Post on 03-Jan-2016
©Pritchard Management Associates, 2014
Titanic Risks – 102 Years Later, and it STILL Matters
Carl Pritchard, PMP, PMI-RMP, EVP
Why?
• The Crystal Ball Effect…
• Interactive Risks…
• Over-Acceptance…
• And…
• Just plain miserable communications, on a variety of fronts!
©Pritchard Management Associates, 2014
Trust, but Verify…
• Not setting speed records…
• More important to get people there than to get them there to meet their drivers…
• Not going to ignore warnings from “lesser” vessels
In our world? We have limits. Period
©Pritchard Management Associates, 2014
A Second Look at the Risk List and Sources
Speed Engines Structure
Speed
Engines WORSE
Structure WORSE WORSE
©Pritchard Management Associates, 2014
Bruce Weeks, PMI Virtual Library – Risk Determination in Highly Interactive Environments
Over-Acceptance
©Pritchard Management Associates, 2014
After the collision, John assured me that it didn’t appear serious, but he helped me on with my life jacket anyway.̶̶̶::: Attributed to Madeleine Astor
BE JOHN ASTOR!!
…but he helped me on with my life jacket anyway.
©Pritchard Management Associates, 2014
Pull and Push…and PRIORITIZE!
• After 11:30…
• Open channels…
• Keep sending…
• LISTEN…and Prioritize LISTENING!!There’s an Iceberg pack! Yes, but we’re trying to
arrange carriages in New York! Get off the wireless!
©Pritchard Management Associates, 2014
So what do we do?
• What went wrong? (Many courtesy of Bruce Weeks, PE, PMP)
– Misunderstood parameters (bulkheads)– Misunderstood turning capacity (rudder)– Misunderstood engine capability (reverse?)– Misunderstood orders (SOS v. CQD)– Misunderstood report (Lookouts)– Misunderstood needs (lifeboats)
©Pritchard Management Associates, 2014
What Are Our Action Items?• Don’t trust a vision. VERIFY.• Document the sources and their interactions • When we accept, ask if it makes long-term sense• And when voices suggest nothing can go
wrong…– And a slave stood behind the conqueror holding a
golden crown and whispering in his ear a warning: that all glory is fleeting. – Quo Vadis
©Pritchard Management Associates, 2014