Post on 21-May-2020
Solar Thermal Markets
in Europe
Solar Thermal Technologies and Markets2nd International Conference - Solar Energy in RomaniaBucharest, 25 November 2010
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Proposed agenda
• Solar Heating and Cooling
– State of the Art
– Market Development
– Future development & potential
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Solar Heating
and CoolingState of the Art
Wagner & Co/ESTIF
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Solar Heating and Cooling
• Also known as solar thermal or solar water
heating
• Part of Renewable Heating and Cooling sector:
– Solar Thermal
– Geothermal
– Biomass
• Solar Thermal Energy ≠ Solar (Thermal) Power
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Solar Thermal Collectors
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Solar Thermal Collectors
Flat Plate Collectors
Evacuated Tube Collectors
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Solar Thermal Collectors
Unglazed CollectorsAir Collectors
Solar Thermal Systems
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ThermosiphonDomestic Hot Water (DHW)
Forced CirculationDHW, Combi or
Combi + (DHW + heating + cooling)
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Solar Thermal Applications
• Much more than …
…Domestic Hot Water
Or even
Space Heating (Combi Systems)
It’s also…
• Industrial Process Heat
• Solar Cooling
• Solar District Heating
• Water Treatment (desalination)
S.O.L.I.D./ESTIF
Velux/ESTIF
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0 50 100 150 200 250 300
Unglazed collectors
Flat-plate, evacuated tube
collectors
Advanced flat-plate,
CPC-collectors
Concentrating collectors
Working Temperature (ºC)
pool
heating,
crop drying
water&space
heating
space cooling
industrial process heat
Glazed collectors
Solar Thermal Applications
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New applications
Much more than …
…conventional add-on
approach,
on-roof mounting
It’s also…
new and developed forms of
building integration
Integrating solar thermal into buildings
Integrating solar thermal into buildings
The future of buildings: full integration!
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Solar Heating
and CoolingMarket Development
Wagner & Co/ESTIF
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Market Development
• A promising market
– Strong industry
– Clear growth tendency
– Huge growth potential
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A promising industry
• 3 GWth of newly installed
capacity in 2009
• 22 GWth of capacity in
operation
• Turnover approx. 3.000
mEUR/year GASOKOL/ESTIF
• Over 35.000 full time jobs (most in small and medium
size installation businesses)
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~3.0 GWth of new capacity in 2009
EU Solar Thermal market 1999-2009
-
500.000,00
1.000.000,00
1.500.000,00
2.000.000,00
2.500.000,00
3.000.000,00
3.500.000,00
4.000.000,00
4.500.000,00
5.000.000,00
-
500.000,00
1.000.000,00
1.500.000,00
2.000.000,00
2.500.000,00
3.000.000,00
3.500.000,00
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
m²kWthSolar Thermal Market in EU27+
Total installed capacity
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1.000
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
CY AT GR DE CH MT DK SI EU27+ LU PT ES SE BE IT FR NL
Operating Solar Thermal Capacity (per capita x 1000)UE-27 (and Switzerland)
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Installed capacity in Europe (2009)
Greece361,8 m²
EU27+62,5 m²
Austria430,5 m²
Market share per country (EU 27+ CH)
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Emerging market segments
• Solar Cooling
• Solar District Heating
– small and large scale
• Solar Process Heat (industrial)
Solar Cooling Market
• Strong demand for cooling:
– Higher living / working standards
– Adverse outdoor conditions in urban environments
– Reduced prices of air-conditioning units
– New A/C installations increased 5-fold in the last 20 years in
Europe and almost doubled in the last 10 years worldwide
• Challenge:
– Managing peaks in electricity consumption over Summer period
Source: Solair project
Solar Cooling Market
Solar Cooling
Method Closed cycle Open cycleRefrigerant cycle Closed refrigerant cycle Refrigerant (water) is in contact with the atmosphere
Principle Chilled water Dehumidification of air and evaporative cooling
Phase of sorbent Solid Liquid Solid Liquid
Typical material pairswater - silica gel
water - lithium bromideammonia - water
water - silica gel,water - lithium chloride
water - calcium chloride, water - lithium chloride
Market availableAdsorption chiller Absorption chiller
Desiccant cooling Close to marketintroduction
Solar collectorsVacuum tubes, flat plate
collectorsVacuum tubes
Flat plate collectors, solar air collectors
Flat plate collectors, solarair collectors
Source: Climasol project
Solar Cooling Market
Large systems
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Solar Heating
and CoolingFuture development
& potential
Wagner & Co/ESTIF
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2020
2006 BAU AMD RDP
Spec. Colector area m²/inhab 0,04 0,2 0,3 0,8
Total Collector area Million m² 20,25 97 145,5 388
Total Installed capacity GWth 14,17 67,9 101,9 271,6
Solar Yeld TWh/a 8,5 38 59 155
Total low temp. heat demand TWh 4715 4715 4506 4297
Solar fraction % 0,18% 0,81% 1,31% 3,61%
Number of Jobs EU 27 31.400 46.900 103.200 470.000
Potential of Solar Themal in Europe
Future development and potential
• “Full R&D and Policy” scenario considers substantial
financial and political support mechanisms, energy
efficiency measures as well as intensive research and
development activities.
• According to this scenario, solar thermal would make by
2020 up to 6.3% of the EU’s 20% renewable energy
target, representing an annual sector growth rate of
26%.
• This would represent 0,8 m² of installed capacity per
capita and 9% of the low temperature heat demand in
Europe.
• Over 450.000 sustainable full-time jobs could be created
by 2020
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Rue d'Arlon 63-67 • B-1040 Bruxelles • Belgium •
Email: info@estif.org • Web: www.estif.org
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National Renewable Energy Action Plans
EU27 except BE, EE, HU, PL: Still haven’t submitted their NREAPs (official due date: 30th June 2010)
Forecast of solar thermal growth
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2020
2006 BAU NREAPs AMD
Spec. Colector area m²/inhab 0,04 0,2 0,26 0,3
Total Collector areaMillion m² 20,25 97 127,7 145,5
Total Installed capacity GWth 14,17 67,9 89,4 101,9
Potential of Solar Thermal in Europe
Please do not hesitate to contact me:
• European Solar Thermal Industry Federation (ESTIF)
Renewable Energy House
Rue d‘Arlon 63-67
B-1040 Brussels
Tel: +32 2 546 19 38
Fax: +32 2 546 19 39
Email: pedro.dias@estif.org
Website: www.estif.org
Solar Thermal Markets
in Europe
Solar Thermal Technologies and Markets2nd International Conference - Solar Energy in RomaniaBucharest, 25 November 2010