th and 25th

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Does PBL depth depend on EF?

Not really!

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Does PBL depth depend on surface buoyancy flux?

In most models, yes

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Entrainment sensitivity

• Estimate entrainment fluxes from PBL θv budget

Integrate over the boundary layer:

Rearranging gives:v

i Sz

ww

t i

surfv

zv

θθθ+

−−=

∂∂ ''''

vS

z

w

tvv

θθθ

+∂

∂−=

∂∂ ''

1''''

''−⎟⎟⎠

⎞⎜⎜⎝

⎛−

∂∂

=−=v

i Stw

z

w

wA v

surfv

i

sfv

zv

ent θ

θθθ

θ

Horizontal advection and radiation (~small)• I’m ignoring vertical advection (small in PBL)

Page 28: © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock.

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Variability in entrainment buoyancy flux

• Note Aent<0 implies PBL warming less than expected from surface heating+forcing

• Could imply surface heating distributed above hpbl

• Hence sensitive to definition of hpbl

“Expected value” ~ 0.2

sfv

zv

entw

wA i

''

''

θ

θ−=

Generic hpbl (RiB) Models’ internal hpbl

Page 29: © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock.

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Variability in entrainment buoyancy flux

• Note Aent<0 implies PBL warming less than expected from surface heating+forcing

• Could imply surface heating distributed above hpbl

• Hence sensitive to definition of hpbl

“Expected value” ~ 0.2

sfv

zv

entw

wA i

''

''

θ

θ−=

Generic hpbl (RiB) Models’ internal hpbl

Take SCMs 3 and 10 on 25th as examples

Page 30: © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock.

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Examples: GISS and NUIST (Exp2=MYNN level 3)

• Models’ hpbl are significantly higher than RiB predicts

• Using the higher level adds warming within the inversion to the mixed layer budget and gives a larger Aent

Generic hpbl (RiB)Models’ internal hpbl

1''''

''−⎟⎟⎠

⎞⎜⎜⎝

⎛−

∂∂

=−=v

i Stw

z

w

wA v

surfv

i

sfv

zv

ent θ

θ

θθ

θ

Page 31: © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock.

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Variability in entrainment buoyancy flux

• Met Office SCM has Aent=0.2 with very little variability

• Slight odd because the code sets Aent=0.23 and also includes a contribution from u*

“Expected value” ~ 0.2

sfv

zv

entw

wA i

''

''

θ

θ−=

Generic hpbl (RiB) Models’ internal hpbl

Page 32: © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock.

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Entrainment sensitivity to u*

Sensitivity to u* goes the wrong way!

Page 33: © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock.

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Variability in moisture entrainment

• Entrainment flux of moisture depends on PBL to free-troposphere moisture difference

• Most models (not NUIST) have mixed out dry slot above inversion on 24th

• Hence moist air is entrained and Aentq > 0

• On 25th free-atmosphere is robustly drier and Aentq is more similar (<0)

sfv

zv

entqqw

qwA i

''

''−=

Use models’ internal hpbl

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Stage 3bStable boundary layers

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Stable boundary layer

• As in daytime, more spread in moisture than temperature

• SCM fairly consistent, particularly for moisture

23rd, 24th and 25th 23rd, 24th and 25th

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Stable boundary layer

• More negative SHF generally implies colder 50m temperature

• Heat lost to surface

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Stable boundary layer

• Larger u* implies warmer 50m temperature on 24th (+)

• More turbulent SBL with more mixing of heat downwards

Page 38: © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock.

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Remaining data issues

• Some stage 3b files do not have correct u* forcing

• Were given observed u* by (my) mistake

• Can anyone face rerunning stage 3b again?

• Could all groups provide u* and Tskin from LSMs?

• Notes for future intercomparisons

• Decide on grid indexing from surface or TOA

• Height as height above surface (not sea-level)

• Make sign convention clear

Page 39: © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock.

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Potential discussion points

• Stage 1a: should be straightforward to understand reasons for excessive u* in some LSMs

• Simply excessive z0? If so why (eg canopy height, LAI)?

• Stage 1a: u* distributions very different (fall into 2 groups)

• Could all groups provide u* from LSMs

• Stage 1a: some LSMs have different daytime fluxes forced by 2m and 55m

• Similarity theory not holding?

• Stage 2 coupling: some positive some negative feedbacks on surface fluxes (cf stage 1a)

• Stage 2 coupling: net LW enhanced by day (increased upward LW) with less SHF

Change in near surface T gradients?

• Interesting soil heat flux “hysteresis” between day and night in some models

• Why this difference and what is the impact?

• Stage 1b,3b: why do some SCM mix out the inversion?

• Dependent on parametrization structure (eg non-local vs EDMF vs higher order)?

• Does it matter? Affects PBL budget so can effects be seen in going from stage 1a

Page 40: © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS joint project Martin Best and Adrian Lock.

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Next steps

• Further iteration (eg corrected u* in stage 3b)?

• Ensure everyone has submitted all data (eg u* and Tskin, 2m and 55m forcing datasets)

• Start on writing intercomparison papers

• Overview paper on intercomparison stages

• 2nd paper on detailed LSM analysis and coupling?

• 3rd paper on SCM sensitivities (eg entrainment, SBL)?

• Special issue for DICE related studies?

• Make intercomparison model data (and CASES 99 obs) available for others to do more analysis

• Clean up datasets first?