Ryan KingIurii Bugai

What factors influence the support of right-wing parties in Scandinavia?

Immigration• refugee vs. non refugees

Economic Distress • Control for economic crisis? • Unemployment, GDP growth, inflation, etc.

Institutional factors• Similar across all 3 nations• Changes in party system. Move to the

centre?

Welfare state• Increasing vs. decreasing expenditure per

capita• Does high welfare reduce support for right

wing parties?

Charismatic Leader

Higher immigration (esp. higher refugee immigration) = more support. Does immigration only matter when the economy is bad?

Higher economic distress = higher support

Institutional Factors = More movement to political centre creates a political space at the extremes. Take advantage of people dissatisfied with current parties.

Welfare = Compare welfare in Norway vs. Sweden/Denmark. Does Norwegian welfare have less cuts but equal support?

ERW = β0 + β1 (Immigr) + β2 (EconDistr) + β3 (PartSyst) + β4 (Welf) + β5 (Charism) + ε

Where ERW – Extreme Right-wing parties Immigr – Relative increase in immigration EconDist – Economic Distress PartSyst – Relative weakening of established party

systems Welf – Relative Change in Welfare Policies Charism – Presence of a Charismatic Leader

(dummy)

Election results

Social Surveys

WVS

Luxembourg Income Study

Pippa Norris