INDC Costa Rica A summary of the process · INDC Process Costa Rica •The process started in...

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DCC 2011

INDC Costa RicaA summary of the process

Partnership Assembly Meeting (PA 12)Barcelona, Spain

May 29 to 30, 2015

INDC Process Costa Rica

• The process started in January 2015 with a workshopwith:– Sector technical counterparts, – INDC national team (DCC-consultants) and – Work Bank technical team.

• In each sector, the technical team has been working inthe identification of mitigation-sequestration options.

• Currently, sector workshops are feeding back themodeling process and the definition of mitigationoptions.

• Technical analysis of main drivers of emissions in everysector.

Drivers analysis: Energy Sector

Electricity demand

Vehicle fleet

Energy sector highlycorrelated with GDP.

Drivers analysis: Industry Sector

Cement production

Drivers analysis: Livestock sector

Beef production

Milk

Drivers analysis: Agriculture sector

Drivers analysis: Forest sector

Distribution of forest cover

Main drivers projection

Population

Gross Domestic Product

1 US$ = ȼ535

INDC Conceptual Framework• Contributions to be defined respect emissions of a reference year.• Feasibility of mitigation options (short and long term) to determine the

targets and year to set the contributions.

Main challenges:• Must C-neutrality be

target of the country contributions?

• Other emission levels (e.g. inventory 2010) can be the target as path to C-neutrality level?

• Which is the target year (2020, 2025, 2030, other?

Mitigation options in transport

Transport moderate scenario

Transport “ambitious” scenario

First set of mitigation options have been identified by sector.

Mitigation options in Solid Waste Management

Marginal Cost Waste Management Sector

Escenario medio

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Escenario medio

Some preliminary results are the marginal cost in some sectors.

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USD

/t C

O2e

Cumulative abatement (Million t CO₂e)

Forestry (Alternative Options)

• In forest sector the preliminary analysis focused in strengthen of environmental services payment system (private land).

• The cost are associated to payment and the type of transition (to secondary forest, medium growth forest or old groth forest)

INDC Process: Next phase

• The process is defining options in five sectors:– Electricity,

– Transport,

– Agriculture and livestock

– Industry, and

– Forest

• In July finishes the technical phase with inputs to begin a political validation phase.

• This INDC process has to be complemented with further studies in next stages to evaluate deeply other more ambitious mitigation options.

Muchas GraciasWilliam Alpízar Z, Director

Dirección de Cambio Climáticowalpizar@minae.go.cr