GM: Inevitable or Contemptible?

♯footprintforum Sustainable Responsible Business

GM: CONTEMPTIBLE OR INEVITABLE? 28th FEBRUARY 2013

Barbara J. Stephenson Deputy Chief of Mission

Jim Neel Economic Officer, U.S. State Department

Nick Fenwicke-Clennell CEO

Jack A. Bobo Senior Advisor for Biotechnology

AGRICULTURE

before it DESTROYS it?

save the planet…

Jack A. Bobo | Senior Advisor for Biotechnology | U.S. Department of State

The size of South America and Africa

More than 40% of earth’s land has been cleared for agriculture

70 percent of fresh water used in agriculture

Virtual Water Trade

70% of fresh water used for agriculture

Aral Sea 1973

Aral Sea Today

Like the Colorado River, which no longer flows to

the ocean

Rivers and lakes are running dry

Agriculture and deforestation together generate about 30% of greenhouse gas emissions

Agriculture is among the biggest contributors to climate change

Together, these represent more emissions than from nearly any other industry

2050 9 billion

Global Population Growth 5 1990

7 billion 2010

2030 8 billion

That’s

About the number of people in Germany

75 million more people each year

We all need to eat

And yet almost1 billion don’t have enough food today

http://www.who.int/mediacentre/factsheets/fs310/en/index.html

60% more food by 2050, using…

Less land

Less water

Less fertilizer

Fewer pesticides

According to the UN Food and Agriculture OrganizaDon

How is the challenge ?

the world needs to produce more food between 2000 and 2050

10,000 years than was produced during the previous

Can organic agriculture get us where we need to be?

15-20% growth

35 million hectares

Global Agricultural Land Global Organic Land

0.9 % of total agricultural

Organic Average

Conventional Average

Source: Nature, 2012

Can organic agriculture get us where we need to be?

34 % lower yields under

most conditions

Organic production

66% conventional

Competing World Views

Slow Food Fast Food

Different Voices

Different Choices

Brazil 2019

What the future looks like

Global Trade

Source: Washington Post

Europe’s Food Footprint An Area the Size

of Germany

We Need Technology

Source: USDA/ERS

Wheat Production Plateaus

Sustainably Applied

What do they have in common?

Right to Save Seed?

Farmers choose seedless and hybrid varieties over

saved seed when it makes economic sense

How do you get a seedless watermelon?

Two sets of chromosomes

Treat seeds with toxic chemical

(colchicine)

Four sets of chromosomes

Three sets of chromosomes

Sterile seedless

Mutagenesis

According to the FAO/IAEA Mutant Variety Database, there are 3218 varieties released officially or commercially around the world.

Risk Spectrum

Source: National Academy of Sciences

None of these products would be

approved today if held to the same standard as biotechnology

Global Status of GE Crops

Why are farmers adopting biotech crops?

Improved Yields

Fewer Pesticides

Reduced Greenhouse Gases

Improved Nutrition

Less Soil Erosion

Less Water

5% Increase in corn yields – U.S. 24% Increase – Philippines

10% Increase in cotton yields – U.S. 55% Increase – India

19.3 billion kg of carbon dioxide savings in 2010

443 million kg of active ingredients since 1996 (9% reduction)

Reduced tillage saves top soil

Low till and no till reduces evaporation

Drought tolerance

“Only when the best technology is combined with the best agricultural practices will we

achieve truly sustainable agriculture.”

Jack A. Bobo, JD, MS Chief, Biotechnology and Tex4le Trade Policy Division

Senior Advisor for Biotechnology 202-‐647-‐1647

boboja@state.gov

Professor Ian Crute CBE Chief Scientist

the panel..

Charles Bourns Farmer, Member of the National Farmer's Union Poultry Board and President of the EU Commission's Egg and Poultry Advisory Group

Dr Sandy Lawrie Head of Novel Foods, Food Standards Agency

Andy Milner Procurement and Supply Chain Director, Westbury Street Holdings

Nicole Patterson Principal Analyst, Leatherhead Food Research

Paul Rooke Head of Policy, External Relations, Agriculture Industries Confederation

Moderator: Adam Taub

GM: Inevitable or Contemptible?

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