Post on 15-Jul-2015
Is the Electricity Crisis Real???
The following presentation demonstrates how the electricity crisis was created by the government through:
Inflating the demand figures
Decreasing the power generation
Subjecting people to far more load-shedding than what was required to bridge a small deficit
The comparison with previous years show that the Demand is grossly inflated, whilst the generation has
slashed
Power Demand Curves for March
•The government claims an increase of 3,573 Mega Watt compared to 2006, even though there has been negligible usage of Air Conditioners in
the month of March and a major cross-section of the industry has been shutdown since 2006
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
Mar
10,737 12,030
14,2102006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Power Demand Curves for March
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
Mar
11,525
10,309
9,1502006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Power Generation Curves for March
Power Generation Curves for March
•The government dropped power generation to widen the demand supply gap
•The government is Generating 2,375 M Watts less than March 2006
Power Deficit Curves for March
•From a surplus of 788 M.W in 2006 we are down to a deficit of 5,060 MW•No wonder it takes the a genius of a ‘democratic government’ to befool the
masses; dictatorship couldn’t have done it!!!
788
-1,721
-5,060
-6,000
-5,000
-4,000
-3,000
-2,000
-1,000
0
1,000
2,000
1
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Power Deficit Curves for March
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Power Demand Curves since 2006
The trend shows the inflated demand figures
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Power Generation Curves
The trend shows that the government is decreasing generation each year
•The country was thrown into a fake crisis when US decided to shift her focus from Iraq to Afghanistan and Pakistan
-4,195
-5,060
-6,000
-5,000
-4,000
-3,000
-2,000
-1,000
0
1,000
2,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
Power Deficit Curves for last 4 years
The power deficit in march 2010 is far more than Jun, July and Aug of 2008. It is outrageous!!!
Even if we take government’s erroneous figures of demand
and generation the load-shedding is still way out of
proportion
The Government claimsthat the Demand is
14210 MW(As of 30th Mar 2010)
While the Generation is9150 MW(As of: 30th Mar 2010)
The maximum short fall is 5060 MW
during Peak Hours(6pm to 11pm)
Hence the Total Short fall is 35.61 %
(during peak hours)
Since the shortfall is 35.61% we can deprive 35.61 % of
population during peak hours and can provide the rest of
the population with electricity
35.61
35.61
28.78
Population cross-sections for Peak hour
Crossection 1
Crossection 2
•Total population can be divided into two complete 35.61% cross-
sections
•If one cross-section of 35.61% is deprived of power, there is
enough electricity to provide for the rest of population
The total population can be divided into two complete 35.61%
cross-sections such that if one cross-section is deprived of power
the remaining electricity is enough for the rest of the
population
35.61
28.78
Peak hour
Load-Shedding
6 pm to 7 pm
Cross-section 1
35.61
28.78
Peak hour
Load-Shedding
7 pm to 8 pm
Cross-section 2
35.61
28.78
Peak hour
Load-Shedding
8 pm to 9 pm
Cross-section 1
35.61
28.78
Peak hour
Load-Shedding
9 pm to 10 pm
Cross-section 2
35.61
28.78
Peak hour
Load-Shedding
10 pm to 11 pm
Cross-section 1
Peak Hour Load distribution((6pm-11pm)
6-7 pm Cross-section 1
7-8 pm Cross-section 2
8-9 pm Cross-section 1
9-10 pm Cross-section 2
10-11 pm Cross-section 1
Maximum Load-shedding for a Cross-section 3 Hours
Cross-section 3 (28.78%) must be exempted, as it is of
strategic importance, such as nuclear facilities and industries
Load-shedding duringOff-Peak hours
During Off-peak hours the Short fall drops to
2800 MW23.43%
(11pm-6pm)(i.e for 19 hours)
23.43
23.43
23.43
23.43
6.28
Four Population cross-sections for Off-Peak hours
Crossection 1
Crossection 2
Crossection 3
Crossection 4
•Total population can be divided into four cross-sections
•If we do not provide electricity to one cross-section (23.43%) the electricity
will be enough for the rest of the population
The total population can be divided into four full cross-
sections (23.43% each) and there would be enough power to
provide electricity to three cross-sections, while the fourth will
bear the load-shedding
23.43
23.43
23.43
6.28
Off-Peak Hours
11pm to 12 midnight
Cross-section 1
Load-shedding
23.43
23.43
23.43
6.28
Off-Peak Hours
Load-shedding
12 Midnight to 1am
Cross-section 2
23.43
23.43
23.43
6.28
Off-Peak Hours
Load-shedding
1am to 2am
Cross-section 3
23.43
23.43
23.43
6.28
Off-Peak Hours
Load-shedding
2 am to 3 am
Cross-section 4
23.43
23.43
23.43
6.28
Off-Peak Hours
3 am to 4 am
Cross-section 1
Load-shedding
23.43
23.43
23.43
6.28
Off-Peak Hours
Load-shedding
4 am to 5 am
Cross-section 2
23.43
23.43
23.43
6.28
Off-Peak Hours
5 am to 6 am
Cross-section 3
Load-shedding
23.43
23.43
23.43
6.28
Off-Peak Hours
Load-shedding
6 am to 7 am
Cross-section 4
Maximum Load-shedding for a Cross-section 5 Hours
Cross-section 5 (6.28%) can be exempted such as nuclear facilities etc.
Total Load-shedding
Peak Hours = 3 hours
Off-Peak Hours = 5 hours
Maximum
Load-shedding = 8 Hours