coming summer 2010 from McGraw-Hill/IrwinWord Clouds created at Wordle.net, using the Dec. 2009 draft manuscript

Brief Contents

Introduction1. Studying Decision & Information Analysis

Unit I – Analyzing Decisions2. Getting Started with Decision Analysis: Developing an Analytical Strategy3. Finding the Best Path: Decisions without Uncertainties4. Comparing Forked Paths: Decisions with Uncertainties

Unit II – Working with Risk & Uncertainty5. Getting Started with Probability: Modeling Uncertainty & Imperfect Information6. Working with Random Variables: Uncertainties about Numbers7. Working with Common Families of Probability Distributions

Unit III – Developing Quantitative Facts8. Getting Started with Data Analysis: Acquiring, Building & Cleaning9. Exploring Data: Describing & Summarizing10. Exploring Multivariate Data: Making Sense of Association

Unit IV – Interpreting Sample Data11. Connecting Populations & Samples12. Making Interval Estimates: Specific Statements about Unknown Populations13. Evaluating the Strength of Evidence: Hypothesis Testing14. Making Other Inferences from Sample Data: Variance, Independence & 2-Sample Comparisons15. Simulating Uncertainties: Samples of Outcomes

Unit V – Estimating & Predicting16. Making Predictions – and Improving them using Regression17. Using Multiple Variables in Predictive Regressions18. Building Predictive & Causal Regression Models19. Drawing Conclusions & Making Predictions from Time Series& Ordered Data

Chapter 1

Chapter 2

Chapter 3

Chapter 4

Chapter 5

Chapter 6

Chapter 7

Chapter 8

Chapter 9

Chapter 10

Chapter 11

Chapter 12

Chapter 13

Chapter 14

Chapter 15

Chapter 16

Chapter 17

Chapter 18

Chapter 19