Post on 07-May-2015
NWS Binghamton Heavy Rain/Flood Potential
Briefing #3
Issued 10:30 am Wednesday 06/13/2013
Dave Nicosia Warning Coordination Meteorologist
National Weather Service Binghamton, NY
This Briefing applies to the NWS Binghamton Service Area only
- This area includes but is not limited to cities such as Syracuse, Utica, Ithaca, Elmira, Binghamton and Oneonta in NY State.
- This area includes but is not limited to cities such as Towanda, Montrose, Scranton, Wilkes-Barre in PA.
Executive Summary - A strong low pressure system will track from northwest Pennsylvania to the
New Jersey coast today.
- Rain will continue across north central NY through the day and taper off
this evening. Rain in northeast PA and central NY will taper off this
morning and then more rain will develop later this afternoon and last until
the late evening.
- Rainfall amounts will range between 1 and 3 inches in many areas locally
up to 4 inches.
- Lake and Reservoir levels will rise generally less than 1 foot. Spill flows on
regional reservoirs will increase.
- Flash flood potential remains on smaller river tributaries, streams, urban
and flood prone areas.
-North Central NY this morning/early afternoon.
-South Central NY/northeast PA later this afternoon and evening.
- The timing of highest potential for river flooding would be Tonight through
Friday night.
Rainfall Timing: Model Projected Radar
Dry Slot
Northwest edge of rain shield will drop southeast this afternoon.
Northwest edge of rain shield at 5 pm
Western edge of rain shield slow downs and lingers until late this evening
Forecast Rainfall through Tonight
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Binghamton
NWS Binghamton Issued: 6/13/2013
10:30 PM
Follow Us: @NWS Binghamton
Rainfall ranging from 1 to 2 inches extending south from the Finger Lakes to the Southern Tier with 2 to 3 inches across northeast PA, the Catskills and Susquehanna Region of NY.
Expecting up to bank full on the rivers, possibly
some minor flooding few spots.
Search: National Weather Service
Binghamton
NWS Binghamton Issued: 6/13/2013
10:30 AM
Follow Us: @NWS Binghamton
Near Bank full = Yellow Dots
Minor flooding = Orange Dots
Moderate flooding = Red Dots
Major Flooding = Purple Dots
Highest threats will be to the tributaries and reservoirs of the Delaware river basin, plus areas of the Upper Susquehanna.
Potential Impacts
Search: National Weather Service
Binghamton
NWS Binghamton Issued: 6/13/2013
10:30 AM
Follow Us: @NWS Binghamton
- Between 1 and 3 inches of rain expected, locally up to 4 inches.
- Predicted rainfall a little less than what we were forecasting yesterday.
- Significant rises of area rivers and lakes likely into Friday.
- Rivers will crest ¾ bank full to bank full most areas, some minor
flooding possible at a few gauges in the Delaware basin from Tonight
into Friday night. Headwaters most vulnerable.
- Still potential for small stream flash flooding and urban flooding.
NWS Binghamton-led audio/webinar will be held for the Delaware River Basin counties only
at 11:30 AM. - Another PDF Briefing will be sent this afternoon.
For continuous updates:
– General Weather Info: http://weather.gov/bgm
– Graphical Forecasts: http://www.weather.gov/forecasts/wfo/sectors/bgm.php#tabs
– River Forecasts: http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=bgm
– Probability River Forecasts: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/mmefs/