Post on 08-Aug-2015
TechnoVision 2020GIL Latin America
Cristiano ZaroniManaging DirectorFrost & Sullivan Latin America
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TechVision 2020 & Growth Strategy
Apply this information:
New Growth Opportunities
through TECHNOLOGY AS
A ENABLER
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Strategy
Formulation
StrategyImplementation
Evaluate existent investment in
Technology & Infrastructure2
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Micro Environment
Macro Environment
Our Agenda Today
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1.251
1.402
2010 2012
Global R&D Expenditure Growth(US$ Trillion)
Global R&D Expenditure
Global R&D spending
Global R&D Spending Patterns
� Global R&D spending is estimated to increase at a CAGR of 5.8 percent from 2010 to 2012
� Companies and governments are investing despite the turmoil
� Waiting out the global financial storm is just not an option…
Source: UNESCO
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Global R&D spending
Global R&D Spending Patterns
� Global R&D spending is shifting toward developing economies
� BRICS plays a major role
� Developing countries innovating for developing countries – not just low cost off-shoring
82.5%
72.5%
17.5%
27.5%
2002 2010
Share of World Total R&D Spend
Developed countries Developing countries
Source: UNESCO
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Global R&D spending , by region
Global R&D Spending Patterns
� North America experienced the biggest relative loss; Asia the biggest gain
� The transition of many of the Asian economies is driving increased contributions
� Latin America´s relative contribution increased by 14%, reaching 3.2% of Global R&D Spending
37.7%32.4%
2002 2010
North America
Percentage of World Total R&D Spend, Global, 2002 and 2010
2.8% 3.2%
2002 2010
Latin America and Caribbean
0.9% 0.9%
2002 2010
Africa
30.0% 28.4%
2002 2010
Europe
27.2%33.2%
2002 2010
Asia
1.4% 1.9%
2002 2010
Oceania
Source: UNESCO
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Global Patent Applications, selected countries
Global Patent Applications
� There is a significant shift in patent applications from Europe to Asia
� China experiencing a 6 fold increase - driving hard toward become a knowledge economy
� Brazil increased patent registrations by 30%, surpassing United Kingdom volumes
Source: WIPO
17,376 22,686
2000 2010
Brazil
51,906
391,177
2000 2010
China
32,33742,500
2000 2010
Russia
62,142
59,245
2000 2010
Germany
3,2956,383
2000 2010
South Africa
8,538
34,287
2000 2010
India295,895
490,226
2000 2010
United States
Patent Application Filings, Global, 2000 and 2010
32,74721,929
2000 2010
United Kingdom
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BRICS: Contribution and Spend by %GDP
5.0%
1.7%0.3%
1.8% 1.7%
12.3%
2.3%0.5%
2.7% 2.0%
China India South Africa Russia Brazil
BRICS Comparison - Contribution to World Total Expenditure on R&D
2002 2010
BRICS R&D Spending
� China is the largest economy, but also proportionately spends the most on R&D relative to GDP
� What if growing scientific and engineering expertise are combined with low cost labour?
1.1%0.7% 0.7%
1.3%1.0%
1.6%
0.8% 0.9%1.3% 1.2%
China India South Africa Russia Brazil
BRICS Comparison - R&D Expenditure Share of GDP
2002 2012 Source: UNESCO
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Technology Hotspots
0 5 10 15
Sustain Energy
Clean & Green
Health & Well
Info & Comms
Material & Coatings
Med Dev & Image Tech
Micro Elec
Sensors & Control
Adv Man & Auto
Patent Activity Funding Levels Market Potential
5 represents >15k patents 5 represents >$ 1 billion 5 represents >$ 10 billion
Sensors & Control
Clean & Green Environment
Health & Wellness
Sustainable Energy
Information & Communication
Materials & Coatings
Medical Devices & Imaging Tech
Microelectronics
Advanced Manufac-turingand Automation
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4
3
2
1
0
Source: Frost & Sullivan
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Information & Communication
Materials & Coatings
Medical Devices & Imaging Tech
Top 50 Technologies
Top 50
Technologies
Sensors & Control
Clean & Green Environment
Sustainable Energy
MicroelectronicsAdvanced
Manufacturing and Automation
Hybrid Energy Systems
Smart Energy Mgt
Advanced Chemical
Batteries
2nd Generation Biofuels
Advanced Energy Storage
PEM Fuel Cell
Advanced Wind Power
Water Purification
Waste to Energy
Electric Vehicles
Solid Waste
Treatment
Biochemicals
M2M Connectivity
Semantic
Technologies
In memory
Computing
Virtualization
Big Data
Energy Harvesting
CBRNE Detection
Wireless Sensor
Networks
Smart Sensors
Neurostimulators
Hybrid Imaging
Remote Patient Monitoring
Combination Devices
Autonomous Vehicles
Fibre & Disc Lasers
Multi Material Joining
Technologies
Micro Manufacturing
Intelligent Robots
Smart Fabrics
Advanced Filtratation
Active Packaging
Lightweight Composites
Microreactors
Superhydrophobic Coatings
Biofunctionalized Materials
Fuel/Additive/Blending
Next Generation
Sequencing
Next Generation Prebiotics
Adult Stem Cell Therapies
Nanofluidics & BioNEMS
3D Cell Culture Systems
Solid State Lighting
Flexible Electronics
Compound Semiconductors
Advanced Data Storage
Near Field Communication
3D Integration
Haptics and Touch
Health & Wellness
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5
50
2010 2020
Global Objects Connected to the Internet (Billion)
Global Objects Connected
Global Objects Connected to the Internet
� 6 devices per human on earth by 2020
� Automated data assembly and interpretation critical
Source: DeustoTech
Machine to Machine (M2M) Connectivity
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Internet as CNS of M2M Ecosystem
Central Nervous System
Managing complex relation between devices
2 Billion People
Connected
50 Billion Devices
Connected
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M2M as key-element of transformational change:The Healthcare industry example
Current State of Evolving Doctor Patient Relationship
� (Verbal and Written) Communication is a key component of the doctor-patient relationship
� Outcome and behaviour change difficult to monitor and act upon on a frequent basis
� Technology as the ultimate translator – delivery and provision of healthcare services
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M2M as key-element of transformational change:The Telehealth Ecosystem
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HC-ICT industry convergence:The Telehealth Matrix
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Closing remarks…
� Pro-actively tracking technology is clearly essential
� Understand the technology parameters
� Track your own industry as well as (un)related
� Convergence is on the increase
� ‘Wait and see what happens in the US/Europe’ is not
an option any more
� Increase your chances of success exponentially by
understanding the technology parameters and the
pace of development
R & D
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Cristiano Zaroni
Managing Director, Latin America
Frost & Sullivan
+ 55.11.3065-8424
Cristiano.zaroni@frost.com
Thanks for your time. Hope you enjoyed !