Post on 12-Jul-2020
Investor Presentation | Fourth Quarter 2012
1
OutlineI. Company Overview 2
II. Understanding the Business 8
III. Key Shareholder Information in a Nutshell 19
IV. Appendix 23a. Business Overview 24b. Consolidated Financial Performance 32c. Corporate Structure and Governance 37d. Country Overviews 43e. Glossary of Commonly Used Terms 50
I. Company Overview
3
GB Auto is leveraging its brand equity, regional presence, and the strength of its network to expand across the automotive value chain
•Passenger Cars in Egypt, Iraq, Libya, Algeria
•CV&CE in Egypt, Libya•2- and 3-Wheelers in
Egypt•Tires in Egypt, Iraq,
Libya, Jordan, Algeria
•Continue regional expansion
•Broaden passenger car, bus and truck ranges, with stronger export capabilities
Salesand
Distribution
•Passenger Cars•Commercial Vehicles•2- and 3-Wheelers
•Expand after-sales know-how and spare parts activity to support op-erations in new regional markets
After-Sales Services
•GB Lease: financial leasing
•Mashroey: microfinance
•Drive: consumer finance and factoring
•Increase customer reach•Diversify product port-
folios
Financing
•Bus body manufacturing
•Trailers
•Manufacturing of bus body on new chassis to begin in GB Polo facility
Manufacturing
•Passenger car Com-pletely Knocked Down (CKD) assembly
•Tuk-tuk Semi Knocked Down assembly
•Assembly of additional passenger car models and potentially other SUVs
Assembly
Curr
ently
:Ne
xt S
teps
:
4
GB Auto’s operations are segmented across five primary lines of business
Passenger Cars
4Q12 Sales Revenue 4Q12 Sales Revenue 4Q12 Sales Revenue 4Q12 Sales Revenue4Q12 Sales Revenue
Motorcycles & Three Wheelers
Commercial Vehicles & Construction Equipment Financing BusinessesTires
• AssemblyanddistributionofimportedCKDkits
• Distributionoffully-assem-bledimportedCBUunits
• After-salesserviceanddistributionofspareparts
• CKDcapacityisc.60,000to70,000unitsperyear
• Financingoptionspro-videdthroughDrive,GBAuto’sconsumerfinanceandfactoringarm
• Distributionoftwo-wheelscooters,motorcyclesandthree-wheelers(“tuk-tuks”)
• After-salesserviceanddistributionofspareparts
• CustomersprovidedwithfinancingoptionsthroughMashroey,GBAuto’smicrofinancingarm
• Assemblyanddistributionoftrucksandbuses
• Bus-bodymanufacturing• Manufacturinganddistri-butionofsuper-structuresandtrailers
• Distributionofconstructionandfarmingequipment
• After-salesserviceanddistributionofspareparts
• Offeringfinanceineverymarketsegment
• Mashroeyfinancesthepurchaseofmotorcycles,tuk-tuksandmotortricycles
• Financeforcommercialve-hicleandcorporateleaseclientsthroughGBLease
• IntroducedDrivein2Q12toofferconsumerfinancingandfactoringofpassengercarsasastartingpoint
• Distributionofpassengercar,van,truck,constructionequipmentandbustires
• IntroducedWestlaketiresin2Q12;morerecentlyintroducedGrandstone,DiamondBack,RotallaandTriangletires
• TiresLOBseekstoaddadditionalrepresentationstoroundoutproductoffering
70.3% 18.4% 4.6% 3.3% 3.4%
5
GBAuto’sactivitiesarepartofathree-axisstrategydesignedtomaximizelong-term
growth
Inve
stin
g in
Cor
e Bu
sine
sses
Leveraging Business Relations
Working on Expansion O
pportunities
Thecompany’skeystrategicgoalsinthecomingyearinclude:
1. DevelopnewlyestablishedventuresinLibyaandAlgeria,withthesupportofstrongsustain-ablegrowthfromEgyptandIraq.
2. Expandbrandrepresentationandproductportfolioandexpandproductreachacrossallcountriesofoperations.
3. Continuetoexpandinnewhigh-growthmarketswithafocusonSub-SaharanAfricaasthenextgrowthphase.
GB Auto’s ultimate goal is to become the largest automotive products distributor in Africa and the Middle East
6
Management’s future plans focus on regional and product expansions
Where We See The OPPOrTUNITy…
• Maintainleadershipinpassengercarmarket
• Fillinproductgaps• Capitalizeontheexpansionsalreadymadeandin-progressinafter-sales
• Supportsalesthroughfinancingoptions
• Targetac.10%marketshareinthemedium-termofpassengercars
• Createafter-salesnetworkbasedonthesuccessfulEgyptianmodel
• PotentialexpansionofGBAuto’sprod-uctrange
• EnterselectSub-SaharanAfricanmar-ketswithastrongproductrangethataddressespent-updemandintradition-allyunder-servedindustrysegments
EGyPT
LIByA
IRAQ
ALGERIAAFRICA
• Givengrowthoftheeconomyandpent-updemand,currentunitsalesareconsideredthe“tipoftheiceberg”
• Continuetoexpandafter-salesnetworktosupportsales,solidifymarketpres-enceandincreaseprofitability
• PotentialexpansionofGBAuto’sproductrange
• Targetac.5%marketshareinthemedium-termofpassengercars
• Augmentpassengercarsaleswithawiderangeoftirebrands
• PotentialexpansionofGBAuto’sproductrange
7
4Q Five-year Progression of Key Indicators(all figures in Le million)
Fy Five-year Progression of Key Indicators(all figures in Le million)
GB Auto consistently reports strong performance in key indicators
Gross Profit EBIT Net Income
Gross Profit EBIT Net IncomeRevenues
4Q08
2,354.2
8,290.1 1,070.0883.3885.4
593.9
873.2 632.9
380.6
527.7 519.2615.0
415.7
201.4257.9
190.6 217.8
7,415.36,919.4
4,258.45,192.3
353.4
243.0213.1
121.2 61.4
148.8109.3
131.9
205.2
12.1
89.9
40.1 43.6
75.9
217.9
1,877.51,788.0
1,318.1891.3
4Q09 4Q10 4Q11 4Q12
FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
4Q08 4Q09 4Q10 4Q11 4Q12 4Q08 4Q09 4Q10 4Q11 4Q12 4Q08 4Q09 4Q10 4Q11 4Q12
Revenues
II. Understanding the Business
9
GB Auto is on its way to becoming a major regional player
Libya
Population 5.6 mn
Nominal GDP US$ 85.1 bn
GDP / Capita: US$ 13,300
Motorization / 1,000 people 290 (in 2007)
Algeria
Population 36.9 mn
Nominal GDP US$ 205.4 bn
GDP / Capita: US$ 7,500
Motorization / 1,000 people 114 (in 2010)
Egypt
Population 83.6 mn
Nominal GDP US$ 277.3 bn
GDP / Capita: US$ 2,700
Motorization / 1,000 people 32 (in 2010)
Iraq
Population 32.96 mn
Nominal GDP US$ 115.4 bn
GDP / Capita: US$ 3,750
Motorization / 1,000 people 77 (in 2006)
Jordan
Population 6.2 mn
Nominal GDP US$ 28.8 bn
GDP / Capita: US$ 6,000
Motorization / 1,000 people 165 (in 2011)
10
Location Passenger CarsCommercial Vehicles & Construction
Equipment Motorcycles &
Three-Wheelers Tires Financing Businesses
Egypt
Iraq
Libya
Algeria
Jordan
GB Auto has secured key representations in key regional markets
11
The Egyptian passenger car market’s fundamentals are strong and recovering from disruptions of the Arab Spring
The egyptian passenger car market is finally showing signs of growth, although management anticipates weaker unit sales in 2013
Management has focused CKD assembly on models in the largest market segment
PC Market, Annual Sales PC Market Segmentation, Fy12
Sources: Automotive Marketing Information Council (AMIC); World Bank, Business Monitor International, CIA World Fact Book, GB Auto Research
Passenger Cars
Management anticipates substantial future growth on the back of relatively low penetration rates
>1.6L 1.5L -1.6L
<1.3L 1.3-1.5L
11.8% 7.9%
20.0%
60.3%FY08FY06 FY07 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
133,591
198,800
133,165
179,178192,848
158,926 144,123
*Pleasenotethatthisfigurereferstopassengercarsonly,whilethemotorizationfiguresoftheothercountriesinthisgraphicrefertocars,buses,andfreightvehiclesbutdonotincludetwo-wheelers.
AlgeriA 7,500
JordAn 6,000
libYA 13,300
irAQ 3,750
egYpt 2,70032*
77
290
165
114
GDP per CapitaCountry
12
GB Auto dominates the local market on the back of its unmatched distribution and after-sales network, wide product offering, and
positioning as the “best-value-for-money” product
Hyundai is the leading market player with 28.6% market share in Fy12
Hyundai Motor Co.’s Best Distributor
in Africa and Top 5 worldwide
Largest national distribution
and after-sales service network, recently tripled capacity
PC Revenue for Egyptian activities reached
LE 3,392.0 million in Fy12
2 new 3S service centers in Egypt in Fy2011-12 with a 3rd one
coming online in June 2013
Egypt
Location of GB Auto Distribution and After-Sales Facilities
Under ConstructionCurrently Operating
Planned for Construction
Fy12 Market Share of Key Players*
* Source: Automotive Marketing Information Council (AMIC). Please note that AMIC figures are based on individual companies willingly contributing / reporting their sales and that GB Auto cannot check the full accuracy of these or guarantee that all companies operating in Egypt report to AMIC
** GB Auto’s FY12 market share was pressured by supply shortages from HMC for key CBU models
Passenger Cars
hyundai
Chevrolet
Kia
Toyota
renault Fy10
Fy11
Fy12
27.1%
20.0%
11.3%
4.7%
1.8%
32.2%
18.3%
8.6%
6.8%
2.6%
28.6%**
17.4%
14.1%
7.9%
4.6%
0% 20%10% 30%5% 25%15% 35%
13
Going forward, continued growth is expected as Iraqi operations mature and Egyptian operations expand
• Roll-out of 2 new service centers in 2011-12, with another to follow in 1H13• Our new partnership with Geely, which has been well-received in Egypt, gives GB Auto the opportunity
to dominate a new price point while simultaneously making better use of our expanded CKD assembly capacity
• GB Auto’s strategy over the long-term is to diversify product offerings, price points, representations and our sales network
Egypt
Iraq
• Based on automotive penetration rates and GDP growth in Iraq, current sales represent the “tip of the iceberg”
• Margin improvement as operations evolve from the start-up phase, and the optimization of the product mix and pricing
• Cost-efficient investment in an after-sales network has begun with three service centers facilities in Baghdad, Irbil and Suleimaniyya with two set to follow (one in Basra, one in Najaf) in the course of 2013
• GB Auto recently entered the Algerian & Libyan markets with Geely passenger cars.• Libya: Target includes a c.10% market share in the medium-term and the creation of an after-sales
network based on the successful Egyptian model• Algeria: Targeting a c.5% market share in the medium-term• Management is actively exploring the potential expansion of GB Auto’s product range in these exciting
new markets
Passenger Cars
AlgeriaLibya
14
The Motorcycles and Three-Wheelers segment continues to perform well due to strong market fundamentals and GB Auto’s
responsiveness to market needs
GB Auto continues to witness strong performance of its Motorcycles and Three-Wheelers business
• Price cuts implemented in 2Q12 stimulated demand for three-wheelers throughout the year, leading to the best-ever performance by the LOB, compensating for weak-ness in sales earlier in the year following the abortive introduction of new taxes and customs on three-wheelers at the beginning of the year.
• Pent-up demand for three-wheelers in low-income / peri-urban areas remains significant, and management anticipates that sales in this key segment will prove to be largely resilient to any economic shocks in the coming period.
• The change in product mix to include increased motorcycle sales, which are sold at lower margins, has seen downward pressure on the division’s margins overall.
Tapping the egyptian two-wheelers market with the Boxer 150
• In late 2011, GB Auto introduced a new motorcycle model, the Boxer 150, priced at the lowest end of the company’s product offering, has proven to be wildly popular with consumers, driving a 178.0% growth in unit sales in 2012.
• The model’s popularity has become the model of choice for consumers seeking the best value for money in an affordably priced motorcycle, and management expects that sales will continue to be strong heading into 2013.
GB Auto offers a wide product range within this business segment
Motorcycles and Three-Wheelers
Data on egypt’s three-wheeler market overall is not reliable; however, it is clear that the market has enjoyed particularly robust growth in the past several yearsGB Auto’s Three Wheeler Sales Volume
FY08FY07 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12
37,575 36,615
61,722
40,80542,592
68,527
15
Egypt’s commercial vehicle market is likely to remain stagnant until signifi-cant economic recovery spurs infrastructure and corporate spending
The largest segment of the truck market, the pick-up truck, is absent from GB Auto’s product range, for nowTruck Market Segmentation, Fy12
The microbus, which is absent from GB Auto’s current product range, represents the highest sales among buses in the marketBus Market Segmentation, Fy12
Commercial Vehicles & Construction Equipment
Pickup Truck Light TruckMedium Truck heavy Truck
The light & medium trucks market is showing signs of recovery; heavy trucks remains depressed but steadyTruck Market Sales Volume (excluding pickup trucks)
2.1%19.7%
6.0%
72.2%
Microbus MinibusMidibus Maxibus
86.5%
2.3% 1.1%
10.1%
The bus market remains volatile, but its long-term fundamentals are soundBus Market Sales Volume (excluding microbus)
Source: Automotive Marketing Information Council (AMIC)
4Q10 4Q112Q11 2Q121Q11 1Q123Q11 3Q12 4Q12 4Q10 4Q112Q11 2Q121Q11 1Q123Q11 3Q12 4Q12
3,000
2,500
1,000
2,000
800
1,500600
1,000400
500 200
0 0
light & Medium trucks
Heavy trucks
16
The CV & CE line of business is undergoing a major overhaul, and has begun to show strong operational improvement
• Unit sales of trucks are up 49.7% y-o-y in 4Q12, and 96.1% in Fy12
• Management has added Sino Truck heavy trucks to the product line-up
• Management is exploring the opportunity to fill the product gaps in this segment, and hopes to make an announcement in this regard soon
• Unit sales increased in 4Q and Fy12, with a correspondent increase in revenues and gross profits.
• Corporate and government spending is still curtailed, pend-ing revitalization of infrastruc-ture spending nationwide
• Management is exploring op-tions to expand this segment in new markets in North Africa and the Middle East
• GB Auto introduced yTO tractors in the fourth quarter
• With the growth and modern-ization of Egypt’s agricultural sector, management expects to see tractor sales perform quite well going forward
• In its first quarter of operations, the Tractors segment sold 51 units, and returned positive revenue and gross profit
• Unit sales rose more than five-fold y-o-y in 4Q12 and are up 81.1% year-to-date
• This is another segment that should become important once economic stability is achieved in Egypt
• A focus on exports should be the next step
• Unit sales of buses are down in 4Q and Fy12 y-o-y on pressure from economic uncertainty in Egypt
• Management looks forward to the introduction of new bus offerings from GB Polo before the end of 1H13
• An advantage here is the devaluation of component currencies (the Egyptian pound and the Japanese yen), making product pricing more attractive
Buses Trucks Trailers Construction Equipment Tractors
Commercial Vehicles & Construction Equipment
17
GB Auto’s Tires line of business is a solid, steadily growing contributor to overall profitability
• Distributionofpassengercar,vantruck,constructionequipmentandbustiresinfivemarkets
• OurDiamondBack,GrandstoneandRotallarepresentationsarethelatestachievementinourongoingeffortstoroundoutthisLOB’sproductoffering
• RegionaltiressalescontributedLE5.7millionandLE12.3milliontothetoplinein4QandFY12,respectively
Tires
• Passenger car tires• Light truck tires
• Light truck tires• Truck tires• Bus Radial tires (TBR)
• Passenger car tires• Light truck tires• Truck tires
• Light truck tires• Truck tires• Bus Radial tires (TBR)
• Truck tires
• Passenger car tires• Light Truck tires
• Passenger car tires• Light truck tires• Truck tires• Off-the-road (OTR) tires
Operations in: LibyaOperations in: egypt, Iraq, Jordan
Operations in: Algeria
Operations in: AlgeriaOperations in: egypt
Operations in: egypt, IraqOperations in: egypt, Algeria
18
GB Auto’s Financing Businesses are contributing more to the top line, driven by the diversity of their portfolios
•Newest Financing Businesses venture finances consumer purchases of passenger cars as well as factoring
•Launched operations in late June 2012, and has already proven to be an important sales driver for the Passenger Cars business
•Extends lease finance to a diverse asset base: automotive, IT and heavy equipment, real estate and other asset classes
•Focuses on risk diversification by asset class, industry sectors and clients
•Operates leading prudent risk management practices with respect to provisions and risk recognition
•Micropayments venture, which finances the sale of two-wheelers, three-wheelers and motor tricycles on credit terms to low income earners
•Mashroey is adding sales of GB Auto’s new yTO-brand tractors to its product portfolio
•Mashroey has actively grown its portfolio of two and three wheelers, which together account for c.80% of its portfolio
FinancingBusinesses
III. Key Shareholder Information In a Nutshell
20
• Expanding regionally, with maturing position in Iraq and new presence in key North African markets of Algeria and Libya
• Leading position in the Egyptian automotive market, which is characterized by low penetration rates
• A diversified portfolio of partners including the leading global brands of Hyundai, Geely, Mazda, Bajaj, Mitsubishi, Volvo, Iveco Irisbus, Great Wall, Lassa, Yokohama, ZC Rubber’s West Lake, Grandstone, Diamond Back, Rotalla and Triangle, with more to follow as part of our expansion drive
• Highly profitable, low-cost assembly (passenger cars) and manufacturing (bus-body, trailers, superstructures)
• Largest distribution and after-sales network in Egypt for passenger cars, motorcycles & three-wheelers and commercial vehicles (vital infrastructure that would be significantly costly for competitors to replicate); network is now growing in Iraq and will be introduced in Libya
• Strong management team with a full C-suite in place early in 2012• Solid balance sheet and financing potential• Strong performance in 2011 and 2012 despite market challenges resulting
from the Arab Spring and the global economic climate
GB Auto is a compelling play on strong underlying fundamentals
21
GB Auto One year Stock Performance
Geographic Distribution of the Free Float
GB Auto is focused on the long-term sustainability of the business and its ability to deliver to Shareholders
Free Float Ghabbour Family
South Africa
United Kingdom
Rest of Europe
Saudi Arabia
Egypt
United States
Rest of World
A closer look at our shareholding structureGB Auto’s Shareholding Structure
70.92%
29.08% 29.1%
17.6%24.6%
10.8%
15.2%
2.4% 0.4%
22
We promised… and we delivered
• Launched two service centers in 2011-12 in Egypt; another under construction and expected to open in 1H13
• Three service centers now open in Iraq (Baghdad, Irbil, Suleimaniyya); two more planned for 2013
Expand After-Sales Capacity
• Partnering with Geely to assemble and distribute their passenger cars in Egypt• Partnering with ZC Rubber to distribute their price-competitive Westlake branded
tires in Egypt• In process of finalizing new PC, CV, CE, Tires and other representations
Pursue New Representations
• Currently implementing new business processes resulting from institutionalization plan • Created an organization structure that will support the business for years to come• Hired experienced C-suite team• Recruitment efforts include an Excellence Program to attract high caliber graduates
Deepen Management Team and Institutionalization
• Formed Mashroey, a microfinance venture extending credit to purchasers of three-wheelers
• Formed Drive, a consumer finance and factoring venture to extend credit to purchasers of passenger cars
Harness Consumer Credit Growth
• Launched operations in Algeria with passenger cars and tires Launched operations in Libya with passenger cars, pick-up trucks and tires
• Expanded operations in Iraq to include tiresPenetrate New Markets
IV. Appendix
a. Business Overview
25
Passenger Car Financial Performance (1/2)
Passenger Cars
4Q10 4Q11 4Q12%Change
4Q11 v 4Q12 FY10 FY11 FY12% Change
FY11 v FY12
CBU Sales Volume 11,780 11,810 11,624 -1.57% 51,924 50,103 44,562 -11.06%
CKD Sales Volume 6,347 4,828 5,470 13.30% 22,439 17,749 21,598 21.69%
Total Sales Volume 18,127 16,638 17,094 2.74% 74,363 67,852 66,160 -2.49%
Sales Revenue 1,287.42 1,384.03 1,579.69 14.14% 5,183.89 5,554.63 5,830.74 4.97%
Gross Profit 113.57 147.76 214.88 45.43% 531.12 509.19 637.71 25.24%
Gross Profit Margin 8.82% 10.68% 13.60% 2.93 10.25% 9.17% 10.94% 1.77
After-Sales Revenue 61.07 48.51 76.15 56.98% 199.15 187.24 241.55 29.00%
After-Sales Gross Profit 23.69 16.26 26.01 59.93% 81.14 59.80 81.27 35.90%
After-Sales Gross Profit Margin 38.79% 33.52% 34.15% 0.63 40.74% 31.94% 33.65% 1.71
Total Passenger Car Revenues 1,348.49 1,432.54 1,655.84 15.59% 5,383.04 5,741.87 6,072.29 5.75%
Total Passenger Car Gross Profit 137.26 164.02 240.89 46.87% 612.25 569.00 718.99 26.36%
Passenger Car Gross Margin 10.18% 11.45% 14.55% 3.10 11.37% 9.91% 11.84% 1.93
Total Passenger Car Sales Activity (All Brands and Markets)
26
Passenger Car Financial Performance (2/2)
Geely Egypt
After-Sales
Hyundai Iraq
Mazda EgyptHyundai Egypt
CBU
CKD
Passenger Cars
4Q10 4Q11 4Q1211,780
11,810
4,828
11,624
4Q10
4Q11
4Q125,470
6,347
Breakdown of Units Sold, all brands and markets
Passenger Car Revenue Breakdown by Segment
63.1
%
64.2
%
44.4
%
2.8% 0.2%
4.5% 3.4%
49.9
%
4.6%
29.6
%
32.2
%
1.1%
27
Two- and Three-Wheelers Financial Performance (1/2)
Motorcycles and Three-Wheelers
4Q10 4Q11 4Q12%Change
4Q11 v 4Q12 FY10 FY11 FY12% Change
FY11 v FY12
Three-Wheeler Sales Volume (Units) 12,687 14,938 25,373 69.86% 40,805 61,722 68,527 11.03%
Two-Wheeler Sales Volume (Units) 1,501 4,466 10,040 124.81% 7,838 12,105 33,648 177.97%
Total Sales Volume (Units) 14,188 19,404 35,413 82.50% 48,643 73,827 102,175 38.40%
Sales Revenue (LE million) 188.55 246.88 413.07 67.32% 594.57 967.31 1,156.23 19.53%
Gross Profit (LE million) 54.42 61.51 75.71 23.08% 160.55 247.72 217.11 -12.36%
Gross Profit Margin (%) 28.86% 24.92% 18.33% 6.6% 27.00% 25.61% 18.78% 6.83%
After-Sales Revenue (LE million) 10.23 9.02 19.14 112.13% 30.17 34.29 52.74 53.82%
After-Sales Gross Profit (LE million) 3.07 0.12 3.94 3089.96% 9.10 6.67 11.38 70.71%
After-Sales Gross Profit Margin (%) 30.02% 1.37% 20.59% 19.22 30.17% 19.44% 21.58% 2.13
Total Motorcycles & Three-Wheeler Revenues (LE million) 198.78 255.91 432.22 68.90% 624.73 1,001.60 1,208.97 20.70%
Total Motorcycle & Three-Wheeler Gross Profit (LE million) 57.49 61.64 79.65 29.23% 169.65 254.39 228.49 -10.18%
Motorcycle & Three-Wheeler Gross Margin (%) 28.92% 24.09% 18.43% -5.66 27.16% 25.40% 18.90% -6.50
28
Two- and Three-Wheelers Financial Performance (2/2)
MotorcyclesThree-Wheelers
After-Sales
Three-Wheelers
Two-Wheelers
4Q10 4Q11 4Q12
Motorcycles and Three-Wheelers
12,687
1,501
14,938
4,466
25,373
10,040
4Q10
4Q11
4Q12
Breakdown of Units SoldMotorcycles & Three-Wheelers Revenue Breakdown by Segment
89.9%
5.0%5.1%
86.7%
9.8%3.5%
83.5%
12.1%4.4%
29
Commercial Vehicle & Construction Equipment Financial Performance (1/2)
Commercial Vehicles & Construction Equipment
4Q10 4Q11 4Q12% Change
4Q11 v 4Q12 FY10 FY11 FY12% Change
FY11 v FY12
Buses Sales Volume (Units) 216 130 76 -41.54% 927 482 470 -2.49%
Trucks Sales Volume (Units) 221 161 241 49.69% 1,297 542 1,063 96.13%
Tractors Sales Volume (Units) 0 51 - 0 0 51 -
Trailer Sales Volume (Units) 54 14 96 585.71% 409 127 230 81.10%
Construction Equipment Sales Volume (Units) 24 13 17 30.77% 43 37 45 21.62%
Total Sales Volume (Units) 515 318 481 51.26% 2,676 1,188 1,859 56.48%
Sales Revenue (LE million) 126.12 88.42 91.96 4.01% 586.62 286.75 410.16 43.03%
Gross Profit (LE million) 7.41 0.80 0.63 -21.12% 54.43 -3.88 10.48 -370.35%
Gross Profit Margin (%) 5.88% 0.90% 0.68% -0.22 9.28% -1.35% 2.56% 3.91
After-Sales Revenue (LE million) 19.65 12.58 16.12 28.11% 78.78 53.70 55.65 3.63%
After-Sales Gross Profit (LE million) 4.46 2.57 3.27 27.27% 22.56 10.14 9.96 -1.75%
After-Sales Gross Profit Margin (%) 22.70% 20.39% 20.26% -0.13 28.64% 18.88% 17.90% -0.98
Total Commercial Vehicles & Construction Equipment Revenues
(LE million) 145.77 101.00 108.09 7.01% 665.40 340.45 465.81 36.82%
Total Commercial Vehicles & Construction Equipment Gross Profit
(LE million) 11.88 3.36 3.89 15.80% 76.99 6.26 20.45 226.51%
Commercial Vehicles & Construction Equipment Gross Margin
(%) 8.15% 3.33% 3.60% 0.27 11.57% 1.84% 4.39% 2.55
30
Commercial Vehicle & Construction Equipment Financial Performance (2/2)
Trucks
Trailers
Tractors
Buses
Construction Equipment
After-Sales
Breakdown of Units Sold
Buses
Trailers
Trucks
Construction equipmentTractors
Commercial Vehicles & Construction Equipment Revenue Breakdown by Segment
Commercial Vehicles & Construction Equipment
38.2%
27.7%
5.7%
14.9
%
13.5%
39.9%
33.9%
9.2%
4.5% 12.5% 20.4%
38.0%
16.3%
8.5%
1.9% 14.9%
4Q124Q114Q10
216
22154
24
130161
1413
76
24196
17
51
4Q10
4Q11
4Q12
31
Other Lines of Business Financial Performance
Tires FinancingBusinesses
* Please note that the contribution of both Drive and Mashroey to the total revenues figures for the Financing Businesses excludes intercompany accounts with passenger cars (for Drive) and two and three-wheelers (for Mashroey).
4Q10 4Q11 4Q12% Change
4Q11 v 4Q12 FY10 FY11 FY12% Change
FY11 v FY12
Total Sales Revenues (LE million) 40.64 36.01 77.11 114.15% 111.65 163.39 290.10 77.54%
Total Gross Profit (LE million) 5.69 4.77 10.11 111.80% 18.48 24.62 42.73 73.56%
Gross Margin (%) 14.00% 13.25% 13.11% -0.1% 16.55% 15.07% 14.73% -0.34
4Q10 4Q11 4Q12% Change
4Q11 v 4Q12 FY10 FY11 FY12% Change
FY11 v FY12
Total Sales Revenues (LE million) 49.71 50.83 80.13 57.63% 101.30 156.50 248.97 59.09%
Total Gross Profit (LE million) 9.93 11.84 21.62 82.57% 19.55 38.48 69.39 80.31%
Gross Margin (%) 19.99% 23.29% 26.98% 3.7% 19.30% 24.59% 27.87% 3.28
Tire Summary Performance | LE million, %
Financing Business Summary Performance | LE million, %
b. Consolidated Financial Performance
33
Sales Summary
2010 2011 2012 4Q10 4Q11 4Q12
Volu
me
(un
its)
Passenger Cars, Egypt 54,052 43,131 41,756 12,982 11,697 10,225
Passenger Cars, Iraq 20,311 24,721 24,404 5,145 4,941 6,869
Three-Wheelers 40,805 61,722 40,805 61,722 68,527
Two-Wheelers 7,838 12,105 7,838 12,105 33,648
Buses 927 482 470 216 130 76
Trucks 1,297 542 1,063 221 161 241
Tractors - - 51 - - 51
Trailer 409 127 230 54 14 96
Construction Equipment 43 37 45 24 13 17
Sal
es R
even
ue
(L
E m
illio
n)
Passenger Cars, egypt 3,788.57 3,555.60 3,392.04 942.94 971.75 813.93
Passenger Cars, Iraq 1,594.47 2,186.27 2,680.25 405.55 460.79 841.91
Three- and Two-Wheelers 624.73 1,001.60 1,208.97 198.78 255.91 432.22
Commercial Vehicles & Construction equipment 665.40 340.45 465.81 145.77 101.00 108.09
Tires 111.65 163.39 290.10 40.64 36.01 77.11
Financing Businesses 101.30 156.50 248.97 49.71 50.83 80.13
Total Sales Revenue 6,919.44 7,415.29 8,290.15 1,788.04 1,877.51 2,354.22
34
Gross Profit Summary
2010 2011 2012 4Q-10 4Q-11 4Q-12
Gro
ss P
rofi
t
(LE
mill
ion
)
Passenger Cars, egypt 514.78 418.52 426.33 115.26 125.65 113.41
Passenger Cars, Iraq 97.48 150.48 292.66 22.00 38.37 127.47
Three- and Two-Wheelers 169.65 254.39 228.49 57.49 61.64 79.65
Commercial Vehicles & Construction equipment 76.99 6.26 20.45 11.88 3.36 3.89
Tires 18.48 24.62 42.73 5.69 4.77 10.11
Financing Businesses 19.55 38.48 69.39 9.93 11.84 21.62
Gross Profit 885.41 883.30 1,070.04 217.94 243.01 353.38
Gro
ss P
rofi
t M
arg
in
(%)
Passenger Cars, egypt 13.59% 11.77% 12.57% 12.22% 12.93% 13.93%
Passenger Cars, Iraq 6.11% 6.88% 10.92% 5.43% 8.33% 15.14%
Three- and Two-Wheelers 27.16% 25.40% 18.90% 28.92% 24.09% 18.43%
Commercial Vehicles & Construction equipment 11.57% 1.84% 4.39% 8.15% 3.33% 3.60%
Tires 16.55% 15.07% 14.73% 14.00% 13.25% 13.11%
Financing Businesses 19.30% 24.59% 27.87% 19.99% 23.29% 26.98%
Gross Profit Margin (%) 12.80% 11.91% 12.91% 12.19% 12.94% 15.01%
35
Balance Sheet Summary
* Refers to 12-month trailing EBITDA
Key Ratios FY 2012
Current Ratio 1.37
Net Debt to Equity 0.59
Net Debt to EBITDA* 1.7
Changes between FY11 and FY12
• Inventory levels rose 39.1% to LE 1,752.3 million in FY12, up from LE 1,259.9 million in FY11; the increase is attribut-able to a strategic decision taken to secure a higher level of inventory at a lower cost, due to the rapid devaluation of the Egyptian pound
• Receivables rose 22.3% to LE 781.5 million in FY12; noteworthy here is that close monitoring and control of receivables helped to reduce the collection period from 32 days in 2011 to be 30 days in 2012
• Management continues to maintain a strong emphasis on working capital drivers and is paying careful attention to balancing its working capital cycle despite the challenges associated with the growing nature of our business
36
Balance Sheet
as of
(LE million) 31-Dec-11 31-Dec-12 % ChangeCash 1,161.56 1,264.73 8.88%Net Accounts Receivable 638.89 781.48 22.32%Inventory 1,259.85 1,752.27 39.09%Assets Held For Sale 0.00 330.00 #DIV/0!Other Current Assets 436.92 463.52 6.09%Total Current Assets 3,497.22 4,592.00 31.30%Net Fixed Assets 1,638.41 1,439.06 -12.17%Goodwill and Intangible Assets 261.04 269.06 3.07%Lessor Assets 164.15 282.01 71.80%Investment Property 5.48 3.12 -43.13%Other Long-Term Assets 38.85 61.24 57.64%Total Long-Term Assets 2,107.94 2,054.48 -2.54%Total Assets 5,605.16 6,646.47 18.58%Short-Term Notes and Debt 1,351.95 2,006.95 48.45%Accounts Payable 1,056.08 1,267.37 20.01%Other Current Liabilities 73.07 77.14 5.57%Total Current Liabilities 2,481.09 3,351.46 35.08%Long-Term Notes and Debt 701.61 510.70 -27.21%Other Long-Term Liabilities 94.64 253.60 167.95%Total Long-Term Liabilities 796.26 764.30 -4.01%Minority Interest 343.94 424.45 23.41%Common Stock 131.26 131.15 -0.08%Shares Held With the Group -12.74 -3.28 -74.29%Legal Reserve 214.16 225.47 5.28%Other Reserves 1,036.31 1,052.09 1.52%Retained Earnings (Losses) 615.00 700.82 13.96%Total Shareholder’s Equity 1,983.98 2,106.26 6.16%Total Liabilities and Shareholder’s Equity 5,605.27 6,646.47 18.58%
c. Corporate Structure and Governance
38
GB Auto Organization Chart
Board of Directors
CEOr. Ghabbour
CBDOO. Sever
Director-Tires
K. Fahmy
CMOA. Satiroglu
CIOM. Nagy
CFOM. el Mahdi
COO2&3 W
G. Kabbani
RCASOA. Sykora
RCOOe. Abdulhalim
Director-CV A. Matabouly
Director-Geely A. Abdel Ghany
COO-HMCK. Kandil
COO-FBA. ragheb
DCFIM. Sadek
CHROA. Campbell
CIAOGamil William
GCOON. Ghabbour
39
Executive Management Biographies (1/3)
1. Dr. Raouf Ghabbour, Chairman of the Board of Directors and Chief Executive Officer, founded the Ghabbour Group of Companies, which he began incepting in 1985. Dr. Ghabbour began his career working in his family’s auto-related trading business, where he initially established himself in the tire division. having quickly gained a commendable reputation in the market for his business savvy, Dr. Ghabbour went on to acquire agency agreements from global OeMs, which he transformed into successful businesses. Dr. Ghabbour has grown the Company to a leading automotive assembler and distributor in the Middle east and North Africa.
2. Mr. Ahmed El Matbouly, Director of Commercial Vehicles, began his career at GB Auto 13 years ago, upon graduating from business school in 2000. Starting off as a marketing executive he was engaged in marketing activities across the full product portfolio at the time. Three years later he went on to get a Masters degree in International Busi-ness Administration from France for one year and then rejoined GB Auto in 2004 as a Commercial Vehicles After Sales Assistant Manager and later as a Commercial Vehicles Sales Assistant Manager. In 2006 he was appointed as LCV Sales Department Manger where he achieved notable success and sustainable growth resulting in his appointment, in 2008, as Commercial Vehicles Sales Director. With proven managerial capabilities, he was appointed Director of Commercial Vehicles and remains, to date, responsible for all operations across the business unit, including both Sales and After-Sales departments.
3. Mr. Ahmet Satiroglu, Chief Manufacturing Officer, is a Mechanical engineering graduate of Istanbul Technical University. Prior to joining GB Auto, Mr. Satiroglu spent his entire career with the company now known as Ford Otasan AS (Ford of Turkey). he joined the company as a project engineer before moving on to Quality Control. Mr. Satiroglu served for nine years as plant manager of the Inonu engine, transmission and truck plant before being made AGM Aftersales, Parts and Service. his final position was as AGM Total Quality, a position that covered all functions, not just manufacturing. Quality management has been a consistent theme in all of his jobs.
4. Mr. Alain Sykora, Chief After-Sales Officer, has developed extensive wholesale and retail experience in the automotive industry in both mature and emerging markets. Mr. Sykora also has experience in the sales, after-sales, marketing and business development segments of the business. Previously, Mr. Sykora worked at Zahid Tractor in Saudi Arabia as Director of the Automotive Division and held several managerial roles in Volvo Dubai and Volvo Canada. Mr. Sykora holds a degree in economics from the University of Quebec, an executive MBA from Paris-Dauphine-UQAM and has attended the Advanced Management Program of INSeAD.
5. Mr. Alexander Campbell, Chief Human Resources Officer, joined GB Auto with more than 35 years of international hr experience at senior levels. he spent the initial part of his career with Shell International Petroleum Co. where he held a variety of positions including industrial relations. After Shell, he worked in hr in advertising before becoming a senior management consultant in hr for Coopers and Lybrand in London. he then moved into financial services where he was head of hr for Chemical Bank in London, europe, and Asia Pacific, and head of hr Asia Pacific for Lehman Brothers. he then moved to Swiss Bank Corporation, which subsequently merged with UBS. At UBS, he held a number of senior hr positions including head of hr for Australia and New Zealand, Managing Director hr and co-head of hr for the investment bank, and ultimately Managing Director Global head of human Capital Management based at the UBS Group level in Zurich. In the four years before joining GB Auto, Mr. Campbell was Group Director of hr for Al-Futtaim Private Company in the United Arab emirates. he is a graduate of London University and holds a Postgraduate hr qualification from the London School of economics.
6. Mrs. Amal Ragheb, Chief Operating Officer of Financing Businesses, joined GB Auto in 2009 to take charge of the Group’s business activities : Leasing, Microfinance and Consumer Finance. Mrs. ragheb holds the position of executive Chairman for each of the individual entities set up for such purposes. Mrs. ragheb is also in charge of the entire credit risk management policies and applications for the Group. A seasoned hands-on and results-oriented banker with a proven track record spanning 32 years, Mrs. ragheb
40
Executive Management Biographies (2/3)joined GB Auto from Mashreq Bank, UAe where she held the position of Senior Vice President of risk Management for 2 years, moving from the same bank in egypt where she was CeO and Country Manager for 4 years, during which period she restructured and turned around the Bank and forged its future growth strategies in egypt. Mrs. ragheb started her banking career with Bank of America where she spent 23 years; spanning across a series of various positions in Cairo and Dubai, until finally rising to become Bank of America’s Country Manager and CeO for egypt, as well as regional Manager for the MeNA region, Turkey, and Africa.
7. Mr. Elmostafa Abdulhalim, Regional Chief Operating Officer, joined GB Auto in 1998 from Abdul-Latif Al-Jameel Toyota in Saudi Arabia, where he began his career in 1994 as a Junior Sales representative. Abdulhalim first worked in the GB Auto Sales Analysis & Planning department as an Analyst. In 2000 he was promoted laterally to be the Sales Manager for the Canal Area, overseeing retail Fleet Wholesales. he returned to the Sales Analysis & Planning as Division head in 2003, where he remained until he was promoted to hyundai Franchise Director in 2007. Mr. Abdulhalim oversaw the start-up of Iraqi operations as Managing Director of the Iraqi business from February 2010 until he was pro-moted to regional Chief Operating Officer for the Group. Mr. Abdulhalim holds a Bachelor of Commerce and MBA with a focus on Business & Strategies.
8. Mr. Gamil William Guirguis, Chief Internal Audit Officer, joined the Ghabbour Group in 2005, first taking responsibility for the Credit and recovery Division, and later as CIAO for GB Auto and other Ghabbour Group companies in 2007. Mr. Guirguis began his career in 1966 with National Bank of egypt, where he served for 12 years. he left NBe in 1978 to work for the egyptian American Bank, where he served for 27 years, holding a number of positions, eventually becoming General Manager and Chief Auditor, reporting directly to the Bank’s Board of Directors. While at egyptian American Bank, Mr. Guirguis took part in a number of international auditing assignments with the loan examiners of American express Bank (egyptian American Bank’s major shareholder) and was a member of major committees.
9. Mr. Ghassan Kabbani, Chief Operating Officer of Two- and Three-Wheelers, brings more than 30 years’ experience to GB Auto. he first worked in the family textile busi-ness from 1980 through 1994, when he left to join T.e.S. sheet metal. In 1996, together with Dr. Ghabbour and other partners, he established CITI (a 2+3 wheeler company). In 2007 CITI merged with GB Auto, at which time Mr. Kabbani joined the company. Mr. Kabbani graduated from AUC in 1979 with a BA in economics and Business Administration.
10. Mr. Kamal Fahmy, Tires Director, joined GB Auto in 2008 as part of the team working to grow the Tires line of business, as well as managing the company’s transport, public and cargo operations. Mr. Fahmy has been key in taking the company’s Tires operations regional, with activities now in five countries, and a greatly expanded brand and product offering. Mr. Fahmy holds a Bachelor’s degree from the American University in Cairo.
11. Mr. Khaled Kandil, Chief Operating Officer, Hyundai Motor Corp, joined GB Auto from exxonMobil, where he was most recently Vice-Chairman of exxonMobil egypt and Managing Director of exxonMobil Lubricants and Specialties covering operations in North and east Africa. his service to exxonMobil included secondment to the company’s corporate headquarters, during which time he participated in the merger between the exxon and Mobil corporations. he participated in a number of market entry and exit projects in South America, South east Asia and Africa. In 1998, Mr. Kandil was assigned by the corporation’s CeO to become a member of a global leadership team. A 32-year veteran of the oil and gas industry, in 1996 he headed a business reengineering project for the company’s egyptian operations after which he led the implementation of Mobil Lubricants’ integrated business strategy. This strategy saw the company become the market leader in less than one year, after being traditionally the third-ranked market player.
12. Mrs. Menatalla Sadek, Director of Corporate Finance and Investments, joined GB Auto in December 2011 to lead the creation of an in-house corporate finance department to screen, initiate and conclude merger and acquisition transactions as part of the company’s growth strategy. Mrs. Sadek is also directing the firm’s investor relations activities. She is a member of the company’s executive Committee and a regular attendee of the firm’s board meetings. Mrs. Sadek brings with her more than a decade of experience in the
Executive Management Biographies (2/3)
41
Executive Management Biographies (3/3)investment field in egypt and europe. She was head of consumer goods research at regional investment bank Beltone Financial, where she was part of the team that helped take GB Auto public. Previously, she was in Sweden with Standard & Poor’s european rating Team, and was earlier Assistant Corporate Manager at Barclays Bank. Sadek is a CFA Charterholder.
13. Mr. Mostafa El Mahdi, Chief Financial Officer, brings to GB Auto 22 years of experience at KPMG, where he joined in 1990 before being promoted to Partner in 2001. While there, he was head of the Manufacturing and Consumer Market line of business and the responsible Partner for Audit efficiency. Mr. el Mahdi has also worked as Chief Internal Auditor and Advisor to the President of the Board of Directors for IGI. he has extensive experience in restructuring projects and transaction services, including due diligence and mergers & acquisitions. Mr. el Mahdi holds a Bachelor of Commerce degree with a focus in Accounting from Cairo University and is a Fellow of the egyptian Society of Accoun-tants and Auditors, as well as a Member of the American Institute of Accounts and Auditors.
14. Mr. Mostafa Nagy, Chief Information Officer, joined GB Auto from Coca-Cola Bottling Company. he started with Coca-Cola in the IT Support team and was later promoted to lead the IT team in egypt. he then assumed responsibility for Libya, and ended his time there as IT Director of egypt, Libya and yemen. At Coca-Cola he was involved with com-pleting the business application portfolio, streamlining and aligning operations in line with the organization’s objectives. In Libya he revamped operations and established a hosted IT service organization in egypt. he reengineered Coca-Cola yemen’s business processes and implemented Oracle e-Business Suite there. Mr. Nagy earned his Bachelor’s degree in engineering from Alexandria University and did his engineering training with Siemens KWU in Germany. he acquired his MBA with Majors in Strategic Management and Infor-mation Management from the German University in Cairo. Mr. Nagy holds IT and Management certifications and in 2008 was awarded the Symantec eMeA IT Visionary Award.
15. Mr. Nader Ghabbour, Group Chief Operating Officer, started his career at GB Auto as a showroom sales representative for the passenger car division. he worked his way up to running the daily sales operations within the show room and later assumed the role of showroom sales supervisor and manager. Mr. Ghabbour’s managerial capabilities were proven when he took on the more strategic role of managing the business-to-business arm of the passenger car segment. he currently serves as the chief operating officer for the passenger car division, managing the passenger car sales and after sales functions, regional operations, and the 2- and 3-Wheeler operations. Mr. Ghabbour graduated with Bachelor of Arts in Business Administration from Boston University.
16. Mr. Osman Sever, Chief Business Development Officer, joined GB Auto in 2009 to assume the Chief Operating Officer-Commercial Vehicles Position. he assumed the Chief Business Development Office role at the end of 2010 to coordinate and lead the growth strategy of GB Auto. Mr. Sever has dedicated his entire career to automotive industry, with more than 25 years of experience at renault Turkey, Ford Turkey and Karsan AS in Turkey in positions including sales, marketing, engineering and export areas. Accordingly, Mr. Sever has considerable exposure to MeNA and international automotive markets. Prior to joining GB Auto Mr. Sever worked as General Manager in Bayraktar Automotive, General Manager in Tirsan AS and Deputy GM in Karsan. he holds a Bachelor of Science in Mechanical engineering from Istanbul Technical University and an MBA from huron University.
Executive Management Biographies (3/3)
42
Board of Directors Biographies
1. Dr. Raouf Ghabbour, Chairman of the Board of Directors and Chief Executive Officer, founded the Ghabbour Group of Companies, which he began incepting in 1985. Dr. Ghabbour began his career working in his family’s auto-related trading business, where he initially established himself in the tire division. having quickly gained a commendable reputation in the market for his business savvy, Dr. Ghabbour went on to acquire agency agreements from global OeMs, which he transformed into successful businesses. Dr. Ghabbour has grown the Company to a leading automotive assembler and distributor in the Middle east and North Africa.
2. Mr. Aladdin Hassouna Saba, Independent Director, is the co-founder and Chairman of Beltone Financial, a leading regional financial services institution operating in the fields of Investment Banking, Asset Management, Private equity, Brokerage and equity research. Mr. Saba is also a founding member of the egyptian Investment Management Association, in addition to the egyptian Capital Markets Association. Mr. Saba sits on the boards of The egyptian Stock exchange, National Bank of egypt, as well as various corporations and invest-ment funds.
3. Mr. Ali Pandir, Independent Director, recently retired from his position as Chief executive Officer of Tofas, a joint venture between Fiat of Italy and Koc of Turkey, and the largest automotive manufacturer and market leader in Turkey. During his tenure at Tofas, production capacity nearly doubled, two light commercial vehicles and one passenger car were engineered, developed, launched and exported to Fiat, PSA and GM under different brand names. Mr. Pandir has 16 years experience with global leader GM, where he worked his way from Aftersales Manager in Turkey to President of GM Indonesia. Mr. Pandir began his career at Tekersan in Turkey as a press tool design engineer, and was promoted to tool shop manager after only one year.
4. Mr. Hassan Abdalla, Independent Director, is the Vice Chairman and Managing Director of the Arab African International Bank (AAIB). he sits on the boards of a number of promi-nent private and government businesses, including the Central Bank of egypt, the egyptian Stock exchange, and UBAF Bank in hong Kong. Mr. Abdalla is Chairman of the Arab African Investment Management Company and the founder and former chairman of the egyptian Junior Business Association.
5. Mr. Nader Ghabbour, Group Chief Operating Officer, started his career at GB Auto as a showroom sales representative for the passenger car division. he worked his way up to running the daily sales operations within the show room and later assumed the role of showroom sales supervisor and manager. Mr. Ghabbour’s managerial capabilities were proven when he took on the more strategic role of managing the business-to-business arm of the passenger car segment. he currently serves as the chief operating officer for the passenger car division, managing the passenger car sales and after-sales functions, regional operations, and the 2- and 3-Wheeler operations. Mr. Ghabbour graduated with Bachelor of Arts in Business Administration from Boston University.
6. Dr. Walid Sulaiman Abanumay, Independent Director, has been the Managing Director of Al-Mareefa Al Saudia Company since 1997, where he oversees investments in both de-veloped and emerging markets. Mr. Abanumay has held several executive roles: between February 1993 and January 1994, he was the General Manager of the Investment Department of the Abanumay Commercial Center; between November 1990 and February 1993, he worked in the Treasury and Corporate Banking department of SAMBA. Mr. Abanumay is a board member of several prominent companies, including: Madinet Nasr for housing and Development (since 1998), raya holding (since 2005), and Beltone Financial.
7. Mr. yasser Hashem, Independent Director, is a Managing Partner of the renowned law firm, Zaki hashem & Partners. A member of the egyptian Bar Association since 1989, Mr. hashem graduated from the American University in Cairo with an undergraduate degree, and achieved his LLB in 1989 from Cairo University.
d. Country Overviews
44
Regional Market Growth Drivers
01
03
05
02
04
06
Key Growth Drivers Comments
SignificantGDPGrowthRegionwide,politicaluncertaintyandrisingglobalcommoditiespriceswillsomewhat
dampengrowth.Thatsaid,realGDPgrowthinMENAisexpectedtobec.4%inthecomingthreeyears,whileSub-SaharanAfricaislikelytogrowat5-6%overthesameperiod.
TheMENAregionisstrategicallylocatedatthejunctureofseveralkeywaterwaysandoverlandtransportroutes,providingtheregion’sbusinesseswithshortleadtimeson
importingandexportingkeygoods.
Regionwide,therearesignificantdiscrepanciesinGDPpercapita.However,sustainedandsustainableGDPgrowthhasledtoarapidlygrowingmiddleclassthroughouttheMiddle
EastandAfrica.
Statisticsshowthattheaverageglobalmotorizationindexis100carsper1,000persons,withthatnumberintheMEAregionbeingonaveragemuchlower.Managementforeseesthelocalindextriplinginthecomingyears,givenpopulationandeconomicgrowthtrends.
Inthistraditionallycash-basedculture,autoloansandmicrofinancearebecomingmoreprevalent,withbothlendersandborrowersgrowingmorecomfortablewiththepractice.
TheMiddleEastandAfricaishometooneoftheyoungestandfastestgrowingpopulationsintheworld,providingabuilt-inconsumerbase.
StrategicLocation
Large,Fast-GrowingConsumerBase
RapidlyFormingMiddleClass
AvailabilityofConsumerFinance
LowMotorizationIndex
Economicfundamentalsremainsolid,
fuelingex-pectationsofstronggrowthinthe
comingyears
There-
gion’sauto-
motivemarketispoisedforexpansion
Sources: Business Monitor International, GB Auto Research
45
Egypt’s Macroeconomic Fundamentals are Sound
economic growtha
% 2012b 2013c 2014c 2015c 2016c 2017c
GDP 2.2 2.9 6.2 6.7 7.2 6.4
Private consumption 5.9 6.2 5.8 5.9 6.1 6.4
Government consumption 3.1 3.0 2.8 4.3 4.1 3.9
Gross fixed investment 0.7 6.0 9.2 12.5 14.1 13.8
exports of goods & services -2.3 7.6 12.5 14.9 13.5 14.1
Imports of goods & services 10.8 9.4 10.1 13.2 12.7 15.5
Domestic demand 6.0 3.8 5.9 6.8 7.4 7.6
Agriculture 2.9 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.4
Industry 1.1 3.9 6.4 5.8 5.5 5.5
Services 2.9 2.1 6.8 8.2 9.4 7.7
The Economist Intelligence Unit has a fairly positive long-term outlook on Egypt, expecting to see the current account moving into surplus in 2016. Currently, the EIU sees domestic demand rising, as both private and government consumption both proving resilient. Investment is also on the rise, and the EIU says that invest-ment growth is expected to be supported in the medium-term as delayed projects get underway.
a Fiscal year data ending June 30th. b Actual. c Economist Intelligence Unit forecasts.*Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit Country Report January 2013.
46
Gross Domestic Product(US$ bn, market exchange rates)
Gross Domestic Product(% change, year on year)
GB Auto is optimistic about Egypt’s future, as the country has successfully maintained its position as one of the MENA region’s largest economies. Of the countries that saw fundamental change during the Arab Spring, only Egypt was able to maintain positive GDP growth.
Egypt’s Economy Compares Favorably with its Neighbors
Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit Country Report January 2013 Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit Country Report January 2013
-10.5
-51.4
47
Gross Domestic Product per Head(US$ ‘000;,market exchange rates)
Consumer Prices(% change, year on year)
Inflation has been quite low, averaging 7.4% in 11M 2012, but consumer sentiment remains fairly conservative in the face of an ongoing devaluation of the Egyptian pound and expected inflation, coupled with political and economic upheaval. That said, consumer sentiment has proven to be quite resilient.
Egypt’s Consumers are Seeing Increased Purchasing Power
Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit Country Report January 2013 Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit Country Report January 2013
2.8
48
Driven by an improved security situation and a significant increase in oil production, Iraq’s economy is showing strong growth. Data suggests that in addition to oil, the energy, construction and retail sectors are the best performing.
Iraq’s Economy is Booming
Gross Domestic Product(US$ bn, market exchange rates)
Gross Domestic Product(% change, year on year)
Iraq
Egypt
Iraq
Egypt
Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit Country Report January 2013 Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit Country Report January 2013
-10.5
-51.4
49
With fairly low inflation, strong economic growth and an improved security situation, Iraq’s consumers are once again willing and able to make major purchases.
Iraq’s Consumers are Releasing Pent-Up Demand
Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit Country Report January 2013 Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit Country Report January 2013
Gross Domestic Product per Head(US$ ‘000, market exchange rates)
Consumer Prices(% change, year on year)
Iraq
Iraq
Egypt
Egypt
e. Glossary of Commonly Used Terms
51
Glossary of Commonly Used Terms
CKD:CompletelyKnockedDown.ThesearekitsimportedfromthesupplierandassembledinEgypt,usingthelocally-mandatedpercentageofdomesticparts.
CBU:CompletelyBuiltUp.Thisreferstovehiclesthatareimportedfully-assembled.
SKD:SemiKnockedDown.Thesearekitsthatarrivemostlyassembledbythesupplier;GBAutosimplyfinishestheassembly.
Thank youwww.ghabbourauto.com
Shareholder InformationReuters Code: AUTO.CABloomberg Code: AUTO.ey
Number of Shares Outstanding129,000,000
INVESTORRELATIONSMenatalla Sadek, CFA
CorporateFinanceandInvestmentsDirector
Tel: +20235391201Fax:+20235391198
Hoda yehiaInvestorRelationsManager
Direct:+20239100485Fax: +20235390139
email:ir@ghabbour.com