The Rise of the Angels (and the Entrepreneurs) - Baltimore - Feb 2013

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Slides from my talk at Betamore.

Transcript of The Rise of the Angels (and the Entrepreneurs) - Baltimore - Feb 2013

@paulsingh @betamore

PAUL SINGH

@paulsingh・paul@500startups.com・resultsjunkies.com

THE RISE OF THE ANGELS (AND THE ENTREPRENEURS)

@paulsingh @betamore

500 STARTUPSGETTING TO KNOW

BECAUSE WE’RE KIND OF A BIG DEAL

PAUL SINGH

@paulsingh・paul@500startups.com・resultsjunkies.com

@paulsingh @betamore

@paulsingh @betamore

EARLY STAGE STARTUPS

HAVE CHANGED

@paulsingh @betamore

STARTUP COSTS LOWER THAN EVER

BUT SCALING STILL COSTS MONEY

CLOUD, OPEN SOURCE AND ONLINE DISTRIBUTION DRIVING

@paulsingh @betamore

WEB GETS BIGGER.WORLD GETS SMALLER.

@paulsingh @betamore

TRACTION IS THE NEW INTELLECTUAL PROPERTYPLATFORMS (SEARCH, SOCIAL & MOBILE) PRIMARILY DRIVING THE CHANGE.

NO LONGER “GOOD ENOUGH” TO DEPEND ON TECH DIFFERENTIATION.

@paulsingh @betamore

CAPITAL INCREASINGLY COMMODITIZED

RISE OF THE ANGELS, YO!

@paulsingh @betamore

NEW REALITY: MONEY FOLLOWS

FOUNDERSRISE OF THE ENTREPRENEURS, YO!

@paulsingh @betamore

SIGNALS ARE EVERYWHERE

BIG DATA + OPEN SOURCE ANALYTICS = NEW TECHNIQUES FOR VC

@paulsingh @betamore

SIGNALS ARE EVERYWHERE

BIG DATA + OPEN SOURCE ANALYTICS = NEW TECHNIQUES FOR VC

@paulsingh @betamore

TRANSPARENCY ISSIGNALS ARE EVERYWHERE

BIG DATA + OPEN SOURCE ANALYTICS = NEW TECHNIQUES FOR VC

@paulsingh @betamore

WALL STREET BEAT US TO IT

@paulsingh @betamore

@paulsingh @betamore

UBS PROPRIETARY SATELLITE PARKING LOT FILL RATE ANALYSIS POINTS TO AN INTERESTING CADENCE INTRA-QUARTER AND POTENTIAL UPSIDE TO OUR VIEW.

@paulsingh @betamore

@paulsingh @betamore

TWICE A WEEK A SMALL HELICOPTER CIRCLES OVER CUSHING’S TANK FARMS ON AN OIL INDUSTRY SPYING MISSION.

@paulsingh @betamore

WALL STREET ISN’T ALONE

THESE TECHNIQUES ALREADY USED TO UNDERWRITE IN-VITRO FERTILIZATION LENDING, PAYDAY LOANS, SUBPRIME AUTO LENDING, HOME/PERSONAL/AUTO INSURANCE AND MORE.

@paulsingh @betamore

WE CAN DO IT, TOOSURPRISE!

IT TURNS OUT,

@paulsingh @betamore

@paulsingh @betamore

+ “GUT” + TRUSTED MENTORS + MUCH, MUCH MORE DATA.

@paulsingh @betamore

WE CAN DO IT, TOO.

@paulsingh @betamore

WE CAN DO IT, TOO.

@paulsingh @betamore

WE’RE DOING IT, TOO.

@paulsingh @betamore

@paulsingh @betamore

VENTURE CAPITAL IS OPEN TO ATTACK BY DISRUPTIVE NEW BUSINESS MODELS AND TECHNOLOGY.

-- NAVAL RAVIKANT (@naval)

@paulsingh @betamore

EARLY STAGE VCIS CHANGINGHAS CHANGED

@paulsingh @betamore

STATE OF THE ART IN EARLY STAGE INVESTING IS NOT

VERY SOPHISTICATED

@paulsingh @betamore

UNBUNDLING OF ADVICE, CONTROL

AND MONEY

@paulsingh @betamore

USED TO BE ABOUT CAPITAL, DEALFLOW

AND JUDGEMENTTODAY, IT’S ABOUT ACCESS.

@paulsingh @betamore

(500) CHECKLISTProduct solves a problem for a specific target customer

Capital-efficient businesses - operational @ <$1M funding

Primarily internet-based distribution - search, social, mobile, local

Simple revenue models - transactions, subscriptions or affiliate

Functional prototype before investment (or previous success)

Small but measurable usage - some customers, early revenue

Small but cross-functional team - engineer, design/UX, marketing

@paulsingh @betamore

(NEW) FINANCINGS

@paulsingh @betamore

(NEW) FINANCINGS Standardized terms

@paulsingh @betamore

(NEW) FINANCINGS Standardized terms

No fixed amounts, no closings, no leads

@paulsingh @betamore

(NEW) FINANCINGS Standardized terms

No fixed amounts, no closings, no leads

Continuous, not discrete rounds

@paulsingh @betamore

(NEW) FINANCINGS Standardized terms

No fixed amounts, no closings, no leads

Continuous, not discrete rounds

Prices beginning to float

@paulsingh @betamore

(NEW) FINANCINGS Standardized terms

No fixed amounts, no closings, no leads

Continuous, not discrete rounds

Prices beginning to float

No Board seats at the earliest stage

@paulsingh @betamore

(NEW) FINANCINGS Standardized terms

No fixed amounts, no closings, no leads

Continuous, not discrete rounds

Prices beginning to float

No Board seats at the earliest stage

Herd mentality and oversubscriptions

@paulsingh @betamore

BY ITS NATURE, THE INTERNET UNDERMINES ANYONE WHOSE STATUS DEPENDS ON PRIVILEGED ACCESS TO INFORMATION.

-- MICHAEL LEWIS

@paulsingh @betamore

Demo Day Videos ⟹ livestream.com/500startups

Sample Pitch Decks ⟹ slideshare.net/500startups

Venture Capital 101 ⟹ venturehacks.com/archives

Investor Thoughts:

Brad Feld ⟹ feld.com

Fred Wilson ⟹ avc.com

Chris Dixon ⟹ cdixon.org

Mark Suster ⟹ bothsidesofthetable.com

@paulsingh @betamore

YOUR KEY TAKEAWAYS

@paulsingh @betamore

YOUR KEY TAKEAWAYS

Focus on Traction.

@paulsingh @betamore

YOUR KEY TAKEAWAYS

Focus on Traction.

Learn to Communicate and Inspire.

@paulsingh @betamore

ALSO...

@paulsingh @betamore

ALSO... Think about distribution a lot

@paulsingh @betamore

ALSO... Think about distribution a lot

Focus on customer acquisition

@paulsingh @betamore

ALSO... Think about distribution a lot

Focus on customer acquisition

Get on AngelList

@paulsingh @betamore

ALSO... Think about distribution a lot

Focus on customer acquisition

Get on AngelList

Learn the basics of VC economics

@paulsingh @betamore

ALSO... Think about distribution a lot

Focus on customer acquisition

Get on AngelList

Learn the basics of VC economics

Raise 12-18 months of funding

@paulsingh @betamore

THE RISE OF THE ANGELS (AND THE ENTREPRENEURS)

PAUL SINGH

@paulsingh・paul@500startups.com・resultsjunkies.com