Transition to retirement and home-production

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Transcript of Transition to retirement and home-production

Transition to retirement and home productionNon-cognitive skills explain heterogeneous changes in

housework at retirement

Bernardo Fonseca Nunesa

a Behavioural Science Centre, University of Stirling

BSPID, York, 10th April 2015

1 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

1 Introduction

2 Housework at retirement

3 Personality at retirement

4 MethodDataEmpirical strategy

5 Results

6 Discussion

2 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Outline

1 Introduction

2 Housework at retirement

3 Personality at retirement

4 MethodDataEmpirical strategy

5 Results

6 Discussion

3 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Outline

New retirees increase their housework hours:Personality traits explains heterogeneityAssociated with household and individual consumptionmeasuresBritish data within a potential outcomes framework

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Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Housework at retirementCooking, cleaning, doing laundry and grocery shopping

By doing housework, a retiree:Spends new time endowmentAllocates income to pay for non-substitutable marketgoods and servicesMake a decision related to effort, productivity andsatisfaction

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Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

The economic role of houseworkHome production substitutes market goods and services

By doing housework, a retiree:Spends new time endowmentAllocates income to pay for non-substitutable marketgoods and servicesMake a decision related to effort, productivity andsatisfaction

5 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

The economic role of houseworkHome production substitutes market goods and services

By doing housework, a retiree:Spends new time endowmentAllocates income to pay for non-substitutable marketgoods and servicesMake a decision related to effort, productivity andsatisfaction

5 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

The economic role of houseworkHome production substitutes market goods and services

Big Five domains derived from factor analysis (Heckman, 2011)

1 Openness to experience2 Conscientiousness3 Extraversion4 Agreeableness5 Neuroticism

These personality traits help economists to1 explain the heterogeneity of an average causal effect2 better predict economic outcomes3 design economic policies according to groups’/clusters’

characteristics

6 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Integration personality traits + economics

Big Five domains derived from factor analysis (Heckman, 2011)

1 Openness to experience2 Conscientiousness3 Extraversion4 Agreeableness5 Neuroticism

These personality traits help economists to1 explain the heterogeneity of an average causal effect2 better predict economic outcomes3 design economic policies according to groups’/clusters’

characteristics

6 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Integration personality traits + economics

Big Five domains derived from factor analysis (Heckman, 2011)

1 Openness to experience2 Conscientiousness3 Extraversion4 Agreeableness5 Neuroticism

These personality traits help economists to1 explain the heterogeneity of an average causal effect2 better predict economic outcomes3 design economic policies according to groups’/clusters’

characteristics

6 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Integration personality traits + economics

+O, +E, -A, -N⇒+remuneration(Nandi and Nicoletti, 2009;Heineck, 2011)+C, +A⇒+job performance(Hurtz and Donovan, 2000; Wittet al., 2002)

7 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Personality and economic outcomes

+O, +E, -A, -N⇒+remuneration(Nandi and Nicoletti, 2009;Heineck, 2011)+C, +A⇒+job performance(Hurtz and Donovan, 2000; Wittet al., 2002)

7 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Personality and economic outcomes

1 Introduction

2 Housework at retirement

3 Personality at retirement

4 MethodDataEmpirical strategy

5 Results

6 Discussion

8 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Outline

Retirement-savings puzzle(Banks et al., 1998)Home production hypothesis(Luengo-Prado and Sevilla,2013)

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Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Housework at retirement

Retirement-savings puzzle(Banks et al., 1998)Home production hypothesis(Luengo-Prado and Sevilla,2013)

9 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Housework at retirement

1 Introduction

2 Housework at retirement

3 Personality at retirement

4 MethodDataEmpirical strategy

5 Results

6 Discussion

10 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Outline

+A, +C, -N⇒+LS(Robinson et al, 2010)+E⇒+Social activity(Lockenhoff et al, 2009)+C⇒+Adjustment tooptimal level of spending(Hurd et al, 2012)

11 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Personality at retirement

+A, +C, -N⇒+LS(Robinson et al, 2010)+E⇒+Social activity(Lockenhoff et al, 2009)+C⇒+Adjustment tooptimal level of spending(Hurd et al, 2012)

11 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Personality at retirement

+A, +C, -N⇒+LS(Robinson et al, 2010)+E⇒+Social activity(Lockenhoff et al, 2009)+C⇒+Adjustment tooptimal level of spending(Hurd et al, 2012)

11 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Personality at retirement

1 Introduction

2 Housework at retirement

3 Personality at retirement

4 MethodDataEmpirical strategy

5 Results

6 Discussion

12 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Outline

Longitudinal data from the BHPS (Waves 15-18), aged >= 55:Household and individual characteristicsHours spent on housework tasksBig Five personality traitsTransitions to retirement (group of interest, N=319)Stayed in the labour market (control group, N=3,390)

13 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

DataBritish Household Panel Survey

Longitudinal data from the BHPS (Waves 15-18), aged >= 55:Household and individual characteristicsHours spent on housework tasksBig Five personality traitsTransitions to retirement (group of interest, N=319)Stayed in the labour market (control group, N=3,390)

13 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

DataBritish Household Panel Survey

Longitudinal data from the BHPS (Waves 15-18), aged >= 55:Household and individual characteristicsHours spent on housework tasksBig Five personality traitsTransitions to retirement (group of interest, N=319)Stayed in the labour market (control group, N=3,390)

13 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

DataBritish Household Panel Survey

Longitudinal data from the BHPS (Waves 15-18), aged >= 55:Household and individual characteristicsHours spent on housework tasksBig Five personality traitsTransitions to retirement (group of interest, N=319)Stayed in the labour market (control group, N=3,390)

13 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

DataBritish Household Panel Survey

Longitudinal data from the BHPS (Waves 15-18), aged >= 55:Household and individual characteristicsHours spent on housework tasksBig Five personality traitsTransitions to retirement (group of interest, N=319)Stayed in the labour market (control group, N=3,390)

13 / 26Transition to retirement and home production

Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

DataBritish Household Panel Survey

Potential outcomes framework

∆hit ,S=1 = α + δ + ρΘi + κXit + wt + εit (1)

∆hit ,S=0 = α + ρΘi + κXit + wt + εit (2)

δ = E[∆hit ,S=1

]− E

[∆hit ,S=0

](3)

∆hit = change in housework hours , Sit is an indicator variable=1 for a transition to retirement (and zero otherwise), Θi is avector of non-cognitive skills, Xit is a vector of HH andindividual characteristics, δ is the average effect of retirementon housework change.

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Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Empirical strategy

1 Introduction

2 Housework at retirement

3 Personality at retirement

4 MethodDataEmpirical strategy

5 Results

6 Discussion

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Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Outline

Average housework change at retirement (hours/week)

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Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Results

By gender and household type:

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Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Results

Average housework change at retirement: robustness checkwith MPS

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Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Results

Balancing condition: Kernel MPS

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Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Results

Marginal effects of personality on housework due to retirement

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Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Results

Predicted housework levels (hours per week):

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Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Results

Predicted HH grocery shopping bill (scale 1-12):

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Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Results

Predicted leisure expenditures (scale 0-12):

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Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Results

Predicted eating out expenditures (scale 0-12):

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Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Results

1 Introduction

2 Housework at retirement

3 Personality at retirement

4 MethodDataEmpirical strategy

5 Results

6 Discussion

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Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

Outline

This paper builds on the literature of retirement behaviour:Personality traits explain heterogeneity;Housework is part of life-time wealth;Older people’s consumption patterns and homeproduction;Beyond gender differences and HH composition.

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Introduction Housework at retirement Personality at retirement Method Results Discussion

DiscussionHousework at retirement and personality traits

=-1000pt =-1000pt

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Bernardo Fonseca Nunes

Behavioural Science CentreTwitter: @_bernardofnUniversity of StirlingScotland

Email: bernardo.fonsecanunes@stir.ac.uk

www.stir.ac.uk