Post on 19-Dec-2015
www.transman.hu
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
The household survey of The household survey of Budapest and its surroundingsBudapest and its surroundings
TRANSMANTRANSMANConsulting for Transport System ManagementConsulting for Transport System Management1051 Budapest Hercegprímás u. 10.Tel.: +36-1-353-1484 Fax: +36-1-311-0265E-mail: transman@transman.huInternet: http://www.transman.hu
Zsolt Berki
The theoretical background and technology of the household survey
www.transman.hu 2Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
ObjectivesObjectives Investigation of modal-split
characteristics to support transport policy of Budapest and strategy of BKV
Harmonisation of supply based on the measured flows within network planning
Brush up marketing by collecting the opinions/judgments on public transport services
Calibration of performance factors (average number of boardings, average trip length, etc.) used to calculate the number of passengers and passenger performances by ticket type
www.transman.hu 3Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
Determination of the key drivers of Determination of the key drivers of mode choicemode choice
www.transman.hu 4Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
Theoretical diagram of mode choice Theoretical diagram of mode choice decision making processdecision making process
?
T S
T
K T S
K T S
…
…
…
…
T => Time
K => Cost
S => Service
www.transman.hu 5Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
Survey Survey ‘book’ outline‘book’ outline
www.transman.hu 6Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
Survey sheet of private hoSurvey sheet of private homemess
semi-proper address number of inhabitants home type conveniences income category available transport means
www.transman.hu 7Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
Survey sheet of vehiclesSurvey sheet of vehicles
category age parking place ownership usage frequency engine size (ccm) fuel type
www.transman.hu 8Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
Survey sheet of personsSurvey sheet of persons
SM
1..s HT/SA
1/SMa
sex age activity educational level driving licence pass holding legitimacy of
concessionary fee employers’ subsidy Internet, car usage
www.transman.hu 9Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
Survey sheet of tripsSurvey sheet of trips
UT
0..u/SM
from to trip purpose departure time mode of travel detailed questions
for trip legs depending on mode choice
www.transman.hu 10Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
Trip definitionTrip definition
www.transman.hu 11Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
Trip definitionTrip definition - 2 - 2
www.transman.hu 12Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
Trip definitionTrip definition - 3 - 3
www.transman.hu 13Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
Survey sheet of tripsSurvey sheet of trips
UT
0..u/SM
from to trip purpose departure time mode of travel detailed questions
for trip legs depending on mode choice
www.transman.hu 14Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
Judgments and decision Judgments and decision making factorsmaking factors
judgment of burdens caused by city-life mode choice satisfaction with BKV alternative operators (MÁV and VOLÁN) judgment of fare dodgers at car users:
Why?In which case would you choose other means
of transport?Would you mind to use P+R facilities?
DS
1/SM
www.transman.hu 15Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
465 communal home
43858 tenants (HCSO, 2001)
disproportionate area distribution
concentrated, partly homogeneous transport demand
decisive local role
Distribution of communal Distribution of communal homes in Budapesthomes in Budapest
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www.transman.hu 16Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
Development of the market Development of the market research software (CAPI)research software (CAPI)
More accurate No need for coding, recording and
the extra costs caused by them (time, personal, mistakes) can be avoided
Cheaper, ~ 20% less Homogeneous computer farm More details and better quality More efficient post processing
capabilities Developer: CData (T-SYSTEMS) under
supervision of TRANSMAN
www.transman.hu 17Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
Program characteristicsProgram characteristics RDBMS
(Ms Access) Digital map based Internalization of PT
services (encoding) System design based
on the survey book
www.transman.hu 18Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
Sample sizeSample size Statistical analysis/tests on sample size (1%,
2%, 4%, 8%), confidence levels and probable deviation
Confidence level (90% and 95%) The deviation is
pretty low on trip rates, 1% sample size – less 2% deviationpretty high deviation on interzonal trafficincluding mode choice the deviation is higher
than 120%. Therefore appropriate processing and usage
of the data is at least so important as the sample size
www.transman.hu 19Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
Age of challengesAge of challenges
Commercialization of BKV Methodology of model building Survey technique
www.transman.hu 20Zsolt Berki – TRANSMANZsolt Berki – TRANSMAN
COST 355 – WG3 meetingCOST 355 – WG3 meeting
Thanks for your attention!