Nebraska Housing Update

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Nebraska Housing Update. Kelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. Existing Home Sales. Data source: National Association of Realtors; Omaha Realtors Association. Months Supply of Homes. Data source: Omaha Realtors Association. Time on Market. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

Transcript of Nebraska Housing Update

Nebraska Housing UpdateKelly D. Edmiston, Sr. Economist

Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

Existing Home Sales

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 2

Data source: National Association of Realtors; Omaha Realtors Association

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

Index (2000:Q1 = 100; 3-qtr moving average)

Omaha

U.S.

Months Supply of Homes

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 3

Data source: Omaha Realtors Association

8.1

6.3

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Oct-02 Oct-03 Oct-04 Oct-05 Oct-06 Oct-07 Oct-08 Oct-09 Oct-10

Time on Market

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 4

10.1

12.7

19.0

15.2

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

0.0

5.0

10.0

15.0

20.0

25.0

Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10

Damaged REO Move-In Ready REO

Short Sale Non-Distressed

Average Weeks on Market

DELINQUENCY AND FORECLOSURE SITUATIONNebraska Housing Update

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 5

Future DirectionStatus of Mortgage Pool Nebraska

OmahaMetro

Omaha City

USA

Delinquent 30 days 2.6 2.6 2.9 3.1

Delinquent 60 days 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.3

Delinquent 90 days + 1.7 1.8 2.1 3.6

In Foreclosure Process 1.2 1.2 1.3 3.5

SERIOUSLY DELINQUENT 2.9 3.0 3.4 7.2

TOTAL PAST DUE 6.5 6.7 7.4 11.6

Data Source: Lender Processing Services, Inc. (November, 2010 data)

K. Edmiston, FRB KC 6

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 7

Nebraska Serious Delinquencies (Nov 2010)

Data source: Lender Processing Services, Inc.

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 8

Omaha-Lincoln Serious Delinquencies (Nov 2010)

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Home Prices

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 9Data source: Federal Housing Finance Agency

11.9

-6.5

6.5

5.7

-2.4

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

U.S.

Region

Nebraska

Annualized Percentage Change

Homebuyer Participation

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 10

48.2%

34.4%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10

Current Homeowner First-Time Homebuyer Investor

Share of Market

Home Prices

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 11Data source: Federal Housing Finance Agency

11.9

-6.5

6.5

5.7

-2.4

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

U.S.

Region

Nebraska

Annualized Percentage Change

Home Price Trends

January 26, 2011 K. Edmiston, FRB KC 12

$105,900 $116,100

$203,600 $200,300

$217,400 $215,500

$266,800

$281,700

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$0

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

Jul-09 Oct-09 Jan-10 Apr-10 Jul-10 Oct-10

Damaged REO Move-In Ready REO

Short Sale Non-Distressed

Median Sales Price

Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas CityKelly D. Edmiston, Senior Economist

1 Memorial Drive

Kansas City, MO 64198

(816) 881 – 2004

Kelly.edmiston@kc.frb.org