WMD & Emergency Planning Steps

Session 12

Emergency Planning Steps

Vulnerability Assessment

Mitigation Efforts

Emergency Response Planning

Recovery

Emergency

“Keep in mind that an emergency is an event that requires the response of a limited number of specified professionals in a single, confined setting. There can be several emergencies that result from a single event, such as a large building fire.”

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Disaster

“Generally, emergency services agencies view any situation that combines threats to humans, with destruction of property severe enough to warrant the assistance of several different types of emergency services, a disaster.”

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Vulnerability Analysis

Risk Characterization Assess assets Assign threat level Assign impact level Calculate risk Describe risk

Interchangable?

Threat Risk

NO!

Threat

Threat is something that can be seen (hypothetically – a terrorist for example hides out but can be seen) and has the potential to cause harm, damage, loss of property or death. That potential cannot be measured by just considering threat.

Risk

The mathematical or “relative” probability that a threat will actually cause harm,

damage, loss of property or death.

Is subjective and requires thought and calculation.

Threat

Risk?

Threat

Risk?

Threat?

Risk?

U.S. Government Says

Risk is the probability that a substance or situation would produce harm under specified conditions.  Risk is a combination of two factors:

Factors

The probability that an adverse event will occur. (occurrence probability)The consequences of the adverse event. (consequences)

Formula

OP X Impact = Risk

You can determine OP by considering the threat and historical perspective and current

events.

Examples

70-100 High Risk

50-69 Moderate High Risk

30-49 Low Risk

1-29 Very Low Risk

No Such Thing as Zero

Mitigation

Reducing (not removing) risk

Lessening likelihood

Lessening impact

Generally, threats cannot be reduced Only probability of occurrence

Mitigation Methods

Legislation (OP & impact)

Education (OP & impact)

Physical Alterations (OP & impact)

Electronic Alterations

Mitigation Implementation

Highest Risk Areas

Highest Dollar Areas

Highest Lives-Lost Areas

Combination

Theater