.

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Transatlantic Trends

Transatlantic Trends is an annual survey of public opinion which started in 2002, consisting of a random sample of approximately 1,000 phone or face-to-face interviews in each country between June 9 and July 1, 2009. For results based on national samples, the margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points, for results based on the total European sample the margin of error is plus or minus one percentage point, at a 95 percent confidence level. Total sample size is 13,095.

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YearTotal Coverage European Coverage

2002 U.S. + E6 France, Germany, Italy, The Netherlands, Poland, The United Kingdom

2003 U.S. + E7France, Germany, Italy, The Netherlands, Poland, The United Kingdom, Portugal

2004-2005 U.S. + E10

France, Germany, Italy, The Netherlands, Poland, The United Kingdom, Portugal, Turkey, Slovakia, Spain

2006-2009 U.S. + E12

France, Germany, Italy, The Netherlands, Poland, The United Kingdom, Portugal, Turkey, Slovakia, Spain, Bulgaria, Romania*

*E11 includes all European countries but Turkey

Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview

• The Obama Bounce

• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran

• A Divide in the Continent

• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy

• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives

• The European Union on the World Stage

• The Turkish Enigma

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview

• The Obama Bounce

• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran

• A Divide in the Continent

• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy

• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives

• The European Union on the World Stage

• The Turkish Enigma

11

12

13

14

15

Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview

• The Obama Bounce

• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran

• A Divide in the Continent

• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy

• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives

• The European Union on the World Stage

• The Turkish Enigma

16

17

18

19

20

21

Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview

• The Obama Bounce

• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran

• A Divide in the Continent

• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy

• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives

• The European Union on the World Stage

• The Turkish Enigma

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview

• The Obama Bounce

• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran

• A Divide in the Continent

• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy

• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives

• The European Union on the World Stage

• The Turkish Enigma

29

30

31

32

Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview

• The Obama Bounce

• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran

• A Divide in the Continent

• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy

• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives

• The European Union on the World Stage

• The Turkish Enigma

33

34

35

Transatlantic Trends 2009: Overview

• The Obama Bounce

• Foreign Policy Challenges: Iraq, Afghanistan, Iran

• A Divide in the Continent

• The Dog That Did Not Bark: The Economy

• Same Climate, Differing Perspectives

• The European Union on the World Stage

• The Turkish Enigma

36

37

38

Transatlantic Trends Takeaways

• Unprecedented Obama Bounce• New Political Space For Transatlantic Cooperation • Expectations Exceed Experience with Obama To Date• Continued Transatlantic Disagreement over Afghanistan, Iran,

Climate Change• A Divide between Western Europe and Central and Eastern Europe• Limited Impact of the Economic Crisis on Transatlantic Relations• Greater European Concern and Willingness for Governmental and

International Action on Climate Change• EU Cynicism and Turkish Fatalism on EU Membership for Turkey

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Questions and Discussion