The Perfect Storm— People without Jobs, Jobs without People

Agenda

Why are there people without jobs and jobs without people?

The growing challenge for teens and their parents

Solution initiatives

Whole Community Approach

Key Messages

• The importance of looking ahead

– Matching personal strengths with opportunities

• The value of personal development

– Knowledge

– Skills

– Character

• Need for whole community involvement

– Career Coaching role of parents

Tonight: Focus on “What are my opportunities”?

• Context: Jobs without people, people without jobs

• What’s going on?

The Storm

Great Recession

Aging Population

Unprepared Workforce

Upskilling of Jobs

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4

Credit for the Perfect Storm Info

• The information in the following slides has been researched and shared by

• Phil Jarvis – Director of Global Partnerships

– Career Cruising (The Real Game)

• Research by Rick Miner: “People without Jobs, Jobs without People” (2010); “Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities” (2012)

1 | The Great Recession

Global economy in throes of worst economic storm in the century

Jobs in jeopardy

Slow, faltering recovery

Governments in record debt

The Gallup World Poll was started in

2005, covers virtually every demographic

and socioeconomic group in every

country in the world, and will go on for

100 years.

Biggest discovery so far:

More than anything else,

the whole world wants

a good job!

The countries with enough cities that pull together to ensure their

citizens have good jobs and their employers have engaged employees

will be the winners in The Coming Jobs War.

2 | Aging Population

Declining birth rate since 1967

Later marriage & fewer children

Boomers retiring (1947-65 in 2012)

Growing concerns: dependency ratio

Immigration cannot offset natural decline

Percent of Canadians Aged 15-64

50%

55%

60%

65%

70%

75%

1950 1975 2000 2020 2045

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CEN

TAG

E

YEAR Source: Russell Barnett, Bank of Canada Review, Summer 2007, p.7

Dependency Ratio

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Canada NFLD PEI NS NB QC ON MN SK AB BC

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2010

2036

Rick Miner, PhD, 2012, Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities

3 | Upskilling of Jobs

Rick Miner, 2012, Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities

• Vast majority of 2031 work force has been born • Immigration – 280,000 • Under-represented - poor, aboriginals, women, disabled

3 | Upskilling of Jobs

Skills Shortages Agriculture: 90,000 additional workers required by 2013 Construction: 219,000 retiring workers 2012 – 2020 ECO Canada: 100,483 environmental workers in the next 10 years to replace

retiring workers Electricity: 45,000 new skilled workers required by 2016 (almost half of the

existing workforce) Food Processing: 13% (32,500) of workers in this industry will be retiring by 2115.

At least 21,500 needed in the period Information & Communications Technology: 106,000 in the next 5 years Mining: About 81,000 needed in the next decade Petroleum: At least 15,000 new workers over the next four years (2012 - 2015) Printing: 41% of the industry’s labour force is nearing, or has passed, the age of

early retirement Supply Chain: 27,000 current vacancies , with an additional need for

60,000employees annually Tourism: 114,000 unfilled jobs in 2020 and by 2030, 10.7% of labour demand

(228,000 jobs) could go unfilled Trucking: 2012-2017; projected workforce growth will be 199,800

TASC - The Alliance for Sector Councils, November 2012

4 | Unprepared Workforce

Talent Pipeline

PATHWAYS

Pipeline Issues

National HS graduation rate 79%

47% register immediately for post-secondary programs

25% of post-secondary students dropout by the end of the first year. A similar percent change programs or majors

50% of students with a bachelor’s degree owe over $20,000.

Youth Employment: 80% find employment (14%+ unemployed)

50% “mal-employed” (under-employed, poor fit, hate work,…)

Transition from high school to full-time work now takes 8 years on average

(King, 2009, Who Doesn’t Go To Post-Secondary Education?)

(Miner, 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People)

(Education Indicators 2011, Statistics Canada & Council of Ministers of Education Canada)

Mismatch of Knowledge and Skills

• Need for post-secondary education and training

– On the job, apprentice, certificate, diploma, degree, etc.

• STEM increases employability

– Science, technology, engineering and mathematics

• Ontario Skills Passport, 21st Century Skills, Employability Skills

“But what if Canadian universities were the root cause of the skills gap,

rather than the solution? There’s considerable evidence to support this

conclusion.”

21 Century Skills

• Creativity, Innovation and Entrepreneurship

• Critical Thinking

• Collaboration

• Communication

• Character

• Culture and Ethical Citizenship

• Computer and Digital Technologies – From C21 Canadians for 21st Century Learning & Innovation

• Plus: Life and Career Skills

SOLUTION

To avoid being victims of the perfect storm,

communities must equip citizens with the knowledge,

skills, attitudes, and tools to prosper in 21st century

careers.

A “whole-community” commitment to

career navigation and workforce

development is required.

Solution

Implement in all education and training sites the best available:

1. experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students

Solution

Implement in all education and training sites the best available:

1. experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students

2. career exploration and planning system

Solution

Implement in all education and training sites the best available:

1. experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students

2. career exploration and planning system 3. electronic portfolio system (all levels plus adults)

Solution

Implement in all education and training sites the best available:

1. experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students

2. career exploration and planning system 3. electronic portfolio system (all levels plus adults) 4. course planning system (for every student)

Solution

Implement in all education and training sites the best available:

1. experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students

2. career exploration and planning system 3. electronic portfolio system (all levels plus adults) 4. course planning system (for every student) 5. online networking system to connect students with

informed dreams to employers seeking talent

Solution

Implement in all education and training sites the best available:

1. experiential career navigation learning programs for all primary, middle, secondary and post-secondary students

2. career exploration and planning system 3. electronic portfolio system (all levels plus adults) 4. course planning system (for every student) 5. online networking system to connect students with

informed dreams to employers seeking talent

Then mobilize the entire community to optimize utilization of all of the above.

Healthy Community

Community Organizations

Students

Employers

Parents

Educators/Trainers

Administrators

Resources: Specialist High Skills Majors

• Connect students with the workplace and employers

• Address the need for experiential learning

• Employ 21st Century Skills (found in each industry)

• Transform student attitudes from “getting the paper” to actively engaging and pursuing goals

Resources: Career Cruising--ccEngage

ccSpringboard

Engaging and Inspiring

Foundation for achievement

World renowned assessments

Multi-media career profiles

Industry’s best post-secondary

database

Communication tools

Living portfolio

GETTING STARTED

VISIT: WWW.MYBLUEPRINT.CA

ENTER ACTIVATION KEY 2

1

INDIVIDUAL PATHWAYS PLAN (IPP)

www.careercruising.com |

Students—Individual Pathway Plan (IPP)

Grade

7 Who am I?

Complete the Learning Styles Inventory

Create a My Journal entry reflecting on the results of the Learning

Styles Inventory

What are my Opportunities?

Search for careers related to favourite school subjects

Save a minimum of 1 career to My IPP

Who do I want to become?

Create a My Journal entry reflecting on why the career(s) saved in

My IPP are a good fit

What is My Plan?

Add 1 short and 1 long-term career goal to My IPP

ILP Completion | Kentucky

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Career Cruising Introduced

Real-life Action Planning

GOAL

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3 4

FINAL

GOAL?

many twists &

turns on the

uncertain path

of life

crossroads

others on

the path

Resources: ACE-Association of Career Educators

• Presentations and workshops

• Workshop themes

– Identifying strengths (skills, knowledge, passion) and goals (meaning, purpose, contribution, dreams, values/desires)

– Exploring and experiencing the “right fit” in work and life (Loving what you do and doing what you love)

– Current and future trends: where the jobs are and where they might be; personal development to match opportunities; setting personal goals

Emil Boychuk | Association of Career Educators, chair

ACEofOntario@gmail.com | 416-476-8790

Thank You!