Post on 27-May-2020
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE IN MEDICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY
PREDICTING DISEASES.
SAVING LIVES.
DR DHESI BAHA RAJA (MD, MPH, DrPH)
Twitter: @DhesiMD
MALARIA
DENGUE
MEASLES
FLUHIV/AIDS
CHIKUNGUNYA
EBOLA
CVD
17.3M
deaths
TB
GONORRHEA
CHOLERA
ZIKA
POLIO
DENGUE 2.5B
at RISK
TB
1.5 Million
Deaths
HIV/AIDS
40M
Infected
FLU
100
Million
Deaths
EBOLA
90%
fatality
GONORRHEA
498M Cases
MALARIA
219
Million
CHOLERA
4 Million
Cases
400M denguecases
ANNUALLY
DENGUE & ZIKA WORLDWIDE
2.5 BILLION
AT RISK >1MZikacases
SO FAR
Image Source: HealthMap
OUTBREAK MANAGEMENT
UNKNOWN
OUTBREAK
AREAS
UNPLANNED
MANAGEMENT
HEALTH
CAMPAIGNS
FOGGING &
LARVICIDING
GENETICALLY
MODIFIED
MOSQUITOES
Tech Approach: Dengue-ZIKA EPIDEMIOLOGY + AI
WEATHER DATA
ENVIRONMENT DATA
HUMAN MOVEMENT
DATA
EPIDEMIOLOGY DATA
COMPARATIVE DATA
272 VariablesLakes
Parks
Constructions Sites
Weather temperature
Sunrise time
Dengue & Zika cases
First Day of Symptoms
Humidity
Wind speed & direction
Cloud coverage
Dew Point
Pressure
Visibility
GOVERNMENTS &
MULTILATERAL ORGANIZATIONS
PUBLIC HEALTH OFFICERS
(VIA ANALYTICS INTERFACE)
USERS OF THE COMMUNITY (VIA
APP)
BACKED BYUSED BY
PUBLIC HEALTH
OFFICE
HEALTH
CENTER
[SYSTEM]
Remote data input
interface (REDINT)
CENTRALIZED
DATABASE [SYSTEM]
- Data Analytics Interface
(DAI)
- Data Prediction Interface
(PINT)
- User mgmt and operation
mgmt interfaces (UMI and
OMI).
AIME MAIN SYSTEM
3. Addition of a Reward System.For each validated and confirmed
breeding site uploaded, users would
be able to obtain “Webe Points”.
These points could then later by
exchanged by rewards set by telco /
local / state government to the
Community.
Targeted Health Campaign
PICTURE UPLOADED
REWARD A
“POINT”DO
NOTHING
IS IT
VALID?
Y
E
S
N
O
Weather HotspotsDengue Construction
Bayesian Network
Bayes Model
Evidence Instantiation
GLM
MapReduce
Regression Coeffs
Table
GLM
Predict
Single
Tree
Drive
Decision Tree
Table
Single
Tree
Predict
Predicted Cases Outbreak Likelihood Hotspot Likelihood
Prediction
DISEASE ANALYTICS
93.0%
Sensitivity
79.3%
Specificity
VALIDATED
FIELD
TESTED88.6%
Accuracy
Top 10 Exceptional Scientist & Innovations of the United Nations Solution
Summit during the United Nations General Assembly 2016, New York
AIME Inc invited as EXPERTS
to lead Vaccine Deployment site in United States of America & Latin America