Onderzoeksinstituut Workshop Valorisation of transport models for a sustainable transport Namur 19...

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Transcript of Onderzoeksinstituut Workshop Valorisation of transport models for a sustainable transport Namur 19...

onderzoeksinstituut

Workshop Valorisation of transport models for a sustainable transport

Namur 19 December 2005

Travel behaviour survey in Flanders :

the latest developments

Erik NuytsProvinciale Hogeschool Limburg

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Short History of OVG: Travel Behaviour Survey in Flanders

1993 Haalbaarheidsstudie1995 OVG Vlaanderen1997 OVG Kust1999 OVG Antwerpen

OVG Hasselt-Genk2000 OVG Vlaanderen 2

OVG Gent2001 (OVG Vlaams-Brabant)

OVG Leuven, OVG Mechelen, OVG Aalst OVG Rand rond Brussel

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Response Rates

Response rate Travel Behaviour Surveys

0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%

Antwerp

en

Hasse

lt-G

enk

Vlaan

dere

nG

ent

Leuv

en

Mec

hele

nAal

st

Rand

rond

Bru

ssel

OVG N

L

Datel

ine V

laande

ren

Bern

(CH)

Burge

nland

(A)

Cram

lingt

on (U

K)

Lond

on (U

K)

Ludv

ika /

Smed

jebac

ken

(SW

)

Mel

bour

ne (A

US)

Nürnb

erg

(D)

Paris

(F)

Portla

nd (U

SA)

Towns

ville

(AUS)

Wie

n (A

)

Survey

Re

sp

on

se

ra

te

First contact Tel. Only postal contact Total

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Comparison OVG With Other Studies

Time budget survey

Mobel

Socio-Economic Survey

Neu Kontiv Design

Dutch OVG

Literature

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Comparison OVG With Other Studies

Mainly methodology

Limited comparison of results, trying to recalculate OVG results

with Mobel or TBE methodology

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Main Results

Suggestions for possible changes in methodology

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Policy Decision: change wanted ?

Do they prefer

improvementor

comparison between OVG’s

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Main Results

SAMPLE

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Person or household level ?

At present: household level

household is a relevant entity

often many respondents in 1 agreement

household less evident (divorce,..)

more difficult if recruiting by GSM

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households ?At present: 1 household

cheaper

non-response results in more bias

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Continuous survey or not ?

500 each year or 2500 every 5 year ?

Smoother follow-up: every year a 5-year average

Never a full survey of 1 year

Every change in methodology lasts 5 years

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Main Results

CONTACT PROCEDURE

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Incentive or not ?

At present: no incentive

lower response rate

incentive too expensive compared to expected increase of response rate

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Postal contact: ask for phone/GSM

At present: not asked

Positive reactions according to NKD

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First contact: closer to fill-in day

At present:

– phone call 8-10 days before fill-in day

– if Ok, then send diaries

Alternative:

– send diaries (social pressure)

– phone call 1-2 days before fill-in day

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Diaries: keep paper en pencil

At present: diaries

Alternative 1: face-to-face

if person level: item response

if household level : overall response

more expensive

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Diaries: keep paper en pencil

Alternative 2: CATI

if person level: item response

if household level : overall response

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Main Results

DIARY

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1 or 2 survey days ?

At present: 2 survey days

2nd day biased

too expensive when 1 day is used

intra-individual differences

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1 or 2 survey days ?

more trips for small groups

more trips for multimodal models

not independent

decrease in response…

… but not half of response

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Proposition: 1 or 2 days

If

– Budget allowed to increase (= # trips)

– Not interested in intra-individual behaviour

– Increase of response rate is more important

then 1 day survey

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1 or 2 types of questions on work/ school trips ?

At present: 1 general question + detailed data in diary

information on work / school trips for every respondent

more information from trips done…

… but not independent

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1 or 2 types of questions on worktrips ?

Double work for half of respondents

intra-individual information

increased burden, decreased response

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Proposition: 1 or 2 types of questions on worktrips

If

– Budget allowed to increase (= # independent data)

– Not interested in intra-individual behaviour

– Increase of response rate is more important

then no general question

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Questions on attitudes/opinions or not ?

At present: no more attitudes/opinions

only facts

decrease of answer to social willingness

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Keep or skip hardly analysed questions ?

At present: detailed questions concerning

–Moped, motorcycle,…

– type of working contract

– full time / part time job

– ….

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Distance to bus stop, train station: search in external database

At present: questions

answer very unreliable

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Trips shorter than 100 m: no directives

At present: directive: “do not write them down”

more room for other trips

suggestion of unimportant trips

burden of decision for respondent

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Coding/recoding trips

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Coding/recoding trips : keep it

Alternative: main transport mode, for details on public transport: survey afterwards (cfr Dutch OVG)

Present Flemish OVG:

full information multimodal trip

burden for respondent

details still remembered

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3 kinds of ‘shopping’ ?

at present: shopping

smallest burden for respondent

hard to fit in multimodal models

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Shopping: a purpose criterium ?

Purpose:

– weekly necessary grocery purchase

– recreational shopping

– exceptional purchase

Frequency:

– ± 1 or 2 per week

– ± 1 per month

– ± 1 per year

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Shopping: see what fits in lay-out

In present lay-out: increasing complexity is decreases response

If lay-out is changed (price !) then motive shopping reconsidered

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Main Results

EDITING

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Editing: stay conservative

At present: replace empty fields only when very sure

Dutch OVG: ± every empty field filled in

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Main Results

WEIGHTING PROCEDURE

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Eduction in weight: if reliable source

At present: no education in weight

education most relevant socio-economic variable

no information available about population

? See if ArbeidskrachtenEnquête and Socio-Economic Survey fit

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Calculation of weight

At present: different calculation of weight in OVG, Mobel, TBE

To do:

– Try different calculations

– Select the one with the smallest St. Dev

the smallest range

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Main Results

NEW TECHNOLOGY

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New technology ?

At present: paper and pencil

accepted by everyone

some prefer internet

no detail on road used

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New technology: as an extra

Only internet, PDA,GPS… then bias

internet, PDA,GPS as an extra, then more expensive

Wait results of SBO

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QUESTIONS ?

REMARKS ?