Post on 06-Jan-2016
description
Strategic Analysis of Indias National River-Linking Project
[NRLP]
Contours of NRLP
Building 30 links, 3000 small and large
reservoirs, 12500 km of canals to link 36
Himalayan and Peninsular rivers to effect 178
km3 of inter-basin water transport.
35 MHa of new irrigated area; 35 GW of
hydro-capacity; navigation and flood control
benefits.
Gestation Period: Proposed=2016; Most
Likely=2050
Cost = Rs 560,000 cr. at 2002 prices (US $
120 Billion); 1 - 1.5% of Indias GDP for the
next 3 decades.
Largest infrastructure project anywhere, ever. Five times the size of the
Three Gorges Project.
Why do we need a Research Project
Hardened positions with little analysis Critics complaint that government has not done good
analysis of alternatives
Government says that considering the magnitude of the crisis, NRLP is the only option
Key Missing Issues: What is the magnitude of crisis itself?
How was interlinking chosen as the best available option
What is the scope of the alternatives?
How do we ensure that there will be implementation efficiency - time and cost overruns - and O&M would be done better than before?
What would it takes to implement alternative solutions on national scale?
Project Goal
Promote a balanced, analytical and informed national discourse on India's Water Future 2050, and approaches to shaping it, including through the River-Linking project
Support South Asias quest for food livelihoods and water security
Capitalize on the uncommon opportunity created by the NRLP
and Purpose
Specific Objectives Build scenarios of what India will be likeits
economy, society, demographics, habitat, and environment in 2025 and 2050, and with what implications for its water future?
Analyze whether NRLP is an adequate, cost effective and sustainable responsein socio-ecological as well as political terms--towards meeting the water challenge.
Sew together a clutch of institutional and policy interventions into a National Water Sector Perspective Plan (NWSPP) as a fallback strategy.
Identify best practices to implement the NRLP as well as the NWSPP
Concluding Workshop VI: Planning for a Food, Livelihoods and Water Secure India 2050
Phase III
12 Months
Phase II
15 Months
Phase I
9 Months
OUTPUT ACTIVITIES PHASE
11 Studies, Synthesis &
National Workshop I
A Sharp, Well-Rounded Prognosis of
Indias Water Future - 2025/2050 &
of the Water Challenge Facing the
Nation
Phase II A Phase II B
16 Studies,
Synthesis &
National
Workshop
II
7 Studies,
Synthesis &
National
Workshop
III
Phase III A Phase III B
14 Studies,
Synthesis &
National
Workshop IV
8 Studies,
Synthesis &
National
Workshop V
Phase II A Phase II B
How adequate,
complete and cost-
effective a response
is the River-Linking
Project to Indias
Water Challenge
2050?
How to maximize
net social benefit of
the River-Link
Project
Phase III A
If NRLP fails to
take off, how else
can India effectively
meet its Water
Challenge 2050?
Phase III A
How best to put into
operation the
National
Perspective Plan
Phase-wise Activities and
Methods
The 3 years ahead
A Sharp, Well-Rounded Prognosis of Indias Water Future - 2025/2050 & of the Water Challenge Facing the Nation
Environmental
Water
Demand
Indias Macro
Hydrology
Domestic and
Industrial
Water
Demand
Indian
Agriculture
and Irrigation
Food Security
and Trade
Liberalization
Regional
Patterns in
Economic
Growth
Demographic
Projections
Phase I
Revisiting
Water
Availability
and Demand
[1] How adequate, complete and cost-effective a response is the River-Linking Project to Indias Water Challenge 2050?
[2] How to maximize net social benefit of NRLP?
Institutions
and Political
Economy
Envtal and
Ecological
Valuations
Economic
Analysis
Financial
Feasibility
Technical
Feasibility
Implementation
Effectiveness
Social Cost-
Benefit
Analyses
Phase II
[1] If the NRLP fails to take off, how else can India effectively meet its Water Challenge 2050?
[2] How best to put into operation the NWSPP?
Water
Institutions
and Policies
Water
Demand
Management
Virtual Water
Transfers
Ganges Water
Machine
Decentralized
Water
Harvesting
Alternative
Energy
Sources and
Scenarios
Inter-Sectoral
Competition
Water Use
Efficiency and
Productivity
Phase III
Key Strengths
Impart substance and quality to the national discourse on NRLP;
Help India think through its long term water challenge and evolve a fall-back strategy to meet it;
Rally a broad alliance of Indian researchers and institutions to participate in a distributed research and dissemination program;
Allocate over 70% of the resources requested to NARES institutions; and
Leverage substantial knowledge equity and funds IWMI contributes as matching resources.
Thank You