ROZEE.PK Survey: Elections in Pakistan 2013

P A K I S T A N ’ S M O S T P O W E R F U L R E C R U I T I N G P L A T F O R M

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About ROZEE Research

ROZEE.PK's platform boasts over 16 Million unique visitors annually and 22 Million job applications processed to date, providing deep demographics of professionals across the country. This data provides a powerful platform for ROZEE.PK's research division to quickly and efficiently conduct statistically accurate online surveys

The insights discovered through its various research studies further reinforce ROZEE.PK's unique position as a leading online brand providing significant value to Pakistanis across the country

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Survey Methodology

The survey was carried out online and is broadly representative of the online population in Pakistan

Survey was undertaken from May 3-6, 2013

More than 10,000 users responded to the survey from across 174 cities in Pakistan

88% Males and 12% female respondents participated in the survey

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Predicted Voter Turnover

94% Nationwid

e Predicted

Voter Turnover

94% Males89% Females

93% employed93% students

94% Lahore90% Karachi

93% Islamabad18-24 (94%) 25-30 (94%)31-39(93%)

Above 35 (93%)

A whopping 94% male respondents said they would be turning up to vote on the election day

A surprisingly large percentage of female participation is also expected on May 11th elections in Pakistan

The expected voter turnover by age is fairly consistent as well with 94% respondents of varying age groups willing to vote in this years elections

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Reasons for Not Voting in Elections 2013

6.40%

93.60%

Expected Voter Turnout (2013)

No

Yes

Reasons for not voting

Expected Voter Turnover (2013)

A whopping 94% of the respondents intend to come out and vote on May 11th’2013

However, the rest (6%) are choosing not to vote primarily because they feel none of the contesting candidates are of sound character (33%)

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Predicted Voter Turnover (Lahore)

Electoral Area in Lahore

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110%

%

Allama Iqbal Town

Johar Town

DHA

Samanabad

Model Town

Township

Cantt

Gulshan Ravi

Baghbanpura

Mughalpura

Shahdara 94.44%

100.00%

94.44%

100.00%

96.55%

96.67%

93.33%

97.30%

94.59%

97.67%

100.00%

5.56%

5.56%

3.45%

3.33%

6.67%

2.70%

5.41%

2.33%

The graph shows the areas with a majority of expected voter turnover

In Lahore, almost every registered voter is expected to come out and vote

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Preferred Political Party by Area

Lahore

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Predicted Voter Turnover (Karachi)

Electoral Area in Karachi

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110%

%

Gulshan-e-Iqbal

Gulistan-e-Johar

North Nazimabad

Malir Colony

North Karachi

DHA

Fedral B Area

P.E.C.H.S

Nazimabad

Shah Faisal Town 92.86%

94.74%

91.67%

96.30%

100.00%

96.67%

96.67%

97.30%

90.57%

97.26%

7.14%

5.26%

8.33%

3.70%

3.33%

3.33%

2.70%

9.43%

2.74%

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Preferred Political Party by Area

Karachi

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Predicted Voter Turnover (ISB-RWP)

Electoral Area in Islamabad-Rawalpindi

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 110%

%

Satellite Town

I-10

Cantt

Chaklala Cantt

G-9

Westridge

Tench Bhatta

Adyala Road

I-8

G-8

Murree Road 100.00%

100.00%

100.00%

100.00%

92.31%

92.86%

88.24%

95.24%

95.24%

95.45%

95.65%

7.69%

7.14%

11.76%

4.76%

4.76%

4.55%

4.35%

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Preferred Political Party by Area

Islamabad-Rawalpindi

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CPreferred Political Party by Working Status

Employed Respondents

Student Respondents

Unemployed Respondents

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CPreferred Political Party by Age Group

18-24 25-30

31-39 Above 40

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CPreferred Political Party by Age Group

18-24 25-30 31-39 Above 40

78.04% 76.47%74.00%

67.16%

20.49% 20.64%22.70%

26.33%

1.48% 2.90% 3.30%6.51%

PTI PML (N) JI Pakistan

% S

up

port

Age

With the increase in age of the respondents, the popularity of PTI is noticeably declining whereas for PML (N) and JI Pakistan, it rises.

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Road to Premiership

Shahbaz Sharif (4% )

Nawaz Sharif (16% )

Imran Khan (70%)

When asked who’d they like to see as the next Prime Minister of Pakistan as whopping 70% respondents chose Imran Khan. This preference is aligned with their choice of political party as well

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Gender Preference

Males Females

Not a major gender disparity is seen for the choice preferred Prime Minister with 70% males and 71% females choosing Imran Khan to be their next Prime Minister

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Vote Distribution

PTI(68.5% )

Lahore39%

Karachi33%

ISB-RWP28%

PML (N)(19.6% )

Lahore57%

ISB-RWP29%

Karachi

15%

18-2429%

25-3042%

31-3921%

Above 409%

By City By Age

PTI(68.5% )

PML (N)(19.6% )

18-2426%

25-3039%

31-3922%

Above 4012%

Looking at the close race between PTI and PML (N), it was noted that the majority of respondents from Lahore, Karachi, Islamabad-Rawalpindi have chosen to vote for PTI in the upcoming elections on May 11th, 2013

While respondents who chose PTI as their preferred political party hailed from more than 170 cities across Pakistan, respondents from 120 cities chose PML (N)

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Vote Distribution by Working Status

PTI (68.5% )

PML (N) (19.6%)

JI Pakistan (2.68%)

MQM (2.25%)

PPP (1.70%)

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Then Vs Now (Nationwide)

Where PPP was the most popular party for the respondents, for the upcoming elections it has failed to appear as the top favorite now being swept off by PTI who is a favorite of the majority of respondents (68.5%)

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Then Vs Now (Lahore)

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Then Vs Now (Karachi)

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Then Vs Now (Islamabad)

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Then Vs Now (Males)

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Then Vs Now (Females)

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Change of Loyalty

A large percentage of the voters that now intend to vote for PTI are new voters (who did not cast their vote in the last elections)

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Why Vote?

A majority of the voters have chosen the political party based on the party’s leadership (68%)

55% of the respondent are hopeful their preferred political party will improve Pakistan’s conditions

46% voiced their disappointment with the previous government

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What They Value

District Candidate (32.67%)

Political Party

(67.33%)

District Candidate (28.24%)

Political Party

(71.76%)

PTI PML (N) JI

Political Party

(77.38%)

District Candidate (22.62%)

For a majority of respondents (77%) who picked PTI as their chosen party to vote for in the upcoming elections, the most influencing factor in their voting preference is the political party’s reputation

Comparatively for those respondents who are voting for JI in the upcoming elections, the credentials of the local candidate seem more appealing

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What Needs to be Done

Eradicating corruption and nepotism

Wiping out terrorism from Pakistan

Creating employment opportunities

Getting Pakistan out of the current electricity crisis

Increasing access to education

Tackling Pakistan’s foreign policy problems

Increasing country's tax collection

Tackling Pakistan’s circular debt problems

Solving Pakistan’s escalating food prices

Combating health and other social issues

22% 20% 19% 19% 10% 3%

2%

2%

1% 1%

Given a choice, the majority of the respondents (22%) want the new government to eradicate corruption and nepotism from the nation

Following close are respondents who wish to see a peaceful Pakistan (20%)

Surprisingly a very meager percentage opts for the government to tackle the circular debt problems in the nation

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Optimistic Pakistan

A whopping 86% of the Pakistani are positive that elections will take place on time

70% of the Pakistanis are optimistic about the election outcome, saying in the aftermath of successful elections, the situation in Pakistan will become better

Better (70%)

Worse (6%)

Elections will take place on time (86%)

Elections won’t take place on time (2%)

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Expectations Vs Aspirations

While 68.5% of the respondents aspire PTI to clean sweep the elections, a comparatively lower percentage is optimistic about the party’s winning in the upcoming elections