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Transcript of © Crown copyright Met Office Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (DICE) GLASS / GASS...
© Crown copyright Met Office
Diurnal cycle Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment(DICE)
GLASS / GASS joint project
Martin Best and Adrian Lock
© Crown copyright Met Office
Outline of the 3 stages of DICE
LSM and SCM stand-alone performance against observations
What is the impact of coupling?
How sensitive are different LSM and SCM to variations in forcing?
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CASES-99 case study23-26 October 1999
• Field experiment in Kansas, USA
• We follow Steeneveld et al (2006)
• 3 day simulation from 2pm local time on 23rd October 1999
• Recall GABLS II ran for from 2pm on 22nd for 2.5 days
• Clear skies throughout
• Gives 3 nights of varying character
• intermittent turbulence
• continuous turbulence
• very stable, almost no turbulent fluxes
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Experimental protocol
• LSM
• Soil spin-up:
• 9 years from saturated using WATCH forcing data
• 10th year forcing data from local site
• Two stage 1a experiments with forcing from 2m and 55m
• Stage 3a LSM experiments forced with stage 1b SCM data interpolated to 20m
• SCM
• Large-scale forcing:
• Time-varying geostrophic wind (uniform with height)
• Large-scale horizontal advective tendencies for T, q, u, v estimated from a simple budget analysis of the sondes
• Subsidence for T, q
• No relaxation
• Radiation switched on in all simulations
• SCM in stage 1b use observed sensible and latent heat fluxes and u* (either directly or via cD)
• Stage 3b SCM experiments forced with stage 1a LSM surface fluxes
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Participating ModelsModel Contact Institute Levels Sensitivity tests
Arome & Arpege (NWP) Eric Bazile Meteo France 60/70 Resolution, soil
Arpege (CMIP5) Isabelle Beau Meteo France
ECEARTH Reinder Ronda, Bert Holtslag Wageningen University 91
GDPS3.0 Ayrton Zadra CMC 79 Surface properties
GFDL Sergey Malyshev, Kirsten Findell Princeton/GFDL 24
GISS_E2 Ann Fridlind, Andy Ackerman GISS 40
WRF (IAP) Bingcheng Wan IAP 119
IFS/HTESSEL Irina Sandu, Gianpaolo Balsamo ECMWF 137 LAI
LMDZ, ORCHIDEE Sonia Ait-Mesbah, Marie-Pierre Lefebvre, Frederique Cheruy LMD 70
MESO_NH Maria Jimenez, Patrick LeMoigne, Joan Cuxart IMEDEA, Meteo France, UIB 85 Bare soil
UM/JULES Adrian Lock, Martin Best Met Office 70 Vegetation
NCEP Weizhong Zheng,
Mike Ek
NOAA 65 z0
WRF-NOAH Wenyan Huang, Xinyong Shen, Weiguo Wang
NUIST 60 Many
WRF Wayne Angevine NOAA 119 PBL scheme
CAM5, CLM4 David Lawrence, Ben Sanderson NCAR 26
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• A challenging surface?
• October grass was largely dead
• Rain in September left soil moist
• Excessive evaporation a feature of the first round of DICE
Google streetview
Courtesy of Joan Cuxart
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Stage 1aSurface fluxes from 55m-forced LSMs
Round 1 data
Round 2 data
Remember these will be the SCM surface fluxes in Stage 3b
Not all LSM provided u*(not compulsory under ALMA convention)
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SCM grids• Solid lines = control model
• Dotted/dashed lines = experiment
• Lowest grid-levels range from 1.5m to 85m
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Stage 1bSCM forced by observed surface fluxes
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Stage 1b summary (from October workshop)
• Simulations successfully completed
• SCM can be forced by observed fluxes and stresses
• Overall doing a reasonable job
• Stable 3rd night not stable enough
• Lots to look at
• SCM forcing issues:
• I‘m not happy with the wind forcing
• Can geostrophic wind be set better?
• simply use 1-3km average instead of below 3km?
• Remove fine-scale structure in wind ICs and forcing?
• Subsidence slightly too weak?
• Check cirrus on 26th (is it spurious?)
• Check SW TOA between models
• Check temperature budgets for all models
• What should be happening with near surface night-time moisture (LHF~0)?
Tending to ignore 26th
Improved since round 1See entrainment budgets later
Still ?
No change to forcing
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Stage 1b near surface evolution SCM driven by observed surface fluxes
20m 55m
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Stage 1b to 2Impact of coupling to surface
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Stage 1b vs 2Bulk PBL sensitivity (variables at 55m)
• More spread between coupled models in stage 2 than stand-alone SCM in stage 1b
• More degrees of freedom• Moisture more sensitive than temperature?
θ55m
q55m
Stage 2
θ55m
q55m
Stage 1b
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Stage 1b vs 2Bulk PBL depth sensitivity
• Some suggestion that PBL depth is less sensitive when coupled (especially in the evening)
Stage 1b
Stage 2
PBL depth calculated as whereRiB=0.25
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Stage 1a (55m)
Impact of coupling on winds
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SBL sensitivity in stage 2
• Models with stronger evening cooling in T2m have• Weaker sensible heat flux• Stronger soil heat flux
• Consistent with stronger T gradients
• GABLS3 (Bosveld et al, 2014) sensitivity tests suggest implies similar soil conductivity?
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Stage 3b variabilityPerspective from the atmosphere1) Daytime
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Stage 3b daytime sensitivities
• All models have more variability in the PBL moisture than temperature
• But (by 25th)) SCM differ more for theta than q
• How strongly is this driven by the surface fluxes?
24th and 25th 24th and 25th
Flavours of WRF
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Stage 3b temperature sensitivity to SHF
Typically weak correlation between daytime PBL temperature and surface sensible heat flux
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Stage 3b moisture sensitivity to LHF
Much stronger correlation between daytime PBL moisture and surface latent heat flux
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Controls on daytime PBL
• Why should q correlate more with LHF?
• or T less with SHF?
• SHF dominates deepening of PBL through entrainment
• Stronger SHF implies greater PBL warming but also entrainment and PBL deepening
• but that implies further enhanced warming so still ought to correlate
• Look further at differences in PBL growth…
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Daytime sensitivity: θ profiles (1400 CDT 25th)
NUIST warm outlier
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Daytime sensitivity: q profiles (1400 CDT 25th)
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Stage 3b sensitivities
• Some models have much greater sensitivity in PBL depth than others
• Diagnosed consistently using RiB=0.25
24th and 25th
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Does PBL depth depend on EF?
Not really!
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Does PBL depth depend on surface buoyancy flux?
In most models, yes
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Entrainment sensitivity
• Estimate entrainment fluxes from PBL θv budget
Integrate over the boundary layer:
Rearranging gives:v
i Sz
ww
t i
surfv
zv
vθ
θθθ+
−−=
∂∂ ''''
vS
z
w
tvv
θθθ
+∂
∂−=
∂∂ ''
1''''
''−⎟⎟⎠
⎞⎜⎜⎝
⎛−
∂∂
=−=v
i Stw
z
w
wA v
surfv
i
sfv
zv
ent θ
θθθ
θ
Horizontal advection and radiation (~small)• I’m ignoring vertical advection (small in PBL)
© Crown copyright Met Office
Variability in entrainment buoyancy flux
• Note Aent<0 implies PBL warming less than expected from surface heating+forcing
• Could imply surface heating distributed above hpbl
• Hence sensitive to definition of hpbl
“Expected value” ~ 0.2
sfv
zv
entw
wA i
''
''
θ
θ−=
Generic hpbl (RiB) Models’ internal hpbl
© Crown copyright Met Office
Variability in entrainment buoyancy flux
• Note Aent<0 implies PBL warming less than expected from surface heating+forcing
• Could imply surface heating distributed above hpbl
• Hence sensitive to definition of hpbl
“Expected value” ~ 0.2
sfv
zv
entw
wA i
''
''
θ
θ−=
Generic hpbl (RiB) Models’ internal hpbl
Take SCMs 3 and 10 on 25th as examples
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Examples: GISS and NUIST (Exp2=MYNN level 3)
• Models’ hpbl are significantly higher than RiB predicts
• Using the higher level adds warming within the inversion to the mixed layer budget and gives a larger Aent
Generic hpbl (RiB)Models’ internal hpbl
1''''
''−⎟⎟⎠
⎞⎜⎜⎝
⎛−
∂∂
=−=v
i Stw
z
w
wA v
surfv
i
sfv
zv
ent θ
θ
θθ
θ
© Crown copyright Met Office
Variability in entrainment buoyancy flux
• Met Office SCM has Aent=0.2 with very little variability
• Slight odd because the code sets Aent=0.23 and also includes a contribution from u*
“Expected value” ~ 0.2
sfv
zv
entw
wA i
''
''
θ
θ−=
Generic hpbl (RiB) Models’ internal hpbl
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Entrainment sensitivity to u*
Sensitivity to u* goes the wrong way!
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Variability in moisture entrainment
• Entrainment flux of moisture depends on PBL to free-troposphere moisture difference
• Most models (not NUIST) have mixed out dry slot above inversion on 24th
• Hence moist air is entrained and Aentq > 0
• On 25th free-atmosphere is robustly drier and Aentq is more similar (<0)
sfv
zv
entqqw
qwA i
''
''−=
Use models’ internal hpbl
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Stage 3bStable boundary layers
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Stable boundary layer
• As in daytime, more spread in moisture than temperature
• SCM fairly consistent, particularly for moisture
23rd, 24th and 25th 23rd, 24th and 25th
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Stable boundary layer
• More negative SHF generally implies colder 50m temperature
• Heat lost to surface
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Stable boundary layer
• Larger u* implies warmer 50m temperature on 24th (+)
• More turbulent SBL with more mixing of heat downwards
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Remaining data issues
• Some stage 3b files do not have correct u* forcing
• Were given observed u* by (my) mistake
• Can anyone face rerunning stage 3b again?
• Could all groups provide u* and Tskin from LSMs?
• Notes for future intercomparisons
• Decide on grid indexing from surface or TOA
• Height as height above surface (not sea-level)
• Make sign convention clear
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Potential discussion points
• Stage 1a: should be straightforward to understand reasons for excessive u* in some LSMs
• Simply excessive z0? If so why (eg canopy height, LAI)?
• Stage 1a: u* distributions very different (fall into 2 groups)
• Could all groups provide u* from LSMs
• Stage 1a: some LSMs have different daytime fluxes forced by 2m and 55m
• Similarity theory not holding?
• Stage 2 coupling: some positive some negative feedbacks on surface fluxes (cf stage 1a)
• Stage 2 coupling: net LW enhanced by day (increased upward LW) with less SHF
Change in near surface T gradients?
• Interesting soil heat flux “hysteresis” between day and night in some models
• Why this difference and what is the impact?
• Stage 1b,3b: why do some SCM mix out the inversion?
• Dependent on parametrization structure (eg non-local vs EDMF vs higher order)?
• Does it matter? Affects PBL budget so can effects be seen in going from stage 1a
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Next steps
• Further iteration (eg corrected u* in stage 3b)?
• Ensure everyone has submitted all data (eg u* and Tskin, 2m and 55m forcing datasets)
• Start on writing intercomparison papers
• Overview paper on intercomparison stages
• 2nd paper on detailed LSM analysis and coupling?
• 3rd paper on SCM sensitivities (eg entrainment, SBL)?
• Special issue for DICE related studies?
• Make intercomparison model data (and CASES 99 obs) available for others to do more analysis
• Clean up datasets first?