Post on 12-Jan-2016
Process & Process & Review:Review:
SE-GAP Avian SE-GAP Avian Distribution Distribution
Models for the Models for the SoutheastSoutheast
Process & Process & Review:Review:
SE-GAP Avian SE-GAP Avian Distribution Distribution
Models for the Models for the SoutheastSoutheast
Species in ChangingSpecies in ChangingLandscapes WorkshopLandscapes Workshop
Species in ChangingSpecies in ChangingLandscapes WorkshopLandscapes Workshop
Matt RubinoMatt Rubino1,1, Steve Williams Steve Williams11, & Amy Silvano, & Amy Silvano22 11Biodiversity and Spatial Information Center, NCSUBiodiversity and Spatial Information Center, NCSU22Alabama GAP Project, Auburn UniversityAlabama GAP Project, Auburn University
Matt RubinoMatt Rubino1,1, Steve Williams Steve Williams11, & Amy Silvano, & Amy Silvano22 11Biodiversity and Spatial Information Center, NCSUBiodiversity and Spatial Information Center, NCSU22Alabama GAP Project, Auburn UniversityAlabama GAP Project, Auburn University
Vertebrate DataVertebrate DataVertebrate DataVertebrate Data
608 Species (terrestrial)608 Species (terrestrial)253 birds253 birds
Known RangeKnown Range Predicted Habitat ModelsPredicted Habitat Models Presence/Absence Distribution MapsPresence/Absence Distribution Maps Knowledge Based InformationKnowledge Based Information
608 Species (terrestrial)608 Species (terrestrial)253 birds253 birds
Known RangeKnown Range Predicted Habitat ModelsPredicted Habitat Models Presence/Absence Distribution MapsPresence/Absence Distribution Maps Knowledge Based InformationKnowledge Based Information
SE-GAP Known Range MapsSE-GAP Known Range MapsSE-GAP Known Range MapsSE-GAP Known Range Maps
Habitat Text Review FormHabitat Text Review FormHabitat Text Review FormHabitat Text Review Form
SE-GAP Land Cover Map SE-GAP Land Cover Map UnitsUnits
SE-GAP Land Cover Map SE-GAP Land Cover Map UnitsUnits
Ecological Systems - NatureServeEcological Systems - NatureServeMatrix, Large Patch, and Linear TypesMatrix, Large Patch, and Linear TypesSmall patch on a case by case basisSmall patch on a case by case basisIncludes “modifiers” to systemsIncludes “modifiers” to systems~174 systems mapped~174 systems mapped
Anthropogenic ClassesAnthropogenic ClassesPlantations, Clearcuts, Mines/QuarriesPlantations, Clearcuts, Mines/QuarriesPasture/Hay, Row CropsPasture/Hay, Row CropsDevelopment, Open Space, Utility SwathsDevelopment, Open Space, Utility Swaths
Ecological Systems - NatureServeEcological Systems - NatureServeMatrix, Large Patch, and Linear TypesMatrix, Large Patch, and Linear TypesSmall patch on a case by case basisSmall patch on a case by case basisIncludes “modifiers” to systemsIncludes “modifiers” to systems~174 systems mapped~174 systems mapped
Anthropogenic ClassesAnthropogenic ClassesPlantations, Clearcuts, Mines/QuarriesPlantations, Clearcuts, Mines/QuarriesPasture/Hay, Row CropsPasture/Hay, Row CropsDevelopment, Open Space, Utility SwathsDevelopment, Open Space, Utility Swaths
Map Unit Selection (245 types)Map Unit Selection (245 types)Map Unit Selection (245 types)Map Unit Selection (245 types)
Map Unit Selection (245 types)Map Unit Selection (245 types)Map Unit Selection (245 types)Map Unit Selection (245 types)
Map Unit Selection (245 types)Map Unit Selection (245 types)Map Unit Selection (245 types)Map Unit Selection (245 types)
AncillaryAncillaryData FormData Form
AncillaryAncillaryData FormData FormAncillaryAncillary
Data FormData FormLAND COVERLAND COVERDERIVATIVESDERIVATIVESLAND COVERLAND COVERDERIVATIVESDERIVATIVES
Patch SizePatch SizeContiguous:Contiguous: Size, BuffersSize, Buffers
Patch SizePatch SizeContiguous:Contiguous: Size, BuffersSize, Buffers
NonContiguous:NonContiguous: % in X area% in X areaNonContiguous:NonContiguous: % in X area% in X area
AncillaryAncillaryData FormData FormAncillaryAncillary
Data FormData FormLAND COVERLAND COVERDERIVATIVESDERIVATIVESLAND COVERLAND COVERDERIVATIVESDERIVATIVES
Patch SizePatch SizeContiguous:Contiguous: Size, BuffersSize, Buffers
Patch SizePatch SizeContiguous:Contiguous: Size, BuffersSize, Buffers
NonContiguous:NonContiguous: % in X area% in X areaNonContiguous:NonContiguous: % in X area% in X area
50ha minimum contiguous patch 50ha minimum contiguous patch
AncillaryAncillaryData FormData FormAncillaryAncillary
Data FormData FormLAND COVERLAND COVERDERIVATIVESDERIVATIVESLAND COVERLAND COVERDERIVATIVESDERIVATIVES
Patch SizePatch SizeContiguous:Contiguous: Size, BuffersSize, Buffers
Patch SizePatch SizeContiguous:Contiguous: Size, BuffersSize, Buffers
NonContiguous:NonContiguous: % in X area% in X areaNonContiguous:NonContiguous: % in X area% in X area
50ha minimum contiguous patch 50ha minimum contiguous patch
AncillaryAncillaryData FormData FormAncillaryAncillary
Data FormData FormLAND COVERLAND COVERDERIVATIVESDERIVATIVESLAND COVERLAND COVERDERIVATIVESDERIVATIVES
Edge Type:Edge Type: Forest/Open Ecotone OnlyForest/Open Ecotone Only F/O + Shrubland/WoodlandF/O + Shrubland/Woodland
Edge Type:Edge Type: Forest/Open Ecotone OnlyForest/Open Ecotone Only F/O + Shrubland/WoodlandF/O + Shrubland/Woodland
Forest InteriorForest InteriorForest InteriorForest Interior
Patch SizePatch SizeContiguous:Contiguous: Size, BuffersSize, Buffers
Patch SizePatch SizeContiguous:Contiguous: Size, BuffersSize, Buffers
EdgeEdgeEdgeEdge
NonContiguous:NonContiguous: % in X area% in X areaNonContiguous:NonContiguous: % in X area% in X area
Type:Type: Freshwater OnlyFreshwater Only Brackish/Saltwater OnlyBrackish/Saltwater Only
Type:Type: Freshwater OnlyFreshwater Only Brackish/Saltwater OnlyBrackish/Saltwater Only
Ancillary Ancillary Data FormData FormAncillary Ancillary
Data FormData FormHYDROGRAPHYHYDROGRAPHYHYDROGRAPHYHYDROGRAPHY
Buffer distances:Buffer distances: 30, 60, 120, 250, 500,30, 60, 120, 250, 500, 1000, 2000, 4000, >4k1000, 2000, 4000, >4k
Buffer distances:Buffer distances: 30, 60, 120, 250, 500,30, 60, 120, 250, 500, 1000, 2000, 4000, >4k1000, 2000, 4000, >4k
Velocity:Velocity: Fast Only, Slow OnlyFast Only, Slow OnlyVelocity:Velocity: Fast Only, Slow OnlyFast Only, Slow Only
SalinitySalinitySalinitySalinity
Stream FlowStream FlowStream FlowStream Flow
Type/BufferType/BufferType/BufferType/Buffer
Ancillary Ancillary Data FormData FormAncillary Ancillary
Data FormData FormROAD DENSITY / ROAD DENSITY / URBAN AVOID MASKURBAN AVOID MASKROAD DENSITY / ROAD DENSITY / URBAN AVOID MASKURBAN AVOID MASKLevel:Level: Low, Medium, HighLow, Medium, HighLevel:Level: Low, Medium, HighLow, Medium, High
ELEVATIONELEVATION
LANDFORMSLANDFORMS
ELEVATIONELEVATION
LANDFORMSLANDFORMS
Ancillary Ancillary Data FormData FormAncillary Ancillary
Data FormData Form
MODELING NOTESMODELING NOTES
AcadianAcadianFlycatcherFlycatcherEpidonaxEpidonaxvirescensvirescens
Appropriate Appropriate VegetationVegetation(forested map (forested map units)units)
AcadianAcadianFlycatcherFlycatcherEpidonaxEpidonaxvirescensvirescens
Appropriate Appropriate VegetationVegetation(forested map (forested map units)units)
AcadianAcadianFlycatcherFlycatcherEpidonaxEpidonaxvirescensvirescens
Appropriate Appropriate VegetationVegetation(forested map (forested map units)units)
Elevation Elevation MaskMask(< 4000’)(< 4000’)
AcadianAcadianFlycatcherFlycatcherEpidonaxEpidonaxvirescensvirescens
Appropriate Appropriate VegetationVegetation(forested map (forested map units)units)
Elevation Elevation MaskMask(< 4000’)(< 4000’)
AcadianAcadianFlycatcherFlycatcherEpidonaxEpidonaxvirescensvirescens
Appropriate Appropriate VegetationVegetation(forested map (forested map units)units)
Elevation Elevation MaskMask(< 4000’)(< 4000’)
Proximity to Proximity to WaterWaterMaskMask(< 200m)(< 200m)
AcadianAcadianFlycatcherFlycatcherEpidonaxEpidonaxvirescensvirescens
Appropriate Appropriate VegetationVegetation(forested map (forested map units)units)
Elevation Elevation MaskMask(< 4000’)(< 4000’)
Proximity to Proximity to WaterWaterMaskMask(< 200m)(< 200m)
SE-GAP SE-GAP Pres./Abs. Pres./Abs.
Distribution Distribution ModelModel
SE-GAP SE-GAP Pres./Abs. Pres./Abs.
Distribution Distribution ModelModel
Prothonotary WarblerProthonotary WarblerProtonotaria citreaProtonotaria citrea
Model AssessmentModel AssessmentModel AssessmentModel Assessment
Reviewer Agreement with modelReviewer Agreement with modelNeed to keep it relatively simple and conciseNeed to keep it relatively simple and conciseAssess major model components and overall model Assess major model components and overall model
performanceperformanceBayesian Belief Network FrameworkBayesian Belief Network Framework
Reviewer Agreement with modelReviewer Agreement with modelNeed to keep it relatively simple and conciseNeed to keep it relatively simple and conciseAssess major model components and overall model Assess major model components and overall model
performanceperformanceBayesian Belief Network FrameworkBayesian Belief Network Framework
A PrioriA Priori Rankings Rankings
generated by generated by Modelers Modelers
A PrioriA Priori Rankings Rankings
generated by generated by Modelers Modelers
Reviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with Model
1.1. The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of the known range extent of this species. the known range extent of this species.
1.1. The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of the known range extent of this species. the known range extent of this species.
Reviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with Model
1.1. The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of the known range extent of this species. the known range extent of this species.
2.2. The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in the southeastern United States.the southeastern United States.
1.1. The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of the known range extent of this species. the known range extent of this species.
2.2. The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in the southeastern United States.the southeastern United States.
Reviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with Model
1.1. The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of the known range extent of this species. the known range extent of this species.
2.2. The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in the southeastern United States.the southeastern United States.
3.3. The spatial data adequately represent the species' habitat The spatial data adequately represent the species' habitat requirements. requirements.
1.1. The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of the known range extent of this species. the known range extent of this species.
2.2. The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in the southeastern United States.the southeastern United States.
3.3. The spatial data adequately represent the species' habitat The spatial data adequately represent the species' habitat requirements. requirements.
Reviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with Model
1.1. The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of the known range extent of this species. the known range extent of this species.
2.2. The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in the southeastern United States.the southeastern United States.
3.3. The spatial data adequately represent the species' habitat The spatial data adequately represent the species' habitat requirements. requirements.
4.4. The red pixels on the map adequately represent the The red pixels on the map adequately represent the distribution of this species' habitat within the identified range distribution of this species' habitat within the identified range extent.extent.
1.1. The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of the known range extent of this species. the known range extent of this species.
2.2. The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in the southeastern United States.the southeastern United States.
3.3. The spatial data adequately represent the species' habitat The spatial data adequately represent the species' habitat requirements. requirements.
4.4. The red pixels on the map adequately represent the The red pixels on the map adequately represent the distribution of this species' habitat within the identified range distribution of this species' habitat within the identified range extent.extent.
Reviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with Model
1.1. The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of the known range extent of this species. the known range extent of this species.
2.2. The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in the southeastern United States.the southeastern United States.
3.3. The spatial data adequately represent the species' habitat The spatial data adequately represent the species' habitat requirements. requirements.
4.4. The red pixels on the map adequately represent the The red pixels on the map adequately represent the distribution of this species' habitat within the identified range distribution of this species' habitat within the identified range extent.extent.
5.5. The published literature adequately documents the breeding The published literature adequately documents the breeding habitat requirements for this species in the southeastern habitat requirements for this species in the southeastern United States.United States.
1.1. The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of the known range extent of this species. the known range extent of this species.
2.2. The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in the southeastern United States.the southeastern United States.
3.3. The spatial data adequately represent the species' habitat The spatial data adequately represent the species' habitat requirements. requirements.
4.4. The red pixels on the map adequately represent the The red pixels on the map adequately represent the distribution of this species' habitat within the identified range distribution of this species' habitat within the identified range extent.extent.
5.5. The published literature adequately documents the breeding The published literature adequately documents the breeding habitat requirements for this species in the southeastern habitat requirements for this species in the southeastern United States.United States.
Reviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with ModelReviewer Agreement with Model
1.1. The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of the known range extent of this species. the known range extent of this species.
2.2. The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in the southeastern United States.the southeastern United States.
3.3. The spatial data adequately represent the species' habitat The spatial data adequately represent the species' habitat requirements. requirements.
4.4. The red pixels on the map adequately represent the The red pixels on the map adequately represent the distribution of this species' habitat within the identified range distribution of this species' habitat within the identified range extent.extent.
5.5. The published literature adequately documents the breeding The published literature adequately documents the breeding habitat requirements for this species in the southeastern habitat requirements for this species in the southeastern United States.United States.
6.6. I am an expert in the natural history of this species. I am an expert in the natural history of this species.
1.1. The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of The light green shaded area is an accurate representation of the known range extent of this species. the known range extent of this species.
2.2. The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of The parameters used to model the predicted distribution of this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in this species accurately represent its habitat requirements in the southeastern United States.the southeastern United States.
3.3. The spatial data adequately represent the species' habitat The spatial data adequately represent the species' habitat requirements. requirements.
4.4. The red pixels on the map adequately represent the The red pixels on the map adequately represent the distribution of this species' habitat within the identified range distribution of this species' habitat within the identified range extent.extent.
5.5. The published literature adequately documents the breeding The published literature adequately documents the breeding habitat requirements for this species in the southeastern habitat requirements for this species in the southeastern United States.United States.
6.6. I am an expert in the natural history of this species. I am an expert in the natural history of this species.
Decision to ReviseDecision to Revise
KnownRange KnownRange
ModelParameters
ModelParameters
Pred. Dist.PerformancePred. Dist.
PerformanceAmple
LiteratureAmple
LiteratureSpatial
DataSpatial
Data
Bayesian Belief NetworkBayesian Belief Network
Weighted Component and Composite Score for ModelWeighted Component and
Composite Score for Model
1 - Strongly Disagree
5 - Strongly Agree
ReviewerSelf-Confidence
1 - Strongly Disagree
5 - Strongly Agree
1 - Strongly Disagree
5 - Strongly Agree
1 - Strongly Disagree
5 - Strongly Agree
1 - Strongly Disagree
5 - Strongly Agree
1 - Strongly Disagree
5 - Strongly Agree