Post on 18-Sep-2018
Mobilität der Zukunft-Schlüsselfaktoren und Chancen
Future Mobility-Keyfactors and Chances
e-mobil BW Technologietag2. Oktober 2013, Stuttgart
Dr. Ulrich EichhornGeschäftsführer - Managing Director
Why Mobility?
• Mobility is a basic requirement and basic right ofhumans
• Mobility is clearly and strongly correlated to wealth andeconomic performance
24.09.2013 Seite 2
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
400 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200
GD
P [B
€]
s [Bkm]
GDP Germany 1970-2010
VDA PowerPoint
Mobility as a System
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MobilityMobilityInputs• Energy • Area• Resources• ….
Effects• Economic• Social• Personal • …..
Side-Effects• Emissions• Accidents• …..
VDA PowerPoint
Passenger and Goods Traffic in Germany
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0
200
400
600
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
1970 1980 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2025
[B. P
km]
Luftverkehr
Eisenbahn
ÖffentlicherStraßenpersonenverkehrPkw-Verkehr
Air traffic
Railroad
Public transport
Passenger car
Traffic in Germany until 2025
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(Source: DiW, BMVBS, BVU/DLR/ISL)
169%
VDA PowerPoint
0100200300400500600700800900
1000
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2025
[B. t
km] Binnenschiff
Bahnen
Lkw
Goods traffic in Germany until 2025
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(Source: DiW, BMVBS, BVU/DLR/ISL)
227% Barge
Trains
Commercial vehicle
VDA PowerPoint
The story so far
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Particulate matter: old and newer passenger vehicle
Then … … Now
VDA PowerPoint
"Smog"- Catastrophe in London 1952
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Nelson-column in London 1952 Nelson-column in London 2012
VDA PowerPoint
"Smog" in Los Angeles 1956
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Los Angeles Skyline 2009Smog in Los Angeles 1956
VDA PowerPoint
"Smog" in Peking 2005
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Beijing
VDA PowerPoint
Achievments over the years
2012
Basis0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%
100%
Seite 11Dr.-Ing. Ulrich Eichhorn, VDA
Challenges & Chances
Mobility
Energy
Efficiency
Petrol/Diesel
CNG
Electricity
Safety
„Vision Zero“
Emissions
PM & NO2
CO2
NetworkingPartnersPartners
Car2XCar2Car
24.09.2013 Seite 12VDA PowerPoint
Which is the right way?
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The fan-strategy of theGerman automotive industry
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Source: VDA24.09.2013 VDA PowerPoint Seite 14
Potentials for CO2-Savings:
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Electric Mobility – What is that?
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Battery EV / BEV
Range Extender / REEV
Plug-in Hybrid / PHEV
Full Hybrid /HEV
Mild Hybrid / HEV
Start/Stop
Scope of Electric Mobility according to NPEi.e. re-chargeablefrom grid
VDA PowerPoint
Future Drive Trains
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Tailored solutions on the market:
Hybridisation
Long distance Interurban City
Fuel Cell
Battery electric
Internal Combustion Engine
Plug-in/ range Extender
Quelle: Daimler AG
VDA PowerPoint
Die Anfänge …..
Seite 18Dr.-Ing. Ulrich Eichhorn, VDA Total Cost of Ownership –Risiko oder Chance für die Elektromobilität?
Elektromobilität heute -Zwischenbilanz auf dem Weg zur
Marktdurchdringung
Seite 19Dr.-Ing. Ulrich Eichhorn, VDA
VW e-Golf
Porsche Panamera Sport Tourismo
Opel Ampera
Audi A3 e-tron
Ford C-MAX
BMWi3
Smart fortwoelectric drive
VW e-Up
Networking & Communication
Smartphone on Wheels?
24.09.2013 Seite 20VDA PowerPoint
Car2X-Communication
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Danger Warning Message warn all vehiclesfor upcoming obstacles on the road
Source: simTD
Car2X- Communication between trafficlights, Roadside-Units and vehicles
Source: Vogel Business Media
VDA PowerPoint Page 21
simTD – Sichere Intelligente Mobilität Testfeld Deutschland
Obstacle Warning
Traffic Light Circuit
Car-to-Car-Communication
Road WeatherWarning
Traffic Light Phase Assistant
Building Lot Informationen
Traffic Sign Assistant
Location basedServices
Emergency VehicleWarning Electronic Brake lights
24.09.2013 Seite 22VDA PowerPoint
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Mobility Concepts: Car-Sharing & Intermodality
Seite 23VDA PowerPoint Page 23
Chances & Remaining Challenges
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MobilityInputs• Energy:
„Fuels“ & Drive for theFuture
Value• Mobility Concepts• Networking
Side-Effects• Particulates & NO2
• Accidents• Remaining Accidents• CO2• Congestion
VDA PowerPoint
Mobility as a System: Goal-Scenario
24.09.2013 Seite 25VDA PowerPoint
MobilityMobilityInputs• Energy
• Area• Resources• ….
Nutzen Economic Social Personal …..
Side-Effects
Summary
• Many former problems are solved withthe latest generations of cars
• Areas for further progress are• Last remaining pollutants• CO2-Reduction• Sustainable Energy-Sources for Transport• Networking and Car2X Communication• Mobility Concepts
24.09.2013 Seite 26VDA PowerPoint
Seite 2724.09.2013 VDA PowerPoint
Visions!
… and my own!
Seite 2824.09.2013 VDA PowerPoint
Not a Conflict!
… and my own!