Kyrgystan: Conflict Analysis (2010)

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Conflict Analysis of Violence that took place in Osh in June 2010)

Transcript of Kyrgystan: Conflict Analysis (2010)

Kyrgyzstan

Root Cause Analysis of June Riots 2010

Osh, Kyrgyzstan

Ethnicity Map

Key Questions

Elementary School in Osh

Actors

Actors Interests/Gains

Internal1.Government of Kyrgyzstan2.Uzbeki minority3.Drug Lords and Gangs4.Uzbeki women

Internal1.Ethnic (Kyrgyz) dominance2.Equality in opportunities and treatment3.Control of the routes4.equality

External 1. Uzbekistan2. Kazakhstan3. Russia4. United States of America5. China6. United Nations7. International Drug Trade

External1. Water and Energy2. Water and Energy3. Military Occupation/Arms4. Military/Air force base5. Work agreements6. Peacekeepers7. Financial

An Uzbeki child walks amid debris of a ruined building in Osh, Kyrgyzstan

Sources of Conflict

Root Causes

•Ineffective transition from centralized system to market-based system

•Competition among elites for state power

Violent Conflict

Aggravating factors

•Scarce natural resources

•Borders and Customs

•Drug Trade

•Lack of provision of social services

•Poverty

•Mobilization of ethnic differences

Background

•Delimitation of borders by the Soviet Union between 1924 and

•1936 Collapse of the Soviet Union and independence of Soviet republics

People run towards buses away from the southern Kyrgyz city of Osh

Gender Lens of Conflict

• humiliated, raped and murdered. • aftereffects of rape

• Physical • psychological trauma• sexually-transmitted infections• unwanted pregnancy• chronic infections • fertility problems • Being ostracized by family or community

• Victims of extortion

Abuse of Uzbeki women

Challenges

Hope for the Future