South Central & South West HRM Recommendationsto the Halifax Regional School Board

June 2009

Agenda

ProcessHRM Demographic DataGuiding Principles10 Year Facility Master Plan RecommendationsCriteria for PrioritizationRecommendations by Family• Demographics• Enrolment Projections• School capacity & utilization rates• Recommendations

Consultation Schedule

SAC Meeting Start-up MeetingOctober 2008Consultation No.1 Process and QuestionnaireOctober 2008Consultation No. 2 Summary of responses and open-mike feedbackDecember 2008Consultation No. 3 Presentation of Background ReportJanuary 2009SAC Meeting Preview of Option developmentFebruary 2009Consultation No. 4 Preliminary Options presentation and discussionFebruary 2009Consultation No. 5 Revised Options presentation and discussionApril 2009Consultation No. 6 Final Recommendations presentation and discussionMay 2009

Community Resource Consultations

HRM Community Development & Regional PlanningHRM Infrastructure & Asset ManagementMetro TransitHRM Transportation Planning & Active TransportationHRM Community Facility ManagementHRM by DesignRural School Focus Group (Strategy 13)HRM CouncillorsProvincial MLAsChebucto Community Development Association

Process

Consultant recommendation to the BoardSenior Staff review and report to the BoardPublic SubmissionsBoard DecisionSubmission of capital plan to the Province (DOE)DOE allocation/approval of capital request

• The HRSB believes that - “Every student can learn. Every school can improve”

• 10 year facilities master plan supports the goal: “every school can be a great school”

Overview of Review Areas

HRM Demographic Information

Age Cohort ProjectionsData utilized• 1996, 2001 and 2006 Census by age cohort• Fertility Rates• Death Rates

Key components• Natural increase (Births minus deaths)• Migration (Net position based upon interprovincial migration and

international immigration)

Methodology• Population change in the 0-4 population based upon projected

births• Older cohorts based upon survival method based upon average

death rate• Net migration based upon historical patterns

HRM Demographic Information

Historical PopulationFrom 1996 to 2006 • HRM population increased from 342,670 to 372,675

(8.8%)• Age 5 to 19 age cohort decreased by 0.9%• Age 0 to 4 age cohort decreased from 6.6% of total

population to 4.9% Projected Population

From 2006 to 2021• HRM population is projected to increase from 372,675

to 406,098 (9.0%)• Age 5 to 19 age cohort is projected to decrease from

17.8% of the total population to 13.4%

HRM Demographic Information

Historical Population Projected Population

Enrolment Projections

Data utilized• Historical enrolments grade for each school • Projected births• New housing development

Key components• Retention rates• Projected Primary students• Pupil yield from new housing

Methodology• Primary enrolment estimated based on projected births• Grade enrolments for each school are advanced based

upon the retention rate• Students from new housing are estimated

Historical Live Birth Data

From 1997 to 2000 number of births declined from 4,199 to 3,872In 2003 and 2004 small upward spike to 4,0622001 to 2006 average number of births was 3,900

Building Permits

Building permits have averaged 2,600 new housing units per year over the last 9 yearsHRM Planning Strategy (Clayton Research) anticipates number of permits to average 2,400 over the next 10 yearsRecent market issues may reduce that number to 2,200

HRSB Overview

Historical EnrolmentFrom 1999 to 2009 HRSB has experienced steady decline of 6,068 students from 58,175 to 52,107Grade Primary decreased by almost 1,000

HRSB Overview

Projected EnrolmentFrom 2009 to 2019 enrolment is projected to continue to decline by 6,366 students

Dartmouth 

North‐

34.7DartmouthEast‐

28.6

Dartmouth 

South ‐

8.3

Eastern 

Passage

‐

4.4

Cole 

Harbour‐

20.2

Preston‐33.2

Waverley

‐

13.0

Needham‐

27.4

Citadel‐

23.4

Chebucto‐

18.8

Sackville 

South‐

24.6

Sackville 

North+ 28.0

Fall River+ 11.4

Beaver 

Bank‐

17.0

Hammonds 

Plains+ 111.6 Bedford

‐

3.0

Clayton 

Park+ 19.9

Fairview‐

17.3

NW Arm‐

17.2Spryfield‐

22.7

Timberlea+ 15.3

10 Year Facilities Master Plan

Guiding Principles

Student AchievementProvide equitable access to the full range of program offerings, while recognizing the differences between urban, suburban and rural communitiesSize schools to best deliver full range of program and extra-curricular activities within their community contextPlan grade configuration to optimize learning, social and behavioural needs of students and their communitiesPlan for an agile response to change: program, technology, demographics

Guiding Principles

CommunityPromote a viable school presence in every communityRespect the important place a school holds in rural communitiesRecognize that equity means equality of opportunity; it does not mean sameness*Enhance opportunities for community centred schools through shared or joint useEncourage full support and recognition of all cultures and celebrate diversity

*from the Halifax County-Bedford District School Board document: Strategy 13, 1996

Guiding Principles

ProvincePromote effective utilization of facilitiesRecognize the distinct needs of rural communitiesPrioritize capital spending in school communities with

immediate needMaximize full potential of community centred facilities

Master Plan Recommendations

Grade ConfigurationRetain the current three tier grade configuration of grades P- 6 (Elementary), 7-9 (Junior High) and 10-12 (High School), except to meet the unique needs of specific communities.

School SizeSize schools to meet the needs of the community and to create viable learning environments

Elementary – 300 students (2 classes of 22 students per grade level)

Junior High – 500 students (6 classes of 27 students per grade level)

High School – 1,000 studentsP to 9 schools – 750 students (3 classes of 22 students at P to 6,

3 classes of 27 students at 7 to 9)

Master Plan Recommendations

Walking DistancesEncourage age appropriate active transportation modes for all students

Capacity Reassessment Reassess current Provincial capacity for all schools to accommodate current and future program needs and allow for fluctuations in enrolment

EquityProvide equitable access to program and extra-curricular opportunities for all students through alterations, additions, new or replacement schools for all existing communities

Master Plan Recommendations

Rural SchoolsRecognize the important place a school holds in a rural community and provide equitable learning opportunities for rural students

School Sites Provide safe access and optimal play areas at all school sites

Lunch ProgramProvide on-site lunchroom facilities at all schools

Program OpportunitiesEnhance opportunities for all students to excel in a learning environment that meets their personal needs

Master Plan Recommendations

French ImmersionSupport the strong history of successful French Immersion programming

ChildcareCreate family focused schools including childcare facilities

Community Centred SchoolsMaximize full potential of community centred facilities

Educational SitesRetain inactive school sites for education or community use

Master Plan Recommendations

Future Proofing the PlanEnsure agility in planning to accommodate future change

Program RenewalInclude funding in the Master Plan to implement a plan for Program Renewal

Deferred MaintenanceInclude funding in the Master Plan to address the issue for Deferred Maintenance

Building RenewalDevelop and implement a plan for the funding of the systematic renewal of school facilities

Master Plan Recommendations

Phasing/Implementation PlanPrioritize response to educational and community needs, while minimizing disruption to students and communities

Cost ImpactInclude funding in the Master Plan to address the Soft Costs associated with Capital Projects

Living DocumentCreate a Living Document with policies for regular review and updates

Criteria for Prioritization

A. Accommodate all students (overcrowding or new growth), provide the following:

• Temporary accommodation• New permanent school• Accommodation at school with available capacity• Holding school

B. Prohibitive to repair (replacement school required), conditional on the following:

• Enrolment is steady or increasing• Site is appropriate or new site is available• Temporary accommodation is available

C. Program renewal (specialty programs, lunchrooms, etc.)• Meet requirements of current curriculum• Provide community based programs/services

South Central HRM Planning AreaCharles P Allen High Family

Halifax West High Family

South Central HRM

From 1996 to 2006 • population increased by 27.1%• 0 to 4 population decreased from 6.4% to 5.2% of total

From 2006 to 2021• 5 to19 population is expected to decline from 17.2% to

13.0% of total

Charles P Allen High

From 2009 to 2019 • Enrolment is projected to increase by 19% from 4,882 to

6,011• Utilization of existing school facilities is expected to

increase from 102% to 131% based on revised capacities

Charles P Allen High

CP Allen Revised Capacities

Schools Required 2018/2019

Chart indicates maximum number of schools required in 2018/2019 rounded up for projected enrolments by grade level grouping

Grade Level P to 6 7 to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 3,034 1,442 1,535# schools req'd 10 3 2 15

Grade Level P to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 4,476 1,535# schools req'd 7 2 9

# schools existing 8

Charles P Allen Family

CPA – Bedford Existing

CPA – Bedford Students

CPA – Bedford Development

CPA – Bedford Physical Obstacles

CPA – Bedford 2018/2019

Enrolment dropping to 43983% (95%) capacityon three sites, poor building conditions

Enrolment dropping to 30265% capacity

Enrolment steady at 37473% (77%) capacity, poor building condition

HS enrolment increasing to 1,705, continued increase projected over next 10 yearsNew HS capital funding approved for new central site

CPA – Bedford Recommendation

new Sunnyside P to 6 on Eaglewood site,short term deferred maintenance & accommodation required at Sunnyside facilities

new Bedford JH on existing site or renovate CP Allen HSnew

replac

emen

t

school fo

r CP Alle

n HS

from Sunnyside to Basinview

Sunnyside Short Term Strategy

CPA – Bedford South Existing

CPA – Bedford South Students

CPA – Bedford South Development

CPA – Bedford South Physical Obstacles

CPA – Bedford South 2018/2019

Enrolment increasing to 1,779

Major residential development approved for Bedford South and Bedford West, strong growth projected to continue beyond 2018

CPA – Bedford South Recommendation

changeto 7 to 9

new P to 6 required by 2013new

P to 6newP to 6

newP to 6

-new P to 6-new 7 to 9-new replacement school for CP Allen HS, partner with HRM for community use

newP to 6

new 10 to 12

Bedford South Short Term Strategy

2009/2010 620 students April 20092010/2011 734 students one six-pack required – 720 capacity2011/2012 881 students two six-packs required – 880 capacity2013/2014 1,051 students new school required

CPA – Hammonds Plains Existing

CPA – Hammonds Plains Students

CPA – Hammonds Plains Development

CPA – Hammonds Plains Physical Obstacles

CPA – Hammonds Plains 2018/2019

Enrolment steady at 616101% capacity

Enrolment dropping to 47093% capacity

Enrolment dropping to 49684% capacity

CPA – Hammonds Plains Recommendation

P to 6

•Hammonds Plains & new Westwood Hills school feed to Madeline Symonds•Kingswood Feeds to new Bedford West JH

P to 6

7 to 9

newP to 6

CP Allen Existing Schools

CP Allen 2018/2019

CP Allen 2018/2019

CP Allen HS replacement

school(10-12)

Basinview Drive

(P-6)

Sunnyside ESNew school on Eaglewood site

(P-6)

Bedford JHS replacement

school at CPA or new site

(7-9)

New Bedford South ES No 1

(P-6)

New Bedford South ES No 2

(P-6)

New Bedford South ES No 3

(P-6)

New Bedford West ES No 1

(P-6)

New Bedford West ES No 2

(P-6)

New Bedford West JHS

(7-9)

New Bedford West ES No 3

(P-6)

New Bedford HS

(10-12)

Bedford SouthP-9 to become

JHS(7-9)

Kingswood ES

(P-6)

CP Allen Recommended Schools

Halifax West High

From 2009 to 2019 • Enrolment is projected to decline by 17% from 5,614

to 4,669• Utilization of existing school facilities is expected to

decline from 89% to 80% based on revised capacities

--Terence BayTerence Bay

Halifax West High

Halifax West Revised Capacities

Schools Required 2018/2019

Chart indicates maximum number f schools required in 2018/2019 rounded up for projected enrolments by grade level grouping

Grade Level P to 6 7 to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 2,342 1,105 1,222# schools req'd 8 2 1 11

Grade Level P to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 3,447 1,222# schools req'd 5 1 6

# schools existing 12

Halifax West Family

Halifax West (urban) Existing

Halifax West (urban) Students

Halifax West (urban) Development

Halifax West (urban) Physical Obstacles

Halifax West (urban) 2018/2019

Enrolment dropping to 32091% (104%) capacity

Enrolment dropping to 32270% (77%) capacity, sustained by F.I.

P to 9 enrolment dropping to 625116% capacity

Enrolment dropping to 29278% (88%) capacity

JH enrolment dropping to 28456% (62%) capacity

Enrolment dropping to 27466% (73%)capacity, aged facility

HS enrolment dropping to 1,24681% capacity

ES enrolment steady at 29685% (97%)capacity, aged facilitiesJHS enrolment steady at 39774% (82%)capacity

Halifax West (urban) Recommendation

P to 9

P to 6replacementschool

P to 6

P to 6

7 to 9

P to 6

P to 6

7 to 9

10 to 12

Park West Short Term Strategy

Halifax West (rural) Existing

Halifax West (rural) Students

Halifax West (rural) Development

Halifax West (rural) 2018/2019

Enrolment dropping to 185 65% (84%) capacity

Enrolment dropping to 27355% capacity

Enrolment dropping to 17941% (48%) capacity

Halifax West (rural) Recommendation

P to 5

6 to 9express bus incl. south edge of East St Margaret’s

Capital approved for alterations & additions to Atlantic MemorialP to 5 site to accommodate consolidated Atlantic Memorial Terence Bay school

retain school site for community Resource Centre, if possible

New HRM Prospect Road community centre scheduled for construction

Halifax West (rural) P to 6 Travel Distance

9.1k travel distance from Terence Bay to Atlantic Memorial

Halifax West Existing Schools

Halifax West 2018/2019

Halifax West 2018/2019

Duc D’Anville

(P-6)

Clayton Park

(7-9)

Halifax West HS

(10-12)

Rockingham

(P-6)

Grosvenor Wentworth

(P-6)

Fairview Heights

(P-6)

Atlantic Memorial Terence BayAt AM site with

renovations(P-5)

Prospect Road

(P-5)

Fairview JHS

(7-9)

Burton Ettinger

(P to 6)

Brookside JHS

(6-9)

Park West

(P to 9)

Halifax West Recommended Schools

South West HRM Planning AreaJL Ilsley High Family

Sir John A Macdonald High Family

South West HRM

From 1996 to 2006 • population increased by 15.3%• 0 to 4 population decreased from 6.4% to 5.0% of total

From 2006 to 2021• 5 to 19 population is expected to decline from 19.2% to

14.9% of total

JL Ilsley High

From 2009 to 2019 • Enrolment is projected to decline by 17% from 3,255

to 2,716• Utilization of existing school facilities is expected to

decline from 76% to 71% based on revised capacities

JL Ilsley High

JL Ilsley Revised Capacities

Schools Required 2018/2019

Chart indicates maximum number of schools required in 2018/2019 rounded up for projected enrolments by grade level grouping

Grade Level P to 6 7 to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 1,469 626 621# schools req'd 5 1 1 7

Grade Level P to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 2,095 621# schools req'd 3 1 4

# schools existing 11

JL Ilsley Family

JL Ilsley (north) Existing

JL Ilsley (north) Students

JL Ilsley (north) Development

JL Ilsley (north) Physical Obstacles

JL Ilsley (north) 2018/2019

Enrolmentsteady at 16261% (74%) capacity

JH enrolment dropping to 12251% (66%) capacity

P to 9 enrolment dropping to 21346% (52%) capacity

P to9 enrolment increasing to 29274% (86%) capacity

HS enrolment dropping to 62159% capacity

Enrolment dropping to 22454% (60%) capacity

Enrolmentsteady at 28787% (100%) capacity

JL Ilsley (north) Recommendation

P to 6 P to 6

P to 6 fromP to 9

7 to 9fromP to 9

10 to 12-add joint-use

P to 6

JL Ilsley (south) Existing

JL Ilsley (south) Students

JL Ilsley (south) Development

JL Ilsley (south) 2018/2019

Enrolmentsteady at 264

86% (100%) capacityEnrolment steady at 17086% (110%) capacity

JH enrolment dropping to 251 56% capacity

Enrolment dropping to 110 86% (100%) capacity

JL Ilsley (south) Recommendation

P to 5P to 5

6 to 9

P to 5

JL Ilsley Existing Schools

JL Ilsley 2018/2019

JL Ilsley 2018/2019

Rockingstone Heights

(P-6)

J.L. Ilsley HS

(10-12)

Chebucto Heights

(P-6)

JW MacLeod- Fleming Tower

(P-6)

Harrietsfield

(P-5)

William King

(P-5)

Elizabeth Sutherland

(7-9)

Herring Cove

(6-9)

Sambro

(P-5)

Central Spryfield

(P-6)

Cunard JH

JL Ilsley Recommended Schools

Sir John A Macdonald

From 2009 to 2019 • Enrolment is projected to increase by 4% from 4,037 to

4,195• Utilization of existing school facilities is expected to

increase from 82% to 88% based on revised capacities

Sir John A Macdonald

Sir John A Revised Capacities

Schools Required 2018/2019

Chart indicates maximum number of schools required in 2018/2019 rounded up for projected enrolments by grade level grouping

Grade Level P to 6 7 to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 2,101 1,023 1,071# schools req'd 7 2 1 10

Grade Level P to 9 10 to 12 Total# of students 3,124 1,071# schools req'd 5 1 6

# schools existing 8

Sir John A Macdonald

Sir John A – BLT Existing

Sir John A – BLT Students

Sir John A – BLT Development

Sir John A – BLT Physical Obstacles

Sir John A – BLT 2018/2019

P to 6 two buildingsenrolmentincreasing to 79595% capacity

Enrolment increasing to 55895% capacity

Sir John A – BLT Recommendation

P to 6-addition/renovation to main school, close annex

newP to 6

change from 6 to 9 to 7 to 9

Sir John A – Tantallon Existing

Sir John A – Tantallon Students

Sir John A – Tantallon Development

Sir John A – Tantallon Physical Obstacles

Sir John A – Tantallon 2018/2019

Enrolment steady at 402 114% capacity

Enrolment increasing to 1,131108% capacity

Enrolment steady at 665 89% capacity

Enrolment steady at 60157% capacity

Sir John A – Tantallon Recommendation

newP to 6

renovateP to 6

P to 67 to 9-opportunity for shared use

Sir John A (rural) Existing

Sir John A (rural) Students

Sir John A (rural) Development

Sir John A (rural) Physical Obstacles

Sir John A (rural) 2018/2019

Enrolmentdropping to 4523% (29%) capacity

Enrolmentdropping to 5853% (88%) capacity

Enrolment steady at 402 114% capacity Enrolment steady at 665

89% capacity

Sir John A (rural) Recommendation

P to 6

retain site for community use,if possible

retain site for community use,if possible

P to 6

Sir John A (rural) Travel Distance

25k toTantallon

20k toSt Margaret’s Bay

Sir John A Existing Schools

Sir John A 2018/2019

Sir John A 2018/2019

Sir John A Macdonald HS

(10-12)

St Margaret’s Bay

(P-6)

Tantallon

(P-6)

Five Bridges JHS

(7-9)

Hammonds Plains

(P-6)

New Westwood Hills ES

(P-6)

Madeline Symonds

(7-9)

Beechville- Lakeside- Timberlea

(P-6)

New Beechville- Lakeside-

Timberlea No 2

(P-6)

Ridgecliff Middle

(7-9)

East St Margaret's Shatford Memorial

Sir John A Recommended Schools

South Central/West High Schools Existing

South Central/West High Schools Students

South Central/West High Schools Development

South Central/West High Schools Long Term Plan

-remove fromSir John A-feed to Halifax West

-remove fromCP Allen-feed to Sir John A

-replacement schoolfor CPA in newdevelopment area

-new HS