State Technology and Science Index · 2014-08-20 · Source: U.S. Census Bureau. Demographic...

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Source: Milken Institute.

State Technology and Science Index 2008

Top tenSecond tierThird tierBottom ten

Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

Demographic indicator 2000 2010 Percent change

Median age 33.3 34.9 1.6

Of males 32.2 33.7 1.5

Of females 34.4 36.2 1.8

Dependency ratio 69.0 65.5 -3.5

Youth 51.1 46.4 -4.6

Old age 17.9 19.1 1.2

State demographic indicators By age and sex

Source: U.S. Department of Finance.

California’s aging population 2020 projections

Whites Latinos Asians Blacks

Projected change in population 2.3 65.1 46.9 7.8

Projected 2020 share of total population 37.4 41.4 12.5 5.4

Projected 2020 age distribution

0-19 years 20.4 34.6 23.4 27.0

20-24 years 5.5 8.2 5.7 7.0

25-64 years 52.5 49.7 54.0 53.3

65 or older 21.6 7.5 16.9 13.0

Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

Percent

Source: U.S. Department of Finance.

California’s racial diversification 2006

Other

15.5%

Asian

3.2%

White

69.4%

Hispanic

11.9%

Other

9.2%

Asian

12.1%

White

42.8%

Hispanic

35.9%

California United States

Source: U.S. Department of Finance.

California’s racial diversification 2006-2020 projection

Other

9.2%

Asian

12.1%

White

42.8%

Hispanic

35.9%

Othe r

8 . 7%

As i a n

12 .5%

White

37 . 4%

H i span i c

41 . 4%

2006 2020

Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

California’s racial profile 2006 American Community Survey

California California National

Race (total) (percent) (percent)

One race 35,246,104 96.7 98

White 21,810,156 59.8 73.9

Black/African American 2,260,648 6.2 12.4

American Indian/Alaska Native 265,963 0.7 0.8

Asian 4,483,252 12.3 4.4

Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islander 129,483 0.4 0.1

Some other race 6,296,602 17.3 6.3

Two or more races 1,211,445 3.3 2

Hispanic or Latino 13,074,155 35.9 14.8

Sources: Pew Hispanic Center; U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 American Community Survey.

Characteristics of eligible voters in California By race and ethnicity

Description Hispanics White Black Asians

Population

Total population (thousands) 13,088 15,585 2,209 4,419

Eligible voters (thousands) 5,011 12,165 1,542 2,468

English-speaking ability (percent)

Does not speak English "very well" 23.1 2.4 0.8 36.0

Speaks only English or English "very well" 76.9 97.6 99.2 64.0

Non-Hispanic

Source: U.S. Department of Homeland Security.

Under age 18 45,995 256,769

18-24 33,218 167,878

25-44 113,119 555,877

45-64 53,659 220,571

65+ 18,674 65,119

Leading countries of birth:

Mexico 66,744 173,753

China 27,305 87,345

Philippines 26,982 74,607

India 14,110 61,369

Characteristics California total National total

Profile of legal permanent residents FY 2006

Sources: College Board; Trends in College Pricing 2006.

Academic yearCharges

(current US$)

Annual

change

(percent)

Charges

(current US$)

Annual

change

(percent)

1996-1997 12,994 na 2,975 na

1997-1998 13,785 6.1 3,111 4.6

1998-1999 14,709 6.7 3,247 4.4

1999-2000 15,518 5.5 3,362 3.5

2000-2001 16,072 3.6 3,508 4.3

2001-2002 17,377 8.1 3,766 7.4

2002-2003 18,060 3.9 4,098 8.8

2003-2004 18,950 4.9 4,645 13.3

2004-2005 20,045 5.8 5,126 10.4

2005-2006 20,980 4.7 5,492 7.1

2006-2007 22,218 5.9 5,836 6.3

Private four-year Public four-year*

Average published tuition and fee charges By institution type

Note: In-state enrollments only.

06-0705-0604-0503-0402-0301-02

81

80

79

78

77

76

75

74

Thousands

Sources: Open Doors, Institute of International Education.

California’s foreign student population By academic school year

Country 2004 2005 2006

United States 572,509 590,167 584,814

United Kingdom 300,056 318,399 330,078

Australia 166,954 177,034 184,710

Canada 110,990 -- 75,546

Japan 107,030 114,865 119,120

New Zealand 41,422 40,774 36,900

Austria 26,928 27,001 30,366

Belgium 19,329 21,054 24,854

Sweden 17,253 18,855 21,315

Spain 15,051 17,675 18,206

U.S.’s non-resident students in higher education

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.

Source: Experimental Program to Stimulate Competitive Research.

Math SAT scores 2007

Top tenSecond tierThird tierBottom ten

Sources: Pew Hispanic Center; U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 American Community Survey.

Characteristics of eligible voters in California Percent of voting population

Description Hispanics White Black Asians

Educational attainment

Did not complete high school 27.8 7.6 14.6 12.0

Completed high school 31.8 23.3 29.7 16.8

Some college 29.3 34.9 37.5 27.9

Bachelor's degree or more 11.2 34.1 18.1 43.3

Household income

Less than $30,000 19.6 16.3 28.5 14.3

$30,000-$49,999 2.2 15.0 19.2 12.6

$50,000-$74,999 22.1 18.1 19.4 17.2

$75,000-$99,999 15.9 14.7 13.6 15.2

$100,000 or more 22.2 35.9 19.4 40.7

Non-Hispanic

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Milken Institute.

Population age 25+ with bachelor’s degrees 2006

CA*VANHNYHIMNVTNJMDCTCOMA

42

40

38

36

34

32

30

28

Percent of population

* CA ranks 16th.* CA ranks 16th.

Top 10Second tier Third tier Bottom 10

Population age 25+ with bachelor’s degrees 2006

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Milken Institute.

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Milken Institute.

Population age 25+ with advanced degrees 2006

CA*NHRICONJVTVANYCTMAMD

16

14

12

10

8

6

4

2

0

Percent of population

* CA ranks 15th.* CA ranks 15th.

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Milken Institute.

Population age 25+ with advanced degrees 2006

Top 10Second tier Third tier Bottom 10

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Milken Institute.

Population age 25+ with Ph.D.s 2006

UTNYCONJCA*CTVAVTNMMAMD

2.4

2.2

2.0

1.8

1.6

1.4

1.2

Percent of population

* CA ranks 7th.* CA ranks 7th.

Sources: U.S. Census Bureau, Milken Institute.

Population age 25+ with Ph.D.s 2006

Top 10Second tier Third tier Bottom 10

Source: Experimental Program to Stimulate Competitive Research.

Graduate students in science and engineering 2005

CA*RICTNMDENYKSMNMDNDMA

3.5

3.0

2.5

2.0

1.5

1.0

0.5

Percent of 25-34 age cohort

* CA ranks 36th.* CA ranks 36th.

Source: Experimental Program to Stimulate Competitive Research.

Percentage of graduate studentsin science and engineering 2005

Top 10Second tier Third tier Bottom 10

Source: National Center for Education Statistics.

Bachelor’s degrees inscience and engineering 2003

CA*NJGAVTNDCOSDMDWYMT

25

24

23

22

21

20

19

18

Percent of total bachelor's degrees

* CA ranks 10th.* CA ranks 10th.

Source: National Science Foundation.

Recent bachelor’s degrees inscience and engineering 2005

CA*CONYPASDLANDMARIUTVT

6.5

6.0

5.5

5.0

4.5

4.0

3.5

3.0

Per 1,000 of civilian work force

* CA ranks 34th.* CA ranks 34th.

Source: National Science Foundation.

Recent master’s degrees inscience and engineering 2005

CA*ALMOILCTVTLANENYMDMA

3.0

2.5

2.0

1.5

1.0

0.5

Per 1,000 of civilian work force

* CA ranks 21st.* CA ranks 21st.

Source: National Science Foundation.

Recent Ph.D.s inscience and engineering 2005

CA*RINYMOPAMDCODENENDMA

0.60

0.50

0.40

0.30

0.20

Per 1,000 of civilian work force

* CA ranks 16th.* CA ranks 16th.

Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Milken Institute.

Intensity of computer and info. science experts 2006

Top 10Second tier Third tier Bottom 10

Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Milken Institute.

Intensity of life and physical scientists 2006

Top 10Second tier

Bottom 10Third tier

No data

Sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Milken Institute.

Intensity of engineers 2006

Top 10Second tier Third tier Bottom 10

• Sustaining institutions: UC, CSU, CCC, Stanford, USC, Caltech

• Affiliate members: LBNL, LLNL, Sandia/CA, SLAC, NASA Ames,JPL

Over 160 CCST volunteers include:• 5 Nobel Laureates• 81 National Academies’ Members• 11 National Medals of Science and Technology Recipients• 12 Science and Math Teachers

CCST

Global Search for Talent

• Attracting and retaining top technical talent

• How to grow our own talent - given

demographic trends

• State Government’s role in influencing the

innovation system

Occupational

Shares of

Foreign orn

Talent

California and U.S.

2000 and 2006

Recruiting global talent

Foreign Students

• Foreign students nolonger growing portionof total S&E degreesconferred

• CA is not differentfrom the U.S. as awhole

Source: U.S. Census BureauAnalysis: Collaborative Economics

Skim best and brightest minds from

across the globe

• U.S. Nobel Prizes are ~ 40% foreign born; members of the National Academy of Sciencesare ~ 25% foreign born (total >2000)

• H-1B visa cap limiting, 65,000, > 150,000 applied in first day

• Bill Gates notes that an H-1B hire creates several additional hires, as tech teams expand

• India Shoots for the Moon: Last Wednesday India launched a space probe to the moon

• NAFTA plus: Canada and France free the labor market so that skilled workers can moveeasily back and forth across the Atlantic

Source: Department of Finance.

California’s racial diversification 2006-2020 projection

Other

9.2%

Asian

12.1%

White

42.8%

Hispanic

35.9%

Othe r

8 . 7%

As i a n

12 .5%

White

37 . 4%

H i span i c

41 . 4%

2006 2020

The Shrinking Pie

• Only 4% of 9th gradersgraduate in S&E

• Up to 60% lost in college

• 32% CCC transfers

How to grow our own talent

• Teaching science in elementary schools

• 54% of new science teacher hires do not hold a full orpreliminary credential

• Teacher professional development

• Cal TAC – most effective and important

• New Gates Systemic initiative

• CA STEM Innovation network – CSU and CCST– National Academies, major foundations, informal education,

technology

State Government’s role

• Strategic investments in R&D pay off, but tax credit

may not

CIRM ($3B over 10 years)

UC Discovery Grant $15M + $20M $35M

GGD Cal ISIs $100M + $800M $1.2B

PIER $62M/yr estimated payoff $1.3 - 3.4

Take advantage of economic crisis – strategic

investments

• 50 PhD fellows

Science and Technology Policy Fellows

Polling Question 1:

What is the best way to increase California's talentpool?

1. Attract from overseas (e.g., offer visas to high-

tech workers, offer citizenship)

2. Compete for talent from nearby states through

incentives (e.g., lower out-of-state tuition)

3. Develop talent from within the state (e.g., invest

heavily in grades K-12)

Polling Question 2:

Which issue will be the most pressing to California'seconomy in the next 15 years?

1. Low-skilled workers

2. Aging population

3. Lack of state funding

4. Lack of specialized high-tech workers

Polling Question 3:

California's largest untapped source for talent in thework force:

1. Women

2. Minorities

3. Semi-retired baby boomers