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Market OutlookApril 23, 2013
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Market OutlookApril 23, 2013
Dealers DiaryThe Indian markets are expected to open flat to positive tracking flat opening in
SGX Nifty and of major Asian markets.
The US markets moved mostly higher over the course of the trading day onMonday, partly offsetting the steep losses that were posted last week. The upward
move on the day reflected strong gains by technology and resource stocks. The
major averages all ended the day in positive territory, although the Dow
underperformed its counterparts. The European markets pared their gains in late
trade Monday, but still largely finished to the upside. The markets were positive in
early trade, on the news that Italy's parliament re-elected President Giorgio
Napolitano for a second term on Saturday.
Meanwhile, Indian markets ended at a one month high. Continued expectations of
a cut in key interest rates by the RBI helped to keep investor sentiments buoyant on
Monday. With inflationary pressures easing and the rupee remaining more or lessstable, most analysts expect the RBI to cut interest rates next week for a third time
this year.
Markets TodayThe trend deciding level for the day is 19,122 / 5,823 levels. If NIFTY trades above
this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further rally
up to 19,253 19,337 / 5,856 5,878 levels. However, if NIFTY trades below
19,122 / 5,823 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct up to
19,038 18,906 / 5,801 5,768 levels.
Indices S2 S1 PIVOT R1 R2SENSEX 18,906 19,038 19,122 19,253 19,337
NIFTY 5,768 5,801 5,823 5,856 5,878
News Analysis
CCI clears 25 oil & gas blocks and 13 power projects CCEA says no to price pooling of coal Strike at MM's Igatpuri plant ends Result Review: Cairn India, Ultratech, MindTree, Persistent, Mahindra
Lifespace, Tata Sponge Iron
Result Preview: HDFC BankRefer detailed news analysis on the following page
Net Inflows (April 18, 2013)
` cr Purch Sales Net MTD YTDFII 3,677 2,644 1,033 1,629 56,380
MFs 358 468 (109) (435) (7,602)
FII Derivatives (April 22, 2013)` cr Purch Sales Net Open InterestIndex Futures 6,037 4,819 1,218 11,530
Stock Futures 8,965 9,419 (454) 26,412
Gainers / Losers
Gainers LosersCompany Price (`) chg (%) Company Price (`) chg (%)Reliance Comm 98 13.5 Wipro 339 (8.0)HDIL 56 12.0 Glaxosmithkl Cons 3,790 (2.8)
Unitech 30 8.7 Ultratech Cem 1,879 (2.5)
Engineers India 188 8.5 Strides Arco 817 (2.5)
Jet Air India 550 7.4 Infosys 2,244 (2.2)
Domestic Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close)BSE Sensex 0.8 153 19,170
Nifty 0.9 51 5,834
MID CAP 1.4 89 6,307
SMALL CAP 0.9 54 6,030
BSE HC 0.2 17 8,464
BSE PSU 1.3 86 6,845
BANKEX 2.4 338 14,395
AUTO 0.3 34 10,454
METAL 2.0 172 8,658
OIL & GAS 0.2 16 8,666
BSE IT (2.4) (140) 5,760
Global Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close)Dow Jones 0.1 20 14,567NASDAQ 0.9 27 3,234
FTSE (0.1) (6) 6,281
Nikkei 1.9 252 13,568
Hang Seng 0.1 31 22,044
Straits Times 0.5 15 3,309
Shanghai Com (0.1) (2) 2,242
Indian ADR Chg (%) (Pts) (Close)INFY (1.0) (0.4) $41.3
WIT (3.9) (0.3) $7.8IBN 0.3 0.2 $44.8
HDB 1.8 0.7 $41.5
Advances / Declines BSE NSEAdvances 1,376 835
Declines 1,014 495
Unchanged 135 73
Volumes (` cr)BSE 2,180
NSE 11,539
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Market OutlookApril 23, 2013
CCI clears 25 oil & gas blocks and 13 power projects
The Cabinet Committee on Investment (CCI) has granted clearances to 25 oil &
gas blocks worth `24,900cr. This is positive for companies such as Reliance
Industries, ONGC and Cairn India as it will enable them to expedite exploration
projects. Some of these blocks were stuck up as the Defence ministry had imposedstringent conditions that disallowed companies to locate any pipelines or structures
on sea surface for exploration and production activities. We await further clarity on
this. Until then, we maintain our estimates for our Oil & Gas coverage universe.
CCI has also approved 13 power projects, entailing investments worth`33,000cr
which include 10 transmission, one hydro and two thermal projects. These projects
were stalled as they were awaiting different types of approvals and clearances.
CCEA says no to price pooling of coal
The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) denied to the proposal of
price pooling of imported and domestic coal which would have made the fuel
more affordable to new power plants. Owing to sharp opposition to the scheme by
older power plants and domestic coal producers, CCEA in its meeting denied to
this proposal. We had not factored in Price pooling for Coal India and hence
maintain our Accumulate rating on the stock with a target price of `345.
Strike at MM's Igatpuri plant ends
Mahindra and Mahindra (MM) has announced that the 14 day long tool down
strike at its Igatpuri plant has been called off and the workers at the plant have
resumed normal work beginning April 22, 2013. The workers at the Igatpuri plant
of the company were on a tool down strike since April 9, 2013 to protest the
suspension of two workers by the company on the disciplinary grounds. As a part
of the settlement process, the company gave into the Union's demand of
reinstatement of the suspended workers. Further, the management also agreed to
withdraw the charge sheet proceedings against the suspended workers.
The Igatpuri plant of MM manufactures engines for the utility vehicles and has a
capacity to manufacture ~1,100 units/ day. As per media reports, MM has
suffered production loss of ~8,000 units due to the strike. Nevertheless, we do not
see a major impact of the strike on company's operations considering that MM
had 3-4 weeks of inventory of utility vehicle and another 3-4 weeks inventory of
engines at the plant before the strike. We maintain our positive view on MM.Currently we have an Accumulate rating on the stock with an SOTP based targetprice of `1,006.
Result Review
Cairn India (CMP:`293, TP:`340, Upside: 16%)
Cairn India 4QFY2013 results which were below our expectations on the
profitability front whereas top line was in line with our expectations. The companys
top line increased 19.5% yoy to`4,363cr (in line with our expectation of`4,393cr)
due to higher volumes and higher rupee realizations. The companys gross
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Market OutlookApril 23, 2013
production averaged 202,014boepd (+12.0% yoy) during the quarter. Although
gross crude oil realization decreased by 9.1% yoy to US$100.6/bbl, INR
depreciation against the USD offset this impact. EBITDA grew by 9.3% yoy to
`3,258cr; however, EBITDA margin contracted by 698bp yoy to 74.7%. The
company recorded an exceptional forex loss of`3cr on account of forex fluctuation
during 4QFY2013. Excluding this exceptional loss, adjusted net profit grew by just6.8% yoy to`2,566cr (below our estimate of`2,819cr). Reported net profit grew
by 17.3% yoy to`2,564cr. We maintain our Buy ratingon the stock with a targetprice of `340.Y/E Sales OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/SalesMarch (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (%) (x) (x) (x) (x)FY2014E 17,071 72.4 10,593 55.5 17.1 5.3 0.8 2.8 2.0
FY2015E 17,034 69.3 9,863 51.7 14.0 5.7 0.8 2.3 1.6
Ultratech (CMP:`1,879/TP:-/Upside:-)
Ultratechs 4QFY2013 stand-alone topline was below estimates at `5,389cr on
account of both lower thanestimated volumes and realization. The companys grey
cement volumes (incl. clinker) remained flat yoy at 11.13mn tonnes. White cement
volumes fell by 4.3% yoy to 0.16mn tonnes. Blended realizations for the quarter
stood at `4,727/tonne, higher by 1% on a yoy basis. However, the companys
operating costs/tonne was below estimates resulting in a superior OPM of 23.4%
vs. estimated 21.5%. Interest expenses too was lower by 18.4% yoy at `48cr. Net
Profit fell by 16.3% yoy to`726cr and was in-line with estimates. Meanwhile there
are media reports that Ultratrech is in final-stage talks to buy Jaypee Associates
4.8mtpa cement plants in Gujarat for`4,100cr. The news has not been confirmedby management of both the companies. We maintain our neutral view on thestock.Y/E Sales OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/tonne*March (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (%) (x) (x) (x) (US $)FY2014E 22,354 23.2 2,837 103.5 17.5 18.2 3.0 10.5 176
FY2015E 25,329 23.5 3,367 122.8 17.9 15.3 2.6 9.0
Note: Computed on TTM basis
MindTree(CMP:`849/ TP: Under review)MindTree reported broadly in-line set of results on the revenue front but
disappointed on the bottom-line font. MindTree reported USD revenue growth of
2.8% qoq to US$113mn, on the back of 3.7% qoq volume growth. Blended
realization declined by 1.4% qoq. In INR terms, revenue came in at `612cr, up
3.8% qoq. During the quarter, MindTrees EBITDA and EBIT margins declined by
141bp and 138bp qoq to 19.0% and 16.5%, respectively. This was due to factors
such as: 1) increase in SG&A expenses, 2) increase in employee costs due to
freshers getting added into the system and 3) decline in utilization level. The PAT
came in at`79cr, down 20% qoq, largely led by lower than expected operational
performance.
MindTrees Management indicated that it remains hopeful of FY2014 turning out
to be a better revenue growth year as compared to FY2013 because of pick up in
client spending (backed by a positive survey of its top clients) as well as a result of
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Market OutlookApril 23, 2013
companys greater concentration on mining its focus clients. Even within the PES
segment, the company cited better prospects in FY2014 as against in FY2013. We
continue to be positive on the stock owing to its diversified revenue portfolio and
past performance. The target price is currently under review.
Y/E Sales OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/SalesMarch (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (%) (x) (x) (x) (x)FY2014E 2,587 19.4 362 87.2 21.8 9.7 2.1 5.1 1.0
FY2015E 2,823 19.4 384 92.6 18.8 9.2 1.7 4.2 0.8
Persistent(CMP:`545 / TP: Under review)Persistent Systems (Persistent) reported its 4QFY2013 results which were largely
inline with the expectations. The dollar revenues came in at US$62.1mn, up 2.2%
qoq, led by 3.1% qoq revenue growth from IT services revenue which came in at
US$51.2mn. IP led revenues declined by 1.7% qoq to US$11mn. The companys
EBITDA margin grew slightly by 12bp qoq to 24.9% with headwinds of rupee
appreciation and higher G&A expenses and tailwinds of decline in doubtful debt
provisions and flat employee costs even with number of employees going up. PAT
stood at `52cr, up 5% qoq aided by forex gain of `4.1cr as against `1.8cr in
3QFY2013. The management remains confident of FY2014 with deal pipeline
being strong and remains focused on increasing the share of IP-led revenues in its
portfolio. The stock is currently under review.
Y/E Sales OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/SalesMarch (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (%) (x) (x) (x) (x)FY2014E 1,433 24.7 222 55.5 18.4 9.8 1.8 4.6 1.1
FY2015E 1,591 24.6 241 60.2 16.8 9.1 1.5 3.7 0.9
MLIFE (CMP:`378/ TP: under review / Upside :-)
For 4QFY2013, Mahindra Lifespaces Developers (MLIFE) reported a weak set of
numbers both on revenue and profitability front. MLIFEs standalone revenue for
the quarter came in at `102cr, i.e a decline of 27% yoy which was below
consensus estimate of `120cr. Standalone EBITDA decreased by 46.1% yoy to
`17cr, owing to lower-than-expected revenue recognition. PAT for the quarterdecreased by 27.7% yoy to `23cr. On a consolidated level, MLIFE reported a
revenue of`368r and PAT of`82cr, suggesting a profit for its subsidiaries at net
level. During the quarter, the company has acquired two land parcels one each in
Bangalore and Mumbai region. Both the land parcel put together has a
development potential of 1 mn sqft. We keep our rating and target price on thestock under review.Y/E Sales OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/SalesMarch (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (%) (x) (x) (x) (x)FY2014E 888 30.6 169 41.4 11.8 9.1 1.1 6.9 2.1
FY2015E 1,002 30.6 192 47.1 12.2 8.0 1.0 6.2 1.9
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Market OutlookApril 23, 2013
Tata Sponge Iron (CMP:`295 / TP:`358/ Upside: 21.5%)
For 4QFY2013, TSIL reported a topline of`211cr, 7.1% higher than our estimate
of `197cr. However, the results were disappointing on the EBITDA margin front
which contracted by 502bp yoy to 8.8% as compared to 13.9% during 4QFY2012.
Contraction in EBITDA margin was primarily due to higher raw material cost andemployee expenses during the quarter. Consequently, net profit declined by 36%
yoy during the quarter to`9cr.
For the full year FY2013, revenue grew by 25.5% yoy to `796 on account of better
realization of sponge iron and resumption volumes of sponge iron sales which
were impacted during FY2012 due to iron ore supply issues; while increased raw
material cost and employee expenses led to contraction of EBITDA margin by
273bp for FY2013. Net profit for FY2013 stood at`85cr as compared to`76cr in
FY2012. As we rollover to FY2015, due to attractive valuations, we maintain ourBuy recommendation on the stock with a target price of `358 based on a targetP/B of 0.7x for FY2015E.Y/E Sales OPM PAT EPS ROE P/E P/BV EV/EBITDA EV/SalesMarch (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (%) (x) (x) (x) (x)FY2014E 842 15.1 90 58.5 31.1 5.0 0.6 0.8 0.1
FY2015E 879 15.2 94 61.3 28.5 4.8 0.6 0.3 0.0
Result Preview
HDFC Bank (CMP:`699 / TP: - / Upside: -)
HDFC Bank is expected to announce healthy set of results for 4QFY2013. The NII
is expected to increase by 21.0% yoy to `4,099cr, while non-interest income is
expected to come in at`1,903cr, achieving a strong growth of 27.6% yoy. Despite
healthy growth of 23.0% yoy in operating Income, Operating profit is expected to
grow strongly by 30.7% yoy, due to a moderate growth of 15.4% yoy in operating
expenses. Provisioning is expected to be `319cr compared to `298cr in
4QFY2012. Consequently the PAT is expected to increase by 30.2% yoy to
`1,892cr. The stock is currently trading at a valuation of 4.0x P/ABV FY2014E and
3.3x P/ABV FY2015E. In our view, the stock factors in most of the positives, andhence, we remain Neutral on the stock.Y/E Op. Inc NIM PAT EPS ABV ROA ROE P/E P/ABVMarch (` cr) (%) (` cr) (`) (%) (x) (x) (x) (x)FY2014E 26,559 4.4 8,326 35.5 177.0 1.8 21.7 19.7 4.0
FY2015E 32,720 4.4 9,970 42.5 209.9 1.8 22.0 16.5 3.3
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Market OutlookApril 23, 2013
Quarterly Bloomberg Brokers Consensus Estimate
HDFC Bank (23/04/2013)Particulars (` cr) 4QFY13E 4QFY12 y-o-y (%) 3QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net profit 1,883 1,453 30 1,859 1
Axis Bank (24/04/2013)Particulars (` cr) 4QFY13E 4QFY12 y-o-y (%) 3QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net profit 1,429 1,277 12 1,347 6
Hindustan Zinc (25/04/2013)Particulars (` cr) 4QFY13E 4QFY12 y-o-y (%) 3QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net sales 3,577 3,094 16 3,140 14
EBITDA 1,824 1,659 10 1,494 22
EBITDA margin (%) 51.0 53.6 47.6
Net profit 1,817 1,413 29 1,613 13
IDBI Bank (25/04/2013)Particulars (` cr) 4QFY13E 4QFY12 y-o-y (%) 3QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net profit 567 771 (26) 417 36
Idea Consolidated (25/04/2013)Particulars (` cr) 4QFY13E 4QFY12 y-o-y (%) 3QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net sales 5,822 5,273 10 5,572 4
EBITDA 1,549 1,155 34 1,473 5
EBITDA margin (%) 26.6 21.9 26.4
Net profit 270 190 42 229 18
Jindal Steel & Power Consolidated (25/04/2013)Particulars (` cr) 4QFY13E 4QFY12 y-o-y (%) 3QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net sales 5,328 5,465 -3 4,683 14
EBITDA 2,962 1,914 55 1,790 66
EBITDA margin (%) 55.6 35.0 38.2
Net profit 975 1,171 (17) 878 11
United Phosphorous Consolidated (25/04/2013)Particulars (` cr) 4QFY13E 4QFY12 y-o-y (%) 3QFY13 q-o-q (%)Net sales 2,413 2,119 14 2,255 7
EBITDA 434 387 12 404 7
EBITDA margin (%) 18.0 18.2 17.9
Net profit 213 211 1 177 20
Economic and Political News
Govt. likely to convene all-party meet on Food Security Bill Govt. not considering amending FDI policy in Defence sector
Encourage retail participation in disinvestment: Par. panel IKEA will not be allowed to sell food items in India: Govt. Par. panel for more tax benefits on savings, review of RGESS
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Market OutlookApril 23, 2013
Corporate News
Maran stake rises to 22.05% in SpiceJet ABB to acquire US based Power-One for over USD 1bn Mahindra Reva plans to start export to Europe next year
Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint
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Date Company
April 23, 2013 HDFC Bank, Indiabulls Fin.
April 24, 2013 Axis Bank
April 25, 2013Hind. Zinc, Jindal Steel, Idea Cellular, IDBI Bank, United Phosphorus, Rallis, FAG Bearings, Infotech Enterprises,Vesuvius India, Cera Sanitaryware Ltd
April 26, 2013 ICICI Bank, Hero Motocorp, Maruti, Siemens, LIC Housing Fin., Vijaya Bank, GoodyearApril 27, 2013 Federal Bank
April 28, 2013
April 29, 2013 Bosch India, Exide Industries, IOB, Areva, Hexaware
April 30, 2013 Dabur India, Godrej Consumer, Petronet LNG, Aventis, TVS Motor, Finolex Cables, Taj GVK
May 01, 2013 IDFC, GlaxoSmith Con
May 02, 2013 Bharti Airtel, Kotak Mah. Bank, Andhra Bank, Alembic Pharma
May 03, 2013 Ambuja Cements, Titan Inds.
May 04, 2013 Grasim Inds
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Result Calendar
Global economic events release calendar
Date Time Country Event Description Unit Period Bloomberg Data
Last Reported Estimated
April 23, 2013 1:00PM Germany PMI Services Value Apr A 50.90 --
1:00PM Germany PMI Manufacturing Value Apr A 49.00 --
7:30PM US New home sales Thousands Mar 411.00 420.00
April 25, 2013 2:00PM UK GDP (YoY) % Change 1Q A 0.20 --
April 26, 2013 6:00PM US GDP Qoq (Annualised) % Change 1Q A 0.40 3.00
April 30, 2013 1:25PM Germany Unemployment change (000's) Thousands Apr 13.00 --
7:30PM US Consumer Confidence S.A./ 1985=100 Apr 59.70 --
May 1, 2013 2:00PM UK PMI Manufacturing Value Apr 48.30 --
6:30AM China PMI Manufacturing Value Apr 50.90 --
11:30PM US FOMC rate decision % May 1 0.25 --
May 2, 2013 5:15PM Euro Zone ECB announces interest rates % May 2 0.75 --
May 3, 2013 6:00PM US Change in Nonfarm payrolls Thousands Apr 88.00 --
6:00PM US Unnemployment rate % Apr 7.60 --
11:00AM India RBI Repo rate % May 3 7.50 7.25
11:00AM India RBI Cash Reserve ratio % May 3 4.00 4.00
11:00AM India RBI Reverse Repo rate % May 3 6.50 8.25
May 8, 2013 4:29PM China Exports YoY% % Change Apr 10.00 --
May 9, 2013 7:00AM China Consumer Price Index (YoY) % Change Apr 2.10 --2:00PM UK Industrial Production (YoY) % Change Mar (2.20) --
4:30PM UK BOE Announces rates % Ratio May 9 0.50 0.50
May 10, 2013 11:00AM India Industrial Production YoY % Change Mar 0.60 --
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
April 23, 2013
Market Outlook
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Market OutlookApril 23, 2013
www.angelbroking.com
Macro watch
Exhibit 1:Quarterly GDP trends
Source: CSO, Angel Research
Exhibit 2:IIP trends
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Exhibit 3:Monthly WPI inflation trends
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Exhibit 4:Manufacturing and services PMI
Source: Market, Angel Research; Note: Level above 50 indicates expansion
Exhibit 5:Exports and imports growth trends
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Exhibit 6:Key policy rates
Source: RBI, Angel Research
5.7
9.0
7.5
11.2
8.5
7.68.2
9.2
7.5
6.56.0
5.3 5.5 5.34.5
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
10.0
11.0
12.0
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
3QFY11
4QFY11
1QFY12
2QFY12
3QFY12
4QFY12
1QFY13
2QFY13
3QFY13
(%)
(2.8)
(1.3)
2.5
(2.0)
(0.1)
2.0
(0.7)
8.4
(1.0)(0.5)
2.4
0.6
(4.0)
(2.0)
-
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
Mar-12
Apr-12
Ma-1
2
Jun-1
2
Jul-12
Aug-1
2
Sep-1
2
Oct-12
Nov-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan-1
3
Feb
-13
(%)
7.5 7.6 7.6 7.58.0 8.1
7.3 7.2 7.36.6 6.8
6.0
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
8.0
9.0
Apr-12
May-1
2
Jun-1
2
Jul-12
Aug-1
2
Sep-1
2
Oc-1
2
No-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan-1
3
Feb
-13
Mar-13
(%)
48.0
50.0
52.0
54.0
56.0
58.0
Feb
-12
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-1
2
Jun-1
2
Jul-12
Aug-1
2
Sep-1
2
Oc-1
2
Nov-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan-1
3
Feb
-13
Mar-13
Mfg. PMI Services PMI
(30.0)
(15.0)
0.0
15.0
30.0
Mar-12
Apr-12
May-1
2
Jun-1
2
Jul-12
Aug-1
2
Sep-1
2
Oc-1
2
No-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan-1
3
Feb
-13
Exports yoy growth Imports yoy growth(%)
7.50
6.50
4.003.00
4.00
5.00
6.00
7.00
8.00
9.00
Apr-12
Ma-1
2
Jun-1
2
Jul-12
Aug-1
2
Sep-1
2
Oc-1
2
No-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan-1
3
Feb
-13
Mar-13
Repo rate Reverse Repo rate CRR(%)
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Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E
Agri / Agri Chemical
Rallis Neutral 126 - 2,448 1,466 1,686 14.8 14.8 7.0 8.1 18.0 15.5 3.8 3.3 22.6 22.5 1.8 1.5
United Phosphorus Buy 129 170 5,730 8,421 9,263 16.5 16.5 15.0 17.0 8.6 7.6 1.3 1.1 15.6 15.5 0.8 0.7
Auto & Auto Ancillary
Amara Raja Batteries Buy 259 326 4,421 3,418 3,892 15.1 14.9 19.8 21.7 13.1 11.9 3.2 2.6 27.1 23.7 1.3 1.1
Apollo Tyres Accumulate 94 103 4,723 14,401 15,841 11.4 11.5 13.6 15.9 6.9 5.9 1.2 1.0 18.4 18.2 0.5 0.4
Ashok Leyland Buy 23 27 6,000 13,833 16,192 9.6 9.7 2.0 2.7 11.5 8.5 1.9 1.7 12.1 15.2 0.5 0.4
Automotive Axle# Neutral 303 - 458 934 1,103 10.2 10.7 24.5 34.3 12.4 8.8 1.6 1.4 13.2 16.9 0.5 0.4Bajaj Auto Accumulate 1,762 2,014 50,985 22,552 25,498 18.6 18.6 117.9 134.3 15.0 13.1 5.4 4.3 40.2 36.6 1.8 1.5
Bharat Forge Neutral 230 - 5,343 6,198 6,793 14.6 14.9 14.5 17.3 15.8 13.3 2.1 1.9 13.6 14.7 1.0 0.9
Bosch India* Neutral 8,870 - 27,849 9,717 11,092 16.2 17.0 354.7 423.3 25.0 21.0 4.3 3.7 17.2 17.5 2.5 2.2
CEAT Buy 100 155 341 5,403 6,057 8.3 8.3 36.4 41.3 2.7 2.4 0.4 0.4 15.3 16.6 0.2 0.2
Exide Industries Accumulate 134 146 11,373 7,026 8,027 14.2 14.2 7.7 8.9 17.3 15.1 2.9 2.5 18.0 17.9 1.3 1.1
FAG Bearings* Accumulate 1,372 1,569 2,279 1,619 1,879 16.0 16.6 108.6 130.7 12.6 10.5 2.2 1.8 18.8 19.1 1.2 1.0
Hero Motocorp Buy 1,528 1,824 30,516 25,351 28,047 13.9 13.8 104.1 140.3 14.7 10.9 5.0 3.9 36.7 40.4 1.0 0.8
JK Tyre Buy 107 154 440 7,972 8,754 7.1 7.1 37.5 44.0 2.9 2.4 0.4 0.4 16.4 16.6 0.3 0.3
Mahindra and Mahindra Accumulate 892 1,006 54,749 44,550 50,260 11.4 11.7 59.6 68.3 15.0 13.1 3.1 2.6 22.3 21.6 1.0 0.8
Maruti Neutral 1,540 - 44,485 48,078 55,133 9.1 9.3 87.4 102.9 17.6 15.0 2.3 2.1 14.1 14.6 0.8 0.6
Motherson Sumi Buy 191 222 11,214 28,442 31,493 7.5 7.8 12.5 14.8 15.3 12.9 3.8 3.0 27.5 25.8 0.5 0.5
Subros Accumulate 26 30 158 1,479 1,685 10.0 9.9 5.5 7.5 4.8 3.5 0.5 0.5 11.1 13.7 0.4 0.3
Tata Motors Accumulate 285 324 76,048 206,341 227,695 12.8 13.5 32.3 39.0 8.9 7.3 1.9 1.5 23.1 23.2 0.4 0.4
TVS Motor Accumulate 36 40 1,727 7,714 8,532 6.1 6.3 4.8 5.8 7.6 6.3 1.2 1.0 16.5 17.5 0.2 0.1
Capital Goods
ABB* Reduce 495 452 10,485 8,073 9,052 5.5 7.2 11.3 17.4 43.9 28.5 3.8 3.5 8.9 12.8 1.3 1.1BGR Energy Neutral 190 - 1,374 4,114 4,886 11.4 10.7 24.9 28.0 7.6 6.8 1.0 0.9 25.2 22.6 0.6 0.6
BHEL Neutral 191 - 46,835 43,757 40,934 17.3 16.9 20.9 19.0 9.2 10.1 2.0 1.8 23.7 18.8 0.9 0.9
Blue Star Buy 163 230 1,470 2,896 3,087 5.6 6.2 9.3 11.7 17.6 13.9 2.9 2.5 17.6 19.2 0.6 0.5
Crompton Greaves Buy 95 117 6,097 13,790 15,095 6.4 7.4 6.9 9.4 13.8 10.2 1.6 1.4 11.7 14.5 0.5 0.4
Jyoti Structures Accumulate 30 34 245 3,074 3,355 9.0 8.8 8.7 10.2 3.4 2.9 0.3 0.3 10.4 11.1 0.3 0.2
KEC International Buy 52 67 1,332 7,750 8,631 6.8 7.0 7.7 9.2 6.7 5.6 1.0 0.9 20.8 20.8 0.3 0.3
Thermax Neutral 578 - 6,881 5,931 6,592 9.6 9.7 31.0 34.3 18.6 16.8 3.2 2.8 18.6 17.9 1.0 0.9
Cement
ACC Accumulate 1,214 1,361 22,799 12,182 13,435 21.0 22.4 78.7 98.8 15.4 12.3 2.8 2.5 19.0 21.4 1.6 1.4
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Market Outlook
Stock Watch
April 23, 2013
7/28/2019 Market Outlook, 23.04.13
11/17
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E
Cement
Ambuja Cements Neutral 188 - 28,988 10,681 11,991 25.0 25.5 10.8 12.8 17.3 14.7 3.0 2.7 18.1 19.4 2.2 1.9
India Cements Neutral 83 - 2,557 4,777 5,276 17.3 17.1 8.8 10.9 9.5 7.7 0.7 0.7 7.5 8.8 0.9 0.8
J K Lakshmi Cement Buy 92 143 1,087 2,313 2,728 19.8 20.7 16.6 23.1 5.6 4.0 0.7 0.6 13.6 16.5 1.0 0.8
Madras Cements Neutral 232 - 5,515 4,293 4,855 27.4 28.6 21.8 28.2 10.7 8.2 1.9 1.6 19.6 21.3 1.8 1.4
Shree Cement^ Neutral 4,356 - 15,176 6,706 7,751 28.7 27.7 338.2 375.5 12.9 11.6 3.3 2.6 28.5 25.2 1.6 1.2
UltraTech Cement Neutral 1,879 - 51,512 22,456 25,445 23.2 23.5 103.5 122.8 18.2 15.3 3.0 2.6 17.5 17.9 2.4 2.1
ConstructionAshoka Buildcon Buy 194 272 1,021 2,013 2,293 22.5 22.5 26.0 24.4 7.5 8.0 0.8 0.8 11.7 9.9 2.1 1.9
Consolidated Co Neutral 12 - 216 2,281 2,492 5.9 6.9 0.7 2.0 17.2 5.8 0.4 0.4 2.3 6.5 0.4 0.3
IRB Infra Buy 118 167 3,932 4,152 4,624 44.4 45.0 17.0 17.2 7.0 6.9 1.1 0.9 16.2 14.6 3.4 3.4
ITNL Buy 184 230 3,568 7,177 7,772 27.4 28.9 29.4 32.4 6.2 5.7 1.0 0.8 16.5 15.9 2.7 2.7
IVRCL Infra Buy 21 35 640 6,287 6,836 8.5 8.5 2.3 3.0 8.9 6.9 0.3 0.3 3.4 4.2 0.5 0.5
Jaiprakash Asso. Buy 77 95 17,087 14,914 15,699 26.2 26.4 4.2 4.4 18.4 17.7 1.2 1.1 6.8 6.6 2.5 2.4
Larsen & Toubro Buy 1,535 1,795 94,453 69,586 79,247 11.2 11.1 75.1 84.9 20.4 18.1 2.9 2.6 15.2 15.0 1.5 1.4
Nagarjuna Const. Buy 34 45 860 6,576 7,264 8.2 8.3 4.1 4.8 8.2 7.0 0.3 0.3 4.2 4.7 0.5 0.5
Punj Lloyd Neutral 53 - 1,767 1,338 1,542 10.2 10.2 3.0 4.8 18.0 11.2 0.6 0.6 3.4 5.2 5.6 5.3
Sadbhav Engg. Buy 114 153 1,722 2,511 2,736 10.6 10.6 7.3 7.8 15.7 14.6 2.0 1.8 13.3 12.7 0.9 0.8
Simplex Infra Buy 124 164 613 6,824 7,563 9.2 9.4 18.0 23.4 6.9 5.3 0.5 0.4 6.9 8.3 0.5 0.4
Unity Infra Buy 33 45 244 2,455 2,734 13.4 13.0 14.6 14.9 2.3 2.2 0.3 0.2 12.3 11.3 0.5 0.5
Financials
Allahabad Bank Accumulate 141 155 7,030 7,137 7,907 2.9 2.8 32.3 36.0 4.4 3.9 0.6 0.5 14.2 14.2 - -
Andhra Bank Neutral 95 - 5,316 5,285 5,937 3.0 2.9 21.2 23.4 4.5 4.1 0.7 0.6 13.4 13.4 - -
Axis Bank Buy 1,440 1,698 67,404 18,901 22,625 3.3 3.3 128.5 150.5 11.2 9.6 1.8 1.6 17.0 17.5 - -Bank of Baroda Buy 699 815 29,427 16,318 18,682 2.4 2.4 121.4 144.6 5.8 4.8 0.8 0.7 15.2 16.0 - -
Bank of India Accumulate 342 360 20,377 14,284 16,295 2.3 2.3 55.9 68.4 6.1 5.0 0.9 0.8 13.9 15.2 - -
Bank of Maharashtra Accumulate 50 56 3,307 4,289 4,670 2.9 2.8 11.6 13.1 4.3 3.8 0.6 0.6 15.7 15.6 - -
Canara Bank Neutral 446 - 19,773 11,673 13,208 2.3 2.3 74.8 85.8 6.0 5.2 0.8 0.7 13.7 14.1 - -
Central Bank Neutral 71 - 7,364 8,079 9,086 2.6 2.6 14.9 18.0 4.7 3.9 0.7 0.6 12.2 13.3 - -
Corporation Bank Buy 378 453 5,776 5,397 5,973 2.2 2.2 96.3 105.9 3.9 3.6 0.6 0.5 14.6 14.4 - -
Dena Bank Accumulate 96 101 3,362 3,334 3,700 2.7 2.7 23.6 26.5 4.1 3.6 0.6 0.5 15.5 15.3 - -
Federal Bank Neutral 464 - 7,937 2,916 3,389 3.3 3.3 50.1 59.4 9.3 7.8 1.1 1.0 12.8 13.7 - -
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Market Outlook
Stock Watch
April 23, 2013
7/28/2019 Market Outlook, 23.04.13
12/17
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E
Financials
HDFC Neutral 835 - 129,181 8,928 10,684 3.7 3.7 38.4 45.3 21.8 18.4 4.7 4.2 32.5 32.4 - -
HDFC Bank Neutral 699 - 166,432 26,559 32,720 4.4 4.4 35.5 42.5 19.7 16.5 4.0 3.3 21.7 22.0 - -
ICICI Bank Accumulate 1,148 1,306 132,426 26,371 31,618 3.0 3.0 84.1 96.7 13.7 11.9 1.8 1.7 15.8 16.5 - -
IDBI Bank Accumulate 88 96 11,688 9,309 10,541 2.1 2.2 20.1 23.4 4.4 3.8 0.5 0.5 12.8 13.5 - -
Indian Bank Buy 168 200 7,237 6,276 6,968 3.1 3.1 38.3 42.3 4.4 4.0 0.6 0.6 15.2 14.9 - -
IOB Buy 67 78 6,215 8,205 9,048 2.6 2.5 16.4 20.3 4.1 3.3 0.5 0.4 11.6 13.1 - -
J & K Bank Accumulate 1,258 1,323 6,097 3,032 3,118 3.8 3.5 218.1 200.9 5.8 6.3 1.1 1.0 19.9 16.0 - -LIC Housing Finance Accumulate 235 253 11,860 2,127 2,498 2.2 2.2 25.1 28.2 9.4 8.3 1.6 1.4 18.3 17.9 - -
Oriental Bank Neutral 284 - 8,298 6,791 7,478 2.7 2.7 56.7 63.4 5.0 4.5 0.6 0.6 12.9 13.1 - -
Punjab Natl.Bank Accumulate 782 889 27,645 21,161 24,166 3.3 3.3 153.4 176.4 5.1 4.4 0.8 0.7 16.1 16.3 - -
South Ind.Bank Neutral 24 - 3,206 1,826 2,081 3.0 2.9 4.0 4.5 5.9 5.3 1.0 0.9 17.6 17.1 - -
St Bk of India Accumulate 2,324 2,567 158,966 67,091 76,746 3.2 3.1 241.2 280.4 9.6 8.3 1.5 1.3 16.5 17.0 - -
Syndicate Bank Accumulate 120 130 7,196 7,340 8,212 2.9 2.8 26.4 28.7 4.5 4.2 0.7 0.6 15.8 15.2 - -
UCO Bank Neutral 66 - 4,971 6,126 6,665 2.6 2.5 12.2 14.4 5.4 4.6 0.8 0.7 11.8 12.6 - -
Union Bank Accumulate 241 264 14,353 11,226 12,769 2.7 2.7 41.0 47.8 5.9 5.0 0.8 0.7 14.8 15.4 - -
United Bank Accumulate 60 68 2,261 3,597 4,008 2.6 2.7 16.0 20.8 3.8 2.9 0.5 0.4 12.5 14.7 - -
Vijaya Bank Neutral 53 - 2,607 2,600 2,946 2.0 2.1 9.7 11.0 5.4 4.8 0.6 0.6 11.4 11.7 - -
Yes Bank Neutral 495 - 17,736 4,260 5,344 3.0 3.0 42.1 50.2 11.8 9.9 2.5 2.1 23.3 22.9 - -
FMCG
Asian Paints Neutral 4,644 - 44,543 13,319 15,805 15.7 15.7 143.8 170.2 32.3 27.3 10.1 8.0 35.1 32.7 3.3 2.7
Britannia Neutral 564 - 6,736 6,417 7,446 5.1 5.5 20.3 25.2 27.8 22.4 9.5 7.5 37.4 37.3 1.0 0.8
Colgate Neutral 1,398 - 19,010 3,588 4,130 21.1 21.6 44.7 51.9 31.2 27.0 28.1 21.0 100.0 89.1 5.1 4.4
Dabur India Neutral 144 - 25,107 7,183 8,340 16.8 16.8 5.4 6.3 26.6 22.8 10.4 8.1 43.9 39.9 3.5 3.0
GlaxoSmith Con* Neutral 3,790 - 15,941 3,617 4,260 16.1 16.4 120.6 146.4 31.4 25.9 9.7 7.8 33.8 33.4 4.1 3.4
Godrej Consumer Neutral 822 - 27,973 7,801 9,017 17.0 17.0 26.5 31.9 31.0 25.8 7.0 5.7 26.5 25.9 3.7 3.1
HUL Neutral 483 - 104,339 28,974 32,970 13.5 13.5 17.0 18.1 28.5 26.7 18.1 13.6 74.3 58.3 3.4 2.9
ITC Neutral 317 - 250,409 33,506 39,067 36.8 37.0 11.1 13.0 28.6 24.4 9.3 7.6 35.5 34.1 7.1 6.1
Marico Neutral 214 - 13,821 5,352 6,204 14.0 14.0 7.9 9.8 27.1 21.9 5.6 4.5 22.8 22.9 2.6 2.1
Nestle* Neutral 4,683 - 45,153 9,739 11,307 21.5 22.2 131.6 159.9 35.6 29.3 18.0 12.9 58.8 69.5 4.5 3.9
Tata Global Neutral 141 - 8,692 7,998 8,798 9.7 9.8 7.9 8.7 17.8 16.2 2.2 2.1 9.6 9.8 1.0 0.9
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Market Outlook
Stock Watch
April 23, 2013
7/28/2019 Market Outlook, 23.04.13
13/17
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E
IT
HCL Tech^ Buy 721 876 50,173 28,540 32,098 20.8 19.5 53.3 58.4 13.5 12.4 3.1 2.6 23.0 21.1 1.6 1.4
Hexaware* Buy 85 105 2,536 2,137 2,350 18.8 19.2 10.4 11.7 8.2 7.3 1.8 1.6 22.6 22.1 1.0 0.9
Infosys Accumulate 2,244 2,465 128,884 43,338 47,244 27.5 27.7 169.4 182.6 13.3 12.3 2.8 2.4 20.8 19.3 2.3 2.0
Infotech Enterprises Buy 167 196 1,868 1,994 2,039 18.1 18.5 20.2 21.8 8.3 7.7 1.2 1.0 13.8 13.1 0.5 0.4
KPIT Cummins Buy 96 130 1,852 2,458 2,729 15.5 15.2 13.1 14.5 7.3 6.6 1.5 1.2 20.9 18.8 0.7 0.5
Mahindra Satyam Buy 108 143 12,697 8,456 9,385 19.3 19.1 10.6 11.9 10.2 9.1 2.3 1.8 22.4 20.1 1.1 0.9
Mindtree Accumulate 849 926 3,527 2,587 2,823 19.4 19.4 87.2 92.6 9.7 9.2 2.1 1.7 21.8 18.8 1.0 0.8Mphasis& Accumulate 363 395 7,624 6,096 6,646 17.6 17.4 38.1 41.6 9.5 8.7 1.4 1.2 14.2 13.7 0.8 0.6
NIIT Buy 23 30 386 1,144 1,267 9.0 9.1 4.3 5.4 5.5 4.4 0.6 0.5 10.3 12.0 0.1 0.1
Persistent Accumulate 545 602 2,180 1,433 1,591 24.7 24.6 55.5 60.2 9.8 9.1 1.8 1.5 18.4 16.8 1.1 0.9
TCS Accumulate 1,425 1,624 278,953 71,548 81,428 28.5 28.1 78.1 87.8 18.3 16.2 5.4 4.5 29.5 27.4 3.7 3.2
Tech Mahindra Buy 935 1,230 11,980 7,699 8,315 19.3 18.1 107.0 115.0 8.7 8.1 1.9 1.6 21.7 19.1 1.5 1.3
Wipro Buy 339 450 83,580 47,122 51,460 19.8 19.5 28.2 31.5 12.1 10.8 2.2 1.9 18.2 17.6 1.4 1.1
Media
D B Corp Buy 226 272 4,146 1,787 1,974 25.4 26.4 14.5 16.9 15.6 13.4 3.2 2.8 22.4 22.2 2.2 1.9
HT Media Buy 101 117 2,371 2,205 2,380 15.1 15.6 8.0 9.1 12.6 11.1 1.3 1.2 11.2 11.4 0.7 0.5
Jagran Prakashan Buy 90 121 2,991 1,698 1,908 23.9 24.5 7.4 8.4 12.2 10.8 3.1 2.7 26.7 26.8 1.9 1.7
PVR Neutral 318 - 1,261 1,343 1,521 18.8 18.9 18.3 22.9 17.4 13.9 1.6 1.8 10.6 12.3 0.9 0.8
Sun TV Network Neutral 410 - 16,173 2,293 2,571 68.7 68.7 19.3 22.7 21.2 18.1 5.2 4.6 26.1 27.3 6.5 5.6
Metals & Mining
Bhushan Steel Neutral 456 - 10,335 13,794 17,335 30.7 34.8 48.9 83.6 9.3 5.5 1.0 0.8 11.2 16.7 2.4 1.9
Coal India Accumulate 312 345 197,197 72,174 76,311 33.3 28.4 28.4 30.9 11.0 10.1 3.0 2.6 37.6 36.2 1.9 1.7
Electrosteel Castings Buy 17 26 586 2,074 2,176 10.4 11.3 1.9 2.3 8.9 7.5 0.1 0.1 3.7 4.3 0.5 0.2GMDC Buy 145 213 4,603 1,944 2,317 49.9 51.7 20.8 25.6 7.0 5.7 1.6 1.3 24.3 24.6 1.9 1.4
Hind. Zinc Buy 113 140 47,535 13,759 14,506 50.8 50.4 16.4 17.1 6.9 6.6 1.3 1.1 19.7 17.7 1.4 1.0
Hindalco Neutral 96 - 18,284 88,987 94,163 9.2 9.7 13.8 15.9 6.9 6.0 0.5 0.5 7.6 8.1 0.6 0.5
JSW Steel Neutral 725 - 16,174 39,524 42,064 17.1 16.9 71.8 86.3 10.1 8.4 0.8 0.8 8.6 9.6 0.7 0.6
MOIL Accumulate 230 243 3,868 954 1,062 45.5 47.4 26.1 29.1 8.8 7.9 1.3 1.1 15.1 15.2 1.6 1.2
Monnet Ispat Buy 201 291 1,281 2,883 3,181 21.7 23.6 40.3 57.7 5.0 3.5 0.5 0.4 10.1 13.0 1.3 1.1
Nalco Neutral 35 - 8,930 8,187 8,416 14.5 14.7 3.2 3.3 10.8 10.6 0.7 0.7 6.8 6.7 0.6 0.6
NMDC Buy 128 179 50,590 10,329 12,540 73.8 75.0 16.6 19.0 7.7 6.7 1.5 1.3 20.6 20.2 2.7 2.1
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Market Outlook
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April 23, 2013
7/28/2019 Market Outlook, 23.04.13
14/17
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E
Metals & Mining
SAIL Neutral 63 - 26,040 53,685 64,183 9.3 12.2 5.5 8.3 11.5 7.6 0.6 0.6 5.4 7.7 0.8 0.8
Sesa Goa Accumulate 152 163 13,180 3,742 4,426 32.9 32.8 31.3 31.2 4.8 4.9 0.7 0.6 14.8 12.9 4.3 3.5
Sterlite Inds Accumulate 89 98 29,826 45,864 46,970 23.8 25.3 18.8 20.9 4.7 4.3 0.5 0.5 11.7 11.8 0.6 0.5
Tata Steel Buy 307 430 29,792 141,775 151,672 10.5 11.4 35.3 51.7 8.7 5.9 0.6 0.6 7.6 10.3 0.5 0.5
Sarda Buy 103 153 371 1,494 1,568 19.1 20.3 31.3 36.5 3.3 2.8 0.4 0.3 11.8 12.4 0.6 0.5
Prakash Industries Buy 38 48 506 2,668 2,834 10.0 10.1 4.6 5.2 8.1 7.3 0.2 0.2 3.2 3.4 0.5 0.5
Godawari Power andIspat Buy 84 118 266 2,425 2,552 13.7 14.8 33.5 45.3 2.5 1.9 0.3 0.2 11.2 13.1 0.5 0.4
Oil & Gas
Cairn India Buy 293 340 55,990 17,071 17,034 69.3 55.5 55.5 51.7 5.3 5.7 0.8 0.8 17.1 14.1 2.0 1.6
GAIL Neutral 334 - 42,412 55,815 63,013 15.3 15.2 35.9 41.5 9.3 8.1 1.5 1.3 17.0 17.1 0.6 0.5
ONGC Accumulate 328 354 280,962 157,962 175,367 35.1 36.2 34.3 39.3 9.6 8.4 1.7 1.5 18.2 18.6 1.5 1.4
Reliance Industries Neutral 790 - 255,015 380,031 407,721 9.9 69.3 69.3 78.0 11.4 10.1 1.1 1.0 11.5 11.7 0.6 0.6
Gujarat Gas* Neutral 249 - 3,195 3,707 3,850 11.7 12.4 23.7 25.7 10.5 9.7 2.9 2.6 29.6 28.2 0.7 0.7
Indraprastha Gas Neutral 298 - 4,177 3,700 4,218 23.4 22.8 26.6 30.4 11.2 9.8 2.3 2.0 22.6 21.7 1.2 1.0
Petronet LNG Buy 136 174 10,174 41,362 40,852 5.8 6.5 15.6 17.4 8.7 7.8 1.9 1.6 24.1 22.5 0.3 0.3
Gujarat State PetronetLtd.
Neutral 69 - 3,877 1,079 983 91.8 91.9 8.8 7.8 7.9 8.8 1.3 1.2 17.8 14.1 3.3 3.6
Pharmaceuticals
Alembic Pharma Accumulate 115 122 2,161 1,714 1,976 17.1 19.0 9.5 12.2 12.1 9.4 3.2 2.5 30.2 29.8 1.3 1.1
Aurobindo Pharma Buy 190 264 5,521 6,279 7,033 16.0 16.0 15.2 19.2 12.5 9.9 1.7 1.4 19.2 18.0 1.4 1.2
Aventis* Neutral 2,623 - 6,041 1,682 1,917 16.6 16.6 92.4 99.1 28.4 26.5 4.0 4.0 15.7 14.8 3.2 2.6
Cadila Healthcare Buy 770 962 15,773 7,386 8,863 18.0 18.0 39.5 48.1 19.5 16.0 4.4 3.6 24.8 24.7 2.4 2.0
Cipla Buy 397 463 31,912 9,130 10,543 24.8 23.0 21.6 23.2 18.4 17.1 3.0 2.6 17.6 16.2 3.2 2.7
Dr Reddy's Accumulate 1,884 2,078 31,987 11,662 13,101 21.0 20.8 92.9 103.9 20.3 18.1 3.9 3.3 20.8 19.6 2.9 2.6
Dishman Pharma Buy 68 206 551 1,536 1,739 20.2 20.9 15.4 20.6 4.4 3.3 0.5 0.4 11.6 13.7 1.0 0.8
GSK Pharma* Neutral 2,198 - 18,622 2,993 3,319 30.4 30.2 78.1 86.7 28.2 25.4 8.5 7.7 31.6 31.9 5.4 4.8
Indoco Remedies Buy 65 90 599 784 902 15.2 15.2 7.8 9.0 8.3 7.2 1.2 1.1 15.6 15.8 1.0 0.8
Ipca labs Buy 509 676 6,421 3,474 4,168 21.0 21.0 37.3 45.1 13.6 11.3 3.2 2.6 26.4 25.3 2.0 1.7
Lupin Buy 684 792 30,589 11,564 13,847 21.1 21.1 32.8 39.6 20.8 17.3 4.8 3.8 25.7 24.7 2.7 2.2
Ranbaxy* Neutral 454 - 19,202 11,400 12,060 12.5 12.5 21.6 22.5 21.0 20.2 4.0 3.5 20.6 18.5 1.6 1.5
Sun Pharma Neutral 927 - 95,860 12,563 14,698 42.6 42.6 29.8 35.5 31.1 26.1 5.5 4.7 19.2 19.3 7.0 5.8
Power
GIPCL Accumulate 72 78 1,094 1,535 1,570 31.9 31.6 13.1 14.1 5.5 5.1 0.7 0.6 12.4 12.2 1.0 0.8
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April 23, 2013
7/28/2019 Market Outlook, 23.04.13
15/17
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E
Power
NTPC Accumulate 149 163 122,734 81,951 92,264 24.1 24.3 13.6 14.9 11.0 10.0 1.4 1.3 13.0 13.1 2.2 2.1
Real Estate
DLF Accumulate 251 288 42,655 9,699 12,010 37.0 36.9 6.0 8.4 42.1 29.9 1.6 1.5 3.8 5.1 5.8 4.8
MLIFE Buy 378 446 1,544 888 1,002 26.7 25.9 36.3 40.6 10.4 9.3 1.1 1.0 10.8 11.0 2.0 1.7
Telecom
Bharti Airtel Accumulate 301 325 114,211 86,933 96,121 30.2 31.2 10.3 15.7 29.3 19.2 2.0 1.9 7.0 9.7 2.0 1.7
Idea Cellular Neutral 112 - 37,120 24,959 27,232 27.1 27.5 3.7 4.7 30.1 23.8 2.4 2.2 8.1 9.2 1.9 1.7Rcom Neutral 98 - 20,166 22,221 24,253 32.0 32.2 4.3 6.4 22.5 15.2 0.5 0.5 2.4 3.4 2.4 2.1
Others
Abbott India* Buy 1,370 1,634 2,911 1,926 2,152 13.1 13.5 79.0 90.8 17.4 15.1 3.8 3.2 23.7 22.8 1.3 1.1
Bajaj Electricals Buy 169 237 1,686 3,929 4,480 7.4 7.7 15.5 19.7 10.9 8.6 1.9 1.6 17.4 18.7 0.4 0.4
Cera Sanitaryware Buy 440 620 557 596 743 16.2 16.1 45.0 56.3 9.8 7.8 2.4 1.9 27.8 26.9 1.0 0.8
Cravatex Buy 302 566 78 308 351 7.0 7.0 39.6 47.2 7.6 6.4 1.7 1.3 21.8 21.0 0.3 0.3
Finolex Cables Buy 48 68 731 2,559 2,893 9.8 9.8 9.8 11.3 4.9 4.2 0.7 0.6 14.1 14.1 0.2 0.2
Force Motors Buy 366 570 477 2,299 2,621 4.7 4.9 46.3 57.0 7.9 6.4 0.4 0.4 5.0 5.8 0.1 0.1
Goodyear India* Buy 250 304 577 1,559 1,676 7.1 7.4 27.5 30.5 9.1 8.2 1.5 1.3 16.9 16.7 0.2 0.1
Hitachi Buy 126 177 344 1,053 1,169 6.3 7.1 13.8 17.7 9.2 7.1 1.3 1.1 15.0 16.7 0.4 0.3
Honeywell Automation* Buy 2,460 2,842 2,175 2,117 2,491 8.1 7.8 137.9 157.9 17.8 15.6 2.7 2.3 16.0 15.8 0.9 0.8
IFB Agro Accumulate 173 198 156 495 651 12.7 12.9 29.3 39.5 5.9 4.4 0.9 0.7 15.4 17.6 0.4 0.3
ITD Cementation Buy 180 238 207 1,430 1,573 12.1 12.2 21.8 30.6 8.3 5.9 0.5 0.5 6.1 8.0 0.6 0.6
Jyothy Laboratories Neutral 169 - 2,718 979 1,164 14.9 15.1 6.0 7.7 28.0 21.9 3.5 3.2 12.9 15.1 2.9 2.4
MRF Accumulate 13,225 14,416 5,609 11,799 12,587 14.1 13.5 1,792.4 1,802.0 7.4 7.3 1.6 1.3 23.5 19.2 0.6 0.5
Page Industries Neutral 3,539 - 3,948 1,047 1,281 19.6 19.8 127.3 158.1 27.8 22.4 13.3 9.7 54.9 50.0 3.9 3.2Relaxo Footwears Buy 568 786 681 1,148 1,360 11.7 11.9 55.5 71.4 10.2 8.0 2.4 1.8 26.3 26.2 0.7 0.6
Siyaram Silk Mills Buy 248 312 232 1,157 1,320 11.9 12.0 66.6 77.9 3.7 3.2 0.6 0.5 18.3 18.2 0.5 0.4
S. Kumars Nationwide Neutral 8 - 251 6,765 7,393 18.1 18.0 6.4 7.5 1.3 1.1 0.1 0.1 6.1 6.7 0.6 0.6
Styrolution ABS India* Buy 500 744 879 1,069 1,223 9.7 9.7 40.0 46.5 12.5 10.8 1.8 1.5 15.1 15.3 0.8 0.7
TAJ GVK Buy 64 108 400 300 319 35.8 36.2 7.9 9.1 8.1 7.0 1.1 1.0 13.9 14.4 1.6 1.4
Tata Sponge Iron Buy 295 371 454 814 849 17.0 17.6 64.6 69.2 4.6 4.3 0.6 0.6 14.5 13.8 0.2 -
TTK Healthcare Buy 452 553 351 435 516 6.2 7.1 24.3 33.3 18.6 13.6 3.1 2.6 17.6 20.8 0.6 0.5
Tree House Accumulate 261 275 938 150 192 52.7 52.5 12.8 16.2 20.3 16.1 2.0 1.8 10.0 11.1 5.8 4.4
TVS Srichakra Buy 188 226 144 1,591 1,739 7.1 7.4 39.4 56.5 4.8 3.3 0.9 0.8 20.6 25.0 0.3 0.3
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Market Outlook
Stock Watch
April 23, 2013
7/28/2019 Market Outlook, 23.04.13
16/17
Company Name Reco CMP Target Mkt Cap Sales ( cr ) OPM(%) EPS () PER(x) P/BV(x) RoE(%) EV/Sales(x)
( ) Price ( ) ( cr ) FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E FY14E FY15E
Others
United Spirits Neutral 2,098 - 27,439 11,886 13,491 14.4 14.0 50.9 74.5 41.2 28.2 3.4 3.0 10.6 11.4 2.6 2.3
Vesuvius India* Accumulate 322 355 653 591 623 17.5 17.2 29.0 29.6 11.1 10.9 1.7 1.5 16.0 14.5 0.9 0.8
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on April 22, 2013
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Market Outlook
Stock Watch
April 23, 2013
7/28/2019 Market Outlook, 23.04.13
17/17
Market OutlookApril 23, 2013