September 5 – November 2, 2000 / N=250 registered “likely” voters daily A Tracking Survey of...

September 5 – November 2, 2000 / N=250 registered “likely” voters daily

A Tracking Survey of National Voter Attitudes

(unweighted)

September 5 – November 2, 2000September 5 – November 2, 2000Rolling Sample of N=1,000 Registered “Likely” Rolling Sample of N=1,000 Registered “Likely”

VotersVoterswith a Daily Sample N=250 Registered “Likely” with a Daily Sample N=250 Registered “Likely”

VotersVoters

If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you probably vote? [UNAIDED

BALLOT] (unweighted)

35%38% 37% 38% 39% 38% 37% 37%

40% 40% 41%39%36%

33% 34% 33% 33% 35%38%

34% 34% 33%34%

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

25% 24% 24% 24% 24% 23% 23% 23% 22% 22% 22% 22% 22%22%

38%38%36%37%36%35%

0%0%0%0%1%1%1%3%3%3%2%2%2%2%2%2%2%

2%2%2% 2% 1%1%1%1%2%

Bush 36% 35% 38% 37% 38% 39% 38% 37% 38% 37% 38% 40% 40% 41% 39%

Gore 35% 36% 33% 34% 33% 33% 35% 36% 36% 38% 37% 34% 34% 33% 34%

Buchanan 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Nader 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3%

Named other 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Unsure 25% 25% 24% 24% 24% 24% 23% 23% 23% 22% 22% 22% 22% 22% 22%

9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 9/21 9/24 9/25 9/26 9/27 9/28

37% 39%42% 41% 42% 41% 41% 42%

45%45%

37% 37% 37% 36% 35% 36% 36% 34% 34%32%

0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

22% 21% 19% 19% 18% 20% 20% 18% 20% 18% 18% 19% 17%18%

40%38%42%43%

38%37% 37%36%35%36%

0%0%0%0%0%0%0%3%3%3%3%3%3%2%2%2%2%3%3%3% 3%3% 1%1%1%1%1%

1%1%1%1%

Bush 38% 37% 38% 39% 40% 42% 41% 42% 43% 41% 42% 41% 42% 45% 45%

Gore 36% 37% 37% 37% 37% 36% 35% 35% 36% 36% 37% 36% 34% 34% 32%

Buchanan 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Nader 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3%

Named other 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Unsure 22% 22% 21% 19% 19% 18% 20% 20% 18% 20% 18% 18% 19% 17% 18%

10/1 10/2 10/3 10/4 10/5 10/8 10/9 10/10 10/11 10/12 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19

44% 42% 44% 44%

35% 35% 34% 33%

17% 19% 19% 19%

2%3% 3%3% 1%1%1%

Bush 45% 44% 42% 44% 44%

Gore 33% 35% 35% 34% 33%

Buchanan 0% 0% 0% 1% 1%

Nader 3% 3% 3% 2% 3%

Named other 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Unsure 17% 17% 19% 19% 19%

10/22 10/23 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/29 10/30 10/31 11/1 11/2

Do you feel things in this country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?

(unweighted)

47% 48%46%

48% 47% 46% 47% 48% 48% 47% 48%45%

43%44%

13%15%

13%15% 15%

13% 13% 12% 13% 12% 12% 12% 12%12%

39% 39% 38% 38% 39%41% 40% 40% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44%

45%40%

Right direction 47% 48% 46% 48% 47% 46% 47% 48% 48% 47% 48% 46% 45% 43% 44%

Unsure 13% 13% 15% 13% 15% 15% 13% 13% 12% 13% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12%

Wrong track 40% 39% 39% 38% 38% 39% 41% 40% 40% 40% 41% 42% 43% 45% 44%

9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 9/21 9/24 9/25 9/26 9/27 9/28

(unweighted)

45% 46% 46% 47% 47% 46% 46% 47% 46%44%

11% 11% 12% 13% 12% 11% 12% 11%13% 13% 13% 13% 13%12%

43% 43%41% 42% 42% 42% 43%

41% 41% 42%44%

43%45%45%45% 46%

43%44%44%

Right direction 45% 45% 46% 45% 46% 47% 47% 46% 46% 47% 46% 46% 45% 43% 44%

Unsure 10% 11% 11% 12% 13% 12% 11% 12% 11% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 12%

Wrong track 45% 44% 43% 43% 41% 42% 42% 42% 43% 41% 41% 42% 43% 44% 44%

10/1 10/2 10/3 10/4 10/5 10/8 10/9 10/10 10/11 10/12 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19

(unweighted)

48% 48% 47%

11% 11% 11%13%

41% 41% 40%

46%45%

44%44%

Right direction 45% 46% 48% 48% 47%

Unsure 11% 11% 11% 11% 13%

Wrong track 44% 44% 41% 41% 40%

10/22 10/23 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/29 10/30 10/31 11/1 11/2

George W. Bush Name Identification (unweighted)

55% 54%57% 57% 58% 58% 58% 58% 59%

55%59% 60% 60% 61%60%

34% 34% 33% 32% 31% 31% 31% 32% 31%34% 33% 32% 32%

30%31%

12% 11% 10% 10% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9%12%

8% 8% 8% 9% 9%

0% 0% 1% 1%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%1%0%0%0%

Favorable 55% 54% 57% 57% 58% 58% 58% 58% 59% 55% 59% 60% 60% 61% 60%

Unfavorable 34% 34% 33% 32% 31% 31% 31% 32% 31% 34% 33% 32% 32% 30% 31%

No opinion 12% 11% 10% 10% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 12% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9%

Never heard of 0% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1%

9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 9/21 9/24 9/25 9/26 9/27 9/28

58% 58% 59% 59% 59%61%

59% 60% 59%57% 57% 57%

59% 60%61%

32%34% 34% 33% 33%

31% 32% 33% 33% 34% 34% 33% 32% 31%30%

9% 8% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9%

0%0%0%0% 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%

Favorable 58% 58% 59% 59% 59% 61% 59% 60% 59% 57% 57% 57% 59% 60% 61%

Unfavorable 32% 34% 34% 33% 33% 31% 32% 33% 33% 34% 34% 33% 32% 31% 30%

No opinion 9% 8% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9%

Never heard of 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

10/1 10/2 10/3 10/4 10/5 10/8 10/9 10/10 10/11 10/12 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19

60% 60% 59%61% 62%

31% 31% 32% 32% 31%

9% 9% 9%7% 8%

0%0%0%0%0%0%

Favorable 60% 60% 59% 61% 62%

Unfavorable 31% 31% 32% 32% 31%

No opinion 9% 9% 9% 7% 8%

Never heard of 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

10/22 10/23 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/29 10/30 10/31 11/1 11/2

Al Gore Name Identification (unweighted)

57% 58%55% 55%

53% 53%55% 56% 56% 57% 57% 56% 57%

54%55%

32% 31%34% 33% 34% 35% 34% 34% 34%

32%34% 35% 34%

36%36%

10% 11% 11% 12% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 11%9% 9% 9% 9% 9%

1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%0%

Favorable 57% 58% 55% 55% 53% 53% 55% 56% 56% 57% 57% 56% 57% 54% 55%

Unfavorable 32% 31% 34% 33% 34% 35% 34% 34% 34% 32% 34% 35% 34% 36% 36%

No opinion 10% 11% 11% 12% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 11% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9%

Never heard of 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1%

9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 9/21 9/24 9/25 9/26 9/27 9/28

54% 54% 54% 54% 54% 53% 54% 54% 54% 55% 54% 53%51%

49%47%

37% 37% 38% 38% 38% 40% 38% 39% 40% 38% 39% 39% 40%43%43%

9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 8% 9%

0%0%0%0% 0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%

Favorable 54% 54% 54% 54% 54% 53% 54% 54% 54% 55% 54% 53% 51% 49% 47%

Unfavorable 37% 37% 38% 38% 38% 40% 38% 39% 40% 38% 39% 39% 40% 43% 43%

No opinion 9% 9% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 8% 9%

Never heard of 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

10/1 10/2 10/3 10/4 10/5 10/8 10/9 10/10 10/11 10/12 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19

47% 48% 49% 50%48%

44% 44% 43% 43% 44%

8% 8% 8% 7% 8%

0%0%0%0%0%0%

Favorable 47% 48% 49% 50% 48%

Unfavorable 44% 44% 43% 43% 44%

No opinion 8% 8% 8% 7% 8%

Never heard of 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%

10/22 10/23 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/29 10/30 10/31 11/1 11/2

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President? (unweighted)

59%61%

59% 59% 58% 58% 58%60% 59% 59%

57% 56% 56%54%

35% 36% 36%38% 39% 39% 38% 38%

40% 40% 39%41%

4% 4% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 5%

Approve 59% 61% 59% 59% 58% 58% 58% 60% 59% 59% 57% 56% 56% 54% 56%

Disapprove 36% 35% 36% 36% 38% 39% 39% 38% 38% 36% 40% 40% 39% 41% 39%

Unsure 4% 4% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 5%

9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 9/21 9/24 9/25 9/26 9/27 9/28

55% 56% 56%54% 55% 54% 55% 56% 56% 57% 57% 57% 57% 56%56%

41% 41% 42%40% 41% 40% 41% 41%

39% 39% 38% 38% 39%39%

4% 4% 3% 4% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5%

Approve 55% 56% 56% 54% 55% 54% 55% 56% 56% 57% 57% 57% 57% 56% 56%

Disapprove 41% 41% 41% 42% 40% 41% 40% 41% 41% 39% 39% 38% 38% 39% 39%

Unsure 4% 4% 3% 4% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5%

10/1 10/2 10/3 10/4 10/5 10/8 10/9 10/10 10/11 10/12 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19

55% 55% 56% 56% 56%

41% 40% 41% 40%

5% 4% 4% 4% 4%

Approve 55% 55% 56% 56% 56%

Disapprove 40% 41% 40% 41% 40%

Unsure 5% 4% 4% 4% 4%

10/22 10/23 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/29 10/30 10/31 11/1 11/2

Whether you approve or disapprove of the way Bill Clinton is handling his job as President, do you approve or disapprove of

Bill Clinton as a person? (unweighted)

31% 30% 29%27% 26%

28%30% 31%

29%31%

28% 27% 28% 27%28%

60% 60% 61%63%

61% 61% 60% 61% 60%62% 62% 61%

63%61%

9%11% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 10% 9% 10% 11% 11% 11%11%

Approve 31% 30% 29% 27% 26% 28% 30% 31% 29% 31% 28% 27% 28% 27% 28%

Disapprove 60% 60% 60% 61% 63% 61% 61% 60% 61% 60% 62% 62% 61% 63% 61%

Unsure 9% 11% 12% 12% 11% 11% 10% 9% 10% 9% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11%

9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 9/21 9/24 9/25 9/26 9/27 9/28

29% 29% 28%26% 26% 26%

28% 29% 28% 28% 29% 29% 28% 28%26%

62% 62%64% 64% 64% 63% 63%

65% 64% 63% 62% 62% 62%63%

11%9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%

8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 10% 10%11%

Approve 29% 29% 28% 26% 26% 26% 28% 29% 28% 28% 29% 29% 28% 28% 26%

Disapprove 60% 62% 62% 64% 64% 64% 63% 63% 65% 64% 63% 62% 62% 62% 63%

Unsure 11% 9% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 10% 10% 11%

10/1 10/2 10/3 10/4 10/5 10/8 10/9 10/10 10/11 10/12 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19

25% 25% 26% 27% 27%

65%63% 63% 62%

11% 10% 11% 10% 11%

Approve 25% 25% 26% 27% 27%

Disapprove 64% 65% 63% 63% 62%

Unsure 11% 10% 11% 10% 11%

10/22 10/23 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/29 10/30 10/31 11/1 11/2

If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican

candidate or the Democrat candidate? (unweighted)

38%40% 40% 41% 42% 43% 44% 45% 44%44% 45%43% 43%

41% 40% 41% 40% 40%41%

17% 17% 17% 17% 18% 18% 17% 16% 16% 17%15% 15%

17% 16%16%

43%44%

40%42%42%40% 40%44%42%41%

Republican 40% 38% 40% 40% 41% 42% 42% 42% 43% 40% 44% 45% 44% 44% 43%

Democrat 44% 45% 43% 43% 41% 40% 41% 42% 42% 44% 41% 40% 40% 40% 41%

Other/Undecided 17% 17% 17% 17% 18% 18% 17% 16% 16% 17% 15% 15% 17% 16% 16%

9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 9/21 9/24 9/25 9/26 9/27 9/28

43% 43% 43%45% 45%

43% 43% 43% 42% 42% 42%38%

16% 15%13% 14% 14% 13% 14% 14% 13%

16%14% 14%

16%14%

44%43%42%

48%45%

43%45%44%43% 43%42%

39%42%42%41%42%

Republican 43% 42% 43% 43% 43% 45% 44% 45% 45% 43% 43% 44% 45% 48% 48%

Democrat 42% 43% 43% 43% 43% 42% 42% 41% 42% 42% 42% 42% 39% 38% 36%

Other/Undecided 16% 15% 13% 14% 14% 13% 14% 14% 13% 16% 14% 14% 16% 14% 16%

10/1 10/2 10/3 10/4 10/5 10/8 10/9 10/10 10/11 10/12 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19

47% 46%48% 48%

37%39% 39% 38% 37%

15% 14% 15% 14% 15%

Republican 48% 47% 46% 48% 48%

Democrat 37% 39% 39% 38% 37%

Other/Undecided 15% 14% 15% 14% 15%

10/22 10/23 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/29 10/30 10/31 11/1 11/2

If the election for U.S. Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for the Republican

35%37% 38% 38% 38%

41% 42%42%

36% 36% 37% 37% 38%37%

2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2%

21% 21% 21% 22% 23% 22% 22% 22% 21% 21% 20% 19% 19% 20%21%

39%40%41%40%39%38%

36%37% 38%38%38%38%

39%39%40%

Republican 37% 35% 37% 36% 38% 38% 38% 38% 39% 40% 41% 42% 41% 40% 39%

Democrat 40% 42% 39% 39% 36% 36% 38% 38% 38% 36% 37% 37% 38% 38% 37%

Other 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2%

Undecided 21% 21% 21% 22% 23% 22% 22% 22% 21% 21% 20% 19% 19% 20% 21%

9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 9/21 9/24 9/25 9/26 9/27 9/28

37%39% 39% 40% 40%40%

42%40%40%

2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%

22% 22% 21% 20% 19% 18% 17% 18% 17% 18% 18% 17% 17%15%16%

41%41% 42%43%42%39%40%

42%39%

41%41%40% 40%41%

39%40%38%

Republican 38% 37% 39% 39% 39% 42% 41% 41% 40% 39% 40% 40% 42% 43% 42%

Democrat 38% 40% 39% 39% 40% 38% 40% 39% 41% 41% 41% 42% 40% 40% 40%

Other 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2%

Undecided 22% 22% 21% 20% 19% 18% 17% 18% 17% 18% 18% 17% 17% 15% 16%

10/1 10/2 10/3 10/4 10/5 10/8 10/9 10/10 10/11 10/12 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19

41%40% 39%

2% 2% 1% 2% 2%

16% 16% 17% 18% 19%

41%42%42%40%40%

Republican 42% 42% 41% 40% 41%

Democrat 40% 40% 41% 40% 39%

Other 2% 2% 1% 2% 2%

Undecided 16% 16% 17% 18% 19%

10/22 10/23 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/29 10/30 10/31 11/1 11/2

If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? (unweighted)

40% 39%41% 41% 42%

44% 44% 44%43%

38% 39% 37% 39% 38%42%

39% 38%38%

2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%4% 4% 3% 4% 5% 5%

14% 14%16% 16% 17% 18% 17% 15% 14% 13%

11% 12% 12% 12%13%

43%45%45%41%

38%39% 39%39%38%38%

42%41%

2%2%2%4%3%3%3%3%4%4%4%4%

Bush 39% 38% 40% 39% 41% 41% 41% 42% 44% 45% 44% 45% 43% 44% 43%

Gore 41% 42% 38% 39% 38% 37% 38% 39% 38% 39% 42% 39% 39% 38% 38%

Buchanan 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Nader 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 5%

Undecided 14% 14% 16% 16% 17% 18% 17% 15% 14% 13% 11% 12% 12% 12% 13%

9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 9/21 9/24 9/25 9/26 9/27 9/28

43%45% 46% 45%

43%47%47%

41% 41%39% 38% 39% 40% 40%

37%36%

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1%4% 4% 4% 4% 5%

12% 12% 11% 11% 12% 11% 12% 12% 11% 12% 11% 12% 12% 11%11%

44%43% 44%43%43%44%

42%42%

38%39%39%40%41%40%

1%1%2%4%4%4%5%4%4%4%4%4%4%

Bush 42% 42% 43% 44% 43% 45% 44% 46% 45% 43% 43% 43% 44% 47% 47%

Gore 40% 41% 41% 41% 40% 39% 39% 38% 39% 39% 40% 40% 38% 37% 36%

Buchanan 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1%

Nader 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5%

Undecided 12% 12% 11% 11% 12% 11% 12% 12% 11% 12% 11% 12% 12% 11% 11%

10/1 10/2 10/3 10/4 10/5 10/8 10/9 10/10 10/11 10/12 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19

45%47% 46%

39% 38%

1% 1%4%

10% 10% 11% 11% 12%

47%48%

37%38%37%

1%1%1%

4%4%4%5%

Bush 48% 47% 45% 47% 46%

Gore 37% 38% 39% 38% 37%

Buchanan 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Nader 5% 4% 4% 4% 4%

Undecided 10% 10% 11% 11% 12%

10/22 10/23 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/29 10/30 10/31 11/1 11/2

If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? [DEFINITELY VOTE]

(unweighted)

33% 32% 33%35% 34% 35% 35% 36% 36% 36% 37%

34%31%

29% 30% 30% 29% 30% 30% 29% 30% 29%29%

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

30%31%

33%33%

1%1%1%1%1%3%3%2%2%1%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%3%2%2%

Bush 33% 31% 33% 32% 33% 35% 34% 34% 35% 35% 36% 36% 36% 37% 34%

Gore 33% 33% 31% 31% 30% 29% 30% 30% 29% 30% 30% 29% 30% 29% 29%

Buchanan 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Nader 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3%

9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 9/21 9/24 9/25 9/26 9/27 9/28

(unweighted)

34%36% 36%

38% 39% 39%37% 38% 38% 39%

41%41%

31% 32% 32% 32% 32% 32% 33% 32%30% 29%28%

0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

37%33%34%

32%32%32%31%

1%0%1%1%1%3%3%3%2%2%3%2%2%2%2%2%2%3%3%3%

Bush 34% 33% 34% 36% 36% 38% 37% 39% 39% 37% 38% 38% 39% 41% 41%

Gore 31% 32% 31% 32% 32% 32% 32% 32% 32% 32% 33% 32% 30% 29% 28%

Buchanan 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Nader 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3%

10/1 10/2 10/3 10/4 10/5 10/8 10/9 10/10 10/11 10/12 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19

(unweighted)

40% 40% 40%

40%42%

29%31%30%29%

1%1%1%1%3%2%3%3%3%

Bush 42% 40% 40% 40% 40%

Gore 29% 30% 31% 31% 29%

Buchanan 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Nader 3% 3% 3% 2% 3%

10/22 10/23 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/29 10/30 10/31 11/1 11/2

If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? [MALES]

(unweighted)

43%41%

44% 43%46% 47%

45%47% 49%

51%49%

51% 50% 51%51%

36%38%

35% 35%33% 33% 34% 35% 34% 34%

37%35% 34% 34%34%

2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 4%

14% 13% 14% 15% 14% 15% 15%13% 12% 11%

8% 9% 10% 10%10%

3%3%3%4%4%4%4%4%

Bush 43% 41% 44% 43% 46% 47% 45% 47% 49% 51% 49% 51% 50% 51% 51%

Gore 36% 38% 35% 35% 33% 33% 34% 35% 34% 34% 37% 35% 34% 34% 34%

Buchanan 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2%

Nader 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4%

Undecided 14% 13% 14% 15% 14% 15% 15% 13% 12% 11% 8% 9% 10% 10% 10%

9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 9/21 9/24 9/25 9/26 9/27 9/28

(unweighted)

51% 51% 51% 52%50% 51%

53%54%

35% 35%33% 33% 33%

38% 37%33%

1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1%5% 5% 5% 4% 5%

9% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 11% 10% 10% 11% 9% 9%

47%46%47%49%49%48%

35%35%

34%34%

37%37%

2%1%2%4% 5%4%6%5%5%4%5%4%4%

Bush 48% 49% 51% 51% 51% 52% 49% 50% 51% 47% 46% 46% 47% 53% 54%

Gore 37% 37% 35% 35% 34% 33% 34% 33% 33% 35% 38% 37% 35% 33% 30%

Buchanan 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1%

Nader 4% 4% 5% 4% 5% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 5% 5% 4% 5%

Undecided 9% 8% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 11% 10% 10% 11% 9% 9%

10/1 10/2 10/3 10/4 10/5 10/8 10/9 10/10 10/11 10/12 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19

(unweighted)

53% 55%51%

33% 31%

2% 2%6%10%

55%57%

32%31%30%

2%2%1%5%6%5%5%7%7%7%7%

Bush 57% 55% 53% 55% 51%

Gore 30% 31% 33% 31% 32%

Buchanan 1% 2% 2% 2% 2%

Nader 5% 5% 6% 5% 6%

Undecided 7% 7% 7% 7% 10%

10/22 10/23 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/29 10/30 10/31 11/1 11/2

If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? [FEMALES]

(unweighted)

35% 36% 37% 36% 36% 36% 37% 39% 39% 39% 37% 38%35%

45% 44%41%

43% 42% 40% 41% 42% 42%44% 45% 43% 43%

41%42%

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%4% 4% 4% 4% 5% 6%

15% 15% 17% 17%19% 20% 18% 17% 15% 14% 13% 14% 15% 14%

40%38%

1%3%2% 2%2%2%3%3%4%

Bush 35% 36% 37% 36% 36% 36% 37% 38% 40% 39% 39% 39% 37% 38% 35%

Gore 45% 44% 41% 43% 42% 40% 41% 42% 42% 44% 45% 43% 43% 41% 42%

Buchanan 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Nader 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

Undecided 15% 15% 17% 17% 19% 20% 18% 17% 15% 14% 13% 14% 15% 14% 16%

9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 9/21 9/24 9/25 9/26 9/27 9/28

(unweighted)

35%37% 36%

39% 40% 41% 41%

46% 46% 45%43%

45%41%

0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%4% 4% 4% 4%

15% 15% 14% 13% 14%12%

14% 13%11%

13% 12% 13% 13% 12%13%

42%41%

42%40%40%39%

36%37%

41%42%42%

43%43%45%44%42%

1%1%1%3% 3% 3%4%4%2%2%

4%4%4%5%

Bush 37% 36% 35% 37% 36% 39% 39% 41% 40% 40% 41% 40% 42% 42% 41%

Gore 42% 44% 46% 46% 45% 45% 43% 43% 45% 43% 42% 42% 40% 41% 41%

Buchanan 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Nader 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 4%

Undecided 15% 15% 14% 13% 14% 12% 14% 13% 11% 13% 12% 13% 13% 12% 13%

10/1 10/2 10/3 10/4 10/5 10/8 10/9 10/10 10/11 10/12 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19

38% 39%42%

44% 44%

13%15% 14% 14%

39%40% 41%

44%43%

0%0%0%2%2%3%4%5%

Bush 40% 39% 38% 39% 42%

Gore 43% 44% 44% 44% 41%

Buchanan 0% 0% 0% 1% 1%

Nader 5% 4% 3% 2% 2%

Undecided 12% 13% 15% 14% 14%

10/22 10/23 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/29 10/30 10/31 11/1 11/2

(unweighted)

If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? [MINORITY WOMEN]

(unweighted)

16%18%

21% 21% 20%22%

20%21%

58%55% 56%

48%46%

53%56%

54%58%

52% 52%55%55%

2% 2% 4% 3% 2%2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2%5% 7% 7%

25% 27%29% 28%

25%22%

20%17% 16%15%

23%19%

20%24%21%

3%2%2%2%2%

0%0%0%1%2% 1%

2%2%3%1%

21%20%20%25%

Bush 20% 19% 16% 18% 21% 21% 25% 22% 21% 24% 20% 23% 22% 20% 21%

Gore 58% 55% 56% 53% 48% 46% 48% 53% 56% 54% 58% 52% 52% 55% 55%

Buchanan 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 2%

Nader 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 5% 7% 7%

Undecided 19% 25% 25% 27% 29% 28% 25% 22% 20% 20% 20% 21% 17% 16% 15%

9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 9/21 9/24 9/25 9/26 9/27 9/28

(unweighted)

16% 16% 17% 17%22%

27%28%

63%59% 61%

72%75%

59%56% 55%55%

0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

6% 6% 5% 4% 4%

14%18% 19%

15% 17% 16% 14%13%17%16%

29%25%

20%16%19%20%

69%66%

59%59%

0%0%2% 2%3%4%2%2%3%5%3%4%5% 5%7%

17%18%

Bush 20% 19% 16% 17% 16% 16% 16% 17% 17% 20% 22% 25% 29% 27% 28%

Gore 59% 59% 63% 59% 55% 61% 66% 72% 75% 69% 59% 56% 53% 55% 55%

Buchanan 2% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Nader 5% 4% 3% 5% 6% 6% 5% 3% 2% 2% 4% 3% 2% 4% 4%

Undecided 14% 18% 18% 19% 22% 17% 13% 7% 5% 8% 15% 17% 16% 14% 13%

10/1 10/2 10/3 10/4 10/5 10/8 10/9 10/10 10/11 10/12 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19

23%25% 27%

55%58%

1% 1%1%

20%16% 17%

22%26%

60%58%

0%0%0%2%4%4%

Bush 26% 22% 23% 25% 27%

Gore 58% 60% 55% 58% 54%

Buchanan 0% 0% 0% 1% 1%

Nader 4% 4% 2% 1% 1%

Undecided 12% 14% 20% 16% 17%

10/22 10/23 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/29 10/30 10/31 11/1 11/2

(unweighted)

If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? [WHITE WOMEN]

(unweighted)

40% 42% 40%43% 45% 44%

40%44%

37%40%

38% 38%41% 42%

37%38%

1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1%4% 4% 4% 3% 4% 5% 6%

14% 13%15% 15% 17% 18% 17% 15%

13% 13% 12% 13% 14% 14%16%

39%43%44%

40%40%40%39%

41%41%40%39%40%42%41%

1% 3%2%2%2%2%3%3%5%

Bush 39% 40% 42% 40% 40% 40% 40% 43% 45% 44% 44% 43% 40% 44% 39%

Gore 41% 42% 37% 40% 40% 39% 40% 38% 38% 41% 42% 41% 41% 37% 38%

Buchanan 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1%

Nader 5% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6%

Undecided 14% 13% 15% 15% 17% 18% 17% 15% 13% 13% 12% 13% 14% 14% 16%

9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 9/21 9/24 9/25 9/26 9/27 9/28

(unweighted)

41% 41%44%

47% 46% 46% 45%45%41% 41%

35%38% 38% 38% 37%38%

0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1%3% 5% 4% 4%

16% 14% 13%11% 12% 11%

14% 15% 13% 14%12% 12% 13% 12%12%

42% 41%44% 45% 44% 45%

37% 40%

38% 36% 36%

1% 1% 1%2%2%

5% 5% 4% 3% 2% 3% 4% 4% 4%

Bush 42% 41% 41% 42% 41% 44% 44% 47% 46% 45% 46% 44% 45% 45% 45%

Gore 37% 40% 41% 43% 43% 41% 38% 35% 38% 36% 38% 38% 36% 37% 38%

Buchanan 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1%

Nader 5% 5% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4%

Undecided 16% 14% 13% 11% 12% 11% 14% 15% 13% 14% 12% 12% 13% 12% 12%

10/1 10/2 10/3 10/4 10/5 10/8 10/9 10/10 10/11 10/12 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19

41% 40%

12% 13% 14% 13%

42%42%43%43%

38%40%39%

0%0%0%3%3%3%4%

Bush 43% 43% 42% 42% 46%

Gore 39% 40% 41% 40% 38%

Buchanan 0% 0% 0% 1% 1%

Nader 5% 4% 3% 3% 3%

Undecided 12% 12% 13% 14% 13%

10/22 10/23 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/29 10/30 10/31 11/1 11/2

(unweighted)

If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? [MARRIED]

(unweighted)

45% 43%46% 45% 45% 46% 45%

48%50% 51% 51% 51% 50% 51%

37%40%

35% 36% 35%33% 34% 34% 34% 35%

38%36% 35% 34%34%

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0%4% 4% 4% 4% 2%

13% 12% 14% 14% 15% 16% 16%14% 13% 12%

10% 11% 11% 12%13%

0%2%1%3%3%2%2%3%3%3%3%3%

Bush 45% 43% 46% 45% 45% 46% 45% 48% 50% 51% 51% 51% 50% 51% 49%

Gore 37% 40% 35% 36% 35% 33% 34% 34% 34% 35% 38% 36% 35% 34% 34%

Buchanan 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0%

Nader 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3%

Undecided 13% 12% 14% 14% 15% 16% 16% 14% 13% 12% 10% 11% 11% 12% 13%

9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 9/21 9/24 9/25 9/26 9/27 9/28

(unweighted)

50% 50% 50%52% 51% 51%

49%53%52%

36% 37%35%

33% 33%35% 34%

32%31%

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%3% 4% 4%

13% 12% 11% 9% 9% 9%12% 12% 11% 12% 10% 11% 11% 11%11%

51%50%49%50%

48%48%

32%34%34%

37%37%

1%1%1%3%3%3% 4%4%4%2%3%2%2%2%3%

Bush 48% 48% 50% 50% 50% 52% 50% 51% 51% 49% 49% 50% 51% 53% 52%

Gore 35% 37% 36% 37% 37% 35% 34% 33% 33% 34% 35% 34% 32% 32% 31%

Buchanan 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%

Nader 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 4%

Undecided 13% 12% 11% 9% 9% 9% 12% 12% 11% 12% 10% 11% 11% 11% 11%

10/1 10/2 10/3 10/4 10/5 10/8 10/9 10/10 10/11 10/12 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19

51%53% 53%

34% 33%

1% 1%4%

10% 11% 10% 10%

52%53%

32%33%

1%1%1%3%4%4%4%

Bush 53% 52% 51% 53% 53%

Gore 32% 33% 34% 33% 32%

Buchanan 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%

Nader 4% 4% 4% 3% 4%

Undecided 10% 10% 11% 10% 10%

10/22 10/23 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/29 10/30 10/31 11/1 11/2

(unweighted)

If the election for President were being held today, and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote? [SINGLE]

(unweighted)

32% 32%34% 33%

35%33% 33% 31% 31% 33% 32%

35%31% 31%

46% 44% 45% 45% 43% 44% 43%46%

48% 47% 49%

44%42% 43%45%

3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 3% 3%5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6%

8%11%12%12%

15% 15% 16% 16%18% 18%

16%14% 13%

11% 12% 13%11%12%

3%4%3%

11%3%3%5% 4%7%

Bush 32% 32% 34% 33% 35% 33% 33% 31% 31% 33% 32% 35% 31% 31% 29%

Gore 46% 44% 45% 45% 43% 44% 43% 46% 48% 47% 49% 44% 42% 43% 45%

Buchanan 3% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 4% 3% 3%

Nader 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 6% 8% 11% 11% 12%

Undecided 12% 15% 15% 16% 16% 18% 18% 16% 14% 13% 11% 12% 13% 11% 12%

9/10 9/11 9/12 9/13 9/14 9/17 9/18 9/19 9/20 9/21 9/24 9/25 9/26 9/27 9/28

(unweighted)

30% 32% 31% 32%36%

38% 38% 39%39%

49% 49%51%

47% 45% 45% 46%42%41%

1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2%

8%5% 6% 6% 7%

10%12% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 11% 12% 12%

35%36%38%35%

30%28%

44%45%47%49%

48%48%

1%1%2%4%4%6%6%5%8%10%10%10%

9%8%10%11%12%12%

Bush 28% 30% 30% 32% 31% 32% 35% 36% 38% 38% 38% 36% 35% 39% 39%

Gore 48% 48% 49% 49% 49% 51% 47% 47% 45% 45% 45% 46% 44% 42% 41%

Buchanan 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2%

Nader 10% 10% 10% 8% 8% 5% 6% 5% 6% 6% 4% 4% 6% 7% 10%

Undecided 12% 12% 11% 10% 12% 11% 11% 11% 10% 10% 11% 12% 12% 8% 9%

10/1 10/2 10/3 10/4 10/5 10/8 10/9 10/10 10/11 10/12 10/15 10/16 10/17 10/18 10/19

38%40%

45% 45%

2% 2%5%

8% 9% 8% 9%

40%40%

47%44%

1%1%2% 5%6%

Bush 40% 40% 38% 40% 37%

Gore 40% 44% 45% 45% 47%

Buchanan 2% 1% 1% 2% 2%

Nader 11% 8% 6% 5% 5%

Undecided 7% 8% 9% 8% 9%

10/22 10/23 10/24 10/25 10/26 10/29 10/30 10/31 11/1 11/2

(unweighted)

September 5 – November 2, 2000 / N=250 registered “likely” voters daily A Tracking Survey of...

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