Post on 06-Jul-2015
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
INCREASES CURRENT Q4 '10 CHANGE
EU Banking Crisis 1 2 1
Sovereign Debt 2 1 -1
China Bubble 3 22 +19
Risk Reversal 4 5 +1
Social Unrest 5 36 +31
Geo-Political Event 6 37 +31
Rising Inflation & Interest Pressures
7 14 +7
Food Price Pressures 8 15 +7
Oil Price Pressures 9 30 +21
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
I - EU BANKING CRISIS
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
II - SOVEREIGN DEBT
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
II - SOVEREIGN DEBT
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
II - SOVEREIGN DEBT
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
II - SOVEREIGN DEBT
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
III - CHINA
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
IV - RISK REVERSAL
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
V - SOCIAL UNREST
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
VI - GEO-POLITICAL EVENT
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
PREVIOUS CURRENT
BANKING RISK - LIBOR-OIS SPREAD 7 8
CREDIT RISK - GLOBAL CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS 6 7
CREDIT RISK - EU CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS 8 9
CONSUMER RISK - HOUSING - RATE OF CHANGE 7 8
ECONOMIC RISK - ECRI LEADING INDEX 6 8
INFLATION RISK - MONEY SUPPLY GROWTH - M3 4 5
INFLATION RISK - MONEY VELOCITY 4 4
MONETARY RISK - BANK LIABILITIES 7 8
COST OF MONEY RISK - INTEREST RATES 5 1
Average (1 = Low Risk, 10 = High Risk) 6.00 6.44
ANYTHING OVER 5 SHOULD BE CONSIDERED SERIOUSLY ELEVATED
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
BANKING RISK - LIBOR-OIS SPREAD
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
CREDIT RISK - GLOBAL CREDIT DEFAULT SWAPS
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
CONSUMER RISK - HOUSING - RATE OF CHANGE
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
ECONOMIC RISK - ECRI LEADING INDEX
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
INFLATION RISK - MONEY SUPPLY GROWTH - M3
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
INFLATION RISK - MONEY VELOCITY)
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
MONETARY RISK - BANK LIABILITIES
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
COST OF MONEY RISK - INTEREST RATES
This chart accompanies the podcast recordedOctober 14th, 2011
WEEKLY WRAP
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at either www.GordonTLong.com/GlobalInsights or www.TraderView.com/GlobalInsights
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
This chart accompanies the podcast recordedOctober 17th, 2011
CHART TITLE HERE
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at either www.GordonTLong.com/GlobalInsights or www.TraderView.com/GlobalInsights
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
Global Macro Tipping PointsOctober 17th, 2011
A FRANTIC FOUR WEEKS
The content of this slide should not be considered investment advice of any sort, nor should it be used to make investment decisions. Use of this slide is considered to be your explicit acceptance of the Disclosure Statement and the Terms of Use found on the last page of this document.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens
DISCLOSURE STATEMENT AND TERMS OF USE
THE CONTENT OF THIS SLIDE PRESENTATION AND ITS ACCOMPANYING RECORDED AUDIO DISCUSSION ARE INTENDED FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.
This slide presentation and its accompanying recorded audio discussion are not a solicitation to trade or invest, and any analysis is the opinion of the author and is not to be used or relied upon as investment advice. Trading and investing can involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns/results. Commentary is only the opinions of the authors and should not to be used for investment decisions. You must carefully examine the risks associated with investing of any sort and whether investment programs are suitable for you. You should never invest or consider investments without a complete set of disclosure documents, and should consider the risks prior to investing. This slide presentation and its accompanying recorded audio discussion are not in any way a substitution for disclosure. Suitability of investing decisions rests solely with the investor. Your acknowledgement of this Disclosure and Term of Use Statement is a condition of access to it. Furthermore, any investments you may make are your sole responsibility.
THERE IS RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING AND INVESTING OF ANY KIND. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.
Listen to the original podcast for this slide at www.GordonTLong.com/UnderTheLens