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The New Demographics of
Higher Education
Will Doyle
National Press Foundation
Business of Higher Education Seminar
10/30/06
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Projections of Population Aged 18-24, 2006-
2050
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Projection Estimates
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Projections of Population Aged 18-24 2006-2050White Non-Hispanics Only
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Projection Estimates
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Projections of Population Aged 18-24 2006-2050African-Americans Only
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Projection Estimates
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Projections of Population Aged 18-24 2006-2050Asians Only
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Projection Estimates
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Projections of Population Aged 18-24 2006-2050Hispanics Only
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Projection Estimates
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Projections of Population Aged 18-24 2006-2050
All Racial/Ethnic Groups
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Projections of Percent of
Population Aged 18-24 by StateStates with 10% or more increase in 18-24 Year Old Population, 2005-2030
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Projection Estimates
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Projected Dependency Ratio, 2000-2100
Under 15 and Over 65
0
5
50
55
60
65
70
75
0
1990 1995 199 2000 2010 2015 2020 2025 20 0 20 5 20 0 20 5 2050 2060 2070 20 0 2090 2100
Dependency Ra
tio
Lo I i ration
Midde I i ration
i I i ration
ct a Projected
So rce: U.S. Cens s B rea , Pop ation Projection Esti ates
8/7/2019 The New Demographics of Higher Education: What Campus Administrators Deal With (William Doyle)
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Projected Dependency Ratio, 2000-2100
65 and over only
10
15
20
25
0
5
0
5
1 0 1 5 1 2000 2010 2015 2020 2025 20 0 20 5 20 0 20 5 2050 2060 20 0 20 0 20 0 2100
Dependency Ratio (65+)
o i ration
iddle i ration
i i ration
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Population Projection Esti ates
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Population Pyramid, 2000
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Population Pyramid, 2025
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Population Pyramid, 2050
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Percent of Adult Population With
Advanced Tertiary Degrees
or ay
nited tates
anada
KoreaJapan
o data for
ource: OE D, Education at a Glance: OECD Indicators -
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Percent of Population aged 25-34
With an Advanced Tertiary Degree3
3
2
5
5
2
25
3
35
4
2 2 2 2 2 3
or ay
nited tate
orea
anada
apan
o data for
ource: OE D, Education at a Glance: OECD Indicators -2 3
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Growth in Population With a
Bachelor¶s Degreeorwa
ana a
nite tates
orea
apan
o ata or
ource: OE D, Education at a Glance: OECD Indicators
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Output Per Hour, All Businesses
Source: Bureau of abor Statistics, M ajor Sector Productivity and Costs