Longnow 16 Jan 09

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Transcript of Longnow 16 Jan 09

The Long Now Foundation : January 02009

Climate Change RecalculatedSaul Griffith.Makanipower.comWattzon.com

Would you prefer a glass of wine every evening, or an annual business trip?

would you prefer your taxes spent on schools or roads?

would you prefer a hot shower every day or eating meat?

you have heard about...

climate change

you have heard about...

carbon footprint

you have heard about...

energy independence

let us have a look at these things as though:

we are reconciling the short term us...

with the 10000 year future of us...

and hopefully we'll answer two questions...

how do your personal actions effect climate?

can there be a global solution for climate change?

a big pile of numbers to show you that...

climate change and energy issues are aesthetic issues.

what is a quality life?

Two stories : one global, one personal.

HOW MUCH POWERDO I USE?

Energy is measured in Joules (J)

Lifting an apple from the ground to the table. ~ 1 Joule

Lifting one apple from the ground to the table each second. ~ 1 Watt.

Power is measured in Watts (W). 1 Watt = 1 Joule / second

40 apples per second from the ground to the table = 40 Watts.

Running this Apple laptop takes 40 Watts.

100 W = You, sitting there, reading.

1000 W 1kW = Domestic kettle 1 kilowatt (kW) = 1000 W

1000000 W 1MW = Diesel locomotive / wind turbine. 1 megawatt (MW) = 1000 kW

1000000000 W 1GW = Hoover dam 1 gigawatt (GW) = 1000 MW

1000000000000 W 1TW = World power consumption, 1890 1 terawatt (TW) = 1000 GW

Power

A 12,000 Watt lifestyle is 120 x 100 watt light bulbs burning permanently.( Or 920 Compact Fluorescents )

100W

"Watts per always" - your life in light bulbs.

Yearly things + Monthly things + Daily things = your lifestyle in watts.

Why watts ?

Allows you to compare activities on different timescales.

Allows you to consider non-carbon effects of using so much power.

168,207 kilometers

1 year� �

� �

� �

1 year

31,536,000 seconds

1.40 megajoules

1 kilometer� 7,462

Joules

second=

=

7,462 Watts

122 kilowatt ·hours

1 month

1 month

2,952,000 seconds

3.6 megajoules

1 kilowatt · hour170

Joules

second170 Watts

1 energy drink

1 day

1 day

86,400 seconds

7.84 megajoules

1 bottle90

Joulessecond 90 Watts=

If you do something yearly (like fly 105,000 miles), it contributes:

If you do something monthly (like your electricity bill), it contributes:

If you do something daily (like drink 1 Energy drink), it contributes:

Flight

Saul Griffith in 2007: 112,000 Miles7,992 Watts equivalent. 18.500 kg CO2

1200 Mi/yrToyota Tacoma18 mpg66.67 gallons spent8,066,666,667 J255.62 Watts

Driving10,000 Miles1,500 Watts

San Francisco

Seattle

Chicago New York

Atlanta

Jacksonville

Key West

Tucson

San Diego

1000 Mi/yrDune Buggy (VW)25 mpg40 gallons spent4,840,000,000 J153.37 Watts

Boston

4500 Mi/yrHonda Insight55 mpg81.82 gallons spent9,900,000,000 J313.71 Watts

600 Mi/yrSprinter Diesel20 mpg30 gallons spent4,128,000,000 J130.81 Watts

700 Mi/yrToyota Hilux17 mpg41.18 gallons spent4,982,352,941 J157.88 Watts

2000 Mi/yrother (avg. rental)16 mpg125 gallons spent15,125,000,000 J479.28 Watts

Domestic energy consumption 2 person stand alone house, 2br, Mission District, SF.

0

200

400

600

800

1000

1200

1400

JAN

UA

RY

FEB

RU

ARY

MA

RCH

APR

IL

MAY

JUN

E

JULY

AU

GU

ST

SEP

TEM

BER

OC

TOB

ER

NO

VEM

BER

DEC

EMB

ER

Home Gas and Electric breakdown625W

GAS showerGAS cookingGAS heatELEC fridgeELEC computerELEC toothbrushELEC phone chargersELEC laptop1ELEC laptop2ELEC stereoELEC lights&other

0

250

500

750

1000

1250

Jan feb mar apr may jun jul aug sep oct nov dec

Work Power Consumption... 18,400² Foot Office, 40 People sharing

Gas : 201 WattsElectric : 411 Watts

Milk Cheese: 30 W

Wine: 76 W

Vegetables: 100

Farming: 100 W

Transportation: 120 W

Fertilizer: 125 W

Meat & Fish: 221 W

772 Watts

My 2007 diet.

Society - my 1/300 000 000th share of the US infrastructure...

US Military: 94 W

US Nuclear protection: 50 W

US Government: 18 W

NASA: 1.1 W

USPS: 5 W

* Published fuel and electricity numbers.

Book

sheetsofpaper

framed art

CD

jewelcase

boardgame

New

sPapers

monthlym

agazine

quarterlymagazine

projectionscreen

Mobile Phone

Desktop Computer

Laptop

Washing Machine

Refrigerator Oven

Dryer

House

Bicycles

Catam

aran

s

mot

orcy

cleh

elm

et

Gol

fClu

bs infla

tabl

eele

phan

t

Bik

emes

seng

erba

g m

otor

cycl

e su

rfbo

ard

golfb

all

golft

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tenn

isba

ll

tenn

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cket

Toot

hbru

sh

Sha

mpo

o (m

l) P

aper

cup

toot

hpas

te

cond

ition

er

teacandle detergentw

ashingpowder

toiletpaperroll clingw

rapsaran

aluminum

foil w

axedpaper S

hoes

Watch-C

oach W

oolenHat

t-shirt

pants coatjacket

socks woolhat

uggboots

crocsshoes

leathershoes w

idebrimhat

mensocks

menunderw

ear m

enshorts

shirtmenscollared

cargopants

coverallsoveralls

beltleather

MenW

oolSuit

Table(Wood)

Chair

futonmattress

metalfutonfram

e

woodenfutonfram

e

Bookshelf

woolenfloorrug

pillow

Sofabenchsittingkitchen

diningtable

chairdining sofabed

plantpotlarge

plantpotsmall stepstool

sidetable

KitchenPot

ricecooker

copperfryingpan

coppersaucepan kitchenknife

espressomachine

knifeblock

cuttingboard rollingpin

canopener

bottleopener

kitchenknives

coffeemug

tableknife

tablefork

teaspoon

soupspoons teapot

teakettle

sixcupFrench

butcherblock steelm

ug

ceramicm

ug

waterglass

saladplate bowl

dinnerplate

WineG

lass

cakestand

saladbowl

carvingset

woodenspoon

bamboospoon m

etalspatula rubberspatula

whisk key

paintroller

cellphonecover

powerstrip

deskphone

ToolChest

umbrella

conferencebag

suitcasecarry

artificialchristmastree

naturalchristmastree

aluminum

stepladder

extensioncord

volkswagendunebuggy

toyotapickup

Honda Insight

TRAS

H

PHYSICAL STUFF ~2500 Watts

MY 2007 LIFE:17027 Watts

SFO

TO LH

R 4

10

W

LHR-S

FO 410 W

SFO-ATL 160 W

ATL-SFO 160 W

SFO-ATL-CPH 510 W

HEL-AMS-ATL-SFO 570 W

OAK-OGG-HON-OAK 560 W

SFO-BOS 210 W

BOS-SFO 210 W

OAK-DC 180 W

DC-OAK 180 W

OAK-ORD-MON-QUE 210 WQUE-DTW-SFO 210 WSFO-JFK 200 WJFK-SFO 200 W

OAK-BUR 20 W

BUR-OAK 20 W

SFO-BOS 210 WBOS-ORD 70 W

ORD-SFO 140 WSFO-JFK 200 W

JFK-SFO 200 W

SJC-SJO 230 W

SJO-SJC 230 W

SJC-VIJ 280 W

VIJ-SJC 280 W

SFO-SYD1140 W

SFO-DR 310 W

DR-SFO 3

10 W

SFO-O

AK 280 W

OAK

-SFO

280

W

'SFO TO LHR' 'LHR-SFO' 'SFO-ATL' 'ATL-SFO' 'SFO-ATL-CPH' 'HEL-AMS-ATL-SFO' 'OAK-OGG-HON-OAK' 'SFO-BOS' 'BOS-SFO' 'OAK-DC' 'DC-OAK' 'OAK-ORD-MON-QUE' 'QUE-DTW-SFO' 'SFO-JFK' 'JFK-SFO' 'OAK-BUR' 'BUR-OAK' 'SFO-BOS' 'BOS-ORD' 'ORD-SFO''SFO-JFK' 'JFK-SFO' 'SJC-SJO' 'SJO-SJC' 'SJC-VIJ' 'VIJ-SJC''SFO-SYD' 'SFO-DR' 'DR-SFO' 'SFO-OAK' 'OAK-SFO'

HO

ND

A IN

SIG

HT

310

W

DU

NE

BUG

GY

VW 1

50 W

TOYO

TA H

ILU

X 1

60 W

DO

DG

E S

PRIN

TER

100

WTO

YOTA

TA

CO

MA

240

W

TAX

IOR

REN

TAL

47

0 W

SH

OW

ERS

GA

S 7

0 W

CO

OK

ING

GA

S 3

0 W

HEATIN

G G

AS

400 WFR

IDG

E ELEC 30 W

CO

MPU

TER ELEC

10 WLA

PTOP ELEC

1 W

STER

EO ELEC

1 WLIG

HTS

ELEC 70 W

OTH

ER ELEC

8 W

MEAT & EG

GS 160 W

DAIRY 50 W

FATS AND OILS 30 W

FRUIT, VEG & NUTS 90 W

CEREALS & GRAINS 10 W

SUGAR 20 WBEER & W

INE 60 W

COFFEE 20 W

AG. PESTICIDES 10 W

AG. FERTILIZER 50 W

AG. ELECTRIC 40 W

AG. FO

SSILFUELS 80 W

WO

RKELECTRIC 410 W

WORKHEAT 200 W

CARS 560 W

BOATS 50 W

INTERNET 70 W

COMPUTERS 700 W

ELECTRONICS 250 W

NEWS 180 W

BIKES 6 WWATER 160 W

WASTEDISPOSAL 9 W TRANSPORTTOME 40 W

TEXTILES 90 W

BOOKS 130 W

MISCSTUFF1000 W

HOUSE 260 WRECREATION 110 W

HEALTHCARE 680 WFINANCE 60 WEDUCATION 340 W

WHITEGOODS 8 W

DEFENSE 100 W

ENERGY 4 W

GSA 2 W

HHS 1 W

JUSTICE 4

W

NASA 1 W

POSTAL-SERVIC

E 5 W

VETERANS-AFFAIRS 3 W

OTHER 4 W

STREETLIGHTS 4

W

GOV.VEHICLES 3

W

ROADS 330 W

OTHER 3 W

NON-

ACCO

UNTED

2960

W

Me

Me and my ladyfriend

1000 people

1 000 000 People

0 10 20 30 40 50

5

10

15

20

25

30

1 Qatar2 Iceland3 United Arab Emirates4 Bahrain5 Luxembourg6 Netherlands Antilles7 Kuwait8 Trinidad and Tobago9 Canada10 United States11 Brunei Darussalam12 Finland13 Norway14 Sweden15 Australia

16 Belgium17 Saudi Arabia18 Singapore19 Gibraltar20 Netherlands21 Oman22 France23 Russian Federation24 New Zealand25 Korea, Rep26 Czech Rep27 Germany28 Austria29 Japan30 United Kingdom31 Denmark32 Ireland33 Switzerland34 Estonia35 Turkmenistan36 Slovenia37 Slovakia38 Kazakhstan39 Cyprus40 Spain41 Libyan Arab Jamahiriya42 Israel43 Italy44 Ukraine45 Greece46 Belarus47 Lithuania48 South Africa49 Hungary50 Bulgaria

kilo

wat

tsPer Capita Energy Use 2003

US Average.

Global Average

Per capita power use 2003

1970 1980 1990 20000

5

10

15

year

tera

wat

tsWorld Power Consumption by Country, 1965-2005

USACanadaMexicoArgentinaBrazilChileColombiaEcuadorPeruVenezuelaOther S. & Cent. AmericaAustriaAzerbaijanBelarusBelgium & LuxembourgBulgariaCzech RepublicDenmarkFinlandFranceGermanyGreeceHungaryIcelandRepublic of IrelandItalyKazakhstanLithuaniaNetherlandsNorwayPolandPortugalRomaniaRussian FederationSlovakiaSpainSwedenSwitzerlandTurkeyTurkmenistanUkraineUnited KingdomUzbekistanOther Europe & EurasiaIranKuwaitQatarSaudi ArabiaUnited Arab EmiratesOther Middle EastAlgeriaEgyptSouth AfricaOther AfricaAustraliaBangladeshChinaChina Hong Kong SARIndiaIndonesiaJapanMalaysiaNew ZealandPakistanPhilippinesSingaporeSouth KoreaTaiwanThailandOther Asia Pacific

0

1

2

3

4

5E

nerg

y (T

W)

2007 Energy Consumption - Primary use by fuel type

Elec

tric

ity G

enTr

ansp

orta

tion

Indu

stry

Cooki

ngAir

Heatin

gIn

dust

rial S

team

Agric

ultu

re &

For

estr

yW

ater

Hea

ting

Ligh

tDis

trib

utio

n

Min

ing

OilCoalNatural GasBioHydroNuclearWindGeothermalSolarTidal

Which has led to this problem :

1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005310

320

330

340

350

360

370

380

year

CO

2 co

ncen

trat

ion

(ppm

)C

O2 L

evel

(ppm

)

Year

Ice Core 20 year AverageLaw Dome Antarctica

Mauna Loa Direct MeasurementHawaii

0 10 20 30 40 50

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

1 UNITED_STATES_OF_AMERICA2 USSR3 CHINA_MAINLAND4 GERMANY_COMBINE5 JAPAN_COMBINE6 UNITED_KINGDOM7 YUGOSLAVIA_COMBINE8 FRANCE_INCLUDING_MONACO9 INDIA10 CANADA11 POLAND12 RUSSIAN_FEDERATION13 ITALY_INCLUDING_SAN_MARINO14 SOUTH_AFRICA15 MEXICO

16 AUSTRALIA17 CZECHOSLOVAKIA18 BELGIUM19 SPAIN20 BRAZIL21 REPUBLIC_OF_KOREA22 NETHERLANDS23 ISLAMIC_REPUBLIC_OF_IRAN24 SAUDI_ARABIA25 INDONESIA26 ROMANIA27 DEMOCRATIC_PEOPLES_REPUBLIC_OF_KOREA28 ARGENTINA29 VENEZUELA30 TURKEY31 UKRAINE32 TAIWAN33 AUSTRIA34 SWEDEN35 HUNGARY36 THAILAND37 DENMARK38 ALGERIA39 BULGARIA40 EGYPT41 GREECE42 SWITZERLAND43 NIGERIA44 MALAYSIA45 FINLAND46 UNITED_ARAB_EMIRATES47 KAZAKHSTAN48 IRAQ49 COLOMBIA50 PAKISTAN

Cumulative National CO2 Emissions from Fossil-Fuel Burning,Cement Manufacture, and Gas Flaring: 1751-2004

giga

met

ric

tons

of c

arbo

n Cumulative national CO2 emissions from fossil-fuel burning, ce-ment manufacture, and gas flaring: 1751-2004

Out of equilibrium

AccessibleFossil Fuels1600 GtC

Soils3000 GtC

Vegetation700 GtC

Oceans40000 GtC

Atmosphere ~700 GtC +2 / yr

Atmosphere to Ocean 2 GtC/year

Carbon to Atmosphere 8 GtC/year

Temperature Changes around the world in the last quarter of the 20th century

- 1 - 0.8 - 0.6 - 0.4 - 0.2 0 + 0.2 + 0.4 + 0.6 + 0.8 + 1

Trends in °C per decade

-1 -0.8 +0.8-0.6 +0.6-0.4 +0.4-0.2 +0.20 +1

What temperature do we choose?

?????

A1BA1TA1FIA2B1B2IS92a

Scenarios

21002000190018001700

-0.5

0.0

-1.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

5.0

5.5

6.0

Tem

pera

ture

Ris

e, d

egre

es C

elsi

us.

Tem

pera

ture

Ris

e, d

egre

es C

elsi

usChoose your target

10% Species Lost

1000ppm

750ppm

650ppm

550ppm

500ppm

450ppm

400ppm

Entire cities and countries lost to sea level

20-50% Species Lost1-4 Billion people face water shortages

15-40% Species Lost

2.0

"Business As Usual" : 800+ ppmStern Report / EU : 550 ppm

This material : 450 ppmWhere we are today : 385 ppmJames Hansen, NASA : 350 ppm !

Pre - Industrial : 290 ppm

650

550

450ppm

(year2000) 368

Preindustrial 280

What temperature did I choose?

+2oC

AccessibleFossil Fuels1600 Gt

Soils3000 Gt.

Vegetation700 Gt.

Oceans40000 Gt.

Atmosphere 600 Gt.+0

Carbon to Atmosphere 1-2 GtC/year

Atmosphere to Ocean 1-2 GtC/year

What is implied by a 450ppm CO² target?

Effect on CO2 PPM1 Billion Tons Carbon +0.26

Terawatt Years (COAL) +0.198Terawatt Years (OIL) +0.155

Terawatt Years (GAS) +0.112

60 PPM to go (to 450)...

around 400 TW years of fossil fuel burning...

40 years at 10TW, 20 years at 20TW ...

1-2 GtC means around:

2.5 TW - if its all coal4.4 TW - if its all gas3.2 TW - if its all oil*30 TW - nuclear is not entirely CO2 free...

2º C (3.6º F) → 450 ppm → 2-3 TW from carbon fuels.

How much power from that much carbon?

Units shown in Terawatts (TW)

Energy production

Plants: 5.2

Tidal: 0.0005

Solar: 0.016

Wind: 0.06

Gas: 3.2 Coal: 3.6

Geothermal: 0.03

Nuclear: 1

Hydro: 0.36

Oil:5

18 TWHumanity

Global Exergy ConsumptionUnits shown in Terawatts

Other 2.5 Chemicals Metabolism Lighting Refrigeration

Electricity 1.7

Manufacturing & Industrial 3

Road & Rail 2.1

Heating & Cooking 2.3

Forestry 3

Global Energy Consumption

Agriculture 3.8

Units shown in Terawatts (TW) 18 TWHumanity

that wont last 10000 years...

what other options are there ?

Sources of renewable energy.

31 000 TW Atmospheric Absorption

85 000 TW Surface Solar

62 TW Ocean surface waves

90 TW Photosynthesis

65 TW Land3 TW Coastal waves

7.2 TW Hydro Rivers

300 TW Hydro Clouds

25 TW Hydro Land

3600 TW Wind

41 000 TW Evaporation

38 000 TW Land & Water heating

3.5 TW Tidal

32 TW Geo thermal

25 TW Ocean

100 TW Ocean thermal gradient

16 TWGlobal consumption

Current Demand:

16 TW

Fossil Fuel:

3 TW

Existing non-carbon:

1.5 TW

New Clean Energy:

16-(3+1.5)= 11.5 TW

What is the challenge?

2TW Fossil Fuels

1TW Existing Nuclear

0.5TW Existing Hydro / Renewables

2TW New Photo-Voltaic Solar

2TW New Solar Thermal

2TW New Wind

2TW New Geothermal

3TW New Nuclear

0.5TW New Other

Units shown in Terawatts (TW)2033 Energy Mix

Solar Thermal: 2

Fossil Fuels: 2

(carbon-free) Biofuels: 0.5

Existing Nuclear: 1

Existing Hydro / Renewables: 0.5

Wind:2

Nuclear: 3 Geothermal 2

Photo Voltaic Solar 2

15 TW

that looks workable...

what do we have to build?

2 TW New Photo Voltaic

100m²

100m²100m²

100m²100m²100m²100m²100m²

100m²

100m²

100m

²

100

100

10

0m

²

10

0m

²

10

0m

²

10

0m

²1

00

100

100

100m

²100m

²100m

²

100m²

100m²

100m²

100m²

100m²

100m²

100m²

100m²

100m²100m²

100m²100m² 100m² 100m² 100m²

100m²

100m²

100m²

100

100

10

0m

²

10

0m

²

10

0m

²

10

0m

²1

00

100

100

100m²

100m²

100m²

100m²

100m²

100m²

100m²

100m²

100m²

100m²

100 m² of solar cells

every second for the next

25 years. 15% efficiency,

good sitting.

1 sec.

Photo Voltaic

2 TW New Solar Thermal

50m²

50m²50m²

50m²50m²50m²50m²50m²50m

²50m²

50m²

50m

²

50

50

50

50

50

50

50m

²50m

²50m

²50m

²

50m²

50m²

50m²

50m²

50m²

50m²

50m²

50m²

50m²50m²

50m²50m² 50m² 50m² 50m² 50m

² 50m²

50m²

50m

²

50

50

50

50

50

50

50

50m

²50m

²50m

²50m

²

50m²

50m²

50m²

50m²

50m²

50m²

50m²

50

25 years50 m² of solar thermal

mirrors every second for

the next 25 years. 30%

efficiency, well sited.

1 sec.

Solar Thermal

100m Diameter

100m Diameter100

m D

iam

eter

100

m D

iam

eter

100m Diameter

100m Diameter

100m Diameter

100

m D

iameter

100

m D

iameter

100m Diameter

12 3MW wind turbines in

great locations every hour.

Or one 100m diameter

turbine every 5 minutes…

6 min.

2 TW New Wind Wind

SUN MON TUE WED THU FRI

1

8765432

1615141312109

23222120191817

30292827262524

31

SAT

March

3 TW New Nuclear

1x 3GW Nuclear plant every

week for the next 25 years.

Nuclear

2 TW Geothermal

SUN MON TUE WED THU FRI

1

8765432

1615141312109

23222120191817

30292827262524

31

SAT

March

3x 100MW

steam turbines

every day for

next 25 years.

Geothermal

0.5 TW carbon (net zero) biofuels?.

1250m²

1250m²1250m²

1250m²1250m²1250m²1250m²1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250

12

50

12

50

12

50

12

50

12

50

12

50

12

50

1250

1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250m²1250m²

1250m² 1250m² 1250m² 1250m²1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250m

²

12

50

12

50

12

50

12

50

12

50

12

50

12

50

1250m

²1250m

²1250m

²1250m

²

1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250m²

1250 m² or 1 olympic

swimming pool of algae

every second for the next

25 years.

1 sec.

Biofuel

Is that industrially possible?

what should Detroit do?

110 bn cans / year...= 200 GW solar thermal / year.

9 Nokia phones every second.Nokia + INTEL + AMD + + for solar PV?

GM = 1 car every 2 minutes.GM + FORD = 1 wind turbine every 5 minutes?

Retooling for WWII.

More than 300 000 aircraft were built in the US between 1939 and 1945.

1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005

0

5

10

15G

LOB

AL

PO

WE

R C

ON

SU

MP

TIO

N, T

W

10 TWin last40 years!

Awesome. We can do it.

Long Thinking thinks ahead...

PV : 50% CST : 25%

ATMOSPHERIC LOSSES.

DAY / NIGHT LOSSES.

CLOUD / WEATHER LOSSES.

EARTH’S SOLAR FLUX = 1270 Watts / m2.

GEOGRAPHY (LATITUDE).

LAND AREA COVERAGE

TERRESTRIAL SOLAR FLUX =90-300 Watts / m2.

TECHNOLOGY EFFICIENCY10 - 40%.

ACTUAL SOLAR PHOTONS TO ELECTRONS = 10-20 Watts / m2.

100m diameter = 3MW rated.33% capacity factor = 0.33 x 3 = 1MWSpacing = 10 diameters apart.Actual power density by land area = 1MW / 1km2

1-2W/m2 of land.

Hydroelectricity:Lake Mead : 639km2

Hoover Dam : 1860MW1860000000 / 639 000 000 = 2.9 W/m2

Bio-fuelsLake Mead : 639km2

Algae, 3% efficient photo-conversion.2-3 W/m2

Land area by country represented as scaled stripes

0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 1600

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

equal land area per person globally represented as square

sauls square of land required for his watts generated by solarAverage US citizen square of land required for watts generated by solar

global average persons square of land to generate their energy with renewables

meters

met

ers

Land area per person in USA

Land area per person globally

Land area required to produce my power consumption with solar.

Land area for average US citizen by solar.

Land area for average global citizen by solar.

Choose carefully. Quickly.

Possible. We must be wise.

Put yourself back into the picture :

6 650 000 000 People

16 000 000 000 000 Watts= 2 400 Watts per person.

MY 2007 LIFE17027 W (pre tax)

SFO

TO LH

R 4

10

W

LHR-S

FO 410 W

SFO-ATL 160 W

ATL-SFO 160 W

SFO-ATL-CPH 510 W

HEL-AMS-ATL-SFO 570 W

OAK-OGG-HON-OAK 560 W

SFO-BOS 210 W

BOS-SFO 210 W

OAK-DC 180 W

DC-OAK 180 W

OAK-ORD-MON-QUE 210 WQUE-DTW-SFO 210 WSFO-JFK 200 WJFK-SFO 200 W

OAK-BUR 20 W

BUR-OAK 20 W

SFO-BOS 210 WBOS-ORD 70 W

ORD-SFO 140 WSFO-JFK 200 W

JFK-SFO 200 W

SJC-SJO 230 W

SJO-SJC 230 W

SJC-VIJ 280 W

VIJ-SJC 280 W

SFO-SYD1140 W

SFO-DR 310 W

DR-SFO 3

10 W

SFO-O

AK 280 W

OAK

-SFO

280

W

'SFO TO LHR' 'LHR-SFO' 'SFO-ATL' 'ATL-SFO' 'SFO-ATL-CPH' 'HEL-AMS-ATL-SFO' 'OAK-OGG-HON-OAK' 'SFO-BOS' 'BOS-SFO' 'OAK-DC' 'DC-OAK' 'OAK-ORD-MON-QUE' 'QUE-DTW-SFO' 'SFO-JFK' 'JFK-SFO' 'OAK-BUR' 'BUR-OAK' 'SFO-BOS' 'BOS-ORD' 'ORD-SFO''SFO-JFK' 'JFK-SFO' 'SJC-SJO' 'SJO-SJC' 'SJC-VIJ' 'VIJ-SJC''SFO-SYD' 'SFO-DR' 'DR-SFO' 'SFO-OAK' 'OAK-SFO'

HO

ND

A IN

SIG

HT

310

W

DU

NE

BUG

GY

VW 1

50 W

TOYO

TA H

ILU

X 1

60 W

DO

DG

E S

PRIN

TER

100

WTO

YOTA

TA

CO

MA

240

W

TAX

IOR

REN

TAL

47

0 W

SH

OW

ERS

GA

S 7

0 W

CO

OK

ING

GA

S 3

0 W

HEATIN

G G

AS

400 WFR

IDG

E ELEC 30 W

CO

MPU

TER ELEC

10 WLA

PTOP ELEC

1 W

STER

EO ELEC

1 WLIG

HTS

ELEC 70 W

OTH

ER ELEC

8 W

MEAT & EG

GS 160 W

DAIRY 50 W

FATS AND OILS 30 W

FRUIT, VEG & NUTS 90 W

CEREALS & GRAINS 10 W

SUGAR 20 WBEER & W

INE 60 W

COFFEE 20 W

AG. PESTICIDES 10 W

AG. FERTILIZER 50 W

AG. ELECTRIC 40 W

AG. FO

SSILFUELS 80 W

WO

RKELECTRIC 410 W

WORKHEAT 200 W

CARS 560 W

BOATS 50 W

INTERNET 70 W

COMPUTERS 700 W

ELECTRONICS 250 W

NEWS 180 W

BIKES 6 WWATER 160 W

WASTEDISPOSAL 9 W TRANSPORTTOME 40 W

TEXTILES 90 W

BOOKS 130 W

MISCSTUFF1000 W

HOUSE 260 WRECREATION 110 W

HEALTHCARE 680 WFINANCE 60 WEDUCATION 340 W

WHITEGOODS 8 W

DEFENSE 100 W

ENERGY 4 W

GSA 2 W

HHS 1 W

JUSTICE 4

W

NASA 1 W

POSTAL-SERVIC

E 5 W

VETERANS-AFFAIRS 3 W

OTHER 4 W

STREETLIGHTS 4

W

GOV.VEHICLES 3

W

ROADS 330 W

OTHER 3 W

NON-

ACCO

UNTED

2960

W

My New Life

2291 Wattsair travel: 983

car: 258

food: 376

stuff: 254

bike ferry: 158

home heating: 25

home electric: 90

work heat: 25

work electric: 100

society: 22

My New Life

LOCAL STEP 4

Saul Griffith. 2010 : 13,777 Miles. 983 Watts equivalent. 2,000 kg CO2

Saul Griffith. 2010: 13,777 Mi. 2,000 kg CO2 My New Life

LOCAL STEP 4Previous Air Travel983 Watts

1 Trips / Month Mountain ViewDiesel Sprinter

18 MPG

6 Trips / year in-Laws, SebastopolHybrid Honda

55 MPG

2 Trips / year Waddell Creek, SurfingDune Buggy

25 MPG

Saul's new driving habits

2 Trips / Month AlamedaHybrid Honda

55 MPG

My New Life

LOCAL STEP 4Previous Driving258 Watts

Milk Cheese: 15 W376 Watts

Wine: 38 W

Vegetables: 150 W

Farming: 50 W

Transportation: 60 W

Fertilizer: 31 W

Meat & Fish: 32 W

Saul’s new lifeMy New Life

LOCAL STEP 4Previous Food

772 Watts

rest of life 11369

Saul's stuff, old life vs. new life

1/10th as much stuff lasting 10 times as long.

New stuff: 250 W Old stuff: 2500 W

My New Life

LOCAL STEP 4

Book

sheetsofpaper

framed art

CD

jewelcase

boardgame

New

sPapers

monthlym

agazine

quarterlymagazine

projectionscreen

Mobile Phone

Desktop Computer

Laptop

Washing Machine

Refrigerator Oven

Dryer

House

Bicycles

Catam

aran

s

mot

orcy

cleh

elm

et

Gol

fClu

bs infla

tabl

eele

phan

t

Bik

emes

seng

erba

g m

otor

cycl

e su

rfbo

ard

golfb

all

golft

ee

tenn

isba

ll

tenn

isra

cket

Toot

hbru

sh

Sha

mpo

o (m

l) P

aper

cup

toot

hpas

te

cond

ition

er

teacandle detergentw

ashingpowder

toiletpaperroll clingw

rapsaran

aluminum

foil w

axedpaper S

hoes

Watch-C

oach W

oolenHat

t-shirt

pants coatjacket

socks woolhat

uggboots

crocsshoes

leathershoes w

idebrimhat

mensocks

menunderw

ear m

enshorts

shirtmenscollared

cargopants

coverallsoveralls

beltleather

MenW

oolSuit

Table(Wood)

Chair

futonmattress

metalfutonfram

e

woodenfutonfram

e

Bookshelf

woolenfloorrug

pillow

Sofabenchsittingkitchen

diningtable

chairdining sofabed

plantpotlarge

plantpotsmall stepstool

sidetable

KitchenPot

ricecooker

copperfryingpan

coppersaucepan kitchenknife

espressomachine

knifeblock

cuttingboard rollingpin

canopener

bottleopener

kitchenknives

coffeemug

tableknife

tablefork

teaspoon

soupspoons teapot

teakettle

sixcupFrench

butcherblock steelm

ug

ceramicm

ug

waterglass

saladplate bowl

dinnerplate

WineG

lass

cakestand

saladbowl

carvingset

woodenspoon

bamboospoon m

etalspatula rubberspatula

whisk key

paintroller

cellphonecover

powerstrip

deskphone

ToolChest

umbrella

conferencebag

suitcasecarry

artificialchristmastree

naturalchristmastree

aluminum

stepladder

extensioncord

volkswagendunebuggy

toyotapickup

Honda Insight

TRAS

H

PHYSICAL STUFF ~2500 Watts

What about products?

Also contains per bottle

Plasticizers 43mg†Estrogen 0.12mg†Carcinogenic Dye 0.19mg†

† Safe daily values not yet established.

Consumption FactsContainer Mass 1.58oz (44.9g)Components per container 3

Embodied Energy Per ContainerTotal 4,609,420 JoulesPETE 38.81g 3,962,400 JoulesHDPE 4.83g 497,500 JoulesCellulosic 1.34g 149,520 Joules

Recycle rate 23%Landfill rate 43%Energy recovery rate 16%Lost to environmental waste 18%

Personal Energy Footprint % Daily Value*Total 4.54%Transport (avg.estimated) 0.69%Manufacture 0.46%Embodied Energy 2.67%Refrigeration (avg.estimated) 0.71%

* Personal Energy Footprint is based on a recommended 2000 Watt lifestyle. The average US consumer has a 11400 Watt lifestyle.! Consuming this product daily is equivalent to increasing your energy footprint by 90 Watts.

we forgot...

a couple more things...

We have to turn off the current CO2 emitters.

and stop deforestation...

"The Game Plan" slideset release 1.01, March 21 2008 67

1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 20000

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

Dep

ress

ion.

Oil

Cris

es.

Rece

ssio

n.

Sep.

11.2

001.

US energy consumption (TeraWatts)

100 mpg ?20 Miles per day.

500Watts.

2255 Watt thinking:

55mph

100kph

If we do what we want to do already, the goals can be achieved:

Eat less and more healthily,

Exercise more,

Spend more time with my family,

Live closer together,

Spend less time commuting,

Less business travel,

Have higher quality, better designed products.

Breathe cleaner air,

Drink cleaner water.

What to do ourselves

wattzon.comMeasure what is measureable, make measure-able what is not. - Galileo