Claudia Adriazola-SteilDirector of Health and Road Safety

The challengeWhat is Vision Zero and Safe

Systems?International policies

AGENDA

The number of traffic fatalities in 2015

have risen by

4.6% from previous year

DATA FROM INDIA

Source: WHO Global Status Report on Road Safety (2015), Ministry of Road Transport and Highway (Government of India)

According to WHO estimates

207,551 lives were lost in

India due to traffic deaths

It is estimated that

3% of India’s GDP is lost due to road traffic crashes

Source: WHO Global Status Report on Road Safety (2015), Ministry of Road Transport and Highway (Government of India)

DATA FROM INDIA

Accidents are killing more people in India than terrorism or natural disasters and yet we never talk about them.

Nitin GadkariMinister for Road Transport and Highways

62% Of all crashes were

due to speeding

More than

50% of all traffic crash victims are below 29 years of age

Between 2008-2012 In New Delhi

and Mumbai

83-89% of all road crash

victims were pedestrians/cyclists

/motorized two-wheeler users.

Source: WHO Global Status Report on Road Safety (2015)

Indonesia Mexico

Brazil

TRENDS IN REPORTED ROAD TRAFFIC DEATHS

India

Source: WHO Global Status Report on Road Safety (2015)

Switzerland United Kingdom

Sweden

TRENDS IN REPORTED ROAD TRAFFIC DEATHS

Denmark

THE BIG TRANSFORMATION

WHAT’S DIFFERENT NOW? UNPRECEDENTED SCALE

Source: World Urbanization Prospects report, United Nations Economics and Social Affairs, U.N. Annex. Table 1.

+200Mumbai s

By 2050

AN INCREASINGLY URBAN, CAR-FILLED WORLD

1 billion motor vehicles

today will triple by 2050

1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 20500

0.5

1

1.5

2

2.5

3

3.5

World Car Numbers(billions)

FINANCEOf the 2050

infrastructure is yet to be

built

75%

CLIMATE

2%of the land

but

70%of the CO2emissions

AN UNSUSTAINABLE URBANIZATION PATH

Source: Land use and emissions, UN-HABITAT. Infrastructure needs, Resilient Cities. Air pollution and traffic fatalities, WHO.

PEOPLE1.2 Million Traffic Fatalities

3.7 Million Air Pollution

premature deaths

3.2 MillionPhysical Inactivitypremature deaths

PEDESTRIANS AND CYCLISTS

Source: WHO (2013), NIH (2009)

27% of traffic deaths worldwide are

pedestrians and bicyclists

In China, pedestrians accounted for

25% of all traffic deaths,

while cyclists accounted for

16%

Pedestrians and cyclists accounted for

60% of road deaths in

Indian city of Chandigarh

MOTORCYCLES

Photo: M M/ Flickr

In India, 25%

of traffic victims were motorcyclists

22%in China

Motorcycle deaths in Latin America

increased227% in 12 years

Motorcycles have 16x

the rate of serious injuries compared to

cars (UK)

THE VULNERABLE

Photo: Richard Stanley, FIA Foundation

Traffic accidents are one of the leading causes of death

for the young, between 5 to 19 years old. (WHO)

Source: Jung and Sul 2014

92% of traffic fatalities occur in middle- and low-

income countries

Research from South Korea shows that

One-third of traffic crash victims

experienced job loss due to their disability

The victims’ average income level was 40%

lower than the national average.

.Photo: http://www.hdprc.gov.ph/multimedia/

TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS AND POVERTY

THE THREE PRINCIPLES

1.Humans make mistakes

2.Vulnerable bodies3.Speed perception

Claes Tingvall

FATALITY RISK FOR PEDESTRIANS AT DIFFERENT SPEEDS

Source: OECD, 2006

SAFE SYSTEMS

Leadership + Targets + Knowledge

Source: Swedish Road Administration, 2015

SWEDEN

VISION ZERO AND SAFE SYSTEMS IN THE WORLD

DIFFERENT MODELS, VERY DIFFERENT OUTCOMES

Sources: Alain Bertaud (2012) Clearing the air in Atlanta: Transit and smart growth or conventional economics?

AtlantaUSA

BarcelonaSpain

Population (1990) : 2.5 millionBuilt-up area : 4,280 km2Traffic fatality rate : 9.7/ 100,000 pop.Mode share : Car 77%,

Transit 3%,

Biking 0%,

Walking 1%

2.8 million162 km21.9/ 100,000 pop.Car 20%Transit 33%Biking 12% Walking 35%

INCREASING RISKS ON ROADS

Source: FHWA Highway Statistics, 2008 Regression Analysis: EMBARQ

Study from U.S. states

10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 -

5.00

10.00

15.00

20.00

25.00

30.00

35.00

f(x) = 0.837971492907558 x − 10.0533134848698R² = 0.699344660545067

Daily VMT per person (urban roads)

Traffi

c fa

taliti

es p

er 1

00,0

00 p

eopl

e (u

rban

road

s)

PRIVATE VEHICLE VS. MASS TRANSIT

Source: Guadalajara Case Study

URBAN DESIGN MATTERS

Sources: Dumbaugh and Rae 2009, Ewing and Cervero 2010Photo: Mexico City

3% increase in severe

crashes for every 10 meters between

signalized intersections.

For an increase in density of 100 persons / square mile, there was a 6% reductionin injurious crashes

SAFETY AND ECONOMICS, NYC

Source: http://www.nyc.gov/html/dot/downloads/pdf/2012-10-measuring-the-street.pdf

Injury crashes fell by 26%

49% fewer commercial

vacancies

49% Increase in retail

sales

INTERNATIONAL POLICIES

In my view, what the SDGs ask us to do is two-fold. First, work together to create a world free of high-risk killer roads. And second, ensure that the benefits of safe mobility are evenly shared.Margaret Chan Second Global High-level Ministerial Meeting on Road SafetyBrasilia, Brazil 18 November 2015

UN HABITAT III

THANK YOU!Claudia Adriazola-Steil, Director of Health and Road Safety

ProgramWRI Ross Center for Sustainable Cities