SMALL DONORS, ONLINE DONORS AND FIRST-TIMERS IN THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION OF 2004 Phil Noble.

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Transcript of SMALL DONORS, ONLINE DONORS AND FIRST-TIMERS IN THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION OF 2004 Phil Noble.

SMALL DONORS, ONLINE DONORS AND FIRST-TIMERS

IN THE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION OF 2004

Phil Noble

2

The BIG Change

“The Internet is some thing fundamentally different. It will change

our world the same way as the invention of the printing press and the

coming of the industrial age.”

Bill Gates

3

The Revolutio

n is Here !

4

Internet Revolution...

Day 2, 10:00 am

5

Big Events 1994 - 2000

First political website – 1994 Presidential Campaigns Online – 1996 UK Labour ‘message driven’ site - 1997 Gov. Jesse Ventura won via Internet -1998 Sweden SAP – 40% voters, 20 minutes on site McCain online, $6 mil, 140k vol. – Feb 2000 Online voting - Arizona Primary – April 2000 Florida news – CNN +397%, FOX +181%

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Big Events2001- 05

Peer 2 Peer - MoveOn.org, MeetUp, et al South Korean Presidential Election Internet Growth In China War in Iraq, Rise of the 2nd Superpower Howard Dean and the Net Net only content creation - Jib Jab, et al $82 million online $ sustains Kerry Blogs and ‘demise’ of Big 3 agenda setting Tsunami relief

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Charities Raised Online (in millions)

$192$525

$1,025$1,435

$1,900

$3,000

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004

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The Cost of Raising $1

$0.25

$0.63

$0.07

$1.25

From a newdonor via direct

mail

From anexisting donorvia direct mail

Via tele-marketing

Online

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Average Donation: Online vs. Direct Mail

$12

$50

$26

$57

Easter Sealsonline

Easter Sealsdirect mail

NARAL Pro-Choice

Americaonline

NARAL Pro-Choice

Americadirect mail

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$ Raised Online

$0 $1,000,000$6,000,000

$17,000,000

$82,000,000

96Clinton/Dole

99 Bradley 00 McCain 03 Dean 04 Kerry

First Online Fundraising Tool

11Source: Ads2Voter Survey

67 % went on to read about a candidate or

advocacy group's issue platform 43 % registered to receive e-mail notices 40 % viewed a video ad 34 % made a donation online 19 % signed up to volunteer

Online Voter Behavior

37% of likely voters clicked on a political ad

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College Students

48 % consider themselves politically active, here’s how they’re getting involved:

36% signed an online petition

30% written email advocating a position

18% contributed to a political blog

Source: Harvard IOP Study

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‘Disintermediation’of Politics

The Media

Political Parties

Traditional Special Interest Organizations - PACs, Unions,Trade Associations, etc.

Some Fundraising Structures

New actors – MoveOn, MeetUp, etc.

Politicians become ‘channels’

14

“Anybody”

can be elected

President

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Welcome to the

Revolution !!