Post on 20-Jan-2016
description
Sustainable Energy in Cities
David Hawkeydave.hawkey@ed.ac.uk
www.heatandthecity.org.uk
Overview
• What is district heating?• Development of heat networks• Organisational issues• Examples• UK context• Heat map exercise
Cities’ contribution to GHG emissions
• 75%–80% of anthropogenic GHG emissions?– Stern review, Clinton Climate Initiative, GLA, etc.
• What constitutes a city?– Production vs consumption– Location vs administration
• Cities are sites in regional, national, international flows of resources and waste
• Infrastructures enable various forms of circulation and metabolism
Electricity production
Coal Electricity35%
Heat65%
Building energy supply
District heating
• Delivery of low grade heat from central sources for space and hot water
• System of insulated pipe work (with leak detection)
• Heat exchange unit or direct feed in buildings
District heating networks: Aberdeen
District heating networks: Copenhagen
District Heating – sources• Low carbon• Low cost• Renewable• Waste heat and heat from
waste• Efficiency• Local pollution• Flexibility• Energy security• Community participation• Electricity balancing• …
Combined Heat and Power (CHP)
Energy system integration
• c
Operational flexibility and balancing
Developing DH networks
• High upfront costs for plant and network– Heat density– Heat diversity– Anchor loads
• Long payback periods / modest returns• Strong mutual interdependencies– Uncertainty in subscriber behaviour– Monopoly supplier
• Local delivery vehicle
From King, M., Shaw, R., 2010. Community energy: planning, development and delivery. http://www.chpa.co.uk/media/28c4e605/Comm_Energy_PlanDevDel.pdf
Objectives• Environmental
– Reduced local and global pollution– Waste management
• Energy system– Short and long term flexibility– Deployment of renewable sources
• Consumer– Reduced energy bills / fuel poverty– Shielding subscribers from fluctuating energy prices
• Economy– Revenue generation / localisation of energy payments– Area regeneration– Employment
Data gathering
• Heat mapping – spatiotemporal demand patterns– E.g. energy bills, thermographic
imaging, building surveys– Daily and seasonal patterns
• Long term pattern of heat demand development
• Existing heating systems and contractual commitments
• Barriers and opportunities
Project definition• Stitch network into complex sociotechnical terrain• Subscriber perspectives– Connection to a monopoly supplier– Unfamiliar technology / uncertain performance– Domestic, commercial and public sector have different
needs and capacities• Minimise early development risk– Phasing development of supply and demand– Reduce complexity
• New development / existing buildings– Costs less, dependent on construction schedule, lower
heat density
Source: AEA Technology
Financial feasibility
Courtesy Regen SW via King, M., Shaw, R., 2010. Community energy: planning, development and delivery. http://www.chpa.co.uk/media/28c4e605/Comm_Energy_PlanDevDel.pdf
Financial viability
Business model and organisational form
• Revenue– Heat tariff structure and electricity sales model– Use of surplus revenues
• Ownership/governance models balance risk and control between stakeholders– Large subscribers, local authority, utility company,
specialist DH company, community representatives– Affects access to financial resources, in-house skills and
experience– Affects balance between commercial and socio-
environmental goals• Division of activities: ESCo, HeatCo, GenCo, etc.
Aberdeen Heat and Power
• Arms length, non-profit ESCo established by council• Surplus reinvested and/or used to reduce bills• Volunteer board (includes two councillors)• Fuel poverty main driver• Gas CHP, passive gas/electricity contracts• Financed through council capital budgets, grant
funding and commercial loan (council guarantee)• Supplies social housing and public buildings• Domestic heat not metered• Expanding to supply commercial users
Birmingham District Energy Company
• Wholly owned subsidiary of Cofely (GDF-Suez)• Partnership (and profit share) with city council
and other large heat users• Council energy cost saving driver• Financed through grant funding and Cofely’s
resources• 3 city centre gas CHP networks• Mix of large public commercial buildings• Procurement and contract challenges
Thameswey Energy Ltd• Public/private joint venture Woking Borough
Council and Xergi• WBC’s share of dividends recycled into
environmental projects• Cost saving and environmental
entrepreneurialism• Finance (and refinance) complex mix of grants,
commercial lending, WBC borrowing• Gas CHP, private wire and active energy trading• Public and commercial buildings
Key Stakeholders: Local Authority• Have strategic, long term view of area plus social
responsibilities• Democratic oversight mitigates subscribers’
perceptions of monopoly risk• Planning policy can encourage connection and shape
heat supply/demand patterns• Control large heat demand on own estate• Accept low (social) rates of return, but financially
constrained• May adopt cross-subsidy model• DH cuts across traditional departmental divisions
Key stakeholders: Energy companies
• Have in-house expertise and systems (e.g. retailing, energy markets, commercial and technical expertise)
• Coordinate with existing asset portfolio• Large balance sheets / financial resources• Require higher rates of return• Global companies: global competition for investment
opportunity• Economic rationality – unlikely to support cross-
subsidy• DH may compete with incumbent interests
Other key stakeholders
• Large heat subscribers and heat sources– May seek ownership/profit share in exchange for
commitment and to mitigate own risk
• Community organisations– Opportunity for urban community energy
initiative– Enthusiasm, but limited financial, technical,
commercial resources– Involvement in governance may aid legitimacy
International comparison
Denmark• Severe impacts of 1970s oil crisis
– Sunday driving bans• 1979 Heat Supply Law required LAs to map heat• Zones identified for DH in which
– Electric heating banned– Gas network not developed– Connection made mandatory
• Large networks: non-profit municipal DH companies– Competition in supply– Loan finance with municipal authority backing
• Feed in tariff for CHP• Sharing expertise through District Heating Association
Heat sources in Denmark
Renewables in Denmark
Sweden• Handful of CHP based systems in 1940s• Municipal authorities central to housebuilding in 1950s
and 1960s– Unitary model of infrastructure provision
• Oil crises led to national focus on DH– National loans and tax/subsidy schemes
• Weaker powers to compel connection than Denmark– But control over electricity network via municipal
companies• DH companies restricted to LA areas -> cooperation• Liberalisation of DH: private ownership and rising
tariffs
Swedish DH sources
Ericson, K., 2009. Introduction and development of the Swedish district heating systems http://www.res-h-policy.eu/downloads/Swedish_district_heating_case-study_(D5)_final.pdf
UK Historical context
• Nationalised energy industries (1940s)– No municipal involvement in energy provision– Electricity industry pursued increased electrical
efficiency (i.e. larger centralised plant)• Energy production increased in response to
resource constraints– National programme of conversion to natural gas
• Poorly installed coal-based systems in 1960s• “Lead cities” programme in 1980s found raising
private finance difficult
UK DH context
• DH not specifically regulated– Subscriber and developer risks
• Limited standardisation– Consumer charters, technical standards, appraisal
methodologies• High proportion home ownership• Limited skills and supply chains– Unpredictable bursts of grant funding
• Competing visions of low carbon heat future• Difficult to capture external benefits in business model
UK contemporary energy context• Retail dominated by six integrated utilities– Electricity generation and network operation– Subsidiaries of international companies / LSE listed
• Some DH specialist companies (UK subsidiaries)• Low gas prices– UK net importer 2004
• Access to electricity markets hard for small generators• CCGT: electricity prices follow gas• Spark spread recently grew, envisaged to grow further• Assumptions about consumer preference for switching• Large penetration of inflexible generators planned
UK local government context• Growing number of LAs interested in DH• Uncertainties around constraints on private
sector engagement• Fragmentation of local governance• Constraints on LA powers and freedoms recently
relaxed– Power of well being, sale of electricity, prudential
borrowing• Local planning policy encouraged but authorities
fear development flight
UK/devolved governments
• UK and Scottish govts increasingly positive– UK infrastructure plan– Scottish DH loan fund and expert commission
• Rapidly developing energy policy– Changing energy tax regime– Capacity payments and demand side response?
• Different heat mapping approaches Eng/Scot• English building standards driving some activity• History of unpredictable grant funding
Conclusions
• DH offers significant contributions to urban sustainable development– Environmental, social, economic
• Development is a complex heterogeneous engineering problem– Coordination challenges exacerbated by
fragmentation of governance and liberalisation of energy
• Opportunities shaped by range of factors– Physical, administrative, legal, commercial, financial